Ryan Picollo

OF Inland Empire 66ers

Age 25 R/R 6'5" / 225 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AModesto Nuts	304	.205/.268/.360	8	3	20	—	.147/.195/.267
2026	24	ASEA	232	.176/.254/.338	10	3	-3	—	.106/.164/.198
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBSEA	282	.175/.227/.287	6	4	43	-0.8
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBSEA	70	.176/.230/.288	2	1	46	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO65

BB%24

Speed15

Chase%12

wOBA11

wRC+9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDexter Kjerstad (age 25) · Dennicher Carrasco (age 25) · Madison Stokes (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 180 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .225 / .285

PA180

HR4

K%38

BB%6

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	304	278	57	11	4	8	22	124	2	3	1	205	268	360	628	155	331	41	7	279	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	232	210	37	4	0	10	21	98	1	3	3	176	254	338	592	162	265	42	9	268	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	304	285	42	7	3	7	15	161	2	3	1	147	195	267	462	119	283	53	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	232	217	23	2	0	6	14	133	1	3	3	106	164	198	362	92	220	57	6	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	304	285	42	7	3	7	15	161	2	3	1	147	195	267	462	119	294	53	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	304	278	57	11	4	8	22	124	2	3	1	205	268	360	628	155	331	41	7	279	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	232	217	23	2	0	6	14	133	1	3	3	106	164	198	362	92	218	57	6	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	232	210	37	4	0	10	21	98	1	3	3	176	254	338	592	162	265	42	9	268	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	304	284	42	7	3	7	15	161	2	3	1	148	195	268	463	120	283	53	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	232	215	23	2	0	6	14	133	1	3	3	107	164	200	364	93	220	57	6	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	304	284	42	7	3	7	15	161	2	3	1	148	195	268	463	120	283	53	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	232	215	23	2	0	6	14	133	1	3	3	107	164	200	364	93	220	57	6	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	282	262	45	8	1	6	16	107	2	4	1	175	227	287	514	112	262	38	6	231	43	-19	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	233	216	38	7	1	5	13	87	2	3	1	178	232	293	524	115	264	37	6	236	46	-15	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	70	65	12	2	0	2	4	26	1	1	0	176	230	288	518	112	261	37	6	233	46	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	65	12	2	0	2	4	26	1	1	0	185	243	308	551	123	270	37	6	233	25	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	112	19	0	19	37	241	9	9	0	185	243	311	554	126	270	37	6	233	25	-42	+2	+0	-4	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	949	885	132	21	5	22	52	449	6	12	6	149	201	259	460	110	263	47	5	205	25	-27	+0	+0	-2	+9	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	90	14	3	15	36	308	4	8	4	149	201	256	457	107	262	47	6	205	25	-43	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	250	6	4	177	227	290	-2	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	15	9	-4.0	+0.0	-2.9	pk7: 0
#4Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#5Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Picollo (OGILVIE)	25	20	40	40	30	173/225/285	111	262	4	3	38%	6%	43	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	196/246/310	114	289	12	9	36%	4%	56	-1.9	191/245/288	97	289	10	6	36%	5%	51	-2.3	154/207/216	62	234	8	0	36%	5%	17	-2.0
✕Dennicher Carrasco 2021 · A	25	39→36	44→45	45→40	33	198/235/312	114	296	12	7	37%	4%	51	-2.2	202/253/312	110	342	11	7	41%	6%	59	-1.7	160/210/262	101	283	13	0	46%	6%	28	-1.1
✕Madison Stokes 2021 · A	25	39→36	42→45	40	34	195/236/293	98	284	10	4	34%	4%	47	-2.5	187/249/290	103	293	9	7	37%	7%	52	-2.2	172/245/271	99	269	8	7	37%	8%	44	-1.5
✕Cole Leonida 2014 · A	25	35	46→45	42→40	36	182/246/302	121	289	15	4	41%	6%	55	-2.0	205/277/329	124	293	12	7	32%	8%	72	-0.7	189/275/314	125	256	10	4	28%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Courtney Hawkins 2019 · AA	25	35	44→50	45→50	33	182/227/294	112	283	13	5	40%	5%	45	-2.7	202/248/366	164	278	22	6	35%	5%	70	-0.8	181/225/366	185	227	27	2	34%	5%	59	-1.2
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Scott Schreiber 2021 · A	25	38	43→45	47→45	34	187/237/295	108	309	11	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	221/273/358	137	301	16	10	31%	5%	77	-0.3	225/273/365	140	298	18	10	30%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Sean Buckley 2015 · A	25	39→33	44→45	43→45	34	198/245/311	113	284	13	7	34%	4%	55	-1.9	214/266/310	96	300	8	6	30%	5%	63	-1.4	211/264/288	77	296	5	0	29%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2016 · A	25	33→30	45→50	46→30	40	174/233/300	125	240	12	3	32%	6%	49	-2.4	201/255/353	152	267	18	4	31%	6%	70	-0.9	189/240/369	180	230	24	1	30%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Bryan Haar 2015 · A	25	39→37	43→45	44→40	34	195/236/303	108	302	10	4	38%	5%	49	-2.4	202/250/288	86	299	6	4	33%	5%	51	-2.2	192/241/248	56	275	1	1	29%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Josh Richmond 2014 · A	25	37→40	44→45	47→45	35	189/237/306	118	273	11	7	34%	5%	51	-2.2	209/265/334	125	285	12	8	30%	5%	68	-1.0	200/262/331	130	262	12	9	27%	5%	63	-1.0
✕Wade Kirkland 2014 · A	25	36→35	42→45	42→45	34	183/231/292	108	270	9	5	34%	4%	46	-2.6	188/222/278	90	300	8	8	39%	3%	38	-3.2	175/202/245	70	289	6	7	41%	2%	20	-1.9
✕Taylor Sparks 2018 · AA	25	32→39	44→45	46→50	33	172/227/284	112	266	13	6	39%	5%	43	-2.8	183/240/310	127	322	14	7	45%	6%	54	-2.0	158/214/292	133	291	15	5	49%	5%	38	-2.4
✕Brandon Miller 2015 · A	25	31→33	50	46→40	35	176/231/324	147	266	19	5	41%	6%	54	-2.0	194/249/333	139	287	16	5	37%	6%	63	-1.4	169/221/320	151	234	17	0	35%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Brandon Van Horn 2019 · A	25	37→28	41→40	42→45	36	186/228/277	91	274	9	9	35%	5%	40	-3.0	180/225/261	81	295	7	6	39%	5%	36	-3.4	147/189/199	52	255	4	2	42%	4%	6	-3.3
✕Jordan Renz 2007 · A	24	31→28	46→45	42→45	30	167/216/286	120	286	15	6	46%	5%	39	-3.1	187/232/329	142	309	18	6	44%	5%	55	-1.9	167/209/317	150	259	22	4	44%	4%	42	-2.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→25	41→50	45→50	35	170/234/264	94	274	10	6	40%	6%	41	-3.0	198/254/313	115	283	11	10	33%	5%	60	-1.6	196/248/320	125	268	11	11	30%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Kale Emshoff 2024 · A	26	36→31	44→45	44→40	37	183/245/294	111	285	12	3	38%	6%	52	-2.2	199/255/321	122	312	14	6	38%	6%	61	-1.5	184/233/325	141	284	19	3	41%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	35→30	46→50	41→45	33	185/239/316	131	279	14	4	38%	5%	55	-1.9	200/249/317	117	287	12	6	33%	5%	59	-1.7	196/241/309	113	272	12	5	32%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Ryan Higgins 2024 · A	24	35	42→40	45	36	174/242/277	102	277	9	10	38%	6%	47	-2.5	187/251/284	97	310	9	10	40%	6%	52	-2.2	159/224/238	80	273	9	9	43%	5%	30	-2.0

Ryan Picollo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps