Draven Zeigler

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	APIT	7	0	10	5.40	3.80	14.9%	14.9%	—	K 14.9% · BB 14.9% · FIP 3.73
2026	25	MIX2 levels	41	6	74	3.91	4.55	20.9%	7.5%	—	K 15.9% · BB 8.7% · FIP 5.64
2027PROJ	26	MLBPIT	50	0	52	5.02	5.02	17.5%	8.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBPIT	23	0	24	4.97	4.99	18.0%	8.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBPIT	35	0	37	4.98	5.02	18.3%	9.0%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBrett McKinney (age 26) · J.J. Putz (age 27) · Jose Rafael De Paula (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%17.5%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	7	0	10	47	7	7	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	14.9%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.73	—
2025	24	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	7	0	10	47	7	7	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	14.9%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.73	—
2025	24	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	7	0	10	47	7	7	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	14.9%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.80	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	6	74	321	67	24	13	15%	1.8	15.9%	8.7%	7.2%	5.1%	3.91	5.64	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	6	74	321	67	24	13	15%	1.8	15.9%	8.7%	7.2%	5.1%	3.91	5.64	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	6	74	321	67	24	13	15%	1.8	20.9%	7.5%	13.4%	4.0%	3.91	4.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PIT	50	0	52	220	38	19	8	0%	1.0	17.5%	8.7%	8.7%	3.5%	5.02	5.02	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	62	0	65	276	50	24	10	0%	1.1	18.0%	8.8%	9.2%	3.5%	4.97	4.99	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	60	0	63	267	49	24	9	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	3.5%	4.98	5.02	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	23	0	24	101	18	9	4	0%	1.0	18.0%	8.8%	9.2%	3.5%	4.97	4.99	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	35	0	37	156	29	14	6	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	3.5%	4.98	5.02	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	61	259	47	23	9	0%	1.1	18.2%	8.9%	9.3%	3.5%	4.98	4.63	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	75	29	0%	1.1	18.2%	8.9%	9.3%	3.5%	4.98	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		48	6	84	368	58	35	16	12%	1.7	15.8%	9.5%	6.3%	4.4%	4.09	5.40	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	14	200	880	139	83	39	12%	1.7	15.8%	9.5%	6.3%	4.4%	4.09	5.40	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Draven Zeigler (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	17.5%	8.7%	3.5%	—	5.00	18.2%	9.2%	129	-0.02	—	—	—
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	87
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	85
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	85
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	85
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	85
Geoff Geary R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	15.0%	6.5%	4.0%	.295	3.65	15.0%	9.5%	217	-1.20	3.16	345	85
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	84
Woo-Suk Go R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	17.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.359	4.16	21.5%	10.2%	64	-0.64	3.57	116	84
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	84
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	84
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	84
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	84
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	84
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	84
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	84
Scott Burke R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	25	SU	5.27	14.9%	8.2%	4.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	119	84
Ryan Middendorf R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	19.1%	9.0%	4.0%	.293	4.41	12.7%	-1.1%	34	-0.43	1.27	164	84
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	84
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	84
Hector Ambriz R 2010 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	16.5%	7.1%	4.5%	.360	4.28	19.5%	10.8%	56	-0.79	2.24	259	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	18.0%	8.9%	1.36	4.99
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*