Kevin Morillo — OGILVIE

Kevin MorilloC DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP143

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	44	8	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	182	250	295	545	114	219	23	6	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	42	11	3	0	1	5	7	1	0	0	262	354	405	759	143	294	15	10	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	BOS	—	43	39	5	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	128	209	154	363	26	227	40	7	172	-10	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	BOS	—	43	37	7	2	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	189	302	243	546	54	280	28	12	263	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	19	ROK	BOS	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		285	27	9	253	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	BOS	—	43	40	5	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	125	209	150	359	25	217	40	7	172	-10	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	BOS	—	54	49	6	1	0	0	4	20	1	0	0	122	204	143	347	20	207	37	7	188	2	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	145	132	28	6	1	2	10	42	2	1	0	212	278	318	596	106	287	29	7	264	60	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB	BOS	48%	289	262	55	11	1	4	21	81	4	2	1	210	279	305	584	95	289	28	7	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2029	22	MLB	BOS	54%	397	360	78	15	2	7	29	110	5	3	1	217	284	328	612	111	290	28	7	277	70	-14	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2030	23	MLB	BOS	57%	470	427	92	18	2	8	34	129	6	4	1	215	283	323	606	108	291	27	7	280	72	-15	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2031	24	MLB	BOS	57%	517	467	103	20	3	9	38	142	7	4	2	221	289	334	623	113	292	27	7	282	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	50	45	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	222	300	333	633	111	294	28	8	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	BOS	48%	140	127	28	6	1	2	10	39	2	1	0	220	288	331	618	110	295	28	7	266	62	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	22	MLB	BOS	54%	215	194	44	9	1	4	16	60	3	2	1	227	296	345	641	119	296	28	7	271	65	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB	BOS	57%	266	240	54	11	1	5	20	73	4	2	1	225	295	342	637	117	297	27	8	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	BOS	57%	292	265	58	12	1	5	21	80	4	2	1	219	286	328	615	109	298	27	7	276	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	963	872	194	40	4	17	71	266	14	7	3	222	292	336	628	114	298	28	7	272	66	-37	+0	+0	+17	+27	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	131	27	3	11	48	180	9	5	2	222	291	334	626	112	299	28	7	272	66	-25	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	1877	1702	365	72	9	31	136	518	25	14	5	214	282	322	604	108	287	28	7	276	69	-65	+1	+0	+34	+53	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	127	25	3	11	47	179	9	5	2	216	284	324	608	109	289	28	7	276	69	-22	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	42	11	3	0	1	5	7	1	0	0	262	354	405	759	143	294	15	10	344	121	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,017	17	8	218	283	328	+18	+16	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	11	5	218	283	328	+11.9	+10.4	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Morillo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	122/204/143	20	207	0	0	37%	7%	2	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→40	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	55	-1.4	192/232/317	125	275	12	5	34%	4%	45	-2.1	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	47→40	41	194/262/289	96	287	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	185/266/295	110	307	11	4	40%	9%	56	-1.3	155/253/274	119	262	13	2	42%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2021 · A	19	43	40→50	44→50	40	207/266/301	93	288	7	6	30%	6%	56	-1.3	208/270/342	134	271	16	6	29%	6%	69	-0.4	202/266/343	141	256	19	5	29%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2010 · A	19	43	38→45	46→45	38	202/250/284	82	300	5	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	219/259/313	94	273	9	6	22%	5%	55	-1.4	232/268/336	104	264	12	5	17%	4%	61	-0.3
✕Daniel Santos 2019 · A	20	41	39→45	45→40	41	197/262/285	88	270	7	5	28%	6%	50	-1.7	200/262/282	82	300	5	6	33%	6%	50	-1.8	141/209/188	47	235	0	5	37%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→37	41→55	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	57	-1.2	186/266/288	102	300	9	2	38%	8%	54	-1.4	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Ismerling Mota 2017 · A	19	43	40→45	46→40	41	211/253/301	90	262	8	5	23%	5%	50	-1.8	203/254/278	75	282	5	4	28%	5%	44	-2.1	180/231/230	51	220	3	0	19%	5%	20	-0.9
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	44	-2.1	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	40	-2.4	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Alejandro Flores 2015 · A	19	40	41→50	48→40	43	199/259/294	95	265	9	5	28%	7%	51	-1.7	195/256/288	93	291	8	6	33%	7%	48	-1.9	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3