Kevin Morillo — OGILVIE

Kevin MorilloC DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 5 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP291

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	42	11	3	0	1	5	7	1	0	0	262	354	405	759	143	294	15	10	344	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	44	8	2	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	182	250	295	545	114	229	21	6	243	51	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	44	8	2	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	182	250	295	545	114	212	21	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	42	11	3	0	1	5	7	1	0	0	262	354	405	759	143	294	15	10	344	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	44	8	2	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	182	250	295	545	114	229	21	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	44	8	2	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	182	250	295	545	114	229	21	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	BOS	—	43	39	5	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	128	209	154	363	26	227	40	7	172	3	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	BOS	—	43	37	7	2	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	189	302	243	546	54	280	28	12	263	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	BOS	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		285	20	0	253	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	BOS	—	48	44	6	1	0	0	3	18	1	0	0	136	208	159	367	23	231	38	6	180	8	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	145	132	28	6	1	2	10	41	2	1	0	212	278	318	596	106	287	28	7	264	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	289	262	55	11	1	4	21	81	4	2	1	210	279	305	584	95	289	28	7	271	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	397	360	77	15	2	6	29	109	5	3	1	214	282	317	598	103	290	27	7	276	73	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	470	426	92	18	2	8	35	128	6	4	1	216	285	324	609	108	291	27	7	280	75	-14	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	517	467	103	20	3	9	38	141	7	4	2	221	289	334	623	113	291	27	7	281	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	469	104	20	3	10	39	142	7	4	2	222	291	341	632	119	292	27	8	283	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	520	469	104	20	3	10	39	142	7	4	2	222	291	341	632	119	291	27	8	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	469	104	20	3	10	39	142	7	4	2	222	291	341	632	119	291	27	8	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	468	103	20	2	10	40	143	7	4	1	220	291	335	627	115	291	28	8	282	77	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	520	468	101	20	2	9	40	144	7	3	1	216	287	325	612	109	290	28	8	280	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	520	468	101	20	2	9	40	145	7	3	1	216	287	325	612	109	288	28	8	277	74	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	504	453	96	19	2	8	39	142	7	3	1	212	285	316	600	104	286	28	8	273	71	-17	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	50	45	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	222	300	333	633	111	293	28	8	257	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	140	127	28	6	1	2	10	39	2	1	0	220	288	331	618	110	294	28	7	264	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	215	194	43	9	1	3	16	59	3	2	1	222	291	325	616	103	295	27	7	269	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	266	240	53	11	1	4	20	73	4	2	1	221	292	325	617	104	296	27	8	272	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	292	264	59	12	1	5	22	80	4	2	1	223	293	333	626	110	297	27	8	274	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	294	266	59	12	1	5	22	80	4	2	1	222	291	331	622	109	297	27	7	275	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	294	266	59	12	1	5	22	80	4	2	1	222	291	331	622	109	297	27	7	276	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	288	260	58	12	1	5	22	79	4	2	1	223	294	335	628	112	297	27	8	276	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	285	257	57	12	1	5	22	78	4	2	1	222	293	335	628	113	296	27	8	275	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	278	251	55	11	1	5	21	77	4	2	1	219	290	331	621	112	296	28	8	273	76	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	274	247	54	11	1	5	21	76	4	2	1	219	290	332	622	113	294	28	8	270	74	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	263	237	51	10	1	4	20	74	4	1	1	215	287	316	604	101	292	28	8	266	71	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2939	2654	586	120	11	49	222	809	42	20	10	221	291	330	621	109	297	28	8	272	75	-86	+0	-4	+52	+64	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	130	27	2	11	49	179	9	4	2	221	291	330	622	109	298	28	8	272	75	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5495	4960	1077	211	26	96	412	1511	74	39	15	217	287	328	615	111	290	27	7	279	75	-162	+2	-7	+97	+118	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	127	25	3	11	49	179	9	5	2	216	287	325	613	109	289	28	8	279	75	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,993	52	21	219	286	331	+53	+28	4.9	4.3
/162	664	12	5	+11.9	+6.2	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Morillo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	201/266/282	81	285	0	0	29%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/253	72	231	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	195/246/281	86	228	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	218/279/324	106	270	9	0	22%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	39→48	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/281	91	262	7	9	29%	6%	49	-2.4	189/246/285	96	287	9	8	35%	7%	50	-2.3	206/266/327	121	281	14	11	31%	7%	64	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	40	40	46→55	38	195/253/280	85	273	7	8	30%	5%	51	-2.2	200/258/297	97	283	8	10	31%	6%	57	-1.8	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→50	45	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	37	-3.3	211/249/327	116	282	13	5	29%	5%	60	-1.6	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	50	-2.3	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	58	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Hector Garcia 2009 · A	19	42	37→45	44→40	44	201/251/268	68	260	5	4	24%	6%	47	-2.5	218/268/302	84	272	6	3	21%	5%	61	-1.5	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	40	37→40	42→50	43	190/271/256	66	271	4	5	30%	7%	54	-2.0	205/275/274	69	274	3	8	24%	7%	59	-1.7	203/273/268	65	267	1	10	22%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2012 · A	19	39	38→45	43→40	37	190/243/264	74	264	6	4	30%	5%	44	-2.8	197/253/286	89	287	7	4	32%	6%	53	-2.1	189/250/284	95	283	8	2	34%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→46	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	209/270/337	128	287	13	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Emilio King 2009 · A	19	38	37→45	44→40	41	184/245/258	74	245	5	6	26%	6%	43	-2.8	196/260/278	82	281	5	6	30%	5%	54	-2.0	205/257/297	92	296	6	4	31%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Michael Almanzar 2010 · A	19	39→49	39→45	43→45	34	193/233/274	81	279	7	4	33%	4%	42	-2.9	194/231/277	83	267	7	5	29%	4%	42	-2.9	236/281/360	125	289	13	8	23%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Jesus Ugueto 2010 · A	19	43	37→45	45→50	43	203/265/278	75	297	4	6	31%	7%	55	-1.9	221/273/309	88	288	6	8	24%	6%	65	-1.2	231/284/346	115	294	9	11	24%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Martin Cervenka 2012 · A	19	40→48	36→45	50→40	39	191/243/261	70	284	3	6	33%	6%	42	-2.9	194/259/254	60	308	3	5	34%	8%	47	-2.5	221/267/330	109	291	11	1	27%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	42	38→40	50	41	201/262/277	76	283	5	10	30%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/321	107	271	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	231/278/335	104	277	9	10	19%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Leonardo Ortiz 2016 · A	19	40	36→40	50→30	37	194/234/261	67	272	2	5	29%	4%	38	-3.2	205/255/272	67	258	3	6	21%	5%	49	-2.4	205/256/264	59	247	3	5	17%	4%	46	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps