Nick Hollifield — OGILVIE

Nick HollifieldC Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.077 / .143 / .077

PA14

HR0

K%36

BB%7

BABIP254

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	66	16	1	0	0	14	14	0	0	0	242	375	258	633	15	302	17	17	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	71	14	1	0	0	9	20	0	0	0	197	287	211	499	14	259	25	11	230	42	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	71	14	1	0	0	9	20	0	0	0	197	287	211	499	14	269	25	11	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	66	16	1	0	0	14	14	0	0	0	242	375	258	633	15	302	17	17	304	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	72	14	1	0	0	9	20	0	0	0	194	287	208	496	14	259	25	11	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	72	14	1	0	0	9	20	0	0	0	194	287	208	496	14	259	25	11	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A MLE	WSH	—	160	135	17	3	0	2	18	63	4	1	0	126	248	193	441	67	205	39	11	209	28	-14	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	WSH	—	160	124	20	4	0	2	29	44	4	1	0	161	338	242	580	81	222	28	18	282	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	WSH	0%	14	13	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	77	143	77	220		255	36	7	243	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	WSH	—	174	148	18	3	0	2	19	68	4	1	0	122	240	182	422	61	198	39	11	212	29	-15	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	216	189	34	6	1	3	22	70	3	3	1	180	276	270	546	90	261	32	10	253	58	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	301	264	49	9	1	5	30	95	4	5	1	186	279	284	563	98	264	32	10	260	62	-14	+1	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	360	317	59	11	1	6	35	112	5	6	2	186	277	284	561	98	265	31	10	264	65	-15	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	388	341	65	12	2	7	39	120	5	7	2	191	283	299	582	109	266	31	10	266	66	-16	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	405	356	67	12	2	7	41	126	5	7	2	188	281	292	573	104	265	31	10	265	65	-17	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	407	358	66	12	1	7	41	128	5	7	2	184	277	282	559	98	264	31	10	263	64	-17	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	65	58	10	2	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	172	262	259	520	86	259	32	9	242	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	133	117	21	4	0	2	13	42	2	2	1	179	273	265	538	85	262	32	10	249	62	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	183	161	30	5	1	3	18	57	2	3	1	186	276	286	562	99	264	31	10	253	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	203	178	34	6	1	4	20	63	3	4	1	191	284	303	587	112	264	31	10	255	66	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	216	189	36	6	1	4	22	67	3	4	1	190	285	296	581	106	264	31	10	254	65	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	214	187	35	6	1	4	22	67	3	4	1	187	283	294	577	107	263	31	10	252	64	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1014	890	166	29	4	18	101	317	14	18	5	187	280	289	568	102	264	31	10	252	63	-43	+2	-1	+18	+22	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	108	19	3	12	65	203	9	12	3	189	283	296	579	107	267	31	10	252	63	-28	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2172	1909	355	63	8	35	218	676	27	35	10	186	279	282	561	96	264	31	10	261	63	-90	+3	-2	+37	+45	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	106	19	2	10	65	202	8	10	3	186	278	278	556	93	264	31	10	261	63	-28	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,123	19	19	188	277	290	+20	+16	0.4	0.4
/162	664	11	11	+11.9	+9.5	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Hollifield (OGILVIE)	23	25→30	33→38	43→48	65	169/264/250	81	255	1	1	34%	10%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→31	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/260/296	105	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	40→38	38→40	46→45	45	189/272/265	76	270	5	9	30%	8%	56	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	49	-2.4	164/243/223	59	238	4	6	30%	7%	34	-2.4
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	47	-2.5	196/263/293	97	280	8	3	31%	8%	58	-1.7	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	44→45	46	175/265/284	109	271	9	5	36%	10%	58	-1.7	184/252/283	99	266	8	7	31%	8%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	183/257/279	96	281	10	6	36%	8%	53	-2.1	199/261/302	103	329	8	6	39%	7%	59	-1.6	183/243/303	120	312	8	3	41%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	39	38→40	50→45	42	188/269/267	79	279	6	5	33%	7%	55	-1.9	186/259/280	94	342	9	5	45%	7%	55	-2.0	160/236/251	91	316	11	4	49%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→40	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/250/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	46	-2.6	104/202/173	69	167	5	2	38%	10%	8	-1.6
✕Drew Butera 2007 · A	23	35	40	48→40	45	176/247/261	85	235	8	4	28%	7%	46	-2.6	193/251/285	92	235	8	2	21%	6%	51	-2.2	236/287/353	117	297	12	0	24%	6%	79	-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps