Nick Hollifield — OGILVIE

Nick HollifieldC Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .265 / .227

PA106

HR1

K%34

BB%10

BABIP247

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	71	13	1	0	0	9	21	0	0	0	183	275	197	472	14	255	26	11	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	66	16	1	0	0	14	14	0	0	0	242	375	258	633	15	302	17	17	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	WSH	—	160	135	17	3	0	2	18	63	4	1	0	126	248	193	441	67	205	39	11	209	18	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.7
YTD	23	A	WSH	—	160	124	20	4	0	2	29	44	4	1	0	161	338	242	580	81	222	28	18	282	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
ROS	23	A	WSH	0%	106	92	15	3	0	1	11	36	2	1	0	162	265	227	492	65	255	34	10	243	44	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		255	—	—	233	36	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	WSH	—	160	136	17	3	0	2	18	63	4	1	0	125	248	191	440	66	203	39	11	209	18	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.7
TOT	23	A	WSH	—	266	227	32	6	0	3	29	99	6	2	0	141	255	206	462	66	224	37	11	223	29	-21	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	254	224	40	7	1	4	25	83	3	4	1	179	270	272	542	94	261	33	10	254	52	-14	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	WSH	44%	329	289	54	10	1	6	33	104	4	5	1	187	279	291	570	104	264	32	10	260	57	-16	+1	+0	+6	+9	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	379	334	63	11	2	7	37	118	5	6	2	189	279	296	576	108	265	31	10	264	60	-17	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.1
2030	27	MLB	WSH	52%	401	353	67	12	2	7	40	125	5	7	2	190	281	295	576	105	266	31	10	266	62	-17	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.2
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	413	363	68	12	2	7	42	129	5	7	2	187	280	289	570	102	265	31	10	265	61	-18	+1	-1	+7	+12	0.1
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	76	67	11	2	0	1	8	25	1	1	0	164	263	239	502	75	261	33	11	244	45	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	WSH	44%	145	128	23	4	1	2	14	46	2	2	1	180	271	273	544	94	264	32	10	251	50	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	192	168	32	6	1	3	19	60	3	3	1	190	284	292	576	101	265	31	10	254	53	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	WSH	52%	210	184	35	6	1	4	21	65	3	4	1	190	284	299	583	109	266	31	10	256	54	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	220	193	37	7	1	4	22	69	3	4	1	192	284	301	585	109	265	31	10	255	53	-12	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	843	741	138	25	4	14	84	265	12	14	4	186	280	287	567	101	266	31	10	253	52	-46	+1	-0	+15	+24	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	106	19	3	11	65	204	9	11	3	186	279	287	566	102	265	31	10	253	52	-35	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1963	1726	320	56	8	32	197	616	24	30	8	185	278	283	560	97	264	31	10	260	57	-95	+3	-1	+35	+56	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	107	19	3	11	65	204	8	10	3	187	280	288	568	101	266	31	10	260	57	-32	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	81	66	16	1	0	0	14	14	0	0	0	242	375	258	633	15	302	17	17	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	973	17	16	188	277	289	+17	+12	0.0	0.1
	/162	664	11	11	188	277	289	+11.9	+8.2	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Hollifield (OGILVIE)	23	25→30	33→38	43→48	65	141/255/206	66	224	3	2	37%	11%	29	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Connor Pavolony 2023 · A	23	39	41→40	48→40	48	184/287/284	100	301	9	6	38%	11%	63	-0.9	170/249/246	76	294	6	6	40%	8%	36	-2.7	129/203/183	54	225	4	2	41%	8%	-2	-2.3
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	41→40	46→40	41	184/265/285	101	288	8	8	36%	8%	53	-1.5	205/278/297	92	316	7	5	34%	7%	60	-1.0	204/278/288	84	318	5	2	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	43→45	47	171/267/278	106	270	9	5	37%	11%	52	-1.6	184/252/283	99	267	8	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	175/249/267	92	300	10	4	41%	8%	41	-2.3	154/232/237	84	271	10	3	44%	8%	25	-2.5
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/264/285	81	271	6	9	26%	6%	50	-1.7	230/291/295	65	314	4	6	26%	7%	64	-0.8	225/288/284	59	300	4	5	25%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Rowdey Jordan 2022 · A	23	43→42	39→45	43→55	43	202/267/285	82	298	6	8	32%	8%	52	-1.6	204/274/318	114	284	11	18	30%	8%	64	-0.8	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Joseph Odom 2015 · A	23	38	40→45	40→30	44	189/261/275	87	276	8	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	206/252/313	107	279	10	3	29%	5%	53	-1.5	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Carter Aldrete 2021 · A	23	45→40	39→50	47→45	46	215/284/300	86	293	6	7	27%	8%	63	-0.8	207/257/338	131	294	16	6	34%	6%	62	-0.9	199/248/343	144	272	19	5	34%	6%	57	-0.8
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7