Jesus Morales

C ACL Royals

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1469ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	16	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	86	.135/.256/.176	0	2	-12	—	.104/.198/.143
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	110	.198/.361/.244	0	2	15	—	.118/.241/.140
2026	18	ROKKC	70	.177/.261/.210	0	1	-24	—	.109/.174/.141
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBKC	180	.204/.272/.276	1	2	57	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	33	.208/.277/.291	0	0	63	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBKC	95	.212/.283/.305	1	1	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed74

Chase%11

ISO7

Whiff%6

BB%5

wOBA2

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .274

PA42

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	74	10	1	1	0	12	16	0	2	1	135	256	176	431	41	172	19	14	215	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	86	17	4	0	0	20	16	2	2	1	198	361	244	605	47	236	15	18	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	70	62	11	0	1	0	5	29	2	1	0	177	261	210	471	32	333	41	7	223	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	123	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	93	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	118	241	140	381	22	146	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	64	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	109	174	141	315	31	272	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	138	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	74	10	1	1	0	12	16	0	2	1	135	256	176	431	41	172	19	14	215	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	93	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	118	241	140	381	22	147	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	86	17	4	0	0	20	16	2	2	1	198	361	244	605	47	236	15	18	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	64	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	109	174	141	315	31	318	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	70	62	11	0	1	0	5	29	2	1	0	177	261	210	471	32	333	41	7	223	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	123	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	94	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	117	241	138	379	21	146	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	65	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	108	174	138	312	31	272	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	123	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	94	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	117	241	138	379	21	146	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	65	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	108	174	138	312	31	272	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	180	162	32	5	1	1	14	51	2	2	1	204	272	276	548	73	285	28	8	252	57	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	98	90	19	3	1	1	7	27	1	1	0	209	279	294	573	85	287	28	7	262	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	50%	190	171	37	6	1	3	15	52	2	2	1	214	284	309	594	96	288	27	8	270	69	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	58%	301	271	59	9	2	5	23	81	4	4	2	218	289	322	611	105	289	27	8	277	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	61%	390	351	77	12	3	7	31	104	5	5	2	221	292	333	625	112	290	27	8	283	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	63%	445	402	89	14	3	9	35	117	5	6	2	224	295	342	637	118	292	26	8	287	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	65%	445	402	89	14	3	9	35	117	5	6	2	225	296	346	642	121	292	26	8	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	65%	445	402	89	14	3	9	35	117	5	6	2	225	296	348	645	123	291	26	8	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	65%	445	402	89	14	3	9	35	118	5	5	2	224	295	346	641	122	291	27	8	289	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	65%	445	402	89	14	3	9	35	119	5	4	2	222	293	341	634	119	290	27	8	286	80	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	445	402	89	14	3	9	35	120	5	2	2	220	290	335	625	115	288	27	8	282	77	-12	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	65%	445	402	87	14	3	8	35	122	5	1	1	217	287	327	613	110	286	27	8	277	74	-14	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	33	30	6	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	208	277	291	568	83	285	27	9	260	63	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	50%	95	87	18	3	1	1	7	26	1	1	0	212	283	305	588	93	287	27	7	268	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	58%	174	156	33	5	1	3	14	47	2	2	1	216	287	317	604	101	288	27	8	274	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	61%	240	216	48	8	2	4	19	64	3	3	1	219	290	327	617	108	289	27	8	279	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	63%	281	254	56	9	2	5	22	74	3	4	1	222	293	336	629	114	290	26	8	284	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	65%	289	261	57	9	2	5	23	76	3	4	1	222	294	339	633	117	290	26	8	285	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	65%	289	261	58	9	2	6	23	76	3	4	1	223	294	342	635	119	290	26	8	286	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	65%	289	261	58	9	2	6	23	77	3	3	1	222	293	339	632	117	289	27	8	285	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	65%	289	261	57	9	2	5	23	77	3	2	1	220	291	334	625	114	288	27	8	282	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	289	261	56	9	2	5	23	78	3	2	1	217	288	328	616	111	286	27	8	279	77	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	65%	289	261	56	9	2	5	23	79	3	1	1	214	284	321	605	106	284	27	8	274	74	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2557	2309	503	80	18	45	203	683	27	26	9	218	289	327	615	109	288	27	8	281	73	-66	+2	-3	+46	+55	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	128	20	5	11	52	174	7	7	2	218	289	325	615	107	290	27	8	281	73	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4402	3970	846	132	30	78	349	1187	51	47	20	213	285	320	606	107	282	27	8	276	73	-109	+1	-4	+74	+90	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	124	19	4	12	52	175	8	7	3	212	285	319	604	108	279	27	8	276	73	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Royals · 70 PAwOBA .218 → .132 (−86)K% 41.4% → 59.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.43%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	59.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	4.46%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.07%
Singles /BIP	30.30%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	25.03%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.20%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .218 → .132; ISO .032 → .017; BABIP .333 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 110 PAwOBA .293 → .191 (−102)K% 14.5% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.55%	÷0.952	×1.220	—	—	18.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.18%	÷1.097	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.69%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.28%
Singles /BIP	18.57%	÷1.025	×0.680	×0.954	×1.008	11.85%
Doubles /BIP	5.71%	÷1.060	×0.600	×0.954	×1.008	3.11%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.950	×0.600	×0.954	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.877	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 90, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .293 → .191; ISO .047 → .027; BABIP .236 → .146. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 86 PAwOBA .211 → .150 (−61)K% 18.6% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.60%	÷1.021	×1.220	—	—	22.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.95%	÷1.003	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.95%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.79%	÷1.002	×0.680	×1.050	×1.022	10.05%
Doubles /BIP	1.72%	÷1.015	×0.600	×1.050	×1.022	1.09%
Triples /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×1.022	1.11%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.288	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .211 → .150; ISO .041 → .026; BABIP .172 → .123. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	/162	664	6	3	239*	294*	339*	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	/162	664	7	1	231*	283*	340*	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	3.9	2,599	49	27	222	290	337	+46	+32	5.1	4.8
	/162	664	13	7	222	290	337	+11.9	+8.2	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Jesus Morales

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps