Jesus Morales — OGILVIE

Jesus MoralesC ACL Royals

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%38

BB%12

BABIP271

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	74	10	1	1	0	12	16	0	2	1	135	256	176	431	41	172	19	14	215	32	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	86	17	4	0	0	20	16	2	2	1	198	361	244	605	47	236	15	18	294	85	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	79	9	1	1	0	7	23	0	2	1	114	186	152	338	38	144	27	8	151	-12	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	95	13	3	0	0	11	24	2	2	1	137	241	168	409	32	174	22	10	197	19	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	79	9	1	1	0	7	23	0	2	1	114	186	152	338	38	161	27	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	74	10	1	1	0	12	16	0	2	1	135	256	176	431	41	172	19	14	215	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	95	13	3	0	0	11	24	2	2	1	137	241	168	409	32	178	22	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	86	17	4	0	0	20	16	2	2	1	198	361	244	605	47	236	15	18	294	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	79	9	1	1	0	7	23	0	2	1	114	186	152	338	38	144	27	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	96	13	3	0	0	11	24	2	2	1	135	241	167	407	31	174	22	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	79	9	1	1	0	7	23	0	2	1	114	186	152	338	38	144	27	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	96	13	3	0	0	11	24	2	2	1	135	241	167	407	31	174	22	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	70	64	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	109	174	141	315	31	318	60	4	131	-25	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	KC	—	70	62	11	0	1	0	5	29	2	1	0	177	261	210	471	32	333	41	7	223	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	KC	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		272	38	12	232	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	78	71	8	0	1	0	4	45	2	1	0	113	182	141	323	28	308	58	5	141	-18	-11	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	34%	186	168	32	5	1	2	14	58	2	3	1	190	261	268	529	77	276	31	8	246	53	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	48%	326	293	57	9	2	4	25	99	5	6	2	195	269	280	549	85	279	30	8	257	60	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	54%	433	391	80	13	3	7	33	128	6	8	2	205	277	307	584	102	280	30	8	264	65	-18	+1	+0	+8	+9	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	57%	508	456	94	15	3	9	40	149	7	10	3	206	280	311	592	105	282	29	8	269	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	58%	520	466	97	16	4	9	41	152	8	10	3	208	283	318	601	109	282	29	8	271	69	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	466	98	16	4	9	41	151	8	10	3	210	285	320	605	109	283	29	8	273	71	-18	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	466	99	16	4	10	41	151	8	10	3	212	287	328	616	116	283	29	8	274	71	-18	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	466	99	16	4	10	41	151	8	10	3	212	287	328	616	116	283	29	8	274	72	-18	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	60%	520	465	97	16	3	10	42	152	8	10	3	209	285	320	606	112	283	29	8	274	72	-18	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	62%	520	465	97	16	3	10	42	152	8	10	3	209	285	320	606	112	282	29	8	273	71	-18	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	63%	520	465	95	15	3	9	42	153	8	10	3	204	282	308	589	103	281	29	8	271	70	-19	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	KC	34%	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	190	266	276	541	86	273	31	8	234	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	48%	158	143	27	4	1	2	12	48	2	3	1	189	261	273	534	84	276	30	8	244	60	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	54%	235	212	42	7	2	3	18	70	3	4	1	198	270	292	563	94	278	30	8	250	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	57%	288	260	52	8	2	4	22	84	4	5	2	200	273	292	565	92	279	29	8	254	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	58%	299	270	55	9	2	5	23	87	4	6	2	204	276	307	584	104	280	29	8	256	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	296	267	55	9	2	5	23	86	4	6	2	206	279	311	590	105	281	29	8	258	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	295	266	55	9	2	5	23	86	4	6	2	207	280	312	592	105	281	29	8	259	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	57%	294	265	54	9	2	5	23	85	4	6	2	204	277	309	587	106	280	29	8	259	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	60%	311	278	57	9	2	5	25	91	5	6	2	205	282	306	588	101	280	29	8	259	72	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	62%	321	287	58	9	2	5	26	94	5	6	2	202	280	300	580	98	280	29	8	258	71	-11	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	63%	327	292	58	9	2	5	27	96	5	6	2	199	278	295	572	96	279	29	8	256	70	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2888	2598	524	84	19	45	227	847	41	55	18	202	276	301	577	99	279	29	8	256	66	-106	+4	-1	+52	+63	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	118	19	4	10	51	191	9	12	4	202	276	299	575	97	279	29	8	256	66	-24	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5297	4748	968	157	35	89	421	1546	78	101	31	204	280	308	588	104	280	29	8	266	66	-191	+8	-2	+91	+111	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	118	19	4	11	52	190	10	12	4	202	280	305	585	103	277	29	8	266	66	-24	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,982	51	56	207	278	313	+53	+28	2.9	2.8
/162	664	11	13	+11.9	+6.2	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Morales (OGILVIE)	18	28→33	28→33	46→51	55	181/250/248	67	272	1	1	32%	7%	43	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	42	194/263/258	64	277	3	10	29%	6%	51	-2.3	201/256/257	56	270	2	8	25%	5%	47	-2.5	183/237/221	38	251	1	8	26%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Juan Zabala 2017 · A	18	41	36→40	49→50	40	193/261/259	66	274	3	10	29%	6%	50	-2.3	185/266/247	62	249	2	7	24%	8%	50	-2.3	205/284/282	77	268	6	17	24%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	40	36→45	51→40	41	191/243/257	66	253	3	7	25%	5%	42	-2.9	199/256/306	107	288	10	4	33%	6%	59	-1.7	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	53	-2.1	207/290/260	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	61	-1.5	216/289/281	65	299	0	7	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	34	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	57	-1.8	193/264/273	80	285	7	32	32%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	54	-2.0	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	58	-1.7	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	46	-0.7
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	53	-2.1	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	57	-1.8	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Bryan Andrade 2023 · A	18	41→39	35→45	49→50	44	192/258/247	55	257	2	5	25%	7%	46	-2.6	189/249/241	52	260	3	4	26%	6%	40	-3.0	190/255/269	79	251	8	6	26%	7%	48	-1.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	41	202/274/282	81	298	6	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	205/294/284	79	319	6	6	34%	9%	69	-0.9	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕José Alvarez 2018 · A	18	40	34→40	40→50	46	189/260/235	46	266	2	7	28%	8%	44	-2.8	218/275/277	59	303	2	7	27%	7%	58	-1.7	229/279/278	49	322	1	8	27%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	48	-2.5	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	61	-1.5	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Ronny Brito 2017 · A	18	39	37→45	47→50	45	183/260/259	77	269	3	9	31%	8%	49	-2.4	190/241/290	100	319	9	7	41%	6%	49	-2.4	157/203/270	114	287	15	3	49%	5%	29	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps