Marwin RiveroSS DSL Royals Ventura
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 33 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .240 / .223
PA33
HR0
K%27
BB%6
BABIP269
ISO32
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.81.70.20.50.81.01.11.21.21.10.90.7+$57M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.2$6M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.2$5M+$5M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.1$4M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+0.9$2M+$0.5M
2037Arb-3$3M+0.7$1M+$0.1M
Totals $12M $24M +$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 121102 15100 14404 134 147275157432 10242 3312 208 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 12194 18200 22294 134 191367213579 21277 2418 292 82 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 3631 4100 3112 61 129250161411 32200 318 184 -1 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 3629 5100 582 61 172333207540 34238 2214 274 68 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKKC — 5044 8200 2130 61 182217227445 45250 264 200 11 -5 +1 +0 +1 +1 -0.2
YTD19 ROKKC — 5042 10300 490 61 238304310614 71294 188 260 57 -2 +1 +0 +1 +1 0.0
ROS19 ROKKC 0% 3331 6100 290 10 191240223463 32280 276 250 49 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
ROS19 MLBKC 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 277 —— 239 41 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL19 ROKKC — 5045 8200 2130 61 178217222440 44242 264 200 11 -5 +1 +0 +1 +1 -0.2
TOT19 ROKKC — 8375 14300 4220 71 186227226453 40258 265 220 27 -7 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBKC 34% 138124 27512 11372 41 218292323615 105285 278 264 61 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
202821 MLBKC 50% 283255 551014 22754 81 216288310598 94286 278 274 68 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.2
202922 MLBKC 58% 393354 781427 311035 122 220292331623 110288 268 280 72 -12 +2 +0 +4 +11 0.5
203023 MLBKC 61% 467421 931728 371216 142 221293328621 107289 268 284 76 -13 +2 +0 +5 +13 0.8
203124 MLBKC 63% 516463 10418310 411347 152 225297341639 117290 268 287 78 -13 +2 +0 +6 +15 1.0
203225 MLBKC 65% 545490 11019311 431417 162 224296343639 118290 268 289 79 -13 +2 +0 +6 +15 1.1
203326 MLBKC 65% 561503 11420312 451458 173 227300350650 123290 268 290 80 -13 +2 +0 +6 +16 1.2
203427 MLBKC 65% 567508 11520312 461478 173 226301348649 122290 268 290 80 -13 +2 +0 +6 +16 1.2
203528 MLBKC 65% 566507 11320311 461488 162 223298339637 116289 268 289 80 -13 +2 -1 +6 +16 1.1
203629 MLBKC 65% 558499 11220311 461478 152 224300343643 118289 268 288 78 -14 +2 -1 +6 +16 0.9
203730 MLBKC 65% 549492 10919311 451467 132 222296339635 118288 278 285 76 -15 +2 -2 +6 +16 0.7
203831 MLBKC 65% 536480 10418210 441447 112 217292325617 108286 278 281 73 -16 +1 -3 +6 +15 0.3
202720 MLBKC 34% 4641 8200 4121 10 195283244527 49281 269 252 51 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202821 MLBKC 50% 141127 28512 11372 41 220293323616 102283 268 261 58 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202922 MLBKC 58% 227204 45814 18593 71 221293328622 108284 268 267 62 -10 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.0
203023 MLBKC 61% 287258 561015 23754 81 217291322613 105285 268 271 66 -11 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203124 MLBKC 63% 325292 651126 26844 101 223295336631 113286 268 274 68 -12 +2 +0 +3 +9 0.2
203225 MLBKC 65% 354318 711227 28925 102 223296340636 116286 268 275 69 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203326 MLBKC 65% 365328 731327 29955 112 223296338634 116286 268 277 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203427 MLBKC 65% 369331 731327 30965 112 221295335630 115286 268 277 70 -13 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203528 MLBKC 65% 368330 731327 30965 102 221296336632 115286 268 276 69 -13 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.2
203629 MLBKC 65% 363325 711227 30955 91 218294332627 114285 268 274 68 -13 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.2
203730 MLBKC 65% 357320 701227 29955 81 219294334628 116284 278 272 66 -14 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.0
203831 MLBKC 65% 348311 681226 29935 71 219296328624 109282 278 268 63 -14 +1 -2 +4 +10 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 35503186 7011231965 28792949 9615 220295332626 112288 268 273 67 -133 +13 -5 +38 +101 1.4
/ 162G— — 650583 12823312 531709 183 220295331626 111287 268 273 67 -24 +2 -1 +7 +18 0.3
Career— — 58695260 115920329109 476154883 17829 220295332627 112289 268 283 75 -167 +24 -7 +63 +166 8.0
/ 162G— — 650583 12822312 531719 203 220295329624 110288 268 283 75 -19 +3 -1 +7 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 12194 18200 22294 134 191367213579 21277 2418 292 82 -3 +1 — — +3 0.2
202518 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 3629 5100 582 61 172333207540 34238 2214 274 68 -1 +1 — — +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,5986899223293337+39+245.85.2
/1626641318+7.1+4.41.1pk7: 5