Marwin Rivero — OGILVIE

Marwin RiveroSS DSL Royals Ventura

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION83 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP270

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	94	18	2	0	0	22	29	4	13	4	191	367	213	579	21	277	24	18	292	84	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	29	5	1	0	0	5	8	2	6	1	172	333	207	540	34	238	22	14	274	72	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	102	14	1	0	0	14	41	4	13	4	137	267	147	414	10	234	34	12	208	27	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	31	4	1	0	0	3	11	2	6	1	129	250	161	411	32	180	31	8	186	12	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	102	14	1	0	0	14	41	4	13	4	137	267	147	414	10	230	34	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	94	18	2	0	0	22	29	4	13	4	191	367	213	579	21	277	24	18	292	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	31	4	1	0	0	3	11	2	6	1	129	250	161	411	32	200	31	8	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	29	5	1	0	0	5	8	2	6	1	172	333	207	540	34	238	22	14	274	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	102	14	1	0	0	14	41	4	13	4	137	267	147	414	10	234	34	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	31	4	1	0	0	3	11	2	6	1	129	250	161	411	32	180	31	8	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	102	14	1	0	0	14	41	4	13	4	137	267	147	414	10	234	34	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	31	4	1	0	0	3	11	2	6	1	129	250	161	411	32	180	31	8	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	KC	—	83	73	14	3	0	0	6	22	0	7	1	192	253	233	486	41	269	27	7	213	30	-7	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	KC	—	83	70	17	4	0	0	9	15	0	7	1	243	329	300	629	57	304	18	11	279	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	KC	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		272	25	12	247	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	KC	—	91	80	15	3	0	0	7	24	0	7	1	188	253	225	478	38	263	26	8	216	32	-7	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	138	124	26	5	1	1	11	37	2	4	1	210	285	290	575	81	276	27	8	260	62	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	KC	50%	283	255	53	9	1	4	23	74	3	8	1	208	281	298	579	90	278	26	8	269	68	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	KC	58%	393	353	75	13	2	6	32	101	5	11	2	212	287	312	599	99	280	26	8	274	72	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	KC	61%	467	419	91	16	2	8	39	119	6	13	2	217	293	322	615	105	281	25	8	278	74	-14	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	KC	63%	516	462	101	18	2	9	43	131	6	14	2	219	294	325	618	106	282	25	8	280	75	-15	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	KC	65%	545	488	107	19	3	9	45	139	7	15	2	219	294	326	620	107	282	26	8	281	76	-15	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	KC	65%	561	502	110	19	3	10	47	143	7	15	2	219	295	329	624	110	282	25	8	281	77	-16	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	KC	65%	567	507	112	20	3	10	48	145	7	16	2	221	297	331	629	110	282	26	8	282	77	-16	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	KC	65%	566	506	110	19	3	10	48	145	7	15	2	217	294	326	620	109	281	26	8	281	76	-16	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	558	498	107	19	2	9	48	144	7	15	2	215	293	315	608	100	281	26	9	279	75	-17	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	46	41	7	1	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	171	261	195	456	24	273	26	9	248	62	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	KC	50%	141	127	27	5	1	2	11	37	2	4	1	213	286	315	601	102	275	26	8	256	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	KC	58%	227	203	43	8	1	3	19	58	3	6	1	212	289	305	594	94	277	26	8	262	72	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	KC	61%	287	258	55	10	1	4	24	73	3	8	1	213	288	306	594	93	278	25	8	265	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	KC	63%	325	291	63	11	2	5	27	83	4	9	1	216	292	320	612	103	279	26	8	267	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	KC	65%	354	318	69	12	2	6	29	90	4	10	2	217	291	324	614	107	279	25	8	268	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	KC	65%	365	327	70	12	2	6	30	93	5	10	2	214	290	318	608	104	279	25	8	268	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	KC	65%	369	330	71	12	2	6	31	94	5	10	2	215	292	318	611	103	279	25	8	268	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	KC	65%	368	329	70	12	2	6	31	94	5	10	2	213	290	316	607	103	278	26	8	267	76	-10	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	363	325	70	12	2	6	31	94	4	9	2	215	292	320	612	105	278	26	9	266	75	-11	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2845	2549	545	95	15	44	237	728	36	77	14	214	290	315	604	101	280	26	8	266	73	-85	+10	-1	+30	+62	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	124	22	3	10	54	166	8	18	3	213	288	313	601	100	279	26	8	266	73	-19	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4759	4254	911	159	22	76	402	1232	63	145	23	214	292	315	607	101	281	26	8	276	73	-140	+18	-2	+49	+100	2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	124	22	3	10	55	168	9	20	3	213	291	313	605	100	281	26	8	276	73	-20	+3	-0	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,893	48	79	217	290	322	+31	+21	3.7	3.6
	/162	664	11	18	217	290	322	+7.1	+4.8	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps