Steven Santos — OGILVIE

Steven SantosC DSL Rangers Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .268 / .266

PA62

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$11M		$23M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	110	89	11	2	0	0	15	45	6	8	2	124	291	146	437	22	250	41	14	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	110	81	17	3	0	1	23	29	6	8	2	210	418	284	702	74	314	26	21	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	62	60	8	1	1	0	2	30	0	1	0	133	161	183	345	50	267	48	3	143	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	62	58	12	2	1	0	4	19	0	1	0	207	258	276	534	69	308	31	6	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	TEX	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	288	32	8	249	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	153	138	28	5	1	2	12	48	2	3	1	203	276	297	573	94	291	31	8	262	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB	TEX	48%	296	265	54	9	2	4	24	90	5	5	1	204	282	298	580	94	292	30	8	271	65	-12	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2029	22	MLB	TEX	54%	402	360	76	13	3	7	33	120	6	7	1	211	288	322	610	111	293	30	8	277	70	-14	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.6
2030	23	MLB	TEX	57%	474	425	90	15	3	9	39	140	7	8	2	212	289	325	613	113	294	30	8	281	73	-14	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2031	24	MLB	TEX	57%	520	464	100	17	3	10	43	153	8	9	2	216	293	330	623	114	295	29	8	283	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2032	25	MLB	TEX	57%	520	463	100	17	3	10	44	153	8	9	2	216	295	330	626	114	295	29	8	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2033	26	MLB	TEX	56%	520	463	100	17	3	11	44	153	8	9	2	216	295	337	632	121	295	29	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2034	27	MLB	TEX	55%	520	463	100	17	3	11	44	153	8	9	2	216	295	337	632	121	295	29	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2035	28	MLB	TEX	55%	520	462	99	17	3	10	45	154	8	8	2	214	295	329	624	115	294	30	9	285	76	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2036	29	MLB	TEX	53%	520	462	99	17	3	10	45	155	8	8	2	214	295	329	624	115	293	30	9	283	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2037	30	MLB	TEX	53%	520	462	97	16	3	10	45	157	8	7	1	210	291	323	614	113	292	30	9	280	72	-16	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.7
2038	31	MLB	TEX	52%	504	447	93	15	3	9	44	153	8	6	1	208	291	315	606	107	289	30	9	276	69	-17	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.4
2039	32	MLB	TEX	56%	488	436	88	14	3	8	42	150	7	5	1	202	282	303	585	101	286	31	9	271	65	-19	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.0
2040	33	MLB	TEX	59%	446	398	78	12	2	7	38	140	7	3	1	196	278	289	567	93	282	31	9	264	60	-20	+0	-4	+8	+13	-0.3
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	208	283	312	596	104	292	32	8	252	51	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	TEX	48%	143	128	27	5	1	2	12	43	2	2	1	211	289	312	601	102	294	30	8	261	58	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	TEX	54%	218	195	41	7	1	4	18	65	3	4	1	210	287	318	605	108	295	30	8	267	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB	TEX	57%	268	240	52	9	2	5	22	79	4	4	1	217	293	333	627	117	296	29	8	271	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	TEX	57%	294	262	58	10	2	6	25	87	5	5	1	221	301	344	645	122	297	30	9	273	67	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	25	MLB	TEX	57%	294	262	58	10	2	6	25	87	5	5	1	221	301	344	645	122	297	30	9	275	68	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	26	MLB	TEX	56%	294	262	57	10	2	6	25	87	5	5	1	218	298	340	638	122	297	30	9	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2034	27	MLB	TEX	55%	288	257	56	9	2	6	24	85	5	5	1	218	297	339	636	121	296	30	8	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2035	28	MLB	TEX	55%	285	255	55	9	2	6	24	85	4	5	1	216	293	337	631	122	296	30	8	275	68	-10	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.3
2036	29	MLB	TEX	53%	278	248	54	9	2	6	24	83	4	4	1	218	297	343	640	125	295	30	9	273	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2037	30	MLB	TEX	53%	274	244	52	9	2	5	24	82	4	4	1	213	294	328	622	115	293	30	9	270	65	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2038	31	MLB	TEX	52%	263	234	49	8	2	5	23	80	4	3	1	209	291	325	616	115	291	30	9	266	62	-11	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.0
2039	32	MLB	TEX	56%	274	244	51	8	2	5	24	84	4	3	1	209	290	320	610	111	288	31	9	261	58	-13	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.2
2040	33	MLB	TEX	59%	263	234	46	7	1	4	23	82	4	2	0	197	280	286	566	90	283	31	9	255	53	-14	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3489	3113	666	112	23	67	297	1046	54	52	12	214	294	329	623	115	298	30	9	269	64	-141	+6	-8	+62	+99	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	123	21	4	12	55	195	10	10	2	212	291	324	615	112	296	30	8	269	64	-26	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	6637	5913	1232	206	39	119	564	2014	105	106	23	208	289	317	606	108	292	30	8	277	70	-227	+12	-15	+119	+188	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	121	20	4	12	55	197	10	10	2	209	288	320	608	111	292	30	8	277	70	-22	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	110	81	17	3	0	1	23	29	6	8	2	210	418	284	702	74	314	26	21	347	124	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	62	58	12	2	1	0	4	19	0	1	0	207	258	276	534	69	308	31	6	244	45	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,551	65	52	212	288	323	+63	+32	5.1	4.6
	/162	664	12	10	212	288	323	+11.9	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Santos (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	192/268/266	75	288	1	1	32%	8%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	44	39→50	50→55	35	205/259/286	81	318	6	10	36%	5%	49	-1.8	217/276/316	99	313	9	18	32%	6%	64	-0.8	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→47	37→50	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	56	-1.3	231/269/358	127	281	13	15	22%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/372	145	291	16	11	28%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	34	-2.8	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	57	-1.2	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Geoandry Montilla 2015 · A	19	41	35→45	48→50	37	191/242/251	60	300	2	7	35%	6%	31	-3.0	207/270/307	100	295	8	8	30%	7%	59	-1.1	193/264/302	109	273	10	9	31%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Jose Caguana 2021 · A	19	41	40→55	49→45	35	194/247/288	94	316	8	8	39%	6%	44	-2.1	195/255/292	97	405	9	8	50%	7%	49	-1.8	178/254/336	158	260	23	7	39%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/290/273	82	290	5	8	32%	11%	61	-1.0	192/289/292	100	287	9	14	33%	10%	65	-0.7	175/282/297	122	265	13	26	36%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Martin Cervenka 2012 · A	19	40→49	36→45	50→40	39	191/243/261	70	284	3	6	33%	6%	35	-2.8	194/260/253	59	308	3	5	34%	8%	40	-2.4	224/270/336	112	294	12	1	27%	6%	65	-0.5