Alejandro Castellano

C DSL Astros Orange
Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 159 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1539ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Astros Bl…75.217/.373/.2170126—.141/.267/.141
202518ROKDSL Astros Or…101.210/.366/.2590224—.126/.248/.149
2027PROJMLE20MLBHOU211.204/.284/.26612590.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBHOU25.211/.291/.2850064-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB22MLBHOU81.215/.295/.29811690.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
BB%79
Chase%77
Z-Con%45
K%43
wOBA39
wRC+34
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .282 / .264
PA37
HR0
K%28
BB%9
ISO62
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.40.40.30.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2036Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 7560 13000 14161 11 217373217590 295 2119 297 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 10181 17400 18232 23 210366259626 49293 2318 306 24 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 7564 9000 10201 11 141267141407 208 2713 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 10187 11200 12282 23 126248149397 23193 2812 203 24 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 7564 9000 10201 11 141267141407 205 2713 206 26 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Astros Blue — 7560 13000 14161 11 217373217590 295 2119 297 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 10187 11200 12282 23 126248149397 23186 2812 203 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Astros Orange — 10181 17400 18232 23 210366259626 49293 2318 306 24 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 7564 9000 10201 11 141267141407 208 2713 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 10186 11200 12282 23 128248151399 23193 2812 203 24 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 7564 9000 10201 11 141267141407 208 2713 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 10186 11200 12282 23 128248151399 23193 2812 203 24 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEHOU 0% 211188 38611 19592 21 204284266550 62288 289 256 59 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEHOU 34% 7365 14201 7201 10 208289281570 73289 2710 263 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202922 MLB MLEHOU 50% 163145 31512 15452 21 212293295587 82290 289 270 69 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
203023 MLB MLEHOU 58% 256228 48713 23693 21 216296306602 90291 279 276 73 -8 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.2
203124 MLB MLEHOU 61% 346308 671025 31934 31 219298316614 97292 279 280 76 -10 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.4
203225 MLB MLEHOU 63% 397354 781227 361054 41 221300324624 103292 269 284 78 -10 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.6
203326 MLB MLEHOU 64% 428382 841327 381145 41 222300327627 105292 279 285 79 -11 +0 +0 +8 +9 0.7
203427 MLB MLEHOU 65% 441393 861328 401185 42 220299324623 103292 279 284 78 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.6
203528 MLB MLEHOU 65% 445397 861327 401205 42 218297319616 101290 279 281 76 -13 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.4
203629 MLB MLEHOU 65% 439393 851327 391194 32 216294313607 97289 279 277 74 -14 -0 -1 +8 +10 0.2
202821 MLB CTXHOU 34% 2523 5100 270 00 211291285576 74293 288 266 64 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXHOU 50% 8173 15201 7221 10 215295298593 83294 279 272 69 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
203023 MLB CTXHOU 58% 148132 29512 13402 10 218298309607 91295 279 278 73 -5 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.1
203124 MLB CTXHOU 61% 211188 42713 19572 21 221300319620 98296 279 283 76 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXHOU 63% 249222 49814 22663 21 224302327630 104296 279 286 78 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203326 MLB CTXHOU 64% 273243 56925 25723 21 224303330632 106296 269 287 79 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203427 MLB CTXHOU 65% 287256 57925 26773 21 223302327628 104295 279 286 78 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203528 MLB CTXHOU 65% 289258 58925 26783 21 221299322621 101294 279 283 76 -8 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.3
203629 MLB CTXHOU 65% 285255 55914 25783 22 218297316612 97293 279 279 74 -9 -0 -1 +5 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18481650 366591029 16549720 147 222300322623 101298 279 283 73 -53 +0 -1 +33 +40 1.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 12921410 581757 52 222300324624 102300 279 283 73 -18 +0 -0 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 32012850 605911447 29486136 3015 212294304598 91285 279 276 73 -88 +1 -2 +54 +66 3.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 12318310 601757 63 212294306600 93285 279 276 73 -19 +0 -0 +12 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 101 PAwOBA .300 → .203 (−97)K% 22.8% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.77%÷1.009×1.220——27.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.82%÷1.014×0.700—×0.99512.25%
HBP% /PA1.98%—×0.700—×0.9951.38%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷0.985×0.680×1.006×0.99515.50%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.091×0.600×1.006×0.9953.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.006×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.492×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 97, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .300 → .203; ISO .049 → .028; BABIP .293 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 75 PAwOBA .291 → .206 (−85)K% 21.3% → 26.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.33%÷0.977×1.220——26.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.67%÷1.002×0.700—×1.00813.14%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.700—×1.0080.94%
Singles /BIP29.55%÷1.010×0.680×1.040×1.00820.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.937×0.600×1.040×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.008×0.600×1.040×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.981×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 87, 3B 102, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .291 → .206; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .295 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).