Alejandro CastellanoC DSL Astros Orange
Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 159 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .278 / .270
PA87
HR1
K%29
BB%8
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.91.90.10.40.71.01.21.31.41.41.21.10.9+$73M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$6M+$6M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.2$5M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.1$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.3M
Totals $13M $30M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 7565 10000 9241 11 154267154421 244 3212 207 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 7560 13000 14161 11 217373217590 295 2119 297 85 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 10188 13200 11332 23 148257170428 23236 3311 207 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 10181 17400 18232 23 210366259626 49293 2318 306 93 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBHOU — 8779 15201 7251 10 190264253518 63288 298 255 54 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBHOU 34% 178159 34512 15492 21 214290296585 82290 288 268 63 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202821 MLBHOU 48% 315281 621025 27864 41 221298324622 103292 279 276 70 -11 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.4
202922 MLBHOU 54% 416372 821327 361125 52 220298323620 102293 279 282 74 -12 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.7
203023 MLBHOU 57% 483433 971539 411296 62 224300335635 111294 278 286 77 -13 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.0
203124 MLBHOU 57% 520464 10517310 451386 62 226303341643 114295 279 288 79 -12 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.2
203225 MLBHOU 57% 520464 10517310 451386 62 226303341643 114295 279 290 80 -12 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203326 MLBHOU 56% 520464 10416310 451386 62 224301336637 112295 279 291 81 -11 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203427 MLBHOU 55% 520463 10416310 461386 62 225303337640 112294 279 291 81 -11 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203528 MLBHOU 55% 520463 10416310 461396 62 225303337640 112294 279 290 80 -12 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.2
203629 MLBHOU 53% 520463 10316310 461406 52 222301335636 112293 279 288 79 -13 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.1
203730 MLBHOU 53% 520463 10216210 461416 52 220299328627 108292 279 285 77 -14 +0 -2 +9 +15 0.9
202720 MLBHOU 34% 6155 12201 5171 10 218295309604 91293 288 261 58 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202821 MLBHOU 48% 153137 30512 13422 21 219296314610 95294 278 270 65 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202922 MLBHOU 54% 226202 45714 19613 31 223299327626 104295 278 276 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
203023 MLBHOU 57% 273245 55915 23733 31 224299331630 106296 278 280 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203124 MLBHOU 57% 294263 611026 25784 31 232308354662 122297 279 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203225 MLBHOU 57% 294263 611026 25784 31 232308354662 122297 279 284 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203326 MLBHOU 56% 294263 611026 25784 31 232308354662 122297 279 285 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203427 MLBHOU 55% 288257 59926 25774 31 230308350658 121297 279 285 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203528 MLBHOU 55% 285254 57916 25764 31 224304339642 114296 279 284 75 -8 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.5
203629 MLBHOU 53% 278248 56916 25753 31 226304343647 117296 279 282 74 -8 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203730 MLBHOU 53% 274245 54915 24753 31 220298327624 106294 279 279 72 -9 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 27202432 551891453 23473035 3010 227304340644 113300 279 281 73 -83 +2 -2 +49 +77 4.3
/ 162G— — 650581 13121313 561748 72 225302339641 114298 279 281 73 -20 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.0
Career— — 52954721 10401612894 465143063 6124 220299326625 106293 279 284 75 -149 +3 -4 +95 +150 9.6
/ 162G— — 650580 12820312 571768 73 221299328627 107294 279 284 75 -18 +0 -1 +12 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 7560 13000 14161 11 217373217590 295 2119 297 85 -1 -0 — — +2 0.1
202518 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 10181 17400 18232 23 210366259626 49293 2318 306 93 -1 -1 — — +3 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,8075131223298331+50+285.95.4
/162664127+11.9+6.61.4pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alejandro Castellano (OGILVIE) 19 — — — — 203/278/270 67288 11 29% 8% 54 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Luis Vázquez
2019 · A 		19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
✕Juan Uriarte
2017 · A 		19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
✕Adrian De Leon
2023 · A 		19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
✕Daniel Santos
2018 · A 		19 37 36→45 46→40 43 178/255/242 64250 36 28% 7% 37 -2.6 197/260/282 85284 66 31% 6% 49 -1.8 186/247/273872697431%6%40-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A 		19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
✕Pedro Severino
2012 · A 		19 37→47 39→50 49→45 39 184/237/267 83257 74 30% 6% 34 -2.8 189/233/266 77239 53 22% 4% 32 -3.0 238/307/37513729117324%8%90+0.6
✕Marco Guzman
2014 · A 		19 39 36→45 44→50 48 185/262/256 71249 38 25% 9% 43 -2.2 207/264/294 87251 57 19% 7% 53 -1.5 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
✕Jason Lopez
2017 · A 		19 40 38→55 49→45 43 195/258/270 75266 511 28% 7% 44 -2.1 205/253/318 113280 117 30% 5% 55 -1.4 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
✕Jose Sibrian
2018 · A 		19 42 36→50 48→30 42 200/260/265 65267 35 25% 6% 44 -2.1 194/250/265 71274 45 29% 5% 40 -2.4 193/253/280872458024%5%42-0.8
✕Andrés Nolaya
2023 · A 		18 41 35→45 44→55 47 190/278/250 60289 210 32% 10% 49 -1.8 189/258/257 68296 315 34% 8% 41 -2.3 194/269/2717627852230%7%48-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2022 · A 		19 42→41 39→55 47→50 50 201/285/293 92282 68 29% 10% 63 -0.9 187/257/303 116284 109 35% 7% 53 -1.5 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Denzer Guzman
2023 · A 		19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
✕Rey Duran
2008 · A 		19 41 39→50 49→40 44 194/268/278 84288 76 33% 8% 51 -1.7 201/256/316 115261 135 27% 6% 56 -1.3 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Omar Alfonzo
2023 · A 		19 36→40 37→45 48→40 48 171/261/237 65254 53 32% 10% 39 -2.5 205/290/309 104318 114 35% 10% 69 -0.4 200/285/30710731713238%10%64-0.5
✕Juan Mora
2019 · A 		19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
✕Alfredo González
2011 · A 		19 41 36→40 48→45 43 193/257/263 71277 39 30% 7% 42 -2.3 184/230/252 68247 39 26% 5% 27 -3.3 220/279/277583034827%7%52-0.5
✕Hidekel Abreu
2016 · A 		18 42 36→40 49→50 45 199/266/263 64280 38 28% 8% 46 -2.0 223/284/304 81293 510 24% 7% 63 -0.8 237/299/3178030061221%8%68-0.2
✕Edward Duran
2023 · A 		19 43→45 35→40 48→50 47 200/268/269 69262 27 23% 7% 49 -1.8 224/299/299 75294 48 23% 8% 69 -0.4 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A 		20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
✕Christian Cairo
2021 · A 		20 39→46 35→40 48→60 44 183/264/241 59277 29 32% 8% 40 -2.4 186/288/267 81287 615 33% 11% 59 -1.1 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4