Alejandro Castellano

Alejandro CastellanoC DSL Astros Orange

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 159 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .278 / .271

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	75	60	13	0	0	0	14	16	1	1	1	217	373	217	590		295	21	19	297	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	101	81	17	4	0	0	18	23	2	2	3	210	366	259	626	49	293	23	18	306	93	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	75	65	10	0	0	0	9	24	1	1	1	154	267	154	421		249	32	12	210	28	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	101	88	13	3	0	0	11	33	2	2	3	148	257	182	439	34	234	33	11	208	27	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	75	65	10	0	0	0	9	24	1	1	1	154	267	154	421		244	32	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	75	60	13	0	0	0	14	16	1	1	1	217	373	217	590		295	21	19	297	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	101	88	13	3	0	0	11	33	2	2	3	148	257	182	439	34	236	33	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	101	81	17	4	0	0	18	23	2	2	3	210	366	259	626	49	293	23	18	306	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	75	65	10	0	0	0	9	24	1	1	1	154	267	154	421		249	32	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	101	87	13	3	0	0	11	33	2	2	3	149	257	184	441	34	234	33	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	75	65	10	0	0	0	9	24	1	1	1	154	267	154	421		249	32	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	101	87	13	3	0	0	11	33	2	2	3	149	257	184	441	34	234	33	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		288	29	14	256	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	178	159	33	5	1	2	15	49	2	2	1	208	284	289	573	82	290	28	8	268	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	315	281	62	10	2	5	27	86	4	3	1	221	298	324	622	103	291	27	9	277	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	416	372	82	13	2	7	36	112	5	4	1	220	298	323	620	102	292	27	9	282	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	483	432	96	15	3	9	42	128	6	4	1	222	300	333	633	111	293	27	9	286	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	464	105	17	3	10	45	138	6	5	2	226	303	341	643	114	294	27	9	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	464	105	17	3	10	45	138	6	5	2	226	303	341	643	114	294	27	9	290	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	520	464	105	17	3	10	45	138	6	5	2	226	303	341	643	114	294	27	9	292	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	520	463	104	17	3	10	46	138	6	5	2	225	303	339	642	114	294	27	9	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	520	463	103	16	3	10	46	139	6	5	1	222	301	335	636	112	294	27	9	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	520	462	103	16	3	10	47	140	6	5	1	223	303	335	638	113	293	27	9	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	520	462	102	16	2	10	47	141	6	5	1	221	301	329	630	108	291	27	9	286	80	-13	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	504	448	97	15	2	9	45	138	6	4	1	217	297	319	616	103	289	27	9	282	77	-14	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	489	436	92	14	2	8	44	136	6	4	1	211	292	307	600	96	286	28	9	276	73	-16	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	448	400	83	12	2	7	40	127	5	4	1	207	288	300	588	92	282	28	9	270	69	-17	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	61	55	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	218	295	309	604	91	292	28	8	260	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	153	137	30	5	1	2	13	42	2	1	0	219	296	314	610	95	293	27	8	268	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	226	201	45	7	1	4	20	61	3	2	1	224	304	328	632	104	294	27	9	274	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	273	244	54	9	1	5	24	73	3	2	1	221	299	328	627	107	295	27	9	278	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	294	262	60	10	2	5	26	78	4	3	1	229	308	340	648	111	296	27	9	280	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	294	262	61	10	2	6	26	78	4	3	1	233	312	355	667	122	296	27	9	282	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	294	262	60	10	2	6	26	78	4	3	1	229	308	351	659	122	296	27	9	283	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	288	257	58	9	2	6	25	77	4	3	1	226	304	346	650	121	296	27	9	283	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	285	254	56	9	1	5	25	76	4	3	1	220	300	323	623	102	296	27	9	282	83	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	278	248	55	9	1	5	25	75	3	2	1	222	301	327	627	105	295	27	9	280	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	274	244	54	9	1	5	25	74	3	2	1	221	301	328	629	107	293	27	9	277	80	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	263	234	51	8	1	5	24	72	3	2	1	218	299	325	624	107	291	27	9	273	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	275	245	52	8	1	5	25	77	3	2	1	212	293	314	607	102	288	28	9	268	73	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	264	235	49	7	1	4	24	75	3	2	1	209	290	298	588	89	284	28	9	262	69	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3522	3140	697	112	17	64	313	953	44	31	12	222	301	330	631	108	296	27	9	276	77	-88	+1	-8	+63	+76	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	129	21	3	12	58	176	8	6	2	222	302	331	633	109	297	27	9	276	77	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6656	5929	1296	203	34	117	591	1807	79	63	22	219	298	323	621	105	292	27	9	283	77	-163	+5	-15	+116	+140	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	126	20	3	11	58	176	8	6	2	218	298	320	617	102	291	27	9	283	77	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,609	65	32	221	296	328	+64	+32	7.2	6.1
/162	664	12	6	+11.9	+5.9	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Castellano (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	203/278/271	68	288	1	1	29%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	55	-2.0	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	50	-2.3	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	58	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Riley Unroe 2015 · A	19	39→48	37→45	47→55	46	188/255/261	74	254	4	8	27%	8%	48	-2.5	196/259/258	62	280	4	10	29%	7%	48	-2.5	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Martin Cervenka 2012 · A	19	40→48	36→45	50→40	39	191/243/261	70	284	3	6	33%	6%	42	-2.9	194/259/254	60	308	3	5	34%	8%	47	-2.5	221/267/330	109	291	11	1	27%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→50	45	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	37	-3.3	211/249/327	116	282	13	5	29%	5%	60	-1.6	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Alejandro Selen 2008 · A	19	42	36→50	46→30	45	196/264/260	64	263	3	7	25%	7%	51	-2.2	209/257/294	85	271	6	7	24%	5%	55	-1.9	221/258/362	141	318	15	1	34%	3%	69	-0.4
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	34	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	65	-1.2	224/271/298	73	297	6	3	25%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/253	72	231	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	195/246/281	86	228	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	218/279/324	106	270	9	0	22%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Geoandry Montilla 2015 · A	19	41	35→45	48→50	37	191/242/251	60	300	2	7	35%	6%	39	-3.1	207/270/307	100	295	8	8	30%	7%	64	-1.3	193/264/302	109	273	10	9	31%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	39	-3.1	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	39→48	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/281	91	262	7	9	29%	6%	49	-2.4	189/246/285	96	287	9	8	35%	7%	50	-2.3	206/266/327	121	281	14	11	31%	7%	64	-1.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps