Esteban Romero — OGILVIE

Esteban RomeroOF DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 40 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .250 / .216

PA40

HR0

K%22

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO27

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 64 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT64

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	157	30	6	0	0	10	38	4	12	1	191	257	229	487	38	252	22	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	88	22	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	0	250	320	261	581	11	289	13	8	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	HOU	—	60	54	11	0	2	0	5	9	0	4	0	204	271	278	549	74	244	15	8	234	37	-4	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
YTD	19	ROK	HOU	—	60	51	13	0	2	0	8	6	0	4	0	255	356	333	689	78	289	10	13	313	98	-0	+1	+0	-0	+2	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	HOU	0%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	189	250	216	466	27	290	22	8	272	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	268	63	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	HOU	—	60	55	11	0	2	0	5	9	0	4	0	200	271	273	544	73	239	15	8	234	37	-4	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
TOT	19	ROK	HOU	—	100	91	18	1	2	0	8	18	0	5	0	198	263	253	515	55	247	18	8	249	49	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	176	159	37	5	2	2	13	39	2	4	1	233	299	327	626	94	292	22	7	283	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	313	283	68	10	3	5	24	68	3	7	1	240	306	350	656	110	293	22	8	291	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	415	375	90	14	3	7	32	90	5	9	2	240	308	349	658	109	294	22	8	296	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+12	0.3
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	482	436	105	16	4	9	38	104	5	11	2	241	309	358	667	117	294	22	8	299	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.5
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	526	474	115	18	4	10	41	113	6	12	2	243	311	361	672	118	295	21	8	301	88	-7	+2	+0	-3	+15	0.7
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	60	54	14	2	1	1	5	13	1	1	0	259	333	389	722	130	294	22	8	278	71	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	152	137	32	5	1	2	12	33	2	3	1	234	305	328	633	95	295	22	8	285	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	225	204	50	8	2	4	17	49	2	5	1	245	309	363	672	118	296	22	8	290	80	-5	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	273	247	59	9	2	5	21	59	3	6	1	239	306	352	658	113	297	22	8	293	83	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	297	269	65	10	2	6	23	64	3	7	1	242	308	361	669	119	298	22	8	295	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1007	912	220	34	8	18	78	218	11	22	4	241	309	355	664	114	297	22	8	291	81	-22	+3	+0	-6	+29	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	142	22	5	12	50	141	7	14	3	241	309	357	665	115	296	22	8	291	81	-14	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2222	2009	474	71	16	33	169	474	26	57	9	236	304	336	640	101	291	21	8	289	79	-52	+8	+0	-13	+63	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	140	21	5	10	49	139	8	17	3	238	305	342	647	104	294	21	8	289	79	-15	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	95	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	118	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,092	18	24	240	304	349	-7	+0	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	11	15	240	304	349	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esteban Romero (OGILVIE)	19	59→64	28→33	52→57	52	198/263/253	55	247	0	5	18%	8%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	73	-0.1	235/293/308	73	293	3	19	19%	6%	68	-0.5	259/317/353	94	332	5	34	22%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	49→56	36→40	50→60	45	223/289/290	67	330	3	11	31%	8%	63	-0.9	204/258/276	72	303	4	10	32%	6%	45	-2.1	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→51	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	241/294/369	128	325	10	10	27%	6%	85	+0.7	241/298/385	144	307	13	11	25%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Magneuris Sierra 2015 · A	19	53→57	37→40	52→60	44	249/295/323	74	309	4	13	20%	6%	72	-0.2	239/271/305	66	320	3	15	25%	4%	57	-1.2	229/277/304	76	301	5	32	24%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	62	-0.9	252/298/346	94	308	6	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Kean Wong 2014 · A	19	51→61	35→45	52→55	43	237/278/297	60	289	2	9	19%	5%	58	-1.2	258/291/321	63	331	3	10	22%	4%	69	-0.4	248/292/354	106	322	9	9	25%	5%	77	+0.1
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
●Rey Fuentes 2010 · A	19	46→56	37→40	48→60	39	218/256/291	74	280	4	11	24%	4%	48	-1.9	214/259/288	74	304	4	25	29%	5%	49	-1.8	274/321/368	94	353	8	33	23%	5%	91	+0.8
✕Ismael Munguia 2018 · A	19	49→56	36→45	48→55	50	229/279/306	77	262	2	10	13%	6%	61	-1.0	235/274/310	75	279	2	8	16%	4%	59	-1.1	262/318/369	107	287	11	20	13%	5%	92	+0.7
✕Marco Hernández 2012 · A	19	48→58	38→45	48→50	44	227/266/314	87	270	3	13	17%	5%	58	-1.2	207/238/283	76	272	5	12	25%	4%	38	-2.6	271/296/380	110	350	8	6	24%	3%	85	+0.4
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	44→54	37→45	48→50	47	207/271/283	76	268	4	7	23%	8%	53	-1.5	226/277/316	90	288	6	9	22%	6%	64	-0.8	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Jorge Ruiz 2023 · A	19	50→48	36→40	51→50	45	233/285/301	67	276	2	13	16%	5%	63	-0.8	224/276/298	74	287	4	12	22%	5%	59	-1.1	216/269/284	68	281	3	13	23%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Eduard Pinto 2014 · A	19	55	36→40	44→50	49	256/306/322	66	288	3	7	12%	6%	77	+0.1	236/279/306	70	268	3	4	12%	5%	61	-1.0	268/304/353	85	298	6	10	12%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	48→58	37→40	46→50	43	226/264/302	76	266	4	10	17%	4%	54	-1.4	229/284/307	78	312	3	14	26%	7%	64	-0.8	266/324/354	88	323	4	16	17%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	49	39→40	48→45	45	221/299/315	95	336	6	8	33%	9%	74	-0.1	200/266/272	72	314	3	9	34%	7%	48	-1.9	172/232/221	49	286	0	8	37%	6%	18	-1.1
●Ender Inciarte 2010 · A	19	51→61	34→45	49→60	42	237/275/291	54	303	2	13	22%	5%	56	-1.3	224/267/299	75	278	2	15	19%	5%	54	-1.4	295/343/395	101	328	7	19	12%	6%	107	+2.3
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	62	-0.9	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	58	-1.2	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Eury Pérez 2009 · A	19	47→57	37→40	54→65	47	223/297/296	73	290	5	20	23%	8%	68	-0.5	259/303/332	73	320	4	28	19%	5%	78	+0.2	296/331/390	95	359	3	37	18%	4%	102	+0.6