Esteban Romero — OGILVIE

Esteban RomeroOF DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP286

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	95	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	116	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	157	30	6	0	0	10	37	4	12	1	191	257	229	487	38	250	22	6	223	37	-13	+2	—	—	+4	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	87	22	1	0	0	9	13	1	1	0	253	330	264	594	11	282	13	9	269	68	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	157	30	6	0	0	10	37	4	12	1	191	257	229	487	38	250	22	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	87	22	1	0	0	9	13	1	1	0	253	330	264	594	11	293	13	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	156	30	6	0	0	10	37	4	12	1	192	257	231	488	38	250	22	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	88	22	1	0	0	9	13	1	1	0	250	330	261	591	11	282	13	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	156	30	6	0	0	10	37	4	12	1	192	257	231	488	38	250	22	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	88	22	1	0	0	9	13	1	1	0	250	330	261	591	11	282	13	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	HOU	—	105	93	19	1	1	0	10	14	0	8	4	204	282	237	518	32	241	13	10	247	53	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	HOU	—	105	87	24	2	2	0	16	10	0	8	4	276	388	345	733	69	312	10	15	334	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		284	20	10	272	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	HOU	—	115	102	21	1	1	0	11	16	0	8	4	206	283	235	518	29	244	14	10	249	55	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	185	166	39	6	1	2	15	38	2	4	1	235	306	319	625	84	290	21	8	287	80	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	321	289	69	11	2	5	26	66	3	7	2	239	308	343	651	104	291	21	8	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	420	379	91	14	3	7	34	86	4	10	3	240	309	348	658	108	292	20	8	300	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	485	437	107	17	4	9	40	98	5	11	4	245	315	364	679	119	293	20	8	303	91	-5	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	528	474	116	18	4	10	44	106	5	12	4	245	315	363	678	118	293	20	8	305	93	-5	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	554	497	122	19	4	11	46	111	6	13	4	245	317	366	683	121	294	20	8	306	93	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	568	510	126	20	4	11	47	114	6	13	4	247	318	367	685	120	293	20	8	306	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	572	513	126	20	4	11	48	115	6	13	4	246	317	365	682	119	293	20	8	307	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	570	510	124	19	4	11	49	116	6	13	4	243	317	361	678	118	293	20	9	306	93	-5	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	561	502	122	19	4	10	48	115	6	12	4	243	317	357	673	114	292	20	9	304	92	-6	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	552	494	119	18	4	10	47	115	6	12	4	241	314	354	669	113	291	21	9	301	90	-7	+1	-2	-3	+12	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	64	58	13	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	224	297	310	607	86	292	20	8	281	80	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	156	140	33	5	1	2	13	32	2	4	1	236	310	329	638	93	293	21	8	288	86	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	228	205	50	8	2	4	19	46	2	5	2	244	314	361	675	117	294	20	8	293	89	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	275	247	61	10	2	5	23	56	3	6	2	247	319	364	683	117	295	20	8	296	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	299	269	66	11	2	5	25	60	3	7	2	245	316	357	673	112	295	20	8	298	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	313	281	69	11	2	6	26	63	3	7	2	246	316	363	679	117	296	20	8	299	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	321	288	70	11	2	6	27	65	3	7	2	243	314	358	672	115	295	20	8	299	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	317	284	70	11	2	6	27	64	3	7	2	246	318	363	681	116	295	20	9	299	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	313	280	69	11	2	6	27	64	3	7	2	246	319	364	684	118	295	20	9	298	93	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	300	268	65	10	2	5	26	62	3	6	2	243	316	351	667	108	294	21	9	297	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	291	261	63	10	2	5	25	60	3	6	2	241	315	352	667	111	293	21	9	294	90	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2877	2581	629	100	19	51	243	585	29	63	19	244	316	356	672	113	295	20	8	296	89	-29	+5	-2	-17	+62	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	143	23	4	12	55	132	7	14	4	245	318	360	678	115	296	20	8	296	89	-7	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5596	5024	1215	188	38	97	464	1132	60	133	39	242	313	352	666	110	292	20	8	300	89	-56	+9	-4	-32	+115	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	141	22	4	11	54	131	7	15	5	241	313	349	662	108	292	20	8	300	89	-7	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#2Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,964	53	67	244	312	359	-18	+0	3.9	3.5
/162	664	12	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esteban Romero (OGILVIE)	19	60→65	28→33	52→57	53	226/292/299	74	284	1	3	21%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●José Marmolejos 2012 · A	19	40→50	36→50	47→30	46	191/260/260	68	247	3	4	23%	7%	49	-2.4	214/263/313	99	268	6	3	21%	6%	62	-1.4	246/305/441	195	300	26	1	27%	7%	106	+1.0
✕Buddy Kennedy 2018 · A	19	42→51	36→45	54→50	39	197/251/277	80	301	2	9	34%	6%	49	-2.4	214/267/308	94	281	7	5	25%	6%	62	-1.4	227/314/338	111	280	9	4	21%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Yermín Mercedes 2012 · A	19	47→54	36→50	43→45	43	220/265/292	72	270	2	6	19%	4%	57	-1.8	220/281/291	71	267	4	7	18%	6%	64	-1.3	243/294/388	145	284	19	3	21%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Mickey Moniak 2018 · A	20	42→52	39→60	48→50	37	204/243/294	90	280	5	9	29%	4%	50	-2.3	213/250/318	105	296	6	9	29%	4%	58	-1.7	245/284/442	197	307	24	11	28%	4%	98	+0.9
✕Nick Pratto 2018 · A	19	39→45	40→55	49→50	39	188/247/287	99	289	7	10	36%	7%	51	-2.3	185/235/286	101	310	10	12	41%	6%	46	-2.6	194/287/372	178	283	22	7	37%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Jose Rojas 2012 · A	19	42	36→45	47→45	47	201/262/270	69	261	4	7	24%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/296	96	242	7	4	19%	7%	59	-1.7	191/254/294	103	224	8	3	18%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Joe Naranjo 2021 · A	20	43→46	36→40	50→45	41	201/257/268	67	296	4	5	32%	7%	49	-2.4	192/269/279	87	292	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	186/268/250	64	281	4	2	32%	9%	49	-1.5
●Jake Bauers 2014 · A	18	44→54	37→60	51→55	41	210/259/283	72	278	4	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	232/291/332	100	291	9	6	22%	7%	77	-0.3	236/353/423	188	310	23	17	29%	14%	117	+1.6
✕Wilmer Oberto 2012 · A	19	39	38→50	41→45	45	188/259/266	79	261	6	8	29%	8%	51	-2.3	207/273/319	112	269	11	5	26%	6%	68	-1.0	202/266/322	120	260	12	3	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Alberto Odreman 2008 · A	19	43	36→50	43→30	40	204/256/274	70	289	3	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/261/320	117	282	13	3	31%	6%	63	-1.3	183/240/303	120	250	16	1	33%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Roberto Ramos 2015 · A	20	43→45	38→50	46→40	36	197/256/276	79	320	5	6	38%	6%	51	-2.2	225/276/359	134	322	15	5	33%	6%	78	-0.3	191/269/355	164	282	22	2	39%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Earving Fernandez 2008 · A	20	45	34→40	44→45	44	210/266/264	54	267	2	8	21%	6%	52	-2.2	212/268/288	76	295	5	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	200/253/271	70	282	5	8	29%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Curtis Terry 2016 · A	19	43→40	38→55	51→30	37	202/249/288	86	305	4	6	34%	5%	51	-2.2	211/258/319	108	298	8	5	30%	5%	61	-1.5	212/275/372	160	262	19	1	26%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Rixon Wingrove 2019 · A	19	43→36	38→50	46→40	38	202/254/284	82	311	5	6	35%	6%	52	-2.2	198/255/309	111	286	10	4	32%	7%	59	-1.7	184/257/333	149	277	19	3	39%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Gino Moranci 2010 · A	20	42	35→30	47→45	46	197/264/255	58	274	2	6	27%	8%	50	-2.3	194/250/254	60	287	3	5	31%	7%	44	-2.8	165/193/190	26	254	0	0	34%	3%	4	-1.0
●Joey Meneses 2013 · A	21	46→56	35→55	44→40	39	213/259/278	65	296	2	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	219/259/310	91	309	6	3	29%	5%	59	-1.6	265/309/424	159	318	18	1	22%	5%	103	+1.5
✕Steven Mateo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	43	189/269/255	65	294	4	6	34%	8%	52	-2.2	207/285/282	75	311	3	8	31%	9%	64	-1.3	204/278/273	69	305	2	6	31%	9%	56	-0.8
✕Yunior Severino 2018 · A	18	42→48	39→55	45→40	37	197/250/288	91	316	5	3	38%	6%	51	-2.2	201/246/302	101	314	9	3	37%	5%	53	-2.1	217/288/381	164	334	20	2	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕John Delgado 2010 · A	19	42	36→30	42→45	49	198/261/260	61	249	3	3	21%	8%	49	-2.4	207/258/271	64	258	3	5	20%	6%	50	-2.3	205/250/250	46	245	2	4	17%	5%	39	-0.6
✕Carlos Sanchez 2010 · A	19	37	43→50	51→45	42	189/234/308	119	234	9	6	24%	5%	50	-2.3	218/268/329	111	260	8	7	18%	6%	68	-1.0	223/270/348	124	262	8	6	18%	5%	71	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps