Esteban Romero

OF DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1994ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	172	.260/.351/.313	0	12	26	—	.168/.246/.200
2025	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	98	.296/.412/.309	0	1	51	—	.221/.309/.233
2026	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	105	.276/.388/.345	0	8	37	—	.174/.262/.207
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBHOU	215	.233/.299/.308	2	4	74	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBHOU	37	.239/.306/.326	0	1	79	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBHOU	99	.242/.309/.338	1	2	82	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

K%96

Speed85

Chase%58

wOBA49

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .297 / .306

PA56

HR0

K%23

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 77 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT77

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	87	24	2	2	0	16	10	0	8	4	276	388	345	733	69	312	10	15	334	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	155	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	168	246	200	446	32	209	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	86	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	221	309	233	542	12	233	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	92	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	174	262	207	469	33	202	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	155	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	168	246	200	446	32	210	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	150	39	8	0	0	17	25	4	12	1	260	351	313	664	53	312	15	10	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	86	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	221	309	233	542	12	250	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	81	24	1	0	0	15	9	1	1	0	296	412	309	721	12	329	9	15	340	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	92	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	174	262	207	469	33	200	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	87	24	2	2	0	16	10	0	8	4	276	388	345	733	69	312	10	15	334	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	154	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	169	246	201	447	32	209	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	87	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	218	309	230	539	11	233	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	93	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	172	262	204	466	32	202	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	172	154	26	5	0	0	12	31	4	12	1	169	246	201	447	32	209	18	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	98	87	19	1	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	218	309	230	539	11	233	11	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	105	93	16	1	1	0	11	12	0	8	4	172	262	204	466	32	202	11	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	215	195	46	7	2	2	16	49	2	4	1	233	299	308	608	75	299	23	7	277	74	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	110	99	24	4	1	1	9	25	1	2	1	237	304	322	626	86	300	23	8	284	79	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	199	179	44	7	1	3	16	44	2	4	1	239	307	334	641	94	301	22	8	290	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	295	267	64	10	2	4	23	65	3	6	2	241	309	343	652	101	301	22	8	295	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	371	335	82	13	3	6	29	82	4	8	2	243	311	350	661	107	302	22	8	298	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	414	374	91	14	3	7	33	91	4	9	2	244	312	355	667	111	301	22	8	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	64%	439	397	97	15	3	8	35	97	4	9	2	244	312	355	668	112	301	22	8	301	90	-5	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	448	405	98	15	3	8	36	99	4	9	3	243	311	353	664	110	301	22	8	299	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	450	407	97	15	3	7	36	101	4	9	3	241	309	348	658	107	300	22	8	297	87	-7	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	441	399	96	15	3	7	35	100	4	8	3	239	307	342	649	103	299	23	8	293	84	-8	+0	-1	-3	+10	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	37	34	7	1	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	239	306	326	633	87	304	22	8	287	79	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	99	90	21	3	1	1	8	22	1	2	1	242	309	338	647	96	305	22	8	293	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	170	153	37	6	1	2	13	38	2	4	1	244	312	346	658	102	305	22	8	297	85	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	226	204	51	8	2	4	18	50	2	5	1	246	314	353	667	108	306	22	8	301	88	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	260	234	57	9	2	4	21	57	3	6	1	246	315	358	673	112	305	22	8	303	89	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	64%	280	253	62	10	2	5	22	62	3	6	2	246	315	359	674	113	305	22	8	303	90	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	291	263	65	11	2	5	23	65	3	6	2	245	314	356	670	111	305	22	8	302	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	292	264	64	10	2	5	23	65	3	6	2	244	312	352	664	108	304	22	8	299	87	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	287	259	62	10	2	4	23	65	3	5	2	241	309	346	655	104	303	23	8	295	84	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1942	1754	426	68	14	30	154	432	20	41	12	243	311	349	660	106	305	22	8	299	81	-30	+3	-1	-12	+42	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	143	23	5	10	52	145	7	14	4	244	313	351	664	107	306	22	8	299	81	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3598	3246	765	117	23	51	289	771	36	86	24	236	305	333	638	97	293	21	8	288	81	-51	+5	-2	-19	+70	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	138	21	4	9	52	139	7	16	4	235	305	331	636	96	293	21	8	288	81	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 105 PAwOBA .326 → .223 (−103)K% 9.5% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.52%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	11.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.24%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.985	10.51%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.97%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.986	×0.985	17.16%
Doubles /BIP	2.60%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.986	×0.985	1.51%
Triples /BIP	2.60%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.986	×0.985	1.51%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.985	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .326 → .223; ISO .069 → .043; BABIP .312 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 98 PAwOBA .332 → .243 (−89)K% 9.2% → 11.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.18%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	11.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.29%	÷1.014	×0.700	—	×0.995	9.82%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.71%
Singles /BIP	31.94%	÷0.985	×0.680	×1.040	×0.995	22.82%
Doubles /BIP	1.39%	÷1.091	×0.600	×1.040	×0.995	0.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.040	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.492	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 97, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .332 → .243; ISO .012 → .007; BABIP .329 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 172 PAwOBA .301 → .206 (−96)K% 14.5% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.53%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	18.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.88%	÷1.002	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.96%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.64%
Singles /BIP	24.80%	÷1.010	×0.680	×0.998	×1.008	16.78%
Doubles /BIP	6.40%	÷0.937	×0.600	×0.998	×1.008	4.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.008	×0.600	×0.998	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.981	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 87, 3B 102, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .301 → .206; ISO .053 → .035; BABIP .312 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Darren Bragg'94-'04 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	46	56	243*	324*	368*	-18	+2	2.5	3.8
	/162	664	11	13	243*	324*	368*	-4.1	+0.4	0.6	pk7: 5
#4Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	1,999	32	41	243	307	349	-12	+0	1.6	1.6
	/162	664	11	14	243	307	349	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	/162	664	13	5	245*	309*	381*	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	/162	664	7	40	235*	314*	329*	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1

Esteban Romero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps