Carlos VillarroelC DSL NYY Bombers
Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 188 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .263 / .290
PA136
HR2
K%30
BB%8
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.91.80.10.50.81.11.31.31.31.31.21.10.9+$75M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$5M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.2$5M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.1$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.3M
Totals $13M $29M +$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 136124 27501 10441 24 218281282564 65325 327 244 45 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 136117 35702 17311 24 299393410803 111388 2312 362 135 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 163142 22205 15654 74 155255275529 120233 409 234 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 163135 32408 22454 74 237360444805 207289 2813 357 131 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBNYY — 136124 24412 10411 21 194259290550 97269 307 254 53 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBNYY 34% 221199 40714 17643 41 201274307581 106273 298 267 63 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
202821 MLBNYY 48% 349314 661128 28994 62 210283334618 124276 288 276 69 -12 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.5
202922 MLBNYY 54% 441398 8414210 351235 83 211283332615 121278 288 282 74 -13 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.8
203023 MLBNYY 57% 502451 9716213 401396 93 215288346634 131279 288 286 77 -13 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.1
203124 MLBNYY 57% 520467 10117313 421446 103 216289349638 133280 288 288 79 -13 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203225 MLBNYY 57% 520467 10217314 421436 103 218291358649 139280 288 289 80 -12 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203326 MLBNYY 56% 520466 10217314 421437 103 219293358652 139280 288 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203427 MLBNYY 55% 520465 10217314 431447 103 219295359654 140280 288 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203528 MLBNYY 55% 520466 10117214 431446 103 217291352643 135279 288 289 79 -12 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.2
203629 MLBNYY 58% 520466 10017213 431456 93 215289343633 129278 288 287 78 -13 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.1
203730 MLBNYY 60% 520465 9816213 441476 93 211287338625 127277 288 284 76 -14 +1 -2 +9 +15 0.9
202720 MLBNYY 34% 7669 14202 6221 10 203276319595 116275 298 261 58 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202821 MLBNYY 48% 169152 32514 13482 31 211281336617 125277 288 270 64 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202922 MLBNYY 54% 239215 46816 19673 41 214287344631 130279 288 276 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203023 MLBNYY 57% 284255 54917 23794 52 212287337624 125281 288 279 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203124 MLBNYY 57% 294264 581018 24814 62 220295356651 136281 288 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203225 MLBNYY 57% 294264 581018 24814 62 220295356651 136282 288 283 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203326 MLBNYY 56% 294264 581018 24814 62 220295356651 136281 288 284 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203427 MLBNYY 55% 288258 571018 24804 52 221297360658 140281 288 284 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203528 MLBNYY 55% 285255 55918 24794 52 216293353646 137281 288 283 75 -8 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.5
203629 MLBNYY 58% 302270 581018 25844 52 215291348639 133280 288 281 73 -9 +0 -1 +5 +9 0.4
203730 MLBNYY 60% 313280 601018 26884 52 214290343633 129278 288 278 71 -10 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 28382546 550931075 23279038 5118 216291349640 133281 288 280 72 -89 +3 -2 +51 +80 4.4
/ 162G— — 650583 12521217 531819 124 214290345635 130278 288 280 72 -20 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.0
Career— — 55885014 106617726138 454158568 10639 213287341628 128279 288 283 74 -162 +6 -4 +100 +158 10.0
/ 162G— — 650583 12421316 531848 125 213287341629 129279 288 283 74 -19 +0 -0 +12 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 136117 35702 17311 24 299393410803 111388 2312 362 135 +5 -1 — — +4 0.8
202518 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 163135 32408 22454 74 237360444805 207289 2813 357 131 +6 -0 — — +5 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA
113,94714453241275417+70+5319.118.9
/162664249+11.9+8.83.2pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,9757455215286346+53+285.95.4
/1626641712+11.9+6.21.3pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Villarroel (OGILVIE) 19 30 50 50 50 194/263/290 97269 22 30% 8% 53 -0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Jesús Báez
2023 · A 		18 39→35 45→55 44→45 44 197/265/314 117266 139 30% 8% 59 -1.1 203/264/335 132259 159 27% 7% 65 -0.7 213/269/38917724126824%6%78+0.1
✕Jesus Galiz
2023 · A 		19 38 43→45 49→40 40 193/254/304 111268 105 31% 6% 53 -1.5 201/260/303 102309 93 36% 6% 54 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
✕Denzer Guzman
2023 · A 		19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
✕Maximo Rivera
2012 · A 		19 35 41→45 47→60 41 179/238/272 93242 1013 30% 6% 37 -2.7 221/272/301 80287 719 24% 6% 58 -1.2 235/283/2996430252423%5%60-0.3
✕Orelvis Martinez
2021 · A 		19 42→36 47→60 53→40 42 213/270/351 139273 146 27% 6% 71 -0.3 202/270/401 199257 274 33% 7% 85 +0.7 187/258/39420622630333%7%76+0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro
2018 · A 		19 41→40 42→55 47→50 39 203/257/313 110287 85 31% 6% 55 -1.4 192/232/317 125275 125 34% 4% 45 -2.1 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
✕Cristian Santana
2023 · A 		19 37→20 44→45 46→45 47 180/300/295 115278 1111 36% 10% 72 -0.2 153/290/268 115248 136 39% 13% 63 -0.9 133/279/26513218818537%14%57-0.6
✕Alexander Canario
2019 · A 		19 41→34 42→60 47→50 44 201/268/307 106272 1012 29% 7% 59 -1.1 209/264/358 149293 1811 34% 6% 70 -0.3 205/276/414209281281337%8%87+0.5
✕Jason Lopez
2017 · A 		19 40 38→55 49→45 43 195/258/270 75266 511 28% 7% 44 -2.1 205/253/318 113280 117 30% 5% 55 -1.4 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
✕Wendell Rijo
2015 · A 		19 42→41 40→55 51→50 44 201/267/302 101282 712 30% 7% 56 -1.3 197/248/287 90281 711 31% 5% 44 -2.1 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo
2016 · A 		20 38→40 45→55 50 46 193/270/323 130263 128 30% 9% 64 -0.8 183/268/311 128268 128 34% 10% 60 -1.0 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Rey Duran
2009 · A 		20 36 41→50 49→40 41 183/243/277 94256 96 31% 6% 40 -2.4 213/267/338 125268 145 25% 6% 66 -0.6 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Jose Cordoba
2022 · A 		19 39 39→45 45→55 38 193/252/278 85266 78 29% 5% 44 -2.1 196/255/289 93278 810 31% 6% 48 -1.9 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
✕Yohan Matos
2016 · A 		19 40 41→45 48→45 38 194/251/289 95288 87 34% 6% 46 -2.0 197/259/275 78321 48 37% 7% 46 -2.0 166/241/2316428901139%8%24-0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo
2013 · A 		19 39→37 41→55 43→30 45 190/272/291 102269 83 30% 8% 57 -1.2 186/266/288 102300 92 38% 8% 54 -1.4 194/273/35516126220133%8%70-0.2
✕Yordyn Calderon
2013 · A 		19 36 42→45 46→50 39 181/247/284 102272 1010 36% 7% 44 -2.1 194/268/302 108283 911 33% 7% 58 -1.2 184/266/297113261101331%8%53-0.7
✕Freuddy Batista
2019 · A 		19 39 43→50 45→40 39 193/258/301 108287 104 35% 7% 53 -1.5 194/251/315 121295 135 37% 6% 53 -1.5 199/268/36016028318535%6%70-0.2
✕Alexander Mojica
2022 · A 		19 39 41→45 47→40 41 194/262/289 96287 94 34% 7% 52 -1.6 185/266/295 110307 114 40% 9% 56 -1.3 155/253/27411926213242%10%42-0.8
●Óscar Hernández
2011 · A 		18 40 44→50 48→40 43 200/263/313 114250 115 25% 6% 59 -1.1 236/308/404 168278 214 23% 7% 102 +1.8 224/283/38215827019224%5%86+0.4