Carlos Villarroel

Carlos VillarroelC DSL NYY Bombers

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 188 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .263 / .294

PA12

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	136	117	35	7	0	2	17	31	1	2	4	299	393	410	803	111	388	23	12	362	131	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	163	135	32	4	0	8	22	45	4	7	4	237	360	444	805	207	289	28	13	357	128	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	136	124	27	5	0	1	10	44	1	2	4	218	281	282	564	65	317	32	7	250	55	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	163	143	23	3	0	5	14	65	4	7	4	161	255	287	541	126	227	40	9	237	47	-10	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	136	124	27	5	0	1	10	44	1	2	4	218	281	282	564	65	325	32	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	136	117	35	7	0	2	17	31	1	2	4	299	393	410	803	111	388	23	12	362	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	163	143	23	3	0	5	14	65	4	7	4	161	255	287	541	126	243	40	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	163	135	32	4	0	8	22	45	4	7	4	237	360	444	805	207	289	28	13	357	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	136	124	27	5	0	1	10	44	1	2	4	218	281	282	564	65	317	32	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	163	144	23	3	0	5	14	65	4	7	4	160	255	285	539	125	227	40	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	136	124	27	5	0	1	10	44	1	2	4	218	281	282	564	65	317	32	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	163	144	23	3	0	5	14	65	4	7	4	160	255	285	539	125	227	40	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		269	33	8	256	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	221	199	41	7	1	5	17	64	3	4	1	206	279	327	605	121	273	29	8	269	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	349	315	66	11	2	8	27	99	4	6	2	210	280	333	614	124	276	28	8	277	74	-11	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	441	398	85	14	2	11	35	123	5	8	3	214	285	342	627	128	278	28	8	283	78	-12	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	502	451	98	17	2	13	40	138	6	9	3	217	290	350	640	133	279	27	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	467	102	17	3	14	42	143	6	10	3	218	291	358	649	139	280	28	8	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	467	102	17	3	14	42	143	6	10	3	218	291	358	649	139	280	28	8	290	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	520	466	102	17	3	14	42	143	7	10	3	219	293	358	652	139	280	28	8	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	520	465	102	17	3	14	43	143	7	10	3	219	295	359	654	140	279	28	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYY	59%	520	466	101	17	2	14	43	144	6	10	3	217	291	352	643	135	279	28	8	290	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	520	466	101	17	2	14	43	145	6	9	3	217	291	352	643	135	278	28	8	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYY	62%	520	466	98	16	2	13	43	146	6	9	3	210	285	337	622	127	277	28	8	285	79	-13	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	504	451	96	16	2	13	42	143	6	8	3	213	289	344	632	131	274	28	8	281	76	-14	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYY	64%	489	439	91	15	2	12	41	141	6	8	2	207	284	333	617	125	271	29	8	276	73	-16	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	453	408	82	13	2	10	37	133	5	7	2	201	276	316	592	115	267	29	8	269	68	-17	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	76	69	14	2	0	2	6	22	1	1	0	203	276	319	595	116	275	29	8	264	68	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	169	152	33	6	1	4	13	48	2	3	1	217	287	349	636	132	277	28	8	272	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	239	215	46	8	1	6	19	67	3	4	1	214	287	344	631	130	279	28	8	278	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	284	256	56	10	1	8	23	78	3	5	2	219	291	359	650	141	281	27	8	282	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	264	58	10	1	8	24	81	4	6	2	220	295	356	651	136	281	28	8	284	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	264	58	10	1	8	24	81	4	6	2	220	295	356	651	136	282	28	8	286	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	294	264	58	10	1	8	24	81	4	6	2	220	295	356	651	136	281	28	8	286	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	288	258	57	10	1	8	24	79	4	5	2	221	297	360	658	140	281	27	8	286	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYY	59%	307	275	60	10	1	9	25	85	4	6	2	218	293	360	653	142	281	28	8	285	82	-6	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	317	284	61	10	1	9	26	88	4	6	2	215	290	352	642	137	280	28	8	283	81	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYY	62%	324	290	62	10	1	9	27	91	4	6	2	214	290	348	638	134	278	28	8	281	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	318	284	60	10	1	8	27	90	4	5	2	211	289	338	627	127	276	28	8	276	76	-9	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYY	64%	311	278	57	9	1	8	26	90	4	5	2	205	282	331	613	126	272	29	8	271	73	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	294	265	53	8	1	7	24	86	3	4	1	200	274	317	591	117	268	29	8	264	68	-11	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3809	3418	733	123	13	102	312	1067	48	68	23	214	289	348	637	133	278	28	8	280	77	-97	+4	-9	+68	+83	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	124	21	2	17	53	182	8	12	4	213	287	343	630	130	276	28	8	280	77	-17	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6910	6202	1319	219	31	175	562	1961	84	127	45	213	287	343	630	130	279	28	8	282	77	-169	+9	-15	+118	+143	8.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	124	21	3	16	53	184	8	12	4	213	287	341	629	129	279	28	8	282	77	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,946	99	70	214	285	343	+70	+36	7.9	6.7
/162	664	17	12	+11.9	+6.1	1.3	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Villarroel (OGILVIE)	19	30	50	50	50	194/263/294	100	269	2	2	30%	8%	59	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	210/265/358	148	294	18	11	33%	6%	74	-0.5	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	51	-2.3	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	63	-1.4	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	60	-1.6	193/233/321	128	274	13	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→34	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	74	-0.5	198/263/384	186	253	25	4	32%	7%	80	-0.1	183/252/373	190	223	27	3	32%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	38→34	44→50	43→40	47	188/273/305	117	271	11	5	33%	10%	65	-1.2	195/272/321	126	282	14	4	34%	9%	69	-0.9	188/260/315	127	273	16	2	36%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	53	-2.1	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	52	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	42→45	47→40	42	194/267/295	101	284	11	4	34%	8%	61	-1.5	182/265/292	110	306	11	4	40%	9%	60	-1.6	148/247/263	115	255	13	2	43%	10%	45	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	46→50	50	46	194/272/327	133	266	12	8	31%	9%	70	-0.8	183/267/307	124	271	12	8	34%	10%	64	-1.3	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	101	+1.4	221/281/376	155	266	19	2	24%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Diego Cartaya 2021 · A	19	43→34	40→50	50→30	40	207/258/304	97	287	8	5	30%	6%	58	-1.7	205/285/365	160	291	20	3	35%	8%	84	+0.2	175/262/336	161	237	23	0	36%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	59	-1.7	193/250/310	117	295	12	5	37%	6%	57	-1.8	199/268/348	150	286	16	5	34%	6%	71	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps