Frankeli Mesta — OGILVIE

Frankeli MestaSS DSL Pirates Black

Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%21

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	111	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	106	+2	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	130	25	1	2	1	9	48	0	3	0	192	245	254	498	62	287	35	6	224	38	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	30	3	2	0	20	56	2	5	4	178	272	219	491	41	254	29	10	231	42	-13	-1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	130	25	1	2	1	9	48	0	3	0	192	245	254	498	62	296	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	30	3	2	0	20	56	2	5	4	178	272	219	491	41	259	29	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	129	25	1	2	1	9	48	0	3	0	194	245	256	500	62	287	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	172	30	3	2	0	20	56	2	5	4	174	272	215	487	41	254	29	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	129	25	1	2	1	9	48	0	3	0	194	245	256	500	62	287	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	172	30	3	2	0	20	56	2	5	4	174	272	215	487	41	254	29	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	PIT	—	112	96	21	3	0	3	15	25	0	12	1	219	324	344	668	125	265	22	13	299	88	-2	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	PIT	—	112	87	25	4	0	4	24	17	0	12	1	287	441	471	913	184	318	15	21	407	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	154	214	154	368		273	21	7	269	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	PIT	—	126	109	23	3	0	3	16	28	0	13	1	211	312	321	633	110	256	22	13	296	86	-2	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	247	219	47	8	1	4	24	60	2	5	1	215	298	315	613	100	276	24	10	281	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	369	327	73	12	2	7	36	88	3	7	1	223	306	336	642	113	279	24	10	289	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	456	405	91	15	3	9	44	107	4	8	2	225	307	343	650	119	280	23	10	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	514	454	103	17	3	11	50	120	5	9	2	227	310	350	661	123	281	23	10	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	551	488	112	19	3	12	53	128	5	9	2	230	311	355	666	125	282	23	10	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	573	507	115	19	3	12	56	133	5	9	2	227	310	347	657	120	282	23	10	299	89	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	584	517	117	20	3	12	57	135	5	10	2	226	309	346	655	120	282	23	10	299	89	-8	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	587	519	118	20	3	12	58	136	5	10	2	227	311	347	658	119	282	23	10	300	89	-8	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	583	515	116	19	3	12	58	136	5	9	2	225	310	344	653	118	281	23	10	299	88	-8	+1	-1	+6	+13	1.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	574	506	114	19	3	12	58	135	5	9	2	225	311	346	657	121	281	24	10	297	87	-9	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	564	497	110	18	3	11	57	134	5	8	2	221	308	336	644	115	280	24	10	294	85	-10	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	551	486	108	18	3	11	55	133	5	8	1	222	308	340	647	117	278	24	10	291	83	-11	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.5
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	533	470	102	16	3	10	53	131	5	7	1	217	303	328	631	111	275	25	10	285	79	-13	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	503	444	95	15	3	9	50	126	4	6	1	214	299	322	621	108	271	25	10	279	75	-15	+1	-4	+5	+11	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	85	76	17	3	1	1	8	21	1	2	0	224	306	329	635	105	275	25	9	272	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	179	158	35	6	1	3	17	43	2	3	1	222	305	329	634	108	277	24	9	279	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	247	219	47	8	1	4	24	58	2	4	1	215	298	315	613	100	278	23	10	283	85	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	291	258	59	10	2	6	28	68	3	5	1	229	311	353	664	124	279	23	10	286	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	312	276	62	10	2	6	30	72	3	5	1	225	307	341	648	116	280	23	10	288	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	324	286	64	11	2	6	32	75	3	5	1	224	308	339	648	115	280	23	10	288	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	330	292	65	11	2	6	32	76	3	5	1	223	306	336	641	113	280	23	10	289	89	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	325	287	64	11	2	6	32	75	3	5	1	223	307	338	645	115	280	23	10	289	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	320	282	64	11	2	6	32	75	3	5	1	227	312	344	656	117	279	23	10	288	88	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	307	270	61	10	2	6	31	72	3	5	1	226	312	344	657	119	279	23	10	286	87	-5	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	297	262	58	10	2	5	30	71	3	4	1	221	308	332	641	111	278	24	10	284	85	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	311	274	61	10	2	6	31	75	3	4	1	223	308	339	648	117	276	24	10	280	83	-6	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	290	257	54	9	1	5	29	71	2	4	1	210	295	311	606	101	273	24	10	275	79	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	290	257	53	8	1	5	29	73	2	4	1	206	292	304	595	97	270	25	10	270	75	-9	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3908	3454	764	128	23	71	385	925	36	60	13	221	306	333	639	112	280	24	10	284	83	-69	+7	-8	+42	+85	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	127	21	4	12	64	154	6	10	2	221	305	334	640	113	280	24	10	284	83	-11	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7538	6666	1478	239	43	145	739	1809	65	123	27	222	305	336	641	114	280	24	10	291	83	-129	+14	-15	+77	+156	10.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	129	21	4	13	64	156	6	11	2	224	309	343	652	118	283	24	10	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.1	4,074	79	64	224	304	340	+44	+24	8.6	7.3
/162	664	13	10	+7.1	+3.9	1.4	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frankeli Mesta (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	45	60	207/288/291	84	273	2	6	25%	10%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	69	-0.9	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Francisco Aponte 2010 · A	19	48	36→30	44→60	46	226/292/291	64	293	3	10	23%	7%	68	-1.0	226/299/284	58	282	1	19	19%	8%	69	-0.9	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	67	-1.1	215/285/280	65	301	2	9	27%	9%	63	-1.4	224/291/259	35	315	0	4	26%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	57	-1.8	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	267/298/376	109	332	10	18	22%	3%	90	+0.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Deivi Estrada 2021 · A	20	46	36→30	45→50	50	213/291/275	62	281	3	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	190/251/259	69	327	4	8	40%	7%	45	-2.7	144/186/202	58	310	3	4	52%	4%	5	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	43	36→40	47→65	48	203/270/269	66	256	4	16	21%	8%	55	-1.9	209/282/280	71	262	3	24	20%	8%	62	-1.4	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Fidel Mejia 2018 · A	19	45	34→30	45→40	42	208/258/264	56	283	1	9	26%	6%	49	-2.4	214/261/282	68	298	4	4	28%	6%	54	-2.0	215/260/277	61	298	4	2	28%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Ruben Santana 2017 · A	19	43	35→45	43→55	41	204/248/262	57	271	2	8	25%	5%	44	-2.8	233/288/312	79	284	1	11	17%	6%	71	-0.8	228/289/307	79	284	1	14	18%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2023 · A	19	43	36→40	46→60	46	204/266/271	67	269	3	12	24%	7%	53	-2.1	207/269/269	62	277	3	22	25%	7%	54	-2.0	225/283/303	79	291	5	45	23%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	62	-1.4	210/273/275	65	326	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	203/265/239	35	320	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Riley Unroe 2015 · A	19	39→48	37→45	47→55	46	188/255/261	74	254	4	8	27%	8%	48	-2.5	196/259/258	62	280	4	10	29%	7%	48	-2.5	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	43	39→40	45→40	44	205/274/289	84	285	6	8	29%	8%	61	-1.5	204/297/262	58	312	2	4	31%	11%	65	-1.2	203/294/276	74	305	4	2	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Hancer Vargas 2008 · A	19	46	33→30	46→50	44	217/264/255	38	274	2	11	21%	6%	48	-2.5	209/256/264	55	271	3	11	22%	5%	48	-2.5	198/239/231	32	242	0	15	17%	4%	32	-0.9
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2011 · A	19	43	35→40	44→55	51	199/277/259	60	259	2	14	22%	9%	55	-1.9	216/291/303	87	272	5	17	21%	9%	71	-0.8	224/296/314	90	281	6	17	21%	8%	71	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps