Frankeli Mesta

SS DSL Pirates Black

Age 20 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1769ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	139	.274/.353/.379	2	3	28	—	.180/.245/.242
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates G…	196	.250/.387/.321	0	5	36	—	.163/.272/.205
2026	19	ROKDSL Pirates B…	112	.287/.441/.471	4	12	66	—	.181/.306/.277
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBPIT	222	.203/.279/.278	2	4	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	38	.208/.284/.293	0	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBPIT	101	.212/.288/.305	1	2	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%86

wRC+85

wOBA84

K%81

ISO79

Chase%72

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .276 / .276

PA59

HR0

K%26

BB%9

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	87	25	4	0	4	24	17	0	12	1	287	441	471	913	184	318	15	21	407	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	128	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	180	245	242	487	62	242	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	166	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	163	272	205	477	42	213	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	208	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	128	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	180	245	242	487	62	253	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	166	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	163	272	205	477	42	223	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	211	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	87	25	4	0	4	24	17	0	12	1	287	441	471	913	184	318	15	21	407	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	127	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	181	245	244	489	63	242	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	160	272	201	473	41	213	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	208	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	127	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	181	245	244	489	63	242	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	160	272	201	473	41	213	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	208	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	222	199	41	6	2	2	19	58	2	4	1	203	279	278	557	75	274	26	9	256	60	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	113	101	21	3	1	1	10	29	1	2	1	208	284	294	578	86	276	26	9	265	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	50%	202	180	39	6	2	3	18	51	2	3	1	213	288	308	596	95	278	25	9	272	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	297	267	58	9	2	5	26	75	2	5	1	216	292	318	610	102	280	25	9	277	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	372	333	73	11	3	6	33	93	3	6	2	219	294	326	621	108	281	25	9	282	77	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	416	373	83	13	3	8	36	103	4	7	2	221	296	332	629	112	282	25	9	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	64%	439	394	87	14	3	8	38	109	4	7	2	221	296	333	629	112	282	25	9	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	448	402	88	14	3	8	39	112	4	7	2	220	295	331	626	111	281	25	9	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	450	404	88	14	3	8	39	113	4	6	2	218	293	326	619	108	280	25	9	281	76	-13	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	441	397	85	13	3	7	38	112	3	6	2	216	291	320	611	105	279	25	9	277	74	-14	+0	-1	+5	+10	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	38	35	6	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	208	284	293	576	84	277	26	8	264	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	50%	101	90	19	3	1	1	9	26	1	2	0	212	288	305	593	93	278	26	9	271	70	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	171	153	32	5	1	2	15	43	1	3	1	215	291	315	606	100	280	25	9	276	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	227	203	45	7	2	4	20	57	2	4	1	218	294	323	617	105	282	25	9	280	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	261	234	51	8	2	4	23	65	2	4	1	220	295	328	624	109	282	25	9	283	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	64%	280	251	55	9	2	5	25	70	2	4	1	220	295	329	625	109	282	25	9	283	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	291	261	57	9	2	5	26	73	2	4	1	219	295	327	621	108	282	25	9	282	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	292	262	57	9	2	5	26	74	2	4	1	217	293	322	615	105	281	25	9	279	76	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	287	258	55	9	2	4	25	73	2	4	1	215	290	317	607	102	280	25	9	276	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1948	1747	377	60	14	30	172	491	14	30	7	216	291	318	609	102	281	25	9	279	71	-55	+3	-1	+21	+42	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	126	20	5	10	57	164	5	10	2	216	291	319	611	103	282	25	9	279	71	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3684	3293	699	106	27	57	333	921	29	70	20	212	290	313	603	101	275	25	9	274	71	-94	+4	-2	+35	+70	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	124	19	5	10	59	162	5	12	4	213	291	315	606	102	277	25	9	274	71	-19	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 112 PAwOBA .397 → .266 (−132)K% 15.2% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.18%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	18.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.43%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	14.92%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.29%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.019	×0.995	16.74%
Doubles /BIP	5.71%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.019	×0.995	3.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.019	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.71%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.67%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .397 → .266; ISO .184 → .098; BABIP .318 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 196 PAwOBA .323 → .222 (−101)K% 19.4% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.39%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	24.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.84%	÷1.010	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.76%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.72%
Singles /BIP	26.27%	÷0.973	×0.680	×0.975	×1.008	18.02%
Doubles /BIP	4.24%	÷1.061	×0.600	×0.975	×1.008	2.35%
Triples /BIP	2.54%	÷1.077	×0.600	×0.975	×1.008	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.181	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 115, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .323 → .222; ISO .071 → .041; BABIP .322 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 139 PAwOBA .323 → .210 (−114)K% 23.7% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.74%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	29.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.79%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.72%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷1.002	×0.680	×0.994	×1.022	21.22%
Doubles /BIP	1.10%	÷0.968	×0.600	×0.994	×1.022	0.69%
Triples /BIP	3.30%	÷1.009	×0.600	×0.994	×1.022	1.99%
Home runs /BIP	2.20%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.06%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 102, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .323 → .210; ISO .105 → .056; BABIP .360 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#1Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Mike Tyson'72-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,200 PA	4.8	3,200	27	23	236*	281*	354*	+20	+24	1.9	3.3
#4Mike Tyson'72-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,200 PA	/162	664	6	5	236*	281*	354*	+4.1	+4.9	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	/162	664	3	3	229*	288*	313*	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	2,008	34	30	219	291	326	+22	+18	2.3	2.2
	/162	664	11	10	219	291	326	+7.1	+6.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Frankeli Mesta

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps