Frankeli Mesta — OGILVIE

Frankeli MestaSS DSL Pirates Gold

Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 117 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .284 / .295

PA117

HR1

K%26

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$10M		$15M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	130	24	1	2	1	9	48	0	3	0	185	237	246	484	62	284	35	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	31	3	2	0	20	58	2	5	4	183	277	225	502	41	272	30	10	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	PIT	—	49	42	7	2	0	1	6	9	0	3	0	167	271	286	557	119	188	18	12	228	33	-4	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
YTD	19	ROK	PIT	—	49	39	8	2	0	1	9	6	0	3	0	205	354	333	688	128	219	12	18	315	100	-0	+1	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	19	ROK	PIT	0%	117	105	22	4	1	1	10	30	1	2	0	210	284	295	580	86	266	26	9	254	53	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		265	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	PIT	—	49	43	7	2	0	1	6	9	0	3	0	163	271	279	550	116	182	18	12	228	33	-4	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK	PIT	—	166	147	29	6	1	2	16	39	1	5	0	197	280	293	573	95	252	23	10	246	47	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	PIT	34%	247	222	46	8	2	3	21	61	2	4	1	207	282	302	583	95	269	25	9	266	62	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	PIT	48%	369	331	71	12	3	6	32	90	3	6	1	215	290	323	613	109	272	24	9	275	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2029	22	MLB	PIT	54%	456	409	88	15	3	8	40	110	4	7	2	215	291	325	617	110	274	24	9	281	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2030	23	MLB	PIT	57%	514	459	100	17	3	9	45	123	5	8	2	218	295	327	621	109	275	24	9	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.7
2031	24	MLB	PIT	57%	551	492	108	18	4	10	49	132	5	9	2	220	297	333	630	114	276	24	9	287	77	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2032	25	MLB	PIT	60%	573	511	113	19	4	11	51	137	6	9	2	221	299	339	638	117	276	24	9	288	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2033	26	MLB	PIT	62%	584	521	114	19	4	11	52	139	6	9	2	219	297	334	631	115	276	24	9	288	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2034	27	MLB	PIT	63%	587	523	114	19	4	11	53	140	6	9	2	218	297	333	630	115	276	24	9	288	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2035	28	MLB	PIT	65%	583	519	114	19	4	11	53	140	6	9	2	220	299	335	635	116	276	24	9	287	78	-15	+1	-1	+6	+17	0.9
2036	29	MLB	PIT	65%	574	510	112	19	4	11	53	139	6	9	2	220	301	337	638	118	275	24	9	285	77	-15	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.7
2037	30	MLB	PIT	65%	564	502	109	18	4	10	52	138	5	8	2	217	297	329	626	112	274	24	9	283	75	-16	+1	-2	+6	+16	0.5
2038	31	MLB	PIT	65%	551	490	104	17	3	10	51	137	5	8	2	212	293	320	613	108	272	25	9	279	72	-18	+1	-3	+6	+16	0.2
2039	32	MLB	PIT	65%	533	474	99	16	3	9	49	134	5	7	2	209	290	312	602	103	269	25	9	274	68	-19	+1	-4	+6	+15	-0.1
2027	20	MLB	PIT	34%	85	77	16	3	1	1	7	21	1	1	0	208	282	312	594	104	268	25	8	259	56	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	PIT	48%	179	159	34	6	1	3	16	44	2	3	1	214	294	321	615	107	271	25	9	267	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	PIT	54%	247	221	48	8	2	4	22	60	2	4	1	217	294	326	620	109	273	24	9	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	PIT	57%	291	260	57	10	2	5	26	70	3	5	1	219	298	331	628	112	274	24	9	276	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	PIT	57%	312	278	61	10	2	6	28	75	3	5	1	219	298	335	632	115	275	24	9	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2032	25	MLB	PIT	60%	346	309	67	11	2	7	31	83	3	6	1	217	294	333	628	117	275	24	9	279	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2033	26	MLB	PIT	62%	365	325	71	12	2	7	33	87	4	6	1	218	298	332	631	114	275	24	9	280	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2034	27	MLB	PIT	63%	372	331	72	12	2	7	34	89	4	6	1	218	298	329	627	112	275	24	9	280	72	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2035	28	MLB	PIT	65%	379	337	73	12	2	7	35	91	4	6	1	217	298	326	624	110	274	24	9	279	72	-12	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.3
2036	29	MLB	PIT	65%	373	332	72	12	2	7	34	90	4	6	1	217	297	328	626	111	274	24	9	277	70	-12	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.2
2037	30	MLB	PIT	65%	367	326	71	12	2	7	34	90	4	5	1	218	299	331	631	113	273	25	9	275	69	-13	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.1
2038	31	MLB	PIT	65%	358	319	67	11	2	6	33	89	3	5	1	210	290	313	604	103	271	25	9	271	66	-14	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.1
2039	32	MLB	PIT	65%	346	308	64	10	2	6	32	87	3	5	1	208	289	312	600	104	268	25	9	266	62	-15	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4020	3583	773	129	24	73	365	976	40	63	12	216	295	326	622	111	274	24	9	275	69	-142	+8	-7	+43	+114	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	125	21	4	12	59	158	6	10	2	216	295	328	623	112	274	24	9	275	69	-23	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	7138	6367	1369	224	50	122	640	1756	67	112	28	215	293	323	617	108	275	25	9	280	72	-223	+11	-10	+76	+202	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	125	20	5	11	58	160	6	10	3	216	293	324	618	109	276	25	9	280	72	-20	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	112	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	107	+2	-1	—	—	+6	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,185	74	65	217	292	328	+45	+27	4.4	4.1
	/162	664	12	10	217	292	328	+7.1	+4.3	0.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frankeli Mesta (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	45	60	197/280/293	95	252	2	5	23%	10%	47	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Francisco Aponte 2010 · A	19	48	36→30	44→60	46	226/292/291	64	293	3	10	23%	7%	64	-0.8	225/299/283	58	281	1	19	18%	9%	65	-0.7	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Deivi Estrada 2021 · A	20	46	36→30	45→50	50	213/291/275	62	281	3	9	23%	9%	60	-1.0	190/251/259	69	328	3	8	40%	7%	38	-2.6	146/188/204	58	314	3	4	52%	4%	-7	-1.2
✕Hancer Vargas 2008 · A	19	46	33→30	46→50	44	217/264/255	38	274	2	11	21%	6%	41	-2.3	209/256/264	55	271	3	11	22%	5%	41	-2.3	198/239/231	32	242	0	15	17%	4%	24	-0.9
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	57	-1.2	209/271/272	63	327	3	8	34%	7%	50	-1.7	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	43	39→40	45→40	44	205/274/289	84	285	6	8	29%	8%	56	-1.3	203/295/261	58	310	2	4	31%	11%	59	-1.1	211/289/292	82	309	5	2	31%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	43	36→40	47→65	48	203/270/269	66	256	4	16	21%	8%	50	-1.8	209/282/280	71	262	3	24	20%	8%	57	-1.2	210/296/279	69	262	2	36	19%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	59	-1.1	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	65	-0.7	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	50	-1.7	208/288/265	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	206/282/258	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	48	-0.9
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→51	34→40	50→55	44	200/257/251	51	263	2	7	24%	6%	39	-2.5	229/294/315	86	297	6	14	23%	7%	72	-0.2	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Gian Arias 2011 · A	19	42	36→30	45→50	49	199/276/262	63	264	4	8	24%	9%	50	-1.7	205/289/285	80	276	6	11	25%	10%	63	-0.9	177/290/248	71	232	7	16	24%	12%	52	-0.6
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	43→51	36→40	50→55	47	200/276/275	74	283	2	6	28%	9%	53	-1.5	220/297/313	93	288	7	14	24%	10%	72	-0.2	227/311/321	94	298	8	22	25%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Fidel Mejia 2018 · A	19	45	34→40	45→40	42	208/258/264	56	283	1	9	26%	6%	42	-2.3	214/261/282	68	300	4	4	28%	6%	48	-1.9	215/259/276	62	299	4	2	28%	5%	42	-0.9
✕Jose Herrera 2016 · A	19	45	36→40	48→40	47	210/281/271	61	281	3	4	25%	8%	55	-1.4	204/254/286	82	260	6	3	23%	6%	46	-2.0	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2011 · A	19	43	35→40	44→55	51	199/277/259	60	259	2	14	22%	9%	50	-1.8	215/291/303	88	271	5	17	21%	9%	67	-0.5	221/293/309	88	277	6	17	21%	8%	65	-0.3