Carlos Rondon

C DSL NYY Bombers
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1800ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL NYY Yanke…82.131/.354/.1310311—.091/.268/.091
202519ROKDSL NYY Bombe…86.281/.459/.4843167—.159/.318/.232
2027PROJMLE21MLBNYY196.186/.282/.25822580.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBNYY24.192/.286/.2750062-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB23MLBNYY77.197/.290/.28811660.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Chase%99
wOBA95
ISO92
wRC+91
BB%90
Speed12
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .280 / .255
PA34
HR0
K%34
BB%10
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202418 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 8261 8000 18243 31 131354131485 216 2922 268 11 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 8664 18403 18303 10 281459484943 203469 3521 420 67 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 8266 6000 13293 31 9126891359 146 3516 185 11 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 8669 11201 13373 10 159318232550 72294 4315 267 67 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 8266 6000 13293 31 9126891359 162 3516 185 11 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL NYY Yankees — 8261 8000 18243 31 131354131485 216 2922 268 11 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 8669 11201 13373 10 159318232550 72312 4315 267 67 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL NYY Bombers — 8664 18403 18303 10 281459484943 203469 3521 420 67 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 8266 6000 13293 31 9126891359 146 3516 185 11 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 8670 11201 13373 10 157318229546 71294 4315 267 67 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 8266 6000 13293 31 9126891359 146 3516 185 11 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 8670 11201 13373 10 157318229546 71294 4315 267 67 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLENYY 0% 196171 32512 20673 21 186282258540 71289 3410 253 58 -10 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLENYY 34% 7163 12201 7241 10 191286272558 81290 3410 260 62 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202923 MLB MLENYY 50% 155136 26412 16512 10 196289285574 89291 3310 266 66 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.0
203024 MLB MLENYY 57% 237208 42714 24763 21 200292296588 96292 3210 271 70 -9 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203125 MLB MLENYY 60% 307270 55925 30974 21 203294305599 102292 3210 276 73 -10 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.2
203226 MLB MLENYY 62% 356313 651126 351115 31 206296312608 107292 3110 279 75 -11 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.4
203327 MLB MLENYY 63% 379334 681127 371195 31 205295310605 105291 3110 277 74 -12 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.3
203428 MLB MLENYY 65% 387341 691127 381225 31 203293305598 102290 3210 275 72 -13 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.2
203529 MLB MLENYY 65% 385339 681126 381225 32 200290298588 98288 3210 271 69 -14 -0 -1 +7 +8 -0.0
202822 MLB CTXNYY 34% 2422 4100 280 00 192286275561 83290 338 261 62 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXNYY 50% 7768 13201 8251 10 197290288578 92291 3210 268 66 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
203024 MLB CTXNYY 57% 134118 24412 13432 10 201293300593 99292 3210 273 70 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
203125 MLB CTXNYY 60% 185162 33513 18583 10 204295309605 105292 3110 277 73 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203226 MLB CTXNYY 62% 222195 40714 22693 21 207297317614 111292 3110 281 75 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.2
203327 MLB CTXNYY 63% 240211 44715 24753 21 206296314610 109291 3110 279 74 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.2
203428 MLB CTXNYY 65% 252222 45715 25793 21 204294309603 106290 3110 277 72 -8 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.1
203529 MLB CTXNYY 65% 250220 44714 25793 21 201291303593 102288 3210 273 69 -9 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13841218 24740624 13743618 114 203293305597 102292 3210 276 69 -47 +1 -1 +25 +30 0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 11619311 642058 52 203291304596 101292 3210 276 69 -22 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 24792169 427691239 25480037 228 197292294586 97289 3210 270 69 -79 +1 -2 +41 +50 1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 11118310 6721010 62 195291290581 95287 3210 270 69 -22 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 86 PAwOBA .415 → .267 (−148)K% 34.9% → 42.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.88%÷0.997×1.220——42.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.93%÷0.966×0.700—×0.99515.08%
HBP% /PA3.49%—×0.700—×0.9952.43%
Singles /BIP32.35%÷0.985×0.680—×0.99522.21%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.019×0.600—×0.9956.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.961×0.600—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP8.82%÷1.090×0.470—×0.9953.79%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .415 → .267; ISO .203 → .098; BABIP .469 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 82 PAwOBA .264 → .185 (−79)K% 29.3% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.27%÷1.003×1.220——35.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.95%÷1.003×0.700—×1.00815.43%
HBP% /PA3.66%—×0.700—×1.0082.58%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷1.015×0.680—×1.00814.60%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.021×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .264 → .185; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .216 → .146. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).