Carlos Rondon — OGILVIE

Carlos RondonC DSL NYY Bombers

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .273 / .264

PA7

HR0

K%35

BB%9

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	82	61	8	0	0	0	18	24	3	3	1	131	354	131	485		216	29	22	268	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	86	64	18	4	0	3	18	30	3	1	0	281	459	484	943	203	469	35	21	420	170	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	82	68	6	0	0	0	11	34	3	3	1	88	244	88	332		175	41	13	177	6	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	86	70	12	2	0	2	12	43	3	1	0	171	318	286	603	114	363	50	14	271	70	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	82	68	6	0	0	0	11	34	3	3	1	88	244	88	332		176	41	13	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	82	61	8	0	0	0	18	24	3	3	1	131	354	131	485		216	29	22	268	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	86	70	12	2	0	2	12	43	3	1	0	171	318	286	603	114	385	50	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	86	64	18	4	0	3	18	30	3	1	0	281	459	484	943	203	469	35	21	420	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	82	68	6	0	0	0	11	34	3	3	1	88	244	88	332		175	41	13	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	86	71	12	2	0	2	12	43	3	1	0	169	318	282	599	113	363	50	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	82	68	6	0	0	0	11	34	3	3	1	88	244	88	332		175	41	13	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	86	71	12	2	0	2	12	43	3	1	0	169	318	282	599	113	363	50	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		289	29	14	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	165	147	29	5	1	2	15	55	2	1	0	197	280	286	566	88	291	33	9	264	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	299	265	54	9	2	5	28	97	4	2	1	204	290	309	599	106	292	32	9	272	70	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	391	346	71	12	2	7	36	124	6	3	1	205	291	312	603	107	293	32	9	277	73	-12	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	454	402	83	14	2	9	42	142	7	4	1	206	293	318	611	112	294	31	9	280	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	491	435	91	15	3	10	46	154	7	4	1	209	295	326	622	117	294	31	9	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	511	450	95	16	3	11	48	160	8	4	1	211	298	333	632	122	294	31	9	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	520	458	96	16	3	11	49	163	8	4	1	210	297	330	627	120	293	31	9	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	520	457	96	16	3	11	50	164	8	4	1	210	299	330	629	120	293	32	10	282	77	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	515	453	92	15	2	10	49	164	8	4	1	203	292	311	603	108	292	32	10	280	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	507	446	91	15	2	10	49	162	7	4	1	204	293	314	607	110	290	32	10	277	74	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	479	423	85	14	2	9	46	155	7	4	1	201	290	307	597	106	288	32	10	273	71	-17	+0	-3	+9	+10	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	57	51	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	0	0	196	281	294	575	98	292	33	9	255	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	145	129	26	4	1	3	13	47	2	1	0	202	285	318	603	116	293	32	9	264	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	212	187	39	7	1	4	20	67	3	2	0	209	295	321	616	112	294	32	9	269	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	252	223	46	8	1	5	23	79	4	2	1	206	292	318	610	112	295	31	9	273	76	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	275	243	51	9	1	6	26	86	4	2	1	210	297	329	626	119	296	31	9	274	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	287	254	53	9	1	6	27	90	4	2	1	209	295	323	618	114	295	31	9	275	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	288	255	53	9	1	6	27	90	4	2	1	208	294	322	615	114	295	31	9	276	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	285	252	52	9	1	6	27	90	4	2	1	206	293	321	615	115	295	32	9	275	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	275	243	50	8	1	6	26	87	4	2	1	206	293	321	614	115	294	32	9	273	76	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	267	235	49	8	1	6	26	85	4	2	1	209	298	328	626	119	292	32	10	270	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	271	239	48	8	1	5	26	88	4	2	1	201	290	305	595	105	289	32	10	266	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2614	2311	477	81	10	54	246	828	38	19	8	206	293	320	613	114	294	32	9	272	73	-78	+1	-4	+47	+57	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	118	20	2	13	61	206	9	5	2	205	291	315	606	110	293	32	9	272	73	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5027	4426	902	149	25	97	482	1619	78	42	11	204	293	315	608	111	294	32	10	277	73	-146	+4	-7	+87	+105	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	117	19	3	13	62	209	10	5	1	205	293	316	609	112	295	32	10	277	73	-20	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,690	52	21	206	290	318	+48	+28	4.2	3.8
/162	664	13	5	+11.9	+6.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Rondon (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	186/273/264	79	289	1	1	35%	9%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	171/230/254	83	267	8	6	37%	6%	37	-3.3	197/252/293	96	298	9	6	35%	6%	53	-2.1	235/281/345	110	297	10	4	23%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Johermyn Chavez 2009 · A	20	37→47	40→50	46→45	34	182/234/272	90	284	8	8	38%	5%	42	-2.9	215/267/352	137	298	16	6	32%	5%	74	-0.6	212/275/356	144	274	17	4	29%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Melky Mesa 2007 · A	20	36→44	40→50	45→55	34	178/225/267	89	288	7	6	39%	5%	37	-3.3	177/227/280	103	300	9	8	42%	5%	42	-2.9	207/264/356	149	293	17	21	34%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	44	-2.8	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	43	-2.8	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	18	-1.5
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	36→45	40→50	46→45	31	176/222/262	86	307	8	6	44%	5%	35	-3.4	202/249/314	112	315	12	6	38%	5%	57	-1.8	215/287/377	162	320	23	6	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Kenny Hart 2009 · A	19	39	35→45	45→50	36	187/240/243	56	275	2	6	31%	4%	38	-3.2	206/286/294	88	287	6	9	28%	7%	68	-1.0	200/295/300	100	268	8	12	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Dustin Peterson 2015 · A	20	38→48	39→45	42→45	33	189/224/271	82	275	6	3	33%	4%	37	-3.3	215/258/303	88	285	7	4	26%	5%	57	-1.8	231/275/338	107	290	12	2	24%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Jesus Parra 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	50	28	170/216/256	87	291	7	5	42%	4%	32	-3.7	188/233/274	86	342	6	5	44%	4%	42	-2.9	158/193/240	82	311	5	2	49%	3%	16	-1.3
✕Xavier Batista 2011 · A	19	35	39→50	46→45	33	170/221/254	84	300	7	4	44%	6%	33	-3.6	190/257/302	112	293	11	6	36%	7%	58	-1.7	171/252/309	138	236	17	7	34%	9%	58	-0.7
✕Julio Martinez 2018 · A	20	39	39→45	50→45	34	189/235/276	87	295	6	6	37%	5%	43	-2.8	197/249/269	72	317	4	7	37%	5%	47	-2.6	158/208/181	24	280	0	7	41%	5%	9	-1.0
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	39	-3.1	171/234/292	121	290	14	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	135/184/266	131	201	17	0	42%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	37	-3.3	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	68	-1.0	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	77	-0.1
✕Michael A. Taylor 2011 · A	20	38→48	37→55	45→60	41	183/239/259	76	257	4	5	29%	6%	41	-3.0	195/242/303	108	291	8	17	34%	5%	52	-2.2	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	37	-3.3	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	57	-1.8	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2021 · A	21	38→43	41→50	44→45	29	179/222/271	91	324	9	6	46%	4%	37	-3.3	194/252/317	123	321	14	6	41%	6%	60	-1.6	209/265/342	133	314	16	5	37%	5%	68	-0.8
✕Geulin Beltre 2011 · A	20	36→46	40	44→50	36	180/224/265	85	261	7	8	34%	5%	36	-3.3	212/250/284	72	292	5	10	28%	4%	50	-2.3	212/248/277	65	289	4	11	27%	4%	44	-2.0
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	30	-3.8	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Roberto Perez 2008 · A	19	35	38→45	48→30	39	173/243/251	77	275	6	4	37%	7%	41	-3.0	184/250/278	94	251	10	3	29%	7%	50	-2.3	168/237/264	96	214	12	1	27%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2013 · A	20	38→43	38→45	43→40	33	186/219/258	72	286	6	4	36%	4%	32	-3.7	198/234/284	86	284	7	3	31%	4%	44	-2.8	206/242/315	109	264	12	2	27%	4%	53	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps