Carlos RondonC
DSL NYY Bombers
Age 20
R/R
6'0" / 190 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.5 · 2032
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .270 / .296
PA77
HR1
K%31
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.5peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.5 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.5 | $25M | +$24M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.4 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.2 | $23M | +$19M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.0 | $22M | +$15M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.6 | $18M | +$10M |
| Totals | $21M | $135M | +$114M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 82 | 68 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .088 | .244 | .088 | .332 | .000 | .176 | 41 | 13 | .176 | -7 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 86 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .171 | .318 | .286 | .603 | .114 | .385 | 50 | 14 | .270 | 65 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | NYY | 77 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .286 | .329 | .614 | .114 | .290 | 31 | 8 | .260 | 57 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | NYY | 165 | 148 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .216 | .293 | .331 | .624 | .115 | .293 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | NYY | 299 | 268 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 85 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .220 | .296 | .351 | .647 | .131 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | NYY | 391 | 349 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 109 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .229 | .307 | .381 | .688 | .152 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | NYY | 454 | 404 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 124 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .230 | .310 | .381 | .692 | .151 | .295 | 27 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | NYY | 491 | 435 | 101 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 133 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .232 | .316 | .389 | .704 | .156 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | NYY | 511 | 451 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 139 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .231 | .314 | .384 | .698 | .153 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 458 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 142 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .231 | .317 | .389 | .705 | .157 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 458 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 143 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .229 | .315 | .380 | .694 | .151 | .296 | 28 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 515 | 453 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 143 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .230 | .316 | .382 | .698 | .152 | .295 | 28 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 507 | 446 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 142 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .224 | .311 | .370 | .681 | .146 | .294 | 28 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 479 | 423 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 136 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .222 | .309 | .366 | .675 | .144 | .292 | 28 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 447 | 395 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 130 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .218 | .304 | .357 | .661 | .139 | .291 | 29 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 407 | 360 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 121 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .300 | .344 | .644 | .131 | .289 | 30 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 354 | 312 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 108 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .212 | .299 | .346 | .645 | .135 | .287 | 31 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -5 | +6 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 296 | 262 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .296 | .340 | .636 | .130 | .285 | 31 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 238 | 211 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .199 | .284 | .313 | .597 | .114 | .282 | 33 | 10 | .271 | 66 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6839 | 6041 | 1337 | 228 | 40 | 183 | 664 | 1976 | 80 | 91 | 15 | .221 | .307 | .363 | .670 | .142 | .295 | 29 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -89 | +12 | -31 | +122 | +194 | 21.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 188 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .221 | .307 | .362 | .669 | .141 | .296 | 29 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 82 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .131 | .354 | .131 | .485 | .000 | .216 | 29 | 22 | .268 | 64 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 86 | 64 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .281 | .459 | .484 | .943 | .203 | .469 | 35 | 21 | .420 | 179 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Rondon (OGILVIE) | 20 | — | — | — | — | .201/.270/.296 | .095 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 31% | 8% | 57 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Derek Norris 2009 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 42→55 | 49→50 | 43 | .194/.269/.300 | .106 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .209/.301/.372 | .163 | .281 | 20 | 6 | 31% | 11% | 91 | +1.1 | .254/.332/.403 | .149 | .311 | 15 | 5 | 22% | 10% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2009 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.249/.300 | .098 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .240/.291/.399 | .159 | .335 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A |
20 | 37→45 | 43→55 | 44→50 | 39 | .188/.245/.301 | .113 | .275 | 11 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .223/.286/.366 | .143 | .284 | 16 | 11 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A |
20 | 42→46 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 45 | .200/.274/.295 | .095 | .288 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.293/.378 | .151 | .302 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .224/.290/.376 | .152 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A |
20 | 42→49 | 38→55 | 49→30 | 44 | .201/.271/.276 | .075 | .277 | 5 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .207/.270/.291 | .084 | .263 | 6 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .228/.285/.376 | .148 | .288 | 19 | 0 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕David Bote 2013 · A |
20 | 43→48 | 38→55 | 50→45 | 43 | .200/.271/.286 | .086 | .293 | 4 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .190/.266/.272 | .082 | .263 | 5 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .234/.308/.397 | .164 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 41→50 | 48→45 | 40 | .209/.263/.306 | .097 | .302 | 8 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .250/.309/.388 | .138 | .334 | 12 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .256/.318/.393 | .137 | .347 | 12 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 99 | +1.3 |
|
✕Samad Taylor 2018 · A |
20 | 45→53 | 37→50 | 51→65 | 41 | .213/.268/.288 | .076 | .300 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.255/.284 | .101 | .259 | 7 | 22 | 30% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .236/.312/.377 | .141 | .324 | 16 | 46 | 30% | 9% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
●Tyler Stephenson 2017 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 38→50 | 43→30 | 39 | .197/.249/.277 | .080 | .290 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .216/.283/.315 | .099 | .290 | 9 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .253/.327/.399 | .146 | .323 | 16 | 1 | 25% | 9% | 102 | +1.3 |
|
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .205/.255/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .224/.267/.352 | .128 | .288 | 14 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .253/.308/.383 | .131 | .298 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +0.8 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2016 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 42 | .200/.259/.277 | .077 | .294 | 3 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .194/.260/.302 | .108 | .313 | 10 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .213/.264/.339 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .248/.297/.383 | .135 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A |
21 | 43 | 39→50 | 51→45 | 39 | .202/.262/.293 | .090 | .301 | 6 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .193/.267/.305 | .112 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 37% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .178/.253/.291 | .113 | .253 | 15 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A |
20 | 37→42 | 41→50 | 46→50 | 45 | .182/.264/.278 | .096 | .277 | 8 | 8 | 35% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .199/.261/.332 | .133 | .287 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .207/.263/.362 | .155 | .281 | 19 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A |
19 | 39 | 38→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .185/.251/.256 | .071 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .226/.287/.352 | .126 | .291 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.309/.417 | .169 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 103 | +0.7 |
|
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A |
19 | 38→48 | 39→50 | 49→45 | 40 | .187/.241/.272 | .084 | .263 | 6 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .189/.233/.264 | .075 | .239 | 5 | 3 | 22% | 4% | 31 | -3.0 | .246/.315/.384 | .137 | .304 | 17 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 95 | +0.7 |
|
●Peter Bourjos 2007 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 41→55 | 52→60 | 36 | .213/.257/.319 | .106 | .318 | 7 | 11 | 34% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .233/.274/.346 | .113 | .308 | 8 | 22 | 26% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .250/.299/.403 | .153 | .305 | 12 | 28 | 22% | 5% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2016 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 35→55 | 48→45 | 45 | .185/.261/.247 | .062 | .282 | 3 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 40 | -2.4 | .222/.269/.320 | .098 | .293 | 7 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .246/.303/.412 | .166 | .293 | 19 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A |
20 | 38→47 | 43→50 | 46→50 | 46 | .188/.269/.299 | .110 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .198/.288/.331 | .133 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 74 | -0.1 | .206/.294/.357 | .151 | .275 | 17 | 10 | 30% | 11% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→55 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.248/.282 | .080 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .219/.267/.307 | .088 | .310 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .248/.301/.421 | .173 | .319 | 22 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |