Samuel Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Samuel GonzalezSS ACL Athletics

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	136	95	12	4	0	0	36	26	3	3	2	126	381	168	549	42	171	19	26	292	84	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	206	170	42	8	1	1	24	24	9	12	5	247	369	324	693	76	277	12	12	322	104	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	109	10	3	0	0	22	38	3	3	2	92	261	119	380	28	141	28	16	204	24	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	206	179	35	6	1	1	15	34	9	12	5	196	291	257	548	61	218	17	7	239	48	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	109	10	3	0	0	22	38	3	3	2	92	261	119	380	28	139	28	16	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	136	95	12	4	0	0	36	26	3	3	2	126	381	168	549	42	171	19	26	292	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	206	179	35	6	1	1	15	34	9	12	5	196	291	257	548	61	231	17	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	206	170	42	8	1	1	24	24	9	12	5	247	369	324	693	76	277	12	12	322	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	110	10	3	0	0	22	38	3	3	2	91	261	118	379	27	141	28	16	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	206	180	35	6	1	1	15	34	9	12	5	194	291	256	546	61	218	17	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	110	10	3	0	0	22	38	3	3	2	91	261	118	379	27	141	28	16	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	206	180	35	6	1	1	15	34	9	12	5	194	291	256	546	61	218	17	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	OAK	—	105	91	15	2	1	1	10	36	2	5	1	165	262	242	504	77	255	34	10	218	34	-8	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	OAK	—	105	85	18	3	1	1	16	25	2	5	1	212	350	306	655	94	283	24	15	304	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	OAK	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		274	29	7	253	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	OAK	—	119	104	17	2	1	1	11	40	2	5	1	163	256	231	487	67	250	34	9	222	36	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	255	227	47	9	2	3	22	70	4	5	1	207	289	304	593	97	276	27	9	266	66	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	375	333	70	13	2	6	33	100	6	8	2	210	293	315	608	105	279	27	9	276	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	461	411	88	16	3	8	40	121	7	10	3	214	295	326	621	112	280	26	9	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	518	460	99	18	3	9	45	134	8	11	3	215	296	326	622	111	281	26	9	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	554	491	107	20	3	10	49	143	9	12	3	218	301	332	633	114	282	26	9	288	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	576	511	111	20	3	11	51	149	9	13	3	217	299	333	632	115	282	26	9	289	82	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	587	521	114	21	4	11	52	151	9	13	4	219	301	338	638	119	282	26	9	290	82	-13	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	589	522	114	21	4	11	53	152	9	13	4	218	301	337	639	119	282	26	9	290	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	586	519	112	21	3	11	53	152	9	12	3	216	299	331	631	116	282	26	9	289	82	-13	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	OAK	58%	577	510	110	20	3	11	53	151	9	12	3	216	301	331	632	116	281	26	9	287	80	-13	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	OAK	60%	567	501	106	19	3	10	52	150	9	11	3	212	297	321	619	110	280	26	9	285	79	-14	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	OAK	62%	553	490	104	19	3	10	50	148	8	11	3	212	296	324	620	112	278	27	9	281	76	-16	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	OAK	63%	535	473	98	17	3	9	49	145	8	10	3	207	292	313	605	106	275	27	9	275	73	-17	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	88	79	17	3	1	1	8	24	1	2	0	215	295	316	612	101	282	27	9	258	66	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	182	161	35	7	1	3	16	48	3	4	1	217	300	329	629	112	284	26	9	267	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	250	222	48	9	2	4	22	66	4	5	1	216	298	329	627	113	286	26	9	274	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	293	260	57	11	2	5	26	76	5	6	2	219	302	335	637	115	287	26	9	277	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	313	277	62	12	2	6	28	81	5	7	2	224	306	347	653	123	288	26	9	280	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	325	288	64	12	2	6	29	84	5	7	2	222	304	340	645	118	288	26	9	281	82	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	332	295	65	12	2	6	29	86	5	7	2	220	301	336	637	115	288	26	9	281	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	327	290	64	12	2	6	29	85	5	7	2	221	302	338	640	117	288	26	9	281	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	322	285	63	12	2	6	29	84	5	7	2	221	304	340	644	119	287	26	9	280	82	-7	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	OAK	58%	335	296	65	12	2	6	31	88	5	7	2	220	304	334	639	115	287	26	9	279	80	-8	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	OAK	60%	342	303	65	12	2	6	31	90	5	7	2	215	298	327	625	112	286	26	9	276	79	-9	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	OAK	62%	341	302	65	12	2	6	31	91	5	6	2	215	299	328	627	113	283	27	9	272	76	-10	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	OAK	63%	336	297	63	12	2	5	31	91	5	6	2	212	297	316	614	104	280	27	9	267	73	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3786	3355	733	138	24	66	340	994	58	78	22	218	301	333	634	114	288	26	9	276	77	-96	+7	-6	+41	+82	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	126	24	4	11	58	171	10	13	4	219	301	332	633	113	289	26	9	276	77	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7089	6270	1327	243	40	121	640	1842	116	156	45	212	296	321	618	109	277	26	9	281	77	-172	+13	-10	+72	+146	5.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	122	22	4	11	59	169	11	14	4	212	298	322	620	110	278	26	9	281	77	-17	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,960	69	82	215	295	327	+42	+24	5.4	4.8
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+4.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	55	40	194/274/267	74	274	1	4	28%	8%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	68	-1.0	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	54	-2.0	183/233/236	53	275	2	10	32%	3%	30	-1.5
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	57	-1.8	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	65	-1.2	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Carlos Narváez 2018 · A	19	46→45	36→45	48→45	46	219/274/285	66	269	4	3	20%	6%	59	-1.6	217/290/287	70	304	5	5	27%	9%	67	-1.1	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	43	217/282/271	54	313	1	15	29%	7%	59	-1.6	197/255/270	73	303	5	8	34%	6%	49	-2.4	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	50→56	34→40	50→55	44	234/282/287	53	301	2	14	22%	6%	62	-1.4	236/287/279	43	295	1	9	19%	5%	63	-1.4	262/305/349	88	305	7	19	16%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	42→41	34→30	51→50	42	199/262/249	50	277	2	16	28%	6%	47	-2.5	210/309/255	45	289	1	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	195/321/224	30	275	1	24	25%	14%	65	-0.5
✕Dixon Mavares 2006 · A	20	46	35→30	48→50	43	215/277/280	64	278	2	10	22%	6%	60	-1.6	217/290/280	63	266	2	11	18%	7%	65	-1.2	219/298/276	58	261	2	12	15%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	45	36→45	49→60	40	210/278/277	67	296	2	12	28%	6%	60	-1.6	223/284/315	92	289	5	17	23%	5%	71	-0.8	238/296/355	116	291	6	30	19%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Marco Soto 2023 · A	19	46	34→30	49→50	45	213/271/269	56	272	1	10	21%	6%	55	-2.0	192/246/249	57	274	3	7	29%	5%	41	-3.0	146/198/179	33	218	2	4	32%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Luis De La Cruz 2008 · A	19	45	35→30	47→30	42	213/261/280	66	285	2	9	25%	5%	53	-2.1	193/229/268	75	250	4	5	24%	4%	38	-3.2	245/267/324	79	295	3	3	18%	3%	62	-0.4
✕Manuel Palencia 2022 · A	19	48	36→40	48→40	46	225/280/293	68	279	2	9	20%	6%	63	-1.3	230/283/286	56	268	2	6	14%	6%	63	-1.3	242/291/281	40	274	0	4	11%	6%	61	-0.3
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	65	-1.2	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	36	-3.3	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	12	-1.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps