Samuel Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Samuel GonzalezSS ACL Athletics

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION96 act + 79 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .291 / .324

PA79

HR1

K%28

BB%9

BABIP292

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$23M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	136	108	10	3	0	0	23	38	3	3	2	93	269	120	389	28	141	28	17	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	136	95	12	4	0	0	36	26	3	3	2	126	381	168	549	42	171	19	26	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	206	179	35	6	1	1	15	34	9	12	5	196	291	257	548	61	231	17	7	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	206	170	42	8	1	1	24	24	9	12	5	247	369	324	693	76	277	12	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	OAK	—	96	83	15	2	1	1	9	32	2	3	1	181	277	265	542	84	275	33	9	231	35	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	OAK	—	96	78	18	3	1	1	14	22	2	3	1	231	362	333	695	103	304	23	15	318	102	+0	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.4
ROS	19	ROK	OAK	0%	79	71	15	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	1	211	291	324	615	113	277	28	9	257	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	OAK	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	244	45	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	OAK	—	96	84	15	2	1	1	9	32	2	3	1	179	277	262	539	83	269	33	9	231	35	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	OAK	—	175	154	30	5	2	2	16	54	3	5	2	195	283	292	575	97	283	31	9	243	44	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	OAK	34%	255	227	48	9	2	3	22	68	4	5	2	211	292	308	601	97	279	27	9	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	OAK	48%	375	334	71	13	2	6	32	98	6	8	2	213	293	317	610	105	281	26	9	278	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2029	22	MLB	OAK	54%	461	411	89	16	3	8	40	119	7	10	3	217	297	328	625	112	283	26	9	284	76	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2030	23	MLB	OAK	57%	518	460	100	18	3	9	45	133	8	11	3	217	298	328	627	111	284	26	9	288	79	-12	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2031	24	MLB	OAK	57%	554	492	108	20	3	10	48	141	9	12	4	220	301	333	634	114	285	25	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2032	25	MLB	OAK	57%	576	512	114	21	4	11	50	147	9	12	4	223	303	344	647	121	285	26	9	291	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.1
2033	26	MLB	OAK	56%	587	521	116	21	4	11	52	149	9	13	4	223	304	342	646	119	285	25	9	292	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.2
2034	27	MLB	OAK	60%	589	523	116	21	4	11	52	150	9	13	4	222	303	340	643	119	285	25	9	292	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.2
2035	28	MLB	OAK	62%	586	519	115	21	4	11	53	150	9	12	4	222	305	341	646	119	284	26	9	291	81	-13	+1	-1	+6	+17	1.1
2036	29	MLB	OAK	63%	577	511	111	20	3	11	52	149	9	12	4	217	301	333	633	115	284	26	9	289	80	-13	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.9
2027	20	MLB	OAK	34%	88	80	17	3	1	1	7	24	1	2	1	212	284	312	597	100	277	27	8	256	54	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	OAK	48%	182	161	34	6	1	3	16	48	3	4	1	211	294	317	611	106	279	26	9	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	OAK	54%	250	222	49	9	2	4	22	65	4	5	2	221	302	333	636	113	281	26	9	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB	OAK	57%	293	261	56	10	2	5	25	75	5	6	2	215	296	326	621	111	282	26	9	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2031	24	MLB	OAK	57%	313	278	61	11	2	6	27	80	5	7	2	219	300	338	638	119	283	26	9	276	70	-11	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.2
2032	25	MLB	OAK	57%	325	289	63	11	2	6	28	83	5	7	2	218	298	332	630	114	283	26	9	277	71	-11	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2033	26	MLB	OAK	56%	332	295	65	12	2	6	29	84	5	7	2	220	301	336	637	115	283	25	9	278	71	-11	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2034	27	MLB	OAK	60%	352	312	68	12	2	7	31	90	6	8	2	218	301	337	637	119	282	26	9	278	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2035	28	MLB	OAK	62%	362	320	70	13	2	7	33	93	6	8	2	219	304	338	641	119	282	26	9	277	70	-12	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.2
2036	29	MLB	OAK	63%	362	320	69	12	2	7	33	94	6	7	2	216	301	331	632	116	281	26	9	276	69	-13	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2859	2539	552	99	18	52	251	736	46	61	18	217	299	332	631	115	283	26	9	275	68	-102	+5	-1	+31	+81	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	126	23	4	12	57	167	10	14	4	218	299	334	634	116	284	26	9	275	68	-23	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5499	4868	1048	192	34	93	491	1398	92	125	42	215	299	326	625	111	280	25	9	284	75	-153	+8	-2	+59	+156	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	124	23	4	11	58	165	11	15	5	216	300	327	627	111	280	25	9	284	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	136	95	12	4	0	0	36	26	3	3	2	126	381	168	549	42	171	19	26	292	82	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	206	170	42	8	1	1	24	24	9	12	5	247	369	324	693	76	277	12	12	322	104	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,034	54	64	219	297	333	+33	+18	4.6	4.5
	/162	664	12	14	219	297	333	+7.1	+3.9	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	55	40	195/283/292	97	283	2	5	31%	9%	44	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	64	-0.8	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	48	-1.9	187/236/240	52	281	2	10	32%	3%	22	-1.4
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	52	-1.6	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	60	-1.0	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	82	+0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	41	204/254/272	68	278	4	10	27%	6%	42	-2.3	202/251/270	68	260	2	14	22%	5%	40	-2.4	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	50→56	34→40	50→55	44	234/282/287	53	301	2	14	22%	6%	57	-1.2	235/286/279	44	295	1	9	19%	5%	57	-1.2	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→45	52→65	43	217/282/271	54	313	1	15	29%	7%	54	-1.4	197/255/270	73	303	5	8	34%	6%	43	-2.2	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Marco Soto 2023 · A	19	46	34→30	49→50	45	215/273/269	54	274	1	10	21%	6%	50	-1.7	191/246/248	57	273	3	7	29%	5%	33	-2.9	143/196/176	32	215	2	4	32%	4%	-7	-1.2
✕Dixon Mavares 2006 · A	20	46	35→30	48→50	43	215/277/280	64	278	2	10	22%	6%	55	-1.4	217/290/280	63	266	2	11	18%	7%	61	-1.0	219/298/276	58	261	2	12	15%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Franklin Rollin 2015 · A	19	45	36→40	53→55	40	210/279/281	71	264	2	15	20%	4%	57	-1.2	233/284/317	84	282	4	17	18%	4%	67	-0.5	235/277/325	90	285	5	20	18%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	61	-1.0	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	28	-3.2	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	1	-1.5