Alexander MambelC
FCL Red Sox
Age 19
R/R
6'0" / 191 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.1 · 2033
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .271 / .304
PA57
HR1
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.1peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +3.0 | $29M | +$28M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +3.0 | $31M | +$26M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.8 | $30M | +$21M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $12M | +2.6 | $29M | +$16M |
| Totals | $30M | $181M | +$151M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 106 | 101 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .238 | .307 | .545 | .099 | .237 | 19 | 1 | .227 | 32 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 53 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .156 | .269 | .333 | .603 | .178 | .238 | 43 | 6 | .255 | 53 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 57 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .212 | .281 | .308 | .588 | .096 | .289 | 30 | 7 | .263 | 59 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | BOS | 148 | 133 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .218 | .293 | .338 | .631 | .120 | .297 | 28 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | BOS | 291 | 260 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 78 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .304 | .362 | .666 | .135 | .298 | 27 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | BOS | 398 | 355 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 104 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .234 | .311 | .383 | .694 | .149 | .298 | 26 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | BOS | 471 | 419 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 121 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .236 | .316 | .391 | .708 | .155 | .299 | 26 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | BOS | 518 | 457 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 132 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .324 | .400 | .724 | .160 | .299 | 25 | 9 | .322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 458 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 131 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .240 | .324 | .400 | .724 | .159 | .300 | 25 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.0 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 457 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 131 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .326 | .400 | .727 | .160 | .300 | 25 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 456 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 132 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .328 | .401 | .729 | .160 | .300 | 25 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 456 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 133 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .241 | .328 | .401 | .729 | .160 | .300 | 26 | 10 | .326 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 3.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 455 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 134 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .240 | .328 | .400 | .728 | .160 | .299 | 26 | 10 | .323 | 106 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 455 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 136 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .237 | .326 | .396 | .722 | .158 | .298 | 26 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 504 | 442 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 134 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .233 | .321 | .387 | .708 | .154 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 2.3 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 487 | 429 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 132 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .228 | .316 | .378 | .694 | .149 | .295 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -4 | +9 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 445 | 392 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 123 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .227 | .314 | .372 | .687 | .145 | .293 | 28 | 10 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 389 | 342 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 111 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .308 | .354 | .662 | .135 | .292 | 29 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +7 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 330 | 290 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 98 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .306 | .348 | .654 | .131 | .289 | 30 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 269 | 238 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .292 | .324 | .616 | .118 | .286 | 30 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 209 | 185 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .285 | .308 | .593 | .108 | .283 | 32 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -8 | +0 | -7 | +4 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7795 | 6877 | 1590 | 270 | 45 | 221 | 746 | 2079 | 105 | 123 | 19 | .231 | .316 | .380 | .696 | .149 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -29 | +17 | -38 | +139 | +221 | 31.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 62 | 173 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .232 | .317 | .380 | .697 | .148 | .298 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 106 | 101 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .305 | .406 | .711 | .129 | .299 | 12 | 1 | .314 | 98 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 53 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .365 | .477 | .843 | .227 | .321 | 28 | 8 | .369 | 140 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alexander Mambel (OGILVIE) | 19 | — | — | — | — | .207/.271/.304 | .097 | .289 | 1 | 1 | 30% | 7% | 59 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Derek Norris 2009 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 42→55 | 49→50 | 43 | .194/.269/.300 | .106 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .209/.301/.372 | .163 | .281 | 20 | 6 | 31% | 11% | 91 | +1.1 | .254/.332/.403 | .149 | .311 | 15 | 5 | 22% | 10% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→55 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.248/.282 | .080 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .219/.267/.307 | .088 | .310 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .248/.301/.421 | .173 | .319 | 22 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A |
19 | 40→45 | 41→55 | 46→50 | 40 | .199/.248/.293 | .095 | .266 | 8 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .208/.268/.334 | .126 | .284 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A |
19 | 44→51 | 43→60 | 48→30 | 38 | .215/.262/.330 | .115 | .285 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .213/.253/.351 | .138 | .277 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .238/.308/.452 | .215 | .278 | 31 | 1 | 26% | 7% | 111 | +1.7 |
|
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 49→55 | 45 | .217/.279/.319 | .102 | .277 | 10 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.280/.389 | .156 | .311 | 18 | 19 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.307/.430 | .168 | .314 | 19 | 26 | 23% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 44 | .214/.271/.330 | .115 | .275 | 9 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .235/.285/.365 | .130 | .305 | 13 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 40→50 | 43→45 | 44 | .205/.267/.300 | .095 | .269 | 8 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .185/.233/.263 | .078 | .242 | 5 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .253/.312/.392 | .139 | .280 | 17 | 0 | 16% | 7% | 96 | +0.8 |
|
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .205/.255/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .224/.267/.352 | .128 | .288 | 14 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .253/.308/.383 | .131 | .298 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +0.8 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 47→50 | 36 | .200/.246/.304 | .104 | .297 | 8 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .229/.277/.361 | .132 | .323 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
●Travis d'Arnaud 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 47→45 | 38 | .203/.244/.295 | .091 | .254 | 10 | 8 | 24% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .210/.253/.324 | .114 | .254 | 11 | 6 | 22% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .260/.320/.458 | .198 | .291 | 27 | 1 | 20% | 7% | 116 | +1.5 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A |
19 | 39 | 38→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .185/.251/.256 | .071 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .226/.287/.352 | .126 | .291 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.309/.417 | .169 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 103 | +0.7 |
|
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A |
19 | 45 | 41→55 | 55 | 43 | .216/.285/.315 | .099 | .290 | 7 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.313/.323 | .119 | .295 | 10 | 23 | 31% | 12% | 83 | +0.6 | .202/.308/.336 | .135 | .284 | 11 | 26 | 30% | 12% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
●Trevor Story 2012 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 43→65 | 54→55 | 44 | .209/.272/.318 | .108 | .282 | 10 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.253/.326 | .133 | .287 | 13 | 12 | 36% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .270/.336/.500 | .231 | .327 | 29 | 25 | 26% | 8% | 134 | +3.6 |
|
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 41→50 | 42→30 | 44 | .214/.269/.309 | .096 | .275 | 10 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .248/.300/.359 | .111 | .296 | 11 | 2 | 19% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.327/.424 | .162 | .295 | 21 | 1 | 19% | 8% | 110 | +1.4 |
|
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→50 | 51→55 | 44 | .214/.271/.302 | .088 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .265/.329/.388 | .123 | .318 | 11 | 15 | 19% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .283/.348/.417 | .134 | .334 | 12 | 17 | 18% | 7% | 116 | +2.4 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2015 · A |
19 | 45→51 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .210/.271/.289 | .080 | .308 | 3 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .192/.258/.279 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 12 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
✕Samad Taylor 2017 · A |
19 | 45→53 | 38→50 | 50→65 | 42 | .214/.267/.294 | .079 | .292 | 5 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .194/.259/.286 | .092 | .272 | 6 | 18 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .236/.312/.377 | .141 | .324 | 16 | 46 | 30% | 9% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 46 | .224/.285/.337 | .113 | .288 | 9 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.299/.337 | .104 | .295 | 6 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .254/.316/.360 | .106 | .307 | 10 | 16 | 19% | 7% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
●Wilin Rosario 2009 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 43→60 | 44→45 | 37 | .209/.253/.314 | .105 | .295 | 11 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .225/.261/.370 | .145 | .298 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .265/.302/.457 | .192 | .301 | 26 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 107 | +1.6 |