Adbiel Feliz — OGILVIE

Adbiel FelizSS FCL Pirates

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 87 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .287 / .269

PA87

HR0

K%23

BB%9

BABIP276

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$23M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	151	132	20	2	0	0	13	49	0	5	2	152	228	167	394	15	235	32	9	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	151	126	26	3	0	0	19	35	0	5	2	206	310	230	541	24	280	23	13	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	164	139	26	2	2	0	19	18	1	17	1	187	289	230	520	43	215	11	12	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	164	129	29	2	2	0	29	12	1	17	1	225	371	271	642	47	248	7	18	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	PIT	—	50	42	5	1	0	0	8	6	0	3	3	119	260	143	403	24	139	12	16	210	19	-5	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	PIT	—	50	37	6	1	0	0	13	4	0	3	3	162	380	189	569	27	182	8	26	298	86	-1	-1	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	19	ROK	PIT	0%	87	78	16	3	1	0	8	20	1	2	1	205	287	269	557	64	258	23	9	253	52	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		257	—	—	247	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	PIT	—	50	43	5	1	0	0	8	6	0	3	3	116	260	140	400	23	135	12	16	210	19	-5	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	PIT	—	137	120	21	4	1	0	16	26	1	5	4	175	277	225	502	50	223	19	12	237	40	-9	-1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	PIT	34%	222	197	41	7	1	2	21	49	2	5	2	208	291	284	575	76	265	22	9	268	63	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	PIT	48%	350	311	67	11	2	5	33	77	3	8	3	215	297	312	609	96	268	22	9	277	70	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2029	22	MLB	PIT	54%	442	393	86	14	3	7	42	96	4	11	3	219	301	323	624	104	270	22	10	284	75	-12	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2030	23	MLB	PIT	57%	503	445	98	16	3	8	48	109	5	12	4	220	303	324	627	103	271	22	10	287	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.8
2031	24	MLB	PIT	57%	543	481	107	18	3	9	52	117	5	13	4	222	305	328	633	106	272	22	10	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.0
2032	25	MLB	PIT	57%	566	501	112	19	3	10	55	122	5	14	4	224	307	333	640	110	272	22	10	291	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.1
2033	26	MLB	PIT	56%	578	511	115	19	3	11	56	124	6	14	5	225	309	339	647	114	272	21	10	292	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2034	27	MLB	PIT	55%	581	513	115	19	3	11	57	125	6	14	5	224	309	337	646	113	272	22	10	292	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2035	28	MLB	PIT	55%	579	512	113	19	3	10	57	126	5	14	4	221	305	328	633	107	272	22	10	291	81	-12	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.1
2036	29	MLB	PIT	53%	570	503	111	18	3	10	57	125	5	13	4	221	306	328	634	107	271	22	10	289	80	-13	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.9
2027	20	MLB	PIT	34%	76	68	14	2	0	1	7	17	1	2	1	206	289	279	569	74	263	22	9	261	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	PIT	48%	170	150	32	5	1	2	16	37	2	4	1	213	298	300	598	87	266	22	9	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	22	MLB	PIT	54%	240	213	47	8	1	4	23	52	2	6	2	221	303	324	626	103	269	22	10	276	69	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	PIT	57%	285	253	56	9	2	5	27	62	3	7	2	221	304	332	636	111	270	22	9	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	PIT	57%	307	271	60	10	2	5	30	66	3	8	2	221	306	328	634	107	271	21	10	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB	PIT	57%	320	283	63	10	2	6	31	69	3	8	3	223	306	336	642	113	271	22	10	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB	PIT	56%	327	289	65	11	2	6	32	70	3	8	3	225	309	339	648	114	271	21	10	284	75	-9	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB	PIT	55%	322	284	63	10	2	6	32	69	3	8	3	222	307	335	642	113	271	21	10	284	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2035	28	MLB	PIT	55%	318	281	62	10	2	6	31	69	3	8	2	221	305	335	639	114	270	22	10	283	75	-9	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.4
2036	29	MLB	PIT	53%	305	269	59	10	2	5	30	67	3	7	2	219	305	327	632	108	270	22	10	281	74	-9	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2670	2362	521	85	16	46	259	578	26	66	21	221	305	329	633	108	271	22	10	280	73	-82	+5	-1	+29	+76	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	127	21	4	11	63	141	6	16	5	221	304	329	633	108	272	22	10	280	73	-20	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	5336	4716	1027	167	30	83	518	1157	48	142	42	218	302	319	620	101	269	22	10	282	74	-155	+12	-2	+57	+151	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	125	20	4	10	63	141	6	17	5	218	301	319	620	101	270	22	10	282	74	-19	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	151	126	26	3	0	0	19	35	0	5	2	206	310	230	541	24	280	23	13	251	50	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	164	129	29	2	2	0	29	12	1	17	1	225	371	271	642	47	248	7	18	301	89	-2	+3	—	—	+5	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,805	46	68	222	301	327	+30	+18	4.4	4.3
	/162	664	11	16	222	301	327	+7.1	+4.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adbiel Feliz (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	60	60	175/277/225	50	223	0	5	19%	12%	40	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	59	-1.1	225/304/282	57	280	1	24	18%	9%	67	-0.5	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	63	-0.9	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	58	-1.2	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→50	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	58	-1.2	209/274/295	86	277	4	19	24%	7%	57	-1.2	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→51	34→40	50→55	44	200/257/251	51	263	2	7	24%	6%	39	-2.5	229/294/315	86	297	6	14	23%	7%	72	-0.2	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	216/284/286	70	285	3	14	24%	8%	59	-1.1	206/260/268	62	282	2	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	200/252/254	54	273	0	16	25%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	39→49	35→45	53→55	43	185/240/246	61	245	2	14	24%	6%	30	-3.1	206/272/279	73	259	3	20	20%	8%	53	-1.5	251/290/357	106	305	8	26	20%	4%	76	+0.1
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	47	34→30	51→60	54	213/308/264	51	310	2	22	28%	12%	65	-0.7	225/318/285	60	306	2	17	24%	12%	74	-0.1	236/346/282	46	308	0	21	20%	14%	83	+0.2
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3