Santiago Prado — OGILVIE

Santiago PradoC DSL Phillies Red

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 116 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .263 / .269

PA9

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	163	136	27	3	1	0	19	30	4	6	3	199	314	235	550	37	248	18	12	261	63	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	117	28	6	0	0	14	33	4	5	6	239	341	291	631	51	322	24	10	290	82	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	163	143	21	2	1	0	12	44	4	6	3	147	233	175	408	28	197	27	7	189	14	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	122	20	4	0	0	9	48	4	5	6	164	244	197	441	33	240	35	6	199	21	-13	-1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	163	143	21	2	1	0	12	44	4	6	3	147	233	175	408	28	206	27	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	163	136	27	3	1	0	19	30	4	6	3	199	314	235	550	37	248	18	12	261	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	122	20	4	0	0	9	48	4	5	6	164	244	197	441	33	260	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	117	28	6	0	0	14	33	4	5	6	239	341	291	631	51	322	24	10	290	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	163	146	21	2	1	0	12	44	4	6	3	144	233	171	404	27	197	27	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	125	20	4	0	0	9	48	4	5	6	160	244	192	436	32	240	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	163	146	21	2	1	0	12	44	4	6	3	144	233	171	404	27	197	27	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	125	20	4	0	0	9	48	4	5	6	160	244	192	436	32	240	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		275	33	11	246	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	203	183	38	7	1	2	15	55	3	4	1	208	279	290	568	82	279	27	7	260	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	335	302	64	11	2	5	25	90	5	7	2	212	283	311	594	99	281	27	7	269	68	-13	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	431	390	85	15	3	7	32	113	6	9	3	218	287	326	613	108	282	26	7	275	72	-14	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	495	448	98	17	3	9	37	129	7	10	3	219	289	330	619	112	283	26	7	279	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	469	102	18	3	9	39	135	7	11	3	217	287	326	614	109	284	26	8	280	76	-15	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	468	103	18	3	10	40	135	7	11	3	220	291	335	627	115	284	26	8	281	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	520	468	103	18	3	10	40	135	7	11	3	220	291	335	627	115	284	26	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	520	468	103	18	3	10	40	135	7	11	3	220	291	335	627	115	284	26	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	PHI	59%	520	467	103	18	3	10	41	136	7	11	3	221	293	336	629	116	283	26	8	281	76	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	PHI	61%	520	467	101	18	3	9	41	137	7	10	3	216	289	325	615	109	282	26	8	279	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	PHI	62%	520	467	100	17	3	9	41	138	7	10	3	214	287	321	609	107	281	27	8	276	73	-17	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	PHI	63%	504	452	94	16	2	8	40	136	7	9	3	208	283	305	588	97	279	27	8	272	70	-18	+1	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	70	64	13	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	203	271	281	553	78	281	27	7	253	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	162	147	32	6	1	3	12	43	2	3	1	218	286	333	619	116	283	27	7	262	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	234	211	45	8	1	4	18	62	3	5	1	213	284	318	602	104	284	26	8	268	72	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	280	253	56	10	2	5	21	73	4	6	2	221	291	336	627	115	286	26	8	272	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	294	266	59	10	2	6	22	76	4	6	2	222	291	342	633	120	286	26	7	274	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	294	266	59	10	2	6	22	76	4	6	2	222	291	342	633	120	286	26	7	275	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	294	266	59	10	2	6	22	76	4	6	2	222	291	342	633	120	286	26	7	275	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	288	260	58	10	2	6	22	75	4	6	2	223	294	346	640	123	286	26	8	275	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	PHI	59%	307	276	62	11	2	6	24	80	4	6	2	225	296	344	640	120	286	26	8	274	76	-9	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	PHI	61%	317	285	63	11	2	6	25	84	4	6	2	221	293	337	630	116	285	26	8	273	75	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	PHI	62%	324	290	64	11	2	6	26	86	5	6	2	221	296	334	630	114	283	27	8	270	73	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	PHI	63%	318	286	61	10	2	6	25	86	4	6	2	213	286	325	611	112	281	27	8	266	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3182	2870	631	109	20	61	244	836	43	63	20	220	291	336	626	116	287	26	8	271	71	-98	+5	-4	+57	+69	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	128	22	4	12	50	171	9	13	4	218	290	331	621	113	286	26	8	271	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5919	5322	1136	197	33	98	453	1569	85	125	42	213	286	318	604	105	281	27	8	273	71	-174	+10	-7	+100	+122	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	126	22	4	11	50	172	9	14	5	216	287	324	611	108	284	26	8	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,298	56	67	217	285	324	+59	+32	5.1	4.5
/162	664	11	13	+11.9	+6.4	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Prado (OGILVIE)	19	34→39	28→33	49→54	50	197/263/269	72	275	1	2	28%	7%	53	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	57	-1.8	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	40	-3.1	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	42→47	39→45	47→50	41	201/255/284	84	294	7	10	33%	7%	53	-2.1	203/245/289	86	298	6	8	32%	5%	49	-2.4	225/259/347	121	301	14	5	30%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Oliver Carmona 2017 · A	19	41	35→40	48→50	47	190/253/249	58	238	2	10	20%	7%	44	-2.8	210/279/286	76	266	5	11	21%	8%	62	-1.4	211/288/283	72	260	5	13	20%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→45	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	197/251/260	63	283	3	13	29%	6%	45	-2.7	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/265	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	47	-2.5	198/257/259	61	255	3	6	22%	6%	47	-2.5	268/305/322	54	324	1	3	17%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	51	-2.2	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	70	-0.8	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	213/264/286	73	284	3	6	25%	6%	56	-1.9	204/271/265	61	298	3	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	46	35→30	49→60	48	211/290/270	59	283	1	12	24%	8%	63	-1.4	229/292/289	60	291	1	24	20%	7%	67	-1.1	241/299/295	54	302	0	33	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps