Santiago Prado — OGILVIE

Santiago PradoC DSL Phillies Red

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 116 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .262 / .267

PA116

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	163	143	21	2	1	0	12	44	4	6	3	147	233	175	408	28	206	27	7	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	163	136	27	3	1	0	19	30	4	6	3	199	314	235	550	37	248	18	12	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	122	20	5	0	0	9	49	4	5	6	164	244	205	449	41	263	35	6	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	117	28	6	0	0	14	33	4	5	6	239	341	291	631	51	322	24	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	PHI	—	116	106	22	4	1	1	8	33	1	2	1	208	270	292	562	85	274	28	7	245	46	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	PHI	34%	203	183	38	7	1	2	15	56	3	4	1	208	279	290	568	82	278	28	7	259	56	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	PHI	48%	335	302	64	11	2	5	25	90	5	7	2	212	283	311	594	99	280	27	7	268	63	-14	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.2
2029	22	MLB	PHI	54%	431	390	83	15	2	7	32	114	6	9	3	213	283	315	598	103	282	26	7	274	68	-16	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.5
2030	23	MLB	PHI	57%	495	447	97	17	3	9	38	130	7	10	3	217	289	329	617	112	283	26	8	278	71	-16	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2031	24	MLB	PHI	57%	520	468	102	18	3	9	40	136	7	11	3	218	289	327	616	109	284	26	8	280	72	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2032	25	MLB	PHI	57%	520	468	103	18	3	10	40	136	7	11	3	220	291	335	627	115	284	26	8	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2027	20	MLB	PHI	34%	70	64	13	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	203	271	281	553	78	280	27	7	250	50	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	PHI	48%	162	147	31	6	1	2	12	44	2	3	1	211	280	306	586	95	282	27	7	259	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	PHI	54%	234	211	45	8	1	4	18	62	3	5	1	213	284	318	602	104	284	26	8	265	61	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	PHI	57%	280	253	56	10	2	5	21	74	4	6	2	221	291	336	627	115	285	26	8	269	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	PHI	57%	294	266	58	10	2	5	22	77	4	6	2	218	288	327	615	109	286	26	7	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	25	MLB	PHI	57%	294	266	58	10	2	5	22	77	4	6	2	218	288	327	615	109	286	26	7	272	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1334	1207	261	46	8	22	100	353	18	27	8	216	286	322	608	106	286	26	7	267	63	-56	+2	+0	+24	+38	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	127	22	4	11	49	172	9	13	4	216	286	323	610	107	285	26	8	267	63	-27	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2922	2629	550	97	16	43	219	788	44	65	25	209	281	307	588	98	279	27	7	265	61	-128	+3	+0	+52	+83	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	124	22	4	10	49	175	10	14	6	212	284	315	599	103	282	27	8	265	61	-28	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	163	136	27	3	1	0	19	30	4	6	3	199	314	235	550	37	248	18	12	261	58	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	139	117	28	6	0	0	14	33	4	5	6	239	341	291	631	51	322	24	10	290	80	-3	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,450	23	30	215	282	320	+26	+16	1.6	1.7
	/162	664	11	14	215	282	320	+11.9	+7.3	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Prado (OGILVIE)	19	33→38	28→33	49→54	51	195/262/267	72	274	1	2	28%	7%	46	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	47	-1.9	212/252/292	80	276	5	8	24%	5%	46	-2.0	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	52	-1.6	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	38	-2.6	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Anderdson Rojas 2023 · A	19	43→44	37→40	51→55	40	206/253/283	77	268	3	12	24%	4%	45	-2.1	204/247/282	78	261	3	14	22%	4%	42	-2.3	213/264/284	71	272	4	20	22%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→40	37→40	49→50	44	189/267/264	76	304	4	9	36%	9%	47	-1.9	195/281/283	88	315	5	14	36%	10%	59	-1.1	194/297/288	95	310	5	16	35%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Shane Mardirosian 2015 · A	19	37→39	35→40	47→45	42	176/238/240	64	244	2	9	27%	6%	28	-3.2	197/245/269	72	275	4	10	28%	5%	38	-2.6	194/243/263	68	272	4	9	28%	5%	33	-1.3
✕Oliver Carmona 2017 · A	19	41	35→40	48→50	47	190/253/249	58	238	2	10	20%	7%	37	-2.7	210/279/286	76	266	5	11	21%	8%	57	-1.2	211/288/283	72	260	5	13	20%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/265	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	40	-2.4	198/256/259	61	255	3	6	22%	6%	40	-2.4	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	52	-1.6	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	32	-3.0	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
✕Wilbis Santiago 2016 · A	20	45	35→40	55→30	46	209/266/267	58	257	2	10	19%	6%	46	-2.0	224/267/299	75	261	3	8	15%	4%	55	-1.4	249/275/330	81	280	3	3	12%	2%	64	-0.2
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	38	36→55	53→50	41	181/253/249	68	278	3	8	34%	7%	37	-2.6	199/265/293	94	283	4	9	29%	7%	53	-1.5	197/264/318	122	274	4	11	28%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→51	34→40	50→55	44	200/257/251	51	263	2	7	24%	6%	39	-2.5	229/294/315	86	297	6	14	23%	7%	72	-0.2	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6