Paulo Asprilla — OGILVIE

Paulo AsprillaC FCL Cardinals

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 58 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .259 / .226

PA58

HR0

K%31

BB%7

BABIP286

ISO38

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	71	63	8	0	0	0	6	29	1	0	0	127	214	127	341		235	41	8	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	71	59	13	0	0	0	10	19	1	0	0	220	343	220	563		325	27	14	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	77	69	12	1	0	0	6	28	1	0	0	174	250	188	438	14	293	36	8	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	77	64	16	1	0	0	11	19	1	0	0	250	368	266	634	16	356	25	14	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	123	114	15	1	0	0	8	32	1	1	1	132	195	140	335	9	183	26	7	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	123	107	21	2	0	0	14	22	1	1	1	196	293	215	508	19	247	18	11	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	STL	—	45	42	7	1	0	0	1	20	1	0	1	167	205	190	395	24	304	44	2	163	-17	-6	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
YTD	20	ROK	STL	—	45	42	10	1	0	0	1	14	1	0	1	238	273	262	535	24	345	31	2	241	43	-3	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	20	ROK	STL	0%	58	53	10	2	0	0	4	18	1	1	0	189	259	226	485	38	279	31	7	237	40	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	230	34	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	STL	—	45	43	7	1	0	0	1	20	1	0	1	163	205	186	391	23	292	44	2	163	-17	-6	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
TOT	20	ROK	STL	—	103	95	17	3	0	0	5	38	2	1	1	179	235	211	446	32	293	37	5	205	15	-10	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	STL	34%	189	172	35	5	1	2	13	55	2	3	1	203	267	279	546	76	281	29	7	250	49	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	STL	48%	317	289	60	9	2	4	22	91	3	5	2	208	271	294	565	87	283	29	7	259	57	-16	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	STL	54%	405	369	77	12	2	6	29	114	4	7	3	209	274	301	574	92	285	28	7	265	61	-18	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.1
2030	24	MLB	STL	55%	464	423	90	14	2	8	33	130	5	8	4	213	278	312	590	99	286	28	7	269	64	-19	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.3
2031	25	MLB	STL	56%	498	453	97	15	2	9	36	139	6	9	4	214	281	316	596	102	286	28	7	270	65	-20	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.4
2027	21	MLB	STL	34%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	281	29	6	242	43	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	STL	48%	154	140	29	4	1	2	11	44	2	2	1	207	275	293	567	86	283	29	7	251	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	STL	54%	220	200	42	7	1	3	16	62	2	4	2	210	275	300	575	90	284	28	7	257	55	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	STL	55%	257	234	49	8	1	4	18	72	3	4	2	209	275	303	578	94	285	28	7	261	58	-12	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	STL	56%	279	254	54	8	1	5	20	78	3	5	2	213	278	311	589	98	286	28	7	262	59	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	975	889	186	29	4	15	69	275	11	16	7	209	275	301	576	92	284	28	7	257	55	-49	+0	+0	+17	+28	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	124	19	3	10	46	183	7	11	5	209	274	302	576	93	283	28	7	257	55	-33	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2202	2005	404	59	9	29	157	636	24	34	15	201	268	283	551	82	278	29	7	253	52	-119	+1	+0	+39	+62	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	120	17	3	9	46	188	7	10	4	203	268	287	555	84	279	29	7	253	52	-35	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	71	59	13	0	10	19	1	0	0	220	343	220	563		325	27	14	274	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	77	64	16	1	11	19	1	0	0	250	368	266	634	16	356	25	14	302	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	123	107	21	2	14	22	1	1	1	196	293	215	508	19	247	18	11	246	47	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,077	16	18	211	273	306	+19	+12	0.1	0.3
	/162	664	10	11	211	273	306	+11.9	+7.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paulo Asprilla (OGILVIE)	20	35→40	28→33	43→48	52	179/235/211	32	293	0	1	37%	5%	15	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44→41	36→40	49→50	42	206/276/277	71	285	3	10	27%	6%	55	-1.4	220/288/301	81	285	6	13	24%	6%	66	-0.6	212/286/289	77	272	6	14	22%	6%	59	-0.6
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Franklin Torres 2017 · A	20	42→40	34→40	48→50	42	199/253/250	51	273	1	9	26%	6%	36	-2.7	214/268/299	85	279	7	6	24%	7%	56	-1.3	209/272/294	84	280	7	5	26%	7%	54	-0.9
✕Juan De Los Santos 2014 · A	20	43	36→40	48→50	44	200/281/269	69	285	3	9	29%	7%	55	-1.4	200/276/274	74	279	4	7	28%	8%	54	-1.4	171/257/225	54	235	4	4	26%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Leonardo Ortiz 2017 · A	20	41	34→40	48→30	40	193/235/244	52	251	2	7	23%	4%	27	-3.3	214/269/293	79	266	4	5	20%	5%	55	-1.4	222/279/309	87	262	5	1	16%	5%	61	-0.3
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Jair Fernandez 2007 · A	20	41	37→40	48→30	45	197/255/265	68	259	4	5	25%	7%	42	-2.3	217/272/302	85	284	5	4	24%	6%	58	-1.2	217/273/302	85	277	6	2	23%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Adonis Paula 2014 · A	20	42	38→40	46→40	43	198/268/282	84	272	4	5	27%	7%	52	-1.6	190/244/266	76	305	4	4	37%	6%	37	-2.6	163/210/219	56	303	4	2	45%	5%	8	-1.4
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	45→50	44	205/265/285	81	267	6	7	25%	6%	51	-1.7	184/229/259	75	281	5	5	35%	5%	28	-3.2	142/174/195	54	228	4	4	38%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Alexis Wilson 2017 · A	20	39	37→40	49→30	45	188/257/266	78	249	4	3	25%	7%	43	-2.2	201/263/284	83	262	6	4	24%	7%	50	-1.8	211/263/297	86	253	9	1	20%	6%	51	-0.5
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Luis Sanchez 2007 · A	20	41	36→30	50→40	41	195/252/261	66	275	4	7	29%	6%	40	-2.4	192/257/245	53	275	2	4	28%	8%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Samuel Ortiz 2011 · A	20	42	36→40	46→50	44	200/269/265	66	271	3	5	26%	7%	48	-1.9	210/280/284	74	280	3	10	24%	7%	57	-1.2	199/280/266	68	262	2	15	23%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	46	37→45	53→45	46	215/277/285	71	288	4	10	25%	8%	56	-1.3	227/280/341	114	311	12	8	29%	6%	72	-0.2	210/262/317	107	286	11	9	30%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Miguel Briceno 2023 · A	20	43	37→40	49→50	45	206/257/286	81	263	4	9	23%	6%	47	-1.9	216/258/288	72	275	4	11	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/247/284	79	257	7	13	23%	5%	41	-0.9