Paulo Asprilla — OGILVIE

Paulo AsprillaC FCL Cardinals

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs ROK HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.6 · 2033

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .315

PA103

HR2

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗40

PWR

28↗33

SPD

43↗48

EYE

48↗53

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.5	$24M	+$23M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.6	$26M	+$25M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.5	$25M	+$24M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.3	$24M	+$20M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$22M	+$15M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$19M	+$11M
Totals		$22M		$139M	+$117M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	71	63	8	0	0	0	6	29	1	0	0	.127	.214	.127	.341	.000	.235	41	8	.169	-12	-9	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	77	69	12	1	0	0	6	28	1	0	0	.174	.250	.188	.438	.014	.293	36	8	.205	15	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	123	114	16	1	0	0	8	32	1	1	1	.140	.203	.149	.352	.009	.195	26	7	.170	-12	-16	-0	+0	+2	+3	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	STL	103	93	20	3	1	2	8	30	1	2	0	.215	.284	.333	.618	.118	.286	29	8	.272	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	STL	189	168	37	7	1	4	17	52	2	4	1	.220	.299	.345	.645	.125	.288	28	9	.289	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	STL	317	282	64	11	2	8	29	83	3	6	1	.227	.306	.365	.671	.138	.288	26	9	.300	88	-4	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2029	23	MLB 48%	STL	405	359	83	15	2	11	39	104	4	8	2	.231	.313	.376	.689	.145	.289	26	10	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.7
2030	24	MLB 62%	STL	464	410	96	17	3	13	46	117	5	9	2	.234	.319	.385	.704	.151	.289	25	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2031	25	MLB 80%	STL	498	440	102	18	3	14	50	125	5	9	2	.232	.317	.382	.699	.150	.290	25	10	.314	99	-1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.4
2032	26	MLB 94%	STL	517	453	107	19	3	15	53	130	6	9	2	.236	.324	.391	.715	.155	.291	25	10	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2033	27	MLB	STL	520	455	107	19	3	15	54	131	6	9	2	.235	.324	.389	.713	.154	.291	25	10	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2034	28	MLB	STL	520	455	106	19	3	15	54	132	6	9	1	.233	.322	.387	.709	.154	.290	25	10	.315	99	-0	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2035	29	MLB	STL	519	454	104	18	3	14	54	133	6	8	1	.229	.319	.374	.694	.145	.289	26	10	.313	98	-1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2036	30	MLB	STL	510	447	102	18	3	14	53	133	5	8	1	.228	.317	.376	.693	.148	.288	26	10	.310	95	-3	+1	-2	+9	+14	2.0
2037	31	MLB	STL	482	424	96	17	3	13	50	127	5	7	0	.226	.315	.373	.688	.146	.286	26	10	.306	92	-4	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.7
2038	32	MLB	STL	451	396	87	15	2	11	47	121	5	6	0	.220	.310	.351	.661	.131	.285	27	10	.301	89	-6	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.3
2039	33	MLB	STL	410	360	78	13	2	10	43	113	4	5	0	.217	.307	.347	.654	.131	.283	28	10	.296	85	-7	+1	-4	+7	+12	0.9
2040	34	MLB	STL	356	313	66	11	2	8	37	101	3	5	0	.211	.300	.335	.636	.125	.282	28	10	.289	80	-8	+1	-5	+6	+10	0.4
2041	35	MLB	STL	298	263	53	9	1	6	30	88	3	4	0	.202	.291	.312	.602	.110	.279	30	10	.282	74	-9	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.0
2042	36	MLB	STL	239	211	42	7	1	5	24	73	2	4	0	.199	.287	.313	.600	.114	.276	31	10	.273	67	-9	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	STL	181	159	31	5	1	3	18	57	2	3	0	.195	.285	.296	.581	.101	.272	31	10	.264	60	-8	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7250	6388	1417	243	39	181	726	1939	76	116	16	.222	.309	.357	.666	.135	.287	27	10	.299	87	-106	+17	-38	+129	+205	21.2
/ 162G	—			650	573	127	22	3	16	65	174	7	10	1	.222	.309	.354	.663	.133	.288	27	10	.299	87	-9	+2	-3	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	71	59	13	0	10	19	1	0	0	.220	.343	.220	.563	.000	.325	27	14	.274	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	77	64	16	1	11	19	1	0	0	.250	.368	.266	.634	.016	.356	25	14	.302	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	123	107	21	2	14	22	1	1	1	.196	.293	.215	.508	.019	.247	18	11	.246	47	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paulo Asprilla (OGILVIE)	20	35→40	28→33	43→48	53	.208/.280/.315	.107	.286	2	2	29%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	.203/.300/.294	.091	.264	9	7	25%	10%	70	-0.3	.191/.289/.274	.083	.279	7	4	31%	11%	60	-1.0	.164/.268/.232	.068	.248	6	2	32%	11%	39	-0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Jose Paez 2014 · A	20	46	39→45	51→50	38	.218/.263/.312	.093	.303	5	12	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.209/.259/.289	.080	.322	4	10	34%	6%	50	-1.8	.195/.251/.252	.057	.320	4	11	38%	6%	32	-0.6
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	43→50	47→40	45	.213/.279/.320	.107	.262	11	5	23%	7%	67	-0.5	.211/.287/.337	.126	.265	13	4	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	42	43→45	47→40	47	.204/.301/.317	.113	.282	11	9	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.216/.277/.335	.119	.281	14	4	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.209/.267/.315	.106	.274	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	.212/.278/.308	.097	.264	8	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.227/.291/.336	.109	.276	10	14	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.227/.291/.331	.104	.281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Seth Conner 2012 · A	20	44	41→40	48→45	47	.212/.285/.310	.098	.281	8	6	26%	8%	66	-0.6	.205/.278/.283	.078	.281	5	4	27%	7%	57	-1.2	.186/.264/.243	.057	.257	3	0	26%	7%	41	-0.6
●Lou Marson 2007 · A	21	44→54	40	53→50	44	.211/.271/.304	.093	.282	6	6	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.248/.316/.343	.095	.329	7	4	24%	9%	88	+0.9	.265/.339/.354	.089	.347	6	4	23%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Jonathan Galvez 2011 · A	20	44→48	43→45	49→55	46	.210/.289/.319	.109	.300	10	12	32%	9%	71	-0.3	.227/.281/.348	.121	.324	11	19	31%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.281/.348	.116	.327	10	23	31%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	.206/.261/.284	.078	.265	4	10	23%	6%	49	-1.8	.204/.281/.290	.086	.252	7	15	21%	9%	60	-1.0	.194/.284/.274	.080	.231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→38	39→45	50→40	50	.195/.279/.287	.092	.255	6	9	25%	9%	59	-1.1	.193/.287/.299	.106	.258	11	4	27%	11%	66	-0.6	.180/.275/.286	.106	.231	13	2	27%	11%	56	-0.9
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→50	52→50	43	.226/.287/.342	.117	.320	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.0	.206/.274/.311	.105	.300	9	11	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→56	39→45	48→50	49	.219/.288/.312	.093	.287	4	11	24%	8%	68	-0.5	.242/.304/.357	.115	.297	9	13	20%	7%	86	+0.8	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)