Paulo Asprilla
C FCL Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKSTL | 77 | .250/.368/.266 | 0 | 0 | 22 | — | .164/.263/.179 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKSTL | 123 | .196/.293/.215 | 0 | 1 | 3 | — | .142/.211/.150 |
| 2026 | 20 | ROKSTL | 56 | .239/.364/.261 | 0 | 0 | 26 | — | .163/.255/.184 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBSTL | 166 | .204/.270/.271 | 1 | 2 | 54 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBSTL | 30 | .209/.276/.287 | 0 | 0 | 60 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ50% MLB | 23 | MLBSTL | 84 | .213/.280/.300 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 71 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 343 | 220 | 563 | 325 | 27 | 14 | 274 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 77 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 368 | 266 | 634 | 16 | 356 | 25 | 14 | 302 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 123 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 293 | 215 | 508 | 19 | 247 | 18 | 11 | 246 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 56 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 364 | 261 | 625 | 22 | 355 | 29 | 12 | 298 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 71 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 229 | 129 | 358 | 208 | 34 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 77 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 263 | 179 | 442 | 15 | 237 | 30 | 10 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 123 | 113 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 142 | 211 | 150 | 362 | 9 | 198 | 26 | 7 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 56 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 255 | 184 | 438 | 20 | 285 | 41 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 71 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 229 | 129 | 358 | 211 | 34 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 71 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 343 | 220 | 563 | 325 | 27 | 14 | 274 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 77 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 263 | 179 | 442 | 15 | 250 | 30 | 10 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 77 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 368 | 266 | 634 | 16 | 356 | 25 | 14 | 302 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 123 | 113 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 142 | 211 | 150 | 362 | 9 | 198 | 26 | 7 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Cardinals | — | 123 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 293 | 215 | 508 | 19 | 247 | 18 | 11 | 246 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 56 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 255 | 184 | 438 | 20 | 296 | 41 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Cardinals | — | 56 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 364 | 261 | 625 | 22 | 355 | 29 | 12 | 298 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 71 | 63 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 127 | 229 | 127 | 356 | 208 | 34 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 77 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 263 | 176 | 440 | 15 | 237 | 30 | 10 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 123 | 112 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 211 | 152 | 363 | 9 | 198 | 26 | 7 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 56 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 255 | 180 | 435 | 20 | 285 | 41 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 77 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 263 | 176 | 440 | 15 | 237 | 30 | 10 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 123 | 112 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 211 | 152 | 363 | 9 | 198 | 26 | 7 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 56 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 255 | 180 | 435 | 20 | 285 | 41 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | STL | 0% | 166 | 151 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 270 | 271 | 541 | 67 | 286 | 29 | 7 | 249 | 54 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | STL | 34% | 89 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 275 | 288 | 563 | 79 | 288 | 28 | 7 | 258 | 60 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | STL | 50% | 168 | 152 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 280 | 302 | 582 | 89 | 289 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 251 | 227 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 284 | 314 | 597 | 97 | 290 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 60% | 317 | 287 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 87 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 323 | 610 | 104 | 290 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 62% | 361 | 327 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 98 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 289 | 330 | 619 | 109 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 63% | 380 | 344 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 103 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 288 | 328 | 615 | 108 | 290 | 27 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 65% | 387 | 351 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 106 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 323 | 609 | 105 | 289 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 65% | 383 | 347 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 317 | 599 | 101 | 287 | 28 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -14 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | STL | 34% | 30 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 276 | 287 | 563 | 78 | 289 | 30 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | STL | 50% | 84 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 280 | 300 | 580 | 87 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 142 | 129 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 284 | 312 | 596 | 95 | 292 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -5 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 60% | 192 | 174 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 321 | 607 | 101 | 292 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 73 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 62% | 226 | 205 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 289 | 328 | 616 | 106 | 292 | 27 | 8 | 279 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 63% | 241 | 219 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 288 | 325 | 613 | 105 | 291 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 65% | 252 | 229 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 320 | 606 | 102 | 290 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -8 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 65% | 249 | 226 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 314 | 597 | 98 | 289 | 28 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1416 | 1287 | 278 | 45 | 6 | 22 | 106 | 388 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 216 | 282 | 312 | 593 | 96 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 274 | 64 | -47 | -0 | -1 | +25 | +31 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 128 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 178 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 217 | 284 | 313 | 597 | 96 | 291 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 64 | -22 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2700 | 2442 | 510 | 74 | 12 | 41 | 206 | 754 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 209 | 279 | 299 | 578 | 90 | 283 | 28 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -81 | +1 | -2 | +42 | +51 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 123 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 182 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 279 | 301 | 580 | 92 | 283 | 28 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -22 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Cardinals · 56 PAwOBA .297 → .206 (−91)K% 28.6% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 27.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .297 → .206; ISO .022 → .014; BABIP .355 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Cardinals · 123 PAwOBA .241 → .173 (−68)K% 17.9% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.38% | ÷1.011 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷1.030 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 18.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.035 | ×0.720 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 1.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .241 → .173; ISO .019 → .013; BABIP .247 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Cardinals · 77 PAwOBA .296 → .200 (−96)K% 24.7% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.68% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.976 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 1.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.307 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 126, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .296 → .200; ISO .016 → .010; BABIP .356 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Cardinals · 71 PAwOBA .268 → .179 (−90)K% 26.8% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.76% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 10.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.086 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.206 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 117, 2B 141, 3B 112, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .325 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).