Duque Hebbert

P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 170 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	22	7	64	5.06	3.85	18.7%	7.1%	—	K 13.4% · BB 7.9% · FIP 4.76
2025	23	MIX3 levels	33	1	63	4.86	3.67	18.9%	7.4%	—	K 13.6% · BB 8.0% · FIP 4.16
2026	24	MIX3 levels	22	0	37	6.57	4.72	17.5%	5.4%	—	K 12.7% · BB 3.8% · FIP 4.77
2027PROJ	25	MLBDET	57	0	60	5.16	5.16	12.1%	8.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBDET	25	0	26	5.02	4.98	14.3%	8.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBDET	35	0	37	4.97	4.97	14.9%	8.4%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control50Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDonovan Hand (age 27) · Brian Bass (age 26) · Aaron Northcraft (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%12.1%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	14	8	37	157	41	6	2	57%	2.7	17.8%	4.8%	13.0%	1.8%	4.58	3.18	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	14	8	37	157	41	6	2	57%	2.7	26.1%	3.8%	22.3%	1.3%	4.58	2.08	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	7	64	267	50	19	7	32%	2.9	13.4%	7.9%	5.5%	3.3%	5.06	4.76	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	7	64	267	50	19	7	32%	2.9	13.4%	7.9%	5.5%	3.3%	5.06	4.76	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	7	64	267	50	19	7	32%	2.9	18.7%	7.1%	11.6%	2.6%	5.06	3.85	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	63	270	51	20	6	3%	1.9	13.6%	8.0%	5.6%	2.2%	4.86	4.16	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	63	270	51	20	6	3%	1.9	13.6%	8.0%	5.6%	2.2%	4.86	4.16	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	1	63	270	51	20	6	3%	1.9	18.9%	7.4%	11.5%	2.2%	4.86	3.67	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	37	166	29	9	7	0%	1.7	12.7%	3.8%	8.9%	4.1%	6.57	4.77	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	37	166	29	9	7	0%	1.7	12.7%	3.8%	8.9%	4.1%	6.57	4.77	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	0	37	166	29	9	7	0%	1.7	17.5%	5.4%	12.0%	4.2%	6.57	4.72	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	DET	57	0	60	253	31	21	8	0%	1.1	12.1%	8.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.16	5.16	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	DET	57	0	60	251	36	21	8	0%	1.0	14.3%	8.2%	6.0%	3.0%	5.02	4.98	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	DET	56	0	59	247	37	21	8	0%	1.0	14.9%	8.4%	6.6%	3.1%	4.97	4.97	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	DET	25	0	26	110	16	9	3	0%	1.0	14.3%	8.2%	6.0%	3.0%	5.02	4.98	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	DET	35	0	37	156	23	13	5	0%	1.1	14.9%	8.4%	6.6%	3.1%	4.97	4.97	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	39	22	8	0%	1.1	14.7%	8.3%	6.4%	3.1%	4.99	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	125	70	26	0%	1.1	14.7%	8.3%	6.4%	3.1%	4.99	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		91	16	201	860	121	56	24	18%	2.2	14.1%	6.6%	7.6%	2.8%	5.19	4.28	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	16	200	854	121	56	24	18%	2.2	14.1%	6.6%	7.6%	2.8%	5.19	4.28	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Duque Hebbert (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	12.1%	8.2%	3.0%	—	4.98	14.6%	6.3%	118	-0.18	—	—	—
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	87
Brian Bass R 2008 · 4.70 FIP	26	SU	4.70	11.6%	7.0%	3.1%	.283	4.70	13.5%	3.7%	86	+0.00	4.70	176	87
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	86
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	86
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	85
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	85
Tai Tiedemann R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	11.5%	8.0%	2.5%	.319	6.93	8.2%	-3.7%	61	+2.39	3.87	190	84
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	84
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	84
Daury Torrez R 2018 · 4.28 FIP	25	SU	4.28	12.9%	6.5%	2.6%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	356	84
Julio Felix R 2017 · 4.62 FIP	25	SU	4.62	12.9%	8.5%	2.8%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	159	83
John Kuchno R 2016 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	10.2%	8.6%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	162	83
Raul Fernandez R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	14.2%	9.4%	1.7%	.285	4.79	16.1%	5.0%	103	+0.76	4.03	165	83
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	83
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	83
Scott Burke R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	25	SU	5.27	14.9%	8.2%	4.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	119	83
Jack Jasiak R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	15.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.332	3.39	22.3%	15.0%	126	-1.20	3.24	262	82
Derek Self R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SU	4.57	13.1%	5.5%	3.4%	.315	4.20	13.7%	8.0%	167	-0.37	3.82	302	82
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	82
Garrett Farmer R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	13.4%	8.3%	2.8%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	1.40	127	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	13.8%	8.2%	1.18	5.05
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Matt Whiteside ('05)	2.0	58	14.5%	8.8%	1.15	5.23
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*