Stephen Quigley

P Dayton Dragons

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 183 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	ACIN	2	1	5	6.75	7.22	18.5%	7.4%	—	K 18.5% · BB 7.4% · FIP 6.54
2025	25	MIX2 levels	12	0	23	4.37	2.17	18.6%	5.2%	—	K 13.0% · BB 6.5% · FIP 2.82
2026	26	MIX2 levels	32	1	53	6.15	5.07	18.7%	10.7%	—	K 13.8% · BB 12.8% · FIP 6.02
2027PROJ	27	MLBCIN	22	0	23	5.30	5.30	16.1%	11.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBCIN	8	0	8	5.25	5.29	16.7%	11.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDavid Holman (age 27) · Thad Weber (age 28) · Justin Lehr (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%16.1%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%4.7%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	2	1	5	27	5	2	2	50%	2.7	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	7.4%	6.75	6.54	—
2024	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	2	1	5	27	5	2	2	50%	2.7	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	7.4%	6.75	6.54	—
2024	24	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	2	1	5	27	5	2	2	50%	2.7	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	7.4%	6.75	7.22	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	23	97	18	5	0	0%	1.9	13.0%	6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	4.37	2.82	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	23	97	18	5	0	0%	1.9	13.0%	6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	4.37	2.82	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	23	97	18	5	0	0%	1.9	18.6%	5.2%	13.4%	0.0%	4.37	2.17	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	53	252	47	27	9	3%	1.6	13.8%	12.8%	0.9%	4.5%	6.15	6.02	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	53	252	47	27	9	3%	1.6	13.8%	12.8%	0.9%	4.5%	6.15	6.02	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	1	53	252	47	27	9	3%	1.6	18.7%	10.7%	7.9%	3.6%	6.15	5.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CIN	22	0	23	97	16	11	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	11.4%	4.7%	3.2%	5.30	5.30	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	21	0	22	94	16	11	3	0%	1.1	16.7%	11.3%	5.4%	3.2%	5.25	5.29	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.3%	5.4%	3.2%	5.25	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.3%	5.4%	3.2%	5.25	4.91	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	98	25	0%	1.1	16.7%	11.3%	5.4%	3.2%	5.25	4.91	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		46	2	81	376	52	41	13	4%	1.8	13.9%	10.8%	3.1%	3.5%	5.69	5.23	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	5	200	932	130	101	33	4%	1.8	13.9%	10.8%	3.1%	3.5%	5.69	5.23	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stephen Quigley (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	16.1%	11.4%	3.2%	—	5.29	16.7%	5.4%	22	-0.01	—	—	—
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	90
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	89
Justin Lehr R 2005 · 4.58 FIP	27	SU	4.58	14.9%	10.4%	2.6%	.252	4.23	16.0%	8.0%	16	-0.35	4.23	148	88
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	86
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	85
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Nelson Gonzalez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	15.3%	13.7%	2.6%	.239	5.79	17.4%	6.7%	96	+0.79	3.42	258	84
Chris Hatcher R 2012 · 5.60 FIP	27	SU	5.60	15.2%	9.1%	4.8%	.298	2.68	26.4%	20.9%	95	-2.92	2.51	246	83
Adrian Garza R 2015 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	14.9%	10.5%	4.2%	.360	4.17	13.1%	6.5%	84	-1.30	3.94	229	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	83
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Scot Shields R 2002 · 4.27 FIP	27	SU	4.27	16.0%	10.6%	2.1%	.201	3.01	22.1%	15.0%	345	-1.26	2.77	686	82
Rob Scahill R 2014 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	15.3%	9.7%	3.7%	.275	3.59	15.6%	8.6%	141	-1.48	3.06	250	82
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82