Jose Guerra — OGILVIE

Jose GuerraC DSL Colorado

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK H +10%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.8 · 2032

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .279 / .316

PA98

HR1

K%27

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.8	$28M	+$27M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.5	$26M	+$21M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.2	$24M	+$16M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.9	$21M	+$12M
Totals		$24M		$152M	+$128M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	72	67	14	2	0	1	5	14	0	0	1	.209	.264	.284	.547	.075	.250	19	7	.248	48	-4	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	84	76	10	2	0	0	3	20	1	4	0	.132	.175	.158	.333	.026	.169	24	4	.143	-32	-13	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	115	98	19	5	0	1	5	30	6	2	1	.194	.275	.276	.551	.082	.257	26	4	.226	31	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	COL	98	90	20	4	1	1	7	27	1	1	0	.222	.286	.322	.608	.100	.287	28	7	.271	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	COL	184	165	37	7	1	4	15	48	2	3	1	.224	.297	.352	.648	.127	.290	26	8	.293	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	COL	313	280	65	12	2	8	26	79	4	6	1	.232	.306	.375	.681	.143	.291	25	8	.303	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	COL	402	359	84	15	2	11	35	99	5	8	2	.234	.311	.379	.690	.145	.292	25	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.8
2030	24	MLB 62%	COL	462	412	98	18	3	13	41	112	6	10	2	.238	.316	.391	.707	.153	.292	24	9	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.3
2031	25	MLB 80%	COL	496	442	106	19	3	15	45	119	6	10	2	.240	.318	.398	.717	.158	.293	24	9	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.6
2032	26	MLB 94%	COL	516	457	111	20	3	16	48	124	6	11	2	.243	.323	.405	.728	.162	.293	24	9	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2033	27	MLB	COL	520	460	111	20	3	16	49	125	6	10	2	.241	.322	.402	.725	.161	.293	24	9	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2034	28	MLB	COL	520	459	110	20	3	15	50	126	6	10	1	.240	.322	.394	.717	.155	.293	24	10	.320	103	+2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.7
2035	29	MLB	COL	517	456	108	19	3	15	50	127	6	9	1	.237	.320	.390	.711	.154	.292	25	10	.318	102	+1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2036	30	MLB	COL	509	449	106	19	3	15	49	127	6	7	1	.236	.319	.392	.711	.156	.291	25	10	.315	99	-0	+1	-2	+9	+14	2.2
2037	31	MLB	COL	481	426	98	17	3	13	46	122	6	5	0	.230	.314	.376	.689	.146	.289	25	10	.311	96	-2	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.9
2038	32	MLB	COL	450	399	90	16	2	12	43	116	5	2	0	.226	.309	.366	.675	.140	.288	26	10	.307	93	-4	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.4
2039	33	MLB	COL	410	363	81	14	2	11	39	109	5	1	0	.223	.307	.364	.671	.140	.286	27	10	.301	89	-5	+0	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2040	34	MLB	COL	356	315	70	12	2	9	34	98	4	0	0	.222	.306	.359	.665	.137	.285	28	10	.295	84	-7	+0	-5	+6	+10	0.5
2041	35	MLB	COL	298	265	57	10	2	7	28	85	3	0	0	.215	.297	.347	.644	.132	.282	29	9	.287	78	-8	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.1
2042	36	MLB	COL	239	212	43	7	1	5	22	70	3	0	0	.203	.287	.316	.603	.113	.279	29	9	.278	71	-8	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	COL	180	160	31	5	1	3	16	55	2	0	0	.194	.275	.294	.569	.100	.276	31	9	.268	63	-7	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7222	6410	1469	263	40	191	656	1832	89	99	17	.229	.309	.372	.682	.143	.289	25	9	.305	91	-70	+13	-38	+129	+205	24.3
/ 162G	—			650	577	133	24	4	17	59	165	8	9	2	.231	.311	.374	.685	.144	.291	25	9	.305	91	-6	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	72	61	16	3	1	11	10	0	0	1	.262	.375	.361	.736	.098	.300	14	15	.340	118	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	84	74	13	3	0	5	15	1	4	0	.176	.237	.216	.454	.041	.210	18	6	.204	14	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	115	95	23	7	1	8	21	6	2	1	.242	.339	.347	.687	.105	.289	18	7	.301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Guerra (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.213/.279/.316	.102	.287	1	1	27%	7%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A	20	43→53	41→55	47→40	43	.211/.267/.303	.093	.260	9	5	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.250/.290/.373	.123	.301	13	4	21%	5%	85	+0.7	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	.219/.281/.317	.098	.274	8	11	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.241/.317/.373	.132	.280	15	17	19%	9%	97	+1.5	.233/.312/.369	.136	.267	17	23	19%	9%	90	+0.8
●Dylan Carlson 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→55	45→50	45	.206/.277/.315	.109	.279	10	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	.228/.297/.383	.155	.293	16	10	27%	8%	91	+1.1	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→48	40→50	49→50	44	.205/.261/.303	.099	.264	7	10	25%	7%	54	-1.4	.223/.284/.349	.126	.283	12	10	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.227/.291/.359	.132	.280	13	10	23%	7%	80	+0.3
●Elly De La Cruz 2022 · A	20	45→54	44→60	49→65	33	.214/.255/.342	.127	.336	10	10	38%	4%	61	-1.0	.236/.290/.424	.188	.349	20	34	36%	7%	98	+1.6	.249/.324/.437	.188	.339	19	44	30%	9%	108	+2.5
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	43→50	48→40	45	.202/.300/.317	.115	.331	10	6	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.235/.325/.382	.147	.300	16	5	25%	10%	103	+1.9	.239/.326/.387	.148	.293	17	4	23%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Harold Garcia 2007 · A	20	45→55	39→45	46→55	46	.211/.303/.305	.094	.282	5	9	25%	8%	74	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.287	7	15	23%	5%	75	-0.0	.250/.302/.360	.110	.333	8	26	26%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
●Aaron Hicks 2010 · A	20	46→56	41→60	49→55	49	.223/.289/.330	.107	.285	8	12	24%	8%	72	-0.2	.224/.302/.340	.116	.311	8	14	28%	10%	81	+0.4	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A	20	45→50	41→55	49→50	44	.217/.269/.316	.099	.260	8	8	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.228/.265/.309	.081	.295	6	6	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.254/.298/.423	.169	.308	18	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	.215/.277/.302	.088	.284	6	8	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.215/.286/.335	.120	.300	12	3	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
●Jeimer Candelario 2014 · A	20	45→55	43→60	44→45	50	.220/.285/.331	.111	.266	10	3	21%	8%	72	-0.2	.214/.268/.339	.125	.266	11	2	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.247/.323/.429	.182	.296	19	3	22%	9%	111	+2.3
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A	20	43→51	43→60	47→55	36	.212/.251/.327	.115	.305	11	8	34%	5%	55	-1.4	.228/.271/.373	.145	.324	16	13	33%	5%	76	+0.1	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)