Jose GuerraC DSL Colorado
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .272 / .298
PA98
HR1
K%26
BB%6
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.01.02.00.20.60.91.21.41.51.51.41.21.00.7+$82M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$7M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$6M+$6M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.2$5M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.0$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$3M+0.7$1M+$0.3M
Totals $11M $31M +$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Rockies — 7266 14201 6140 01 212278288566 76255 198 248 48 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Rockies — 7261 16301 11100 01 262375361736 98300 1415 340 118 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Colorado — 8476 10200 3191 40 132175158333 26167 234 142 -33 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Colorado — 8474 13300 5151 40 176237216454 41210 186 204 14 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Colorado — 11598 19501 5296 21 194275276551 82254 254 225 30 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Colorado — 11595 23701 8216 21 242339347687 105289 187 301 89 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBCOL — 9891 20411 6261 10 220276319594 99286 276 261 58 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBCOL 34% 184168 37713 12472 21 220280327608 107288 267 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202822 MLBCOL 48% 313285 641225 21794 41 225287333620 109289 257 281 73 -9 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.6
202923 MLBCOL 54% 402366 841628 281005 52 230293350643 120290 257 287 78 -10 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.9
203024 MLBCOL 55% 462421 9818310 321156 62 233296361657 128291 257 291 81 -10 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.2
203125 MLBCOL 56% 496451 10519311 351237 62 233298361660 129292 257 293 82 -10 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.4
203226 MLBCOL 56% 516468 10920312 361287 72 233297365663 132291 257 294 83 -10 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.5
203327 MLBCOL 55% 520471 11020312 371297 72 234299365664 132291 257 294 84 -10 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.5
203428 MLBCOL 55% 520470 10920311 381307 62 232299357656 126291 257 293 83 -10 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.4
203529 MLBCOL 53% 517467 10820311 381307 62 231299358656 126290 257 291 81 -11 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.2
203630 MLBCOL 53% 509460 10419211 371297 52 226294348641 122289 257 289 79 -12 +0 -2 +9 +14 1.0
203731 MLBCOL 52% 481437 9818210 351246 41 224291343634 119286 267 285 76 -13 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.7
203832 MLBCOL 52% 450408 901629 331186 31 221289336624 115283 267 279 72 -14 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.3
203933 MLBCOL 56% 410372 801427 301095 21 215283320602 105279 277 272 66 -16 +0 -4 +7 +12 -0.1
202721 MLBCOL 34% 6358 14301 4161 10 241302345646 103309 256 282 74 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202822 MLBCOL 48% 152139 33613 10382 21 237298360658 122311 257 291 81 -3 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.4
202923 MLBCOL 54% 218198 48915 15543 31 242306374679 131312 257 298 86 -3 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.7
203024 MLBCOL 55% 256233 581126 18643 31 249311391702 142314 257 302 89 -3 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.9
203125 MLBCOL 56% 278253 631227 19694 41 249312395707 146314 257 304 91 -3 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.1
203226 MLBCOL 56% 290264 661327 20724 41 250312394706 144314 257 306 92 -3 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.1
203327 MLBCOL 55% 288261 651227 21724 41 249315391705 142313 257 306 92 -3 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.1
203428 MLBCOL 55% 285258 641227 21714 31 248314391706 143313 257 305 91 -3 +0 -0 +5 +8 1.0
203529 MLBCOL 53% 276250 631227 20694 31 252318400718 148312 257 303 90 -3 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.9
203630 MLBCOL 53% 268243 581116 20683 31 239305366671 128311 257 300 87 -4 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.8
203731 MLBCOL 52% 251228 541016 18653 21 237301368670 132308 267 295 84 -5 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.6
203832 MLBCOL 52% 233211 49915 17613 20 232299355654 123304 267 289 79 -5 +0 -2 +4 +7 0.4
203933 MLBCOL 56% 230208 49915 17613 10 236303361663 125300 277 282 74 -7 +0 -2 +4 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 30882804 6841291872 22078041 3510 244308380688 136312 257 299 87 -46 +3 -8 +55 +87 9.4
/ 162G— — 650590 14427415 461649 72 244309380688 136312 257 299 87 -10 +1 -2 +12 +18 2.0
Career— — 61495575 125923232123 432154984 7023 226291345637 119288 257 284 75 -172 +5 -15 +110 +174 10.4
/ 162G— — 650589 13325313 461649 72 226292345637 119288 257 284 75 -18 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Rockies — 7261 16301 11100 01 262375361736 98300 1415 340 118 +1 -0 — — +2 0.3
202418 ROKDSL Colorado — 8474 13300 5151 40 176237216454 41210 186 204 14 -8 +1 — — +2 -0.5
202519 ROKDSL Colorado — 11595 23701 8216 21 242339347687 105289 187 301 89 -1 +0 — — +3 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,1856535228290348+57+326.75.9
/162664137+11.9+6.71.4pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose Guerra (OGILVIE) 20 — — — — 213/272/298 85286 11 26% 6% 58 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Angel Martínez
2022 · A 		20 41→47 41→50 49→50 44 202/257/305 102265 810 26% 7% 53 -1.5 223/285/351 128285 1210 25% 7% 77 +0.1 226/291/358132282131024%7%79+0.2
✕Alejandro Flores
2016 · A 		20 37 39→50 45→40 43 182/248/265 83263 75 32% 8% 39 -2.5 203/261/310 107295 96 32% 7% 56 -1.3 202/257/34214027113430%6%59-0.5
✕Rosell Herrera
2013 · A 		20 40→50 37→45 48→55 40 193/243/266 73268 59 29% 6% 37 -2.7 229/276/310 81309 710 26% 6% 62 -0.9 247/301/3379031542422%7%76+0.1
✕Jean Batista
2012 · A 		20 43 40→55 50→45 36 208/238/300 92279 78 28% 4% 42 -2.3 219/243/339 120283 107 26% 3% 55 -1.4 223/237/36914627612624%1%58-0.3
✕Jason Lopez
2018 · A 		20 40 38→55 47→45 44 192/261/269 76264 59 28% 7% 46 -2.0 207/248/334 127286 136 31% 5% 57 -1.2 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
✕Riley Unroe
2016 · A 		20 42→48 36→50 44→55 43 202/257/261 60279 48 28% 7% 41 -2.3 188/253/253 65276 412 31% 8% 38 -2.6 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
✕Jose Marquez
2018 · A 		20 41 37→50 44→50 40 195/244/271 76263 44 27% 5% 38 -2.6 217/261/322 105295 87 28% 5% 59 -1.1 199/246/317119277121032%5%48-0.6
✕Jon Del Campo
2007 · A 		19 43 38→45 45→55 46 205/268/282 77271 65 26% 8% 52 -1.6 205/257/287 82297 45 30% 6% 47 -1.9 259/294/370111330121824%4%85+0.4
✕Luis Torrens
2016 · A 		20 43→47 39→55 49→30 44 205/276/287 82282 66 28% 7% 56 -1.3 210/273/295 85266 74 22% 7% 57 -1.2 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
✕Marcus Littlewood
2013 · A 		21 40 40→45 48→45 41 198/248/289 92267 87 29% 6% 44 -2.1 199/266/305 106272 105 28% 8% 57 -1.2 209/274/32211327010425%8%62-0.4
✕Junior Valera
2013 · A 		20 42 36→40 51→60 45 196/266/265 69275 210 28% 8% 46 -2.0 226/289/310 84293 318 22% 8% 67 -0.5 245/308/3389430732820%8%77+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard
2021 · A 		20 42→47 40→55 45→50 44 202/274/296 94295 78 32% 8% 59 -1.1 228/295/379 151303 175 29% 7% 89 +1.0 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
✕Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A 		20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
✕Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A 		20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
✕John Tolisano
2009 · A 		20 38→47 42→50 50 44 189/251/293 104258 96 30% 8% 47 -1.9 196/258/316 120267 126 30% 8% 56 -1.3 204/271/341137267141228%8%65-0.4
✕Brainer Bonaci
2022 · A 		20 41→42 39→45 53→50 42 196/255/285 89270 513 28% 7% 46 -2.0 211/283/320 109300 1013 30% 9% 69 -0.4 209/285/321112292121430%9%67-0.4
●Miguel Gómez
2013 · A 		20 42→52 38→50 49→40 41 199/257/279 80273 46 28% 6% 46 -2.0 221/266/318 97290 75 25% 5% 59 -1.1 276/293/42314730916116%2%95+1.0
✕Wilmer Dominguez
2011 · A 		20 43 40→45 49→45 42 209/255/300 91272 75 26% 6% 50 -1.7 218/253/304 86275 85 23% 4% 50 -1.7 247/278/35911127314515%4%72-0.1
✕Rodolfo Durán
2018 · A 		20 43 41→55 46→40 39 210/252/306 96282 86 28% 5% 50 -1.7 208/243/347 139281 183 32% 4% 59 -1.1 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
✕Josh Johnson
2006 · A 		20 43→49 39→45 48→50 50 203/280/297 94266 59 24% 9% 61 -1.0 218/304/287 69285 310 22% 11% 69 -0.4 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6