Angelo Hernandez

C ACL White Sox

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1843ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKCWS	78	.232/.442/.304	0	2	52	—	.148/.325/.197
2024	18	ROKCWS	126	.248/.325/.416	4	1	28	—	.155/.222/.250
2025	19	ROKCWS	92	.254/.418/.324	1	0	49	—	.182/.308/.234
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBCWS	202	.197/.267/.283	2	1	57	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCWS	24	.202/.273/.299	0	0	62	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBCWS	77	.206/.277/.311	1	0	66	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%82

Chase%79

wRC+63

wOBA60

ISO32

Whiff%23

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .265 / .281

PA35

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	78	56	13	4	0	0	16	8	5	2	0	232	442	304	745	71	265	10	21	361	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	126	113	28	5	1	4	8	38	5	1	2	248	325	416	741	168	338	30	6	333	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	92	71	18	2	0	1	17	26	3	0	1	254	418	324	742	70	378	28	18	351	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	78	61	9	3	0	0	11	9	5	2	0	148	325	197	521	49	161	12	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	126	116	18	3	1	2	5	55	5	1	2	155	222	250	472	95	267	44	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	92	77	14	1	0	1	11	38	3	0	1	182	308	234	541	52	305	41	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	78	61	9	3	0	0	11	9	5	2	0	148	325	197	521	49	170	12	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	78	56	13	4	0	0	16	8	5	2	0	232	442	304	745	71	265	10	21	361	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	126	116	18	3	1	2	5	55	5	1	2	155	222	250	472	95	271	44	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	126	113	28	5	1	4	8	38	5	1	2	248	325	416	741	168	338	30	6	333	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	92	77	14	1	0	1	11	38	3	0	1	182	308	234	541	52	333	41	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	92	71	18	2	0	1	17	26	3	0	1	254	418	324	742	70	378	28	18	351	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	78	62	9	3	0	0	11	9	5	2	0	145	325	194	518	48	161	12	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	126	115	18	3	1	2	5	55	5	1	2	157	222	252	474	96	267	44	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	92	78	14	1	0	1	11	38	3	0	1	179	308	231	538	51	305	41	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	126	115	18	3	1	2	5	55	5	1	2	157	222	252	474	96	267	44	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	92	78	14	1	0	1	11	38	3	0	1	179	308	231	538	51	305	41	12	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	202	182	35	6	1	2	15	66	3	1	0	197	267	283	551	86	288	33	7	252	57	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	71	65	12	2	0	1	5	23	1	0	0	202	272	297	570	96	289	32	7	260	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	CWS	50%	155	140	30	5	1	3	12	48	2	0	0	206	277	309	586	103	290	31	8	266	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	237	214	44	7	1	4	18	73	3	1	0	209	281	319	600	110	291	31	8	272	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	CWS	60%	307	277	59	10	2	6	23	93	4	1	0	212	283	327	610	115	292	30	7	276	73	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	CWS	62%	356	321	69	11	2	8	27	106	5	1	0	214	285	333	619	119	291	30	8	279	75	-11	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	CWS	63%	379	342	73	12	2	8	29	114	5	1	1	213	284	330	615	118	291	30	8	278	74	-12	-0	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	387	349	73	12	2	8	30	117	5	1	1	211	282	326	608	115	290	30	8	275	72	-13	-0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	385	348	72	12	2	7	29	118	5	1	0	208	279	319	599	111	288	31	8	271	70	-14	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	202	273	299	572	97	290	33	8	261	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CWS	50%	77	70	13	2	0	1	6	24	1	0	0	206	277	311	589	105	291	31	8	267	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	134	121	26	4	1	3	10	41	2	0	0	210	281	321	602	111	292	31	7	273	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	CWS	60%	185	166	36	6	1	4	14	56	3	0	0	213	284	329	613	117	292	30	8	277	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CWS	62%	222	200	43	7	1	5	17	66	3	0	0	215	286	335	622	121	292	30	8	281	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	CWS	63%	240	217	46	8	1	5	18	72	3	0	0	214	285	333	618	119	292	30	8	279	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	252	228	48	8	1	5	19	76	3	1	0	212	283	328	611	116	290	30	8	276	72	-8	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	250	226	47	8	1	5	19	76	3	1	0	209	280	322	602	112	289	30	8	272	70	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1384	1250	263	44	6	28	105	419	18	2	0	210	281	322	604	112	290	30	8	276	68	-46	+0	-1	+25	+30	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	124	21	3	13	49	197	8	1	0	211	281	324	604	112	292	30	8	276	68	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2608	2341	479	79	13	48	203	805	44	9	5	205	281	311	592	106	287	31	8	269	68	-78	+0	-2	+41	+50	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	119	20	3	12	51	201	11	2	1	204	280	310	591	106	287	31	8	269	68	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL White Sox · 92 PAwOBA .347 → .241 (−106)K% 28.3% → 40.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.26%	÷0.998	×1.440	—	—	40.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.48%	÷0.994	×0.620	—	×0.995	11.47%
HBP% /PA	3.26%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	2.34%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷0.980	×0.820	—	×0.995	27.74%
Doubles /BIP	4.44%	÷1.039	×0.720	—	×0.995	3.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.128	×0.780	—	×0.995	1.53%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .347 → .241; ISO .070 → .045; BABIP .378 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL White Sox · 126 PAwOBA .324 → .210 (−114)K% 30.2% → 43.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.16%	÷0.990	×1.440	—	—	43.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.35%	÷1.017	×0.620	—	×1.008	3.90%
HBP% /PA	3.97%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.88%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷0.993	×0.820	×0.995	×1.008	19.86%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.012	×0.720	×0.995	×1.008	4.75%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷0.900	×0.720	×0.995	×1.008	1.07%
Home runs /BIP	5.33%	÷1.076	×0.780	—	×1.008	3.90%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .324 → .210; ISO .168 → .102; BABIP .338 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL White Sox · 78 PAwOBA .358 → .245 (−112)K% 10.3% → 11.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.26%	÷1.073	×1.220	—	—	11.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.51%	÷1.030	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.05%
HBP% /PA	6.41%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	4.52%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.045	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	11.68%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.013	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	4.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.233	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 115, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .358 → .245; ISO .071 → .046; BABIP .265 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	3.1	2,047	34	1	218*	292*	337*	+35	-0	2.6	3.3
#3Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	/162	664	11	0	218*	292*	337*	+11.4	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.1	1,421	28	3	211	280	325	+25	+24	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	13	2	211	280	325	+11.9	+11.2	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
	/162	664	11	1	226*	277*	345*	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
	/162	664	13	1	218*	277*	341*	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
	/162	664	8	2	211*	275*	330*	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Angelo Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps