John Estevez — OGILVIE

John EstevezOF FCL Braves

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION92 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	224	177	35	9	2	3	42	42	3	4	4	198	359	322	681	124	241	19	19	319	102	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	196	150	30	8	3	1	38	49	4	7	3	200	375	313	688	113	279	25	19	321	103	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	29	23	4	0	0	0	6	5	0	0	0	174	345	174	519		222	17	21	269	68	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	152	127	23	5	1	1	23	32	1	3	3	181	311	260	571	79	234	21	15	272	70	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	195	29	7	1	3	25	63	3	4	4	149	256	241	497	92	198	28	11	229	41	-16	-1	—	—	+5	-1.2
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	164	23	6	2	1	24	68	4	7	3	140	266	220	485	79	204	35	12	220	35	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	29	25	4	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	160	276	160	436		203	24	14	202	23	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	152	136	18	3	1	1	14	47	1	3	3	132	219	191	410	59	187	31	9	187	13	-16	-1	—	—	+3	-1.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	195	29	7	1	3	25	63	3	4	4	149	256	241	497	92	200	28	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	224	177	35	9	2	3	42	42	3	4	4	198	359	322	681	124	241	19	19	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	164	23	6	2	1	24	68	4	7	3	140	266	220	485	79	222	35	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	196	150	30	8	3	1	38	49	4	7	3	200	375	313	688	113	279	25	19	321	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	181	161	21	3	1	1	18	54	1	3	3	130	222	180	402	50	189	30	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	181	150	27	5	1	1	29	37	1	3	3	180	317	247	563	67	232	20	16	272	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	194	29	7	1	3	25	63	3	4	4	149	256	242	498	93	198	28	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	166	23	6	2	1	24	68	4	7	3	139	266	217	482	78	204	35	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	181	160	21	3	1	1	18	54	1	3	3	131	222	181	403	50	190	30	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	194	29	7	1	3	25	63	3	4	4	149	256	242	498	93	198	28	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	166	23	6	2	1	24	68	4	7	3	139	266	217	482	78	204	35	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	181	160	21	3	1	1	18	54	1	3	3	131	222	181	403	50	190	30	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ATL	—	92	79	12	1	0	0	8	39	2	2	0	152	247	165	412	13	279	42	9	207	26	-8	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	ATL	—	50	37	8	2	0	0	9	13	2	2	0	216	396	270	666	54	308	26	18	315	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	ATL	—	23	21	4	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	190	227	190	418		286	35	4	188	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	ATL	—	19	16	4	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	250	368	250	618		444	37	16	301	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	ATL	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		263	25	8	249	55	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	ATL	—	104	90	14	1	0	0	9	42	2	2	0	156	248	167	414	11	275	40	9	212	30	-9	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	257	227	46	9	1	3	25	66	3	4	1	203	290	291	581	88	271	26	10	268	67	-10	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	369	327	69	13	2	6	35	93	4	5	1	211	295	318	613	107	274	25	9	278	74	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	442	392	84	16	2	8	42	110	5	6	2	214	298	327	625	112	276	25	10	285	79	-11	+0	+0	-3	+10	-0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	490	434	94	18	2	9	47	121	6	7	2	217	302	329	631	113	277	25	10	289	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	517	456	99	19	2	10	50	127	6	7	2	217	303	333	636	116	277	25	10	290	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	532	469	102	20	2	10	52	131	6	7	2	217	304	333	636	115	277	25	10	291	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	536	472	102	20	2	10	53	132	6	7	2	216	303	331	634	114	277	25	10	291	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	535	471	101	19	2	10	53	133	6	7	2	214	302	327	629	113	276	25	10	290	82	-11	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	88	79	15	3	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	190	273	266	539	76	271	26	9	259	67	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	179	158	33	6	1	3	17	45	2	2	1	209	294	316	610	108	274	25	9	270	74	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	240	212	46	9	1	4	23	60	3	3	1	217	303	325	628	108	276	25	10	276	79	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	272	241	52	10	1	5	26	67	3	4	1	216	300	328	628	112	277	25	10	280	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	289	256	56	11	1	6	28	71	3	4	1	219	303	340	643	121	277	25	10	281	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	319	281	61	12	1	6	31	78	4	4	1	217	304	331	635	114	277	24	10	282	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	332	292	63	12	1	6	33	82	4	4	1	216	304	325	629	110	277	25	10	282	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	338	298	64	12	1	7	33	84	4	4	1	215	301	332	634	117	276	25	10	281	82	-7	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2057	1817	390	75	7	38	199	510	24	26	7	215	300	326	627	112	275	25	10	279	73	-47	+2	-0	-12	+45	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	123	24	2	12	63	161	8	8	2	214	301	326	627	111	275	25	10	279	73	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4291	3779	772	150	19	71	425	1101	50	64	24	204	293	310	604	106	266	26	10	277	73	-87	+4	-1	-22	+80	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	118	23	3	11	64	167	8	10	4	206	295	315	610	108	269	26	10	277	73	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.4	2,226	39	30	216	298	327	-13	+0	-0.3	0.0
/162	664	12	9	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Estevez (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	40	55	189/276/252	63	263	1	3	27%	9%	55	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	45	-2.7	205/298/270	65	269	4	12	23%	11%	67	-1.1	199/294/260	61	266	4	15	24%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	38	39→40	44→30	44	188/251/268	79	246	7	3	26%	7%	48	-2.5	205/261/316	111	263	10	6	25%	7%	62	-1.4	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Adonis Pacheco 2011 · A	20	40	35→50	42→55	45	188/250/244	57	257	2	9	26%	7%	42	-2.9	204/261/291	87	267	3	14	23%	7%	56	-1.9	202/257/304	102	256	4	17	21%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	45	-2.7	189/259/292	103	281	8	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	42	-2.9	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	70	-0.9	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	44	-2.8	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	43	-2.8	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	18	-1.5
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	58	-1.7	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	64	-1.3	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Hector Hernandez 2016 · A	20	41	35→30	46→45	45	192/262/254	62	262	2	7	26%	7%	49	-2.4	190/260/256	66	301	3	8	35%	8%	49	-2.4	114/195/149	34	227	0	10	45%	8%	1	-1.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2011 · A	19	41	37→45	42→30	47	194/260/268	74	247	3	4	22%	7%	51	-2.2	214/272/303	89	268	7	3	22%	7%	63	-1.3	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Anneury Peguero 2007 · A	20	43	35→30	44→50	48	201/266/259	58	253	2	7	20%	7%	51	-2.2	211/289/268	57	271	3	12	21%	9%	62	-1.4	205/293/243	38	260	2	16	20%	10%	55	-0.6
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2017 · A	19	41	40	45→50	51	195/277/291	96	232	6	6	18%	8%	63	-1.3	219/297/321	102	266	8	11	20%	8%	78	-0.3	198/280/291	93	262	8	15	25%	9%	63	-0.5
✕John Mora 2013 · A	20	45→50	35→40	41→50	49	208/287/277	69	273	2	10	23%	8%	63	-1.3	228/296/311	83	284	2	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	239/306/341	102	291	3	14	18%	8%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps