John Estevez

OF FCL Braves
Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKATL196.200/.375/.3131738—.141/.271/.221
202519A/ROKATL181.180/.317/.2471316—.137/.228/.186
202620A+/A/ROKATL92.216/.348/.2430227—.154/.258/.167
2027PROJMLE21MLBATL202.187/.267/.2531350-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBATL42.193/.274/.2740158-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%90
BB%68
wRC+36
Whiff%32
K%30
wOBA28
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsAaron Shipman (age 21) · Grabiel Jimenez (age 21) · Nelson B Alvarez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .265 / .251
PA60
HR0
K%28
BB%9
ISO67
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Braves — 224177 35923 42423 44 198359322681 124241 1919 319 34 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Braves — 196150 30831 38494 73 200375313688 113279 2519 321 38 — — — — — —
202519 AAugusta GreenJackets — 2923 4000 650 00 174345174519 222 1721 269 32 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Braves — 152127 23511 23321 33 181311260571 79234 2115 272 13 — — — — — —
202620 A+Rome Emperors — 1916 4000 370 00 250368250618 444 3716 301 33 — — — — — —
202620 AAugusta GreenJackets — 2321 4000 180 00 190227190418 286 354 188 -9 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Braves — 5037 8200 9132 20 216396270666 54308 2618 315 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 224191 25612 29533 44 131256204460 73167 2413 218 34 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 196163 23621 25684 73 141271221492 80209 3513 224 38 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 2925 4000 470 00 160276160436 207 2414 216 32 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 152136 18311 14471 33 132219191410 59188 319 188 13 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLERome Emperors — 1917 3000 290 00 176263176440 403 4711 217 33 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 2321 3000 1110 00 143182143325 268 484 155 -9 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 5040 6100 6192 20 150292175467 25244 3812 230 42 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 224191 25612 29533 44 131256204460 73168 2413 218 34 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 224177 35923 42423 44 198359322681 124241 1919 319 34 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 196163 23621 25684 73 141271221492 80224 3513 224 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 196150 30831 38494 73 200375313688 113279 2519 321 38 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 181160 21311 19541 33 131228181409 50190 3010 192 16 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 181150 27511 29371 33 180317247563 67232 2016 272 16 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE3 teams — 9279 12100 8392 20 152247165412 13279 429 209 27 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAW3 teams — 9274 16200 13282 20 216348243592 27327 3014 280 27 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 224190 25612 29533 44 132256205461 74167 2413 218 34 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 196165 23621 25684 73 139271218489 79209 3513 224 38 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 181159 21311 19541 33 132228182410 50191 3010 192 16 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE3 teams — 9282 12100 8392 20 146247159406 12283 429 209 27 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 196165 23621 25684 73 139271218489 79209 3513 224 38 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 181159 21311 19541 33 132228182410 50191 3010 192 16 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE3 teams — 9282 12100 8392 20 146247159406 12283 429 209 27 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEATL 0% 202180 33611 18562 31 187267253521 67260 289 242 50 -12 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEATL 34% 123110 21411 11331 21 193274274548 81263 279 253 58 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXATL 34% 4238 6100 4110 10 193274274548 81263 2610 253 58 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4238 6100 4110 10 158238184422 26222 2610 253 35 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 921500 621700 150 156237182419 26220 2610 253 35 -33 +3 +0 -4 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 876757 1112255 9726412 1911 147254209463 62213 3011 220 35 -10 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650562 831644 721969 148 148255212467 64214 3011 220 35 -35 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 50 PAwOBA .321 → .230 (−91)K% 26.0% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.00%÷1.000×1.440——37.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99511.10%
HBP% /PA4.00%—×0.720—×0.9952.87%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99520.40%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9955.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .321 → .230; ISO .054 → .039; BABIP .308 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 23 PAwOBA .191 → .155 (−36)K% 34.8% → 47.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.78%÷1.000×1.360——47.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.35%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0303.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.000×0.920—×1.03029.16%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0300.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .191 → .155; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 19 PAwOBA .294 → .217 (−78)K% 36.8% → 48.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.84%÷1.000×1.310——48.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0429.87%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP44.44%÷1.000×0.870—×1.04240.29%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0420.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .294 → .217; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .444 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 152 PAwOBA .266 → .188 (−78)K% 21.1% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.980×1.440——30.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.13%÷1.013×0.620—×1.0089.33%
HBP% /PA0.66%—×0.720—×1.0080.48%
Singles /BIP16.84%÷1.005×0.820×1.011×1.00814.00%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.996×0.720×1.011×1.0083.88%
Triples /BIP1.05%÷1.000×0.720×1.011×1.0080.77%
Home runs /BIP1.05%÷0.856×0.780—×1.0080.97%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .266 → .188; ISO .079 → .059; BABIP .234 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 29 PAwOBA .264 → .216 (−48)K% 17.2% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.24%÷0.984×1.360——23.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.69%÷0.985×0.690—×1.04515.15%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.030×0.920—×1.04520.74%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.977×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.281×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .264 → .216; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 196 PAwOBA .321 → .224 (−97)K% 25.0% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.037×1.440——34.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.39%÷0.965×0.620—×1.02212.73%
HBP% /PA2.04%—×0.720—×1.0221.50%
Singles /BIP17.82%÷1.047×0.820×0.987×1.02214.09%
Doubles /BIP7.92%÷1.022×0.720×0.987×1.0225.63%
Triples /BIP2.97%÷1.150×0.720×0.987×1.0221.88%
Home runs /BIP0.99%÷1.266×0.780—×1.0220.62%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .321 → .224; ISO .113 → .075; BABIP .279 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Braves · 224 PAwOBA .314 → .218 (−96)K% 18.8% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷0.961×1.220——23.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.048×0.700—×1.02212.81%
HBP% /PA1.34%—×0.700—×1.0220.96%
Singles /BIP15.56%÷1.004×0.680×1.032×1.02211.12%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.913×0.600×1.032×1.0224.62%
Triples /BIP1.48%÷1.141×0.600×1.032×1.0220.82%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷0.816×0.470—×1.0221.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .314 → .218; ISO .124 → .081; BABIP .241 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).