John Estevez — OGILVIE

John EstevezOF FCL Braves

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .271 / .256

PA96

HR1

K%26

BB%9

BABIP250

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	224	196	30	8	1	4	24	66	3	4	4	153	256	265	521	112	205	29	11	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	224	177	35	9	2	3	42	42	3	4	4	198	359	322	681	124	241	19	19	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	196	163	22	6	2	1	25	66	4	7	3	135	266	215	480	80	210	34	13	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	196	150	30	8	3	1	38	49	4	7	3	200	375	313	688	113	279	25	19	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	181	161	21	3	1	1	18	55	1	3	3	130	222	180	402	50	190	30	10	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	181	150	27	5	1	1	29	37	1	3	3	180	317	247	563	67	232	20	16	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	ATL	—	73	62	9	1	0	0	6	30	2	2	0	145	243	161	404	16	257	41	8	205	15	-7	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
YTD	20	ROK	ATL	—	73	58	12	2	0	0	10	21	2	2	0	207	343	241	584	34	300	29	14	275	69	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	20	ROK	ATL	0%	96	86	16	3	0	1	9	25	1	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	260	26	9	249	49	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		260	—	—	240	42	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	ATL	—	73	63	9	1	0	0	6	30	2	2	0	143	243	159	402	16	250	41	8	205	15	-7	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
TOT	20	ROK	ATL	—	169	148	25	4	0	1	15	55	3	4	0	169	259	216	475	47	253	33	9	230	34	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ATL	34%	257	228	46	9	1	3	24	66	3	4	1	202	286	289	576	88	267	26	9	267	62	-11	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2028	22	MLB	ATL	48%	369	326	68	13	2	6	35	93	5	5	1	209	295	316	611	107	270	25	9	277	70	-12	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	ATL	34%	88	79	15	3	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	190	273	266	539	76	267	26	9	258	56	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	ATL	48%	179	158	34	7	1	3	17	45	2	3	1	215	299	329	629	114	270	25	9	268	63	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	267	238	49	10	1	4	25	68	3	4	1	206	291	307	597	101	269	25	9	265	61	-12	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	119	24	2	10	61	166	7	10	2	206	289	306	595	100	269	26	9	265	61	-29	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	1323	1160	203	42	7	16	135	371	17	25	12	175	271	265	535	90	239	28	10	245	46	-81	+0	+0	-8	+37	-5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	100	21	3	8	66	182	8	12	6	175	270	265	535	89	240	28	10	245	46	-40	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	224	177	35	9	2	3	42	42	3	4	4	198	359	322	681	124	241	19	19	319	103	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	196	150	30	8	3	1	38	49	4	7	3	200	375	313	688	113	279	25	19	321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	29	23	4	0	0	0	6	5	0	0	0	174	345	174	519		222	17	21	269	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	152	127	23	5	1	1	23	32	1	3	3	181	311	260	571	79	234	21	15	272	67	-6	-1	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	436	5	6	204	286	295	-3	+0	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	7	10	204	286	295	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Estevez (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	40	55	169/259/216	47	253	1	4	33%	9%	34	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	37	-2.6	205/297/270	65	270	4	12	23%	11%	62	-0.9	199/293/259	61	267	4	15	24%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Hector Hernandez 2016 · A	20	41	35→30	46→45	45	192/262/254	62	262	2	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	190/260/256	66	301	3	8	35%	8%	42	-2.3	114/195/149	34	227	0	10	45%	8%	-12	-1.3
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	53	-1.5	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	59	-1.1	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Delbis Arcila 2013 · A	20	41	38→45	44→45	47	195/270/282	87	273	5	6	29%	9%	53	-1.5	216/275/332	116	308	11	5	31%	7%	68	-0.5	219/273/360	140	304	16	3	32%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2017 · A	19	41	40	45→50	51	195/277/291	96	232	6	6	18%	8%	59	-1.1	218/296/320	102	265	8	11	20%	8%	74	-0.1	196/277/286	90	260	8	15	26%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Sam McDonnell 2016 · A	20	45→43	36→40	45	46	211/270/277	65	283	3	10	25%	7%	50	-1.7	205/279/288	83	286	4	8	27%	9%	58	-1.2	197/278/281	84	274	5	7	27%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Branden Becker 2018 · A	21	41	35→40	40→30	41	196/240/250	53	255	2	4	23%	5%	30	-3.1	233/275/313	80	323	6	4	28%	5%	62	-0.9	248/286/321	73	344	7	1	29%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Bryan Santos 2019 · A	20	41	36→30	39→40	44	195/257/265	71	267	3	4	27%	7%	43	-2.2	205/262/277	72	269	3	5	23%	7%	47	-1.9	192/251/255	63	246	2	4	21%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	37	-2.7	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	49	-1.8	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	56	-0.3
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Cristopher Luciano 2016 · A	20	41	39→40	44→50	50	194/287/280	86	269	6	7	28%	10%	61	-1.0	189/274/269	80	284	5	6	32%	9%	52	-1.6	77/194/108	32	130	4	0	40%	12%	-22	-1.1
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	35	-2.8	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	66	-0.6	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Julio Rojas 2008 · A	20	43	36→30	43→45	50	204/278/274	70	268	3	6	24%	9%	54	-1.4	202/260/277	75	268	3	8	24%	7%	46	-2.0	178/234/246	68	231	0	10	21%	6%	24	-1.0
✕Felix Vinicio 2015 · A	20	44	37→40	43→30	50	208/270/280	72	247	4	4	17%	7%	52	-1.6	210/254/273	63	245	2	4	14%	5%	43	-2.2	202/240/254	52	233	1	2	13%	4%	30	-0.9
✕Carlos Duran 2012 · A	20	42	36→30	39→40	51	191/266/253	62	221	3	3	15%	7%	44	-2.1	199/251/272	73	229	4	4	15%	5%	41	-2.3	195/223/278	83	210	5	0	10%	3%	27	-1.0