Francisco Caldera

Francisco CalderaC DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 193 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .276 / .306

PA4

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	81	16	3	1	2	15	22	1	1	0	198	330	333	663	136	241	22	15	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	127	29	4	0	2	16	26	6	9	1	228	342	307	649	79	267	17	11	303	91	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	27	6	1	1	2	7	11	0	0	1	222	382	556	938	333	267	31	20	393	152	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	87	12	2	1	2	9	32	1	1	0	138	227	253	480	115	177	33	9	206	26	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	134	24	3	0	2	9	39	6	9	1	179	262	246	508	67	215	26	6	221	36	-12	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	30	5	1	1	2	4	16	0	0	1	167	265	467	731	300	202	46	11	269	68	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	87	12	2	1	2	9	32	1	1	0	138	227	253	480	115	185	33	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	81	16	3	1	2	15	22	1	1	0	198	330	333	663	136	241	22	15	305	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	134	24	3	0	2	9	39	6	9	1	179	262	246	508	67	232	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	127	29	4	0	2	16	26	6	9	1	228	342	307	649	79	267	17	11	303	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	30	5	1	1	2	4	16	0	0	1	167	265	467	731	300	231	46	11	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	27	6	1	1	2	7	11	0	0	1	222	382	556	938	333	267	31	20	393	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	88	12	2	1	2	9	32	1	1	0	136	227	250	477	114	177	33	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	135	24	3	0	2	9	39	6	9	1	178	262	244	506	67	215	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	31	5	1	1	2	4	16	0	0	1	161	265	452	716	290	202	46	11	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	98	88	12	2	1	2	9	32	1	1	0	136	227	250	477	114	177	33	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	151	135	24	3	0	2	9	39	6	9	1	178	262	244	506	67	215	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	35	31	5	1	1	2	4	16	0	0	1	161	265	452	716	290	202	46	11	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		285	25	0	267	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	135	122	26	4	1	2	10	37	2	2	1	213	284	311	595	98	287	27	7	278	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	275	249	55	9	2	6	21	73	3	4	1	221	289	345	635	124	289	27	8	285	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	374	337	76	13	3	8	29	98	5	5	1	226	296	353	650	128	290	26	8	291	83	-8	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	442	399	90	15	3	10	34	115	6	6	2	226	296	353	650	128	291	26	8	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	481	435	98	17	3	11	37	125	6	7	2	225	295	354	649	129	291	26	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+10	1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	504	454	104	18	3	12	39	131	6	7	2	229	299	361	660	132	291	26	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	514	461	105	18	3	12	41	134	7	7	2	228	301	358	659	130	291	26	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	516	463	105	18	3	12	41	135	7	7	2	227	299	356	656	130	290	26	8	296	86	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	511	459	103	17	3	12	41	135	6	7	2	224	296	353	649	129	289	26	8	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	503	452	101	17	3	12	40	134	6	6	2	223	295	354	649	131	288	27	8	291	83	-10	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2037	31	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	476	429	95	16	3	11	38	128	6	5	1	221	294	350	644	128	285	27	8	287	80	-11	+1	-3	+8	+10	0.6
2038	32	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	445	401	86	14	3	9	36	122	5	4	1	214	287	332	619	117	282	27	8	282	77	-12	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	404	364	76	12	2	8	32	113	5	3	1	209	282	319	600	110	278	28	8	275	72	-13	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	46	42	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	214	283	333	616	119	289	26	7	269	74	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	133	120	28	5	1	3	10	35	2	2	1	233	303	367	670	133	291	26	8	276	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	203	182	41	7	1	4	16	53	3	3	1	225	299	341	639	115	292	26	8	282	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	245	221	51	9	2	5	19	64	3	4	1	231	300	357	658	127	293	26	8	285	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	269	243	56	10	2	6	21	70	3	4	1	230	300	362	662	132	293	26	8	287	86	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	283	255	59	10	2	7	22	74	4	4	1	231	302	369	671	137	293	26	8	288	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	284	256	59	10	2	7	22	74	4	4	1	230	301	367	669	137	293	26	8	288	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	283	254	59	10	2	7	23	74	4	4	1	232	306	370	676	138	292	26	8	287	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	273	246	56	10	2	6	22	72	3	4	1	228	299	358	657	130	291	26	8	285	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	265	239	54	9	2	6	21	71	3	3	1	226	297	356	652	130	290	27	8	282	83	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	248	223	48	8	1	5	20	67	3	2	1	215	289	327	616	112	287	27	8	278	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	250	225	48	8	1	5	20	68	3	2	1	213	286	324	611	111	284	27	8	273	77	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	238	214	45	7	1	5	19	66	3	2	0	210	284	322	606	112	280	28	8	266	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3020	2720	613	105	19	67	238	800	39	39	11	225	297	352	649	126	293	26	8	282	81	-62	+3	-8	+54	+65	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	132	23	4	14	51	172	8	8	2	226	296	350	647	125	294	26	8	282	81	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5868	5280	1162	194	37	131	461	1568	77	80	22	220	292	345	637	125	285	27	8	287	81	-114	+6	-15	+100	+121	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	129	21	4	15	51	174	9	9	2	221	293	347	640	126	285	27	8	287	81	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,068	69	39	225	293	352	+55	+32	7.7	6.7
/162	664	15	8	+11.9	+6.9	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Caldera (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	209/276/306	96	285	1	1	28%	7%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→51	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	62	-1.4	207/261/285	78	263	4	4	22%	6%	55	-2.0	214/297/334	120	267	12	13	23%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	56	-1.9	208/243/347	139	278	17	3	31%	4%	63	-1.4	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Geoandry Montilla 2016 · A	20	44	41→45	48→50	41	213/265/307	95	298	8	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	201/269/302	101	296	8	8	32%	8%	63	-1.4	174/253/276	102	257	8	9	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	56	-1.9	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	40→44	42→50	45	38	202/251/306	105	274	10	6	30%	5%	56	-1.9	199/255/338	139	279	14	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→51	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	58	-1.7	228/267/375	147	291	14	19	26%	4%	78	-0.3	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	216/266/341	125	290	12	11	29%	6%	70	-0.8	248/298/380	132	312	13	13	24%	6%	91	+0.6	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2016 · A	20	43	41→50	49→50	40	208/261/311	103	288	8	12	30%	6%	61	-1.5	196/250/277	81	270	6	10	28%	6%	49	-2.4	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Keyber Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	40→48	42→45	51→50	41	198/250/301	103	272	9	7	30%	6%	55	-2.0	211/262/291	80	296	6	11	29%	6%	57	-1.8	212/254/312	100	274	9	11	26%	5%	57	-1.4
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	41	225/274/342	117	290	12	9	26%	6%	73	-0.6	226/282/358	132	276	15	7	23%	7%	80	-0.1	215/277/344	129	257	16	4	23%	7%	73	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps