Francisco CalderaC DSL Astros Blue
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 193 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .276 / .306
PA47
HR1
K%28
BB%7
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.01.12.10.20.61.01.31.51.61.61.51.31.10.8+$88M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$8M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.3$5M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.1$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$3M+0.8$1M+$0.3M
Totals $12M $33M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 9887 12212 9311 10 138227253480 115182 329 204 14 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 9881 16312 15221 10 198330333663 136241 2215 305 91 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 151134 24302 9406 91 179262246508 67234 266 229 33 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 151127 29402 16266 91 228342307649 79267 1711 303 90 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 3530 5112 4170 01 167265467731 300250 4911 271 66 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 3527 6112 7110 01 222382556938 333267 3120 393 159 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBHOU — 4743 8101 3131 10 186255279534 93285 286 267 62 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBHOU 34% 135122 26412 10372 21 213284311595 98287 277 278 71 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
202822 MLBHOU 48% 275249 55926 21743 41 221289345635 124289 278 285 76 -7 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
202923 MLBHOU 54% 374337 761338 29995 51 226296353650 128290 268 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +7 +11 1.0
203024 MLBHOU 55% 442399 9015310 341166 62 226296353650 128291 268 294 83 -8 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.3
203125 MLBHOU 56% 481435 9817311 371266 72 225295354649 129291 268 295 84 -9 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.5
203226 MLBHOU 56% 504454 10317312 391326 72 227297357653 130291 268 297 85 -8 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.6
203327 MLBHOU 55% 514461 10618313 411357 72 230303367669 137291 268 297 85 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203428 MLBHOU 55% 516463 10518312 411367 72 227299356656 130290 268 296 84 -9 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.5
203529 MLBHOU 53% 511459 10317312 411366 72 224296353649 129290 278 294 83 -10 +1 -1 +9 +14 1.3
203630 MLBHOU 53% 503452 10117312 401356 62 223295354649 131288 278 291 81 -11 +0 -2 +9 +14 1.1
203731 MLBHOU 52% 476429 9516311 381296 51 221294350644 128286 278 287 78 -12 +1 -3 +8 +13 0.8
202721 MLBHOU 34% 4642 9201 3131 10 214283333616 119290 287 271 66 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202822 MLBHOU 48% 133120 28513 10362 21 233303367670 133291 278 279 71 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
202923 MLBHOU 54% 203182 42715 16543 31 231303363666 132293 278 284 76 -6 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.4
203024 MLBHOU 55% 245221 52926 19643 41 235305376680 140294 268 288 78 -6 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.6
203125 MLBHOU 56% 269243 571027 21713 41 235303379682 144294 268 289 80 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203226 MLBHOU 56% 283255 591027 22744 41 231302369671 137294 268 290 80 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203327 MLBHOU 55% 284256 591027 22754 41 230301367669 137294 268 290 80 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203428 MLBHOU 55% 283254 591027 23754 41 232306370676 138293 278 289 80 -7 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.7
203529 MLBHOU 53% 273246 56927 22733 41 228299366665 138292 278 287 78 -7 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.6
203630 MLBHOU 53% 265239 54926 21713 31 226297356652 130291 278 285 76 -7 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203731 MLBHOU 52% 248223 49816 20673 21 220293345638 126288 278 281 73 -8 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 25322281 524891762 19967333 3510 230301365666 135297 278 286 77 -65 +3 -4 +45 +72 5.3
/ 162G— — 650586 13423416 511738 93 229299363663 135295 278 286 77 -17 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.3
Career— — 50624554 100716832116 396135668 7420 221293348642 127286 278 288 79 -121 +7 -7 +90 +143 11.5
/ 162G— — 650585 13022415 511749 103 222295350645 128287 278 288 79 -15 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 9881 16312 15221 10 198330333663 136241 2215 305 91 -1 +0 — — +3 0.2
202418 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 151127 29402 16266 91 228342307649 79267 1711 303 90 -2 +1 — — +4 0.4
202519 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 3527 6112 7110 01 222382556938 333267 3120 393 159 +2 -0 — — +1 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,5806035226294356+46+286.96.2
/162664159+11.9+7.21.8pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Francisco Caldera (OGILVIE) 20 — — — — 209/276/306 97285 11 28% 7% 62 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Miguel Amaya
2019 · A 		20 43→42 45→50 48→40 45 215/281/332 117268 134 25% 7% 71 -0.3 214/290/343 129271 144 25% 8% 78 +0.2 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A 		21 43→45 45→55 51→55 44 215/274/342 127287 1211 29% 7% 70 -0.3 231/293/393 162278 1913 24% 7% 92 +1.2 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
✕Miguel Palma
2022 · A 		20 43 44→45 47→40 49 207/309/323 116287 119 29% 10% 82 +0.5 218/279/333 115290 134 28% 7% 70 -0.3 214/272/31810428512228%6%61-0.5
✕Edgardo Rodriguez
2021 · A 		20 48 41→45 48→30 43 233/283/334 102283 85 21% 5% 72 -0.2 201/244/277 76295 65 32% 5% 39 -2.5 180/204/231512579033%2%11-0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A 		19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
✕Blaze Alexander
2019 · A 		20 48 42→45 52→50 43 226/288/345 119321 810 30% 7% 76 +0.1 200/266/306 106300 1011 34% 7% 57 -1.2 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
✕Sam McMillan
2019 · A 		20 47 41→40 47→45 49 227/314/329 102280 86 21% 8% 85 +0.7 215/317/292 77291 47 25% 10% 77 +0.1 211/334/282712734721%12%79+0.1
✕Arturo De Freitas
2021 · A 		20 45 40→45 49→40 45 213/288/309 96295 67 28% 8% 68 -0.5 179/233/250 71283 54 36% 5% 28 -3.2 136/184/191552335042%5%-10-2.1
✕Oswaldo Linares
2023 · A 		20 42 41→40 48→40 52 203/299/297 93263 96 25% 10% 70 -0.3 188/285/268 80281 74 32% 11% 57 -1.2 161/265/226652476233%11%36-1.0
✕Luis Torrens
2017 · A 		21 44→47 41→55 46→30 49 214/288/307 93266 96 22% 8% 67 -0.5 214/267/310 96270 83 23% 6% 58 -1.2 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
✕Jeferson Quero
2022 · A 		19 48→42 43→50 47→45 50 230/306/345 115283 910 21% 8% 85 +0.7 221/273/345 124289 148 27% 6% 70 -0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
✕Geoandry Montilla
2017 · A 		21 44 41→45 45→50 46 214/281/315 101286 89 27% 8% 66 -0.6 197/264/296 99314 88 37% 7% 54 -1.4 131/203/2331012388745%7%11-1.2
✕Francisco Murillo
2007 · A 		20 42 47→50 49→50 43 213/279/346 134292 158 32% 8% 73 -0.1 199/260/320 121303 126 36% 7% 59 -1.1 150/210/27812822914340%6%26-1.2
✕Seth Conner
2012 · A 		20 44 41→40 47→45 47 211/285/309 98278 86 26% 8% 66 -0.6 203/274/278 75282 54 27% 7% 53 -1.5 184/261/241572573027%7%40-0.7
✕Juan Aponte
2008 · A 		20 45 42→45 46→40 43 220/289/325 105273 94 22% 5% 73 -0.1 204/263/283 79279 54 27% 6% 50 -1.8 199/234/217182920030%3%20-0.8
✕Harry Ford
2022 · A 		19 45→47 47→45 52→55 43 223/287/366 143309 149 32% 8% 82 +0.5 211/317/346 135289 1416 29% 11% 91 +1.1 204/318/335131272142128%12%85+0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr.
2016 · A 		21 42 45→50 53→40 45 203/286/332 130305 128 35% 9% 73 -0.1 196/255/319 123274 144 32% 6% 56 -1.3 187/242/29811125514131%6%43-0.9
✕Ricardo Olivar
2023 · A 		21 47→53 42→45 47→50 42 221/292/340 118325 89 32% 7% 77 +0.1 226/304/344 118318 119 30% 9% 84 +0.6 217/298/334116297131029%9%76+0.0
✕Luis Alvarez
2011 · A 		21 47 42→45 48→45 45 228/296/337 109289 96 24% 7% 78 +0.2 219/274/328 109275 105 24% 5% 66 -0.6 209/262/31710825012121%4%55-0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee
2023 · A 		20 48→47 45→55 48→55 46 233/305/357 125310 1212 27% 8% 87 +0.8 242/305/384 142306 1516 25% 7% 94 +1.3 248/306/416169299181623%6%100+1.2