Hojans Hernandez

C DSL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1455ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKATL	20	.176/.222/.176	0	0	-28	—	.118/.167/.118
2024	18	ROKATL	99	.154/.333/.167	0	10	11	—	.108/.253/.120
2025	19	ROKATL	95	.195/.340/.312	1	6	30	—	.136/.255/.222
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBATL	205	.201/.281/.275	1	5	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBATL	24	.205/.286/.289	0	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBATL	77	.209/.289/.302	1	2	69	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%68

BB%65

ISO61

Speed60

wRC+36

Whiff%36

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .279 / .272

PA35

HR0

K%29

BB%9

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		250	30	5	171	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	99	78	12	1	0	0	19	23	2	10	4	154	333	167	500	13	218	23	19	262	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Braves	—	95	77	15	6	0	1	15	25	2	6	1	195	340	312	652	117	269	26	16	305	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	20	17	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		174	40	5	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	99	83	9	1	0	0	14	27	2	10	4	108	253	120	373	12	152	27	14	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	95	81	11	4	0	1	11	30	2	6	1	136	255	222	478	86	188	32	12	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	20	17	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		200	40	5	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		250	30	5	171	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	99	83	9	1	0	0	14	27	2	10	4	108	253	120	373	12	161	27	14	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	99	78	12	1	0	0	19	23	2	10	4	154	333	167	500	13	218	23	19	262	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	95	81	11	4	0	1	11	30	2	6	1	136	255	222	478	86	196	32	12	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	95	77	15	6	0	1	15	25	2	6	1	195	340	312	652	117	269	26	16	305	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	20	19	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	105	167	105	272		174	40	5	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	99	83	9	1	0	0	14	27	2	10	4	108	253	120	373	12	152	27	14	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	95	82	11	4	0	1	11	30	2	6	1	134	255	220	475	85	188	32	12	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	99	83	9	1	0	0	14	27	2	10	4	108	253	120	373	12	152	27	14	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	95	82	11	4	0	1	11	30	2	6	1	134	255	220	475	85	188	32	12	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	205	183	36	7	1	1	18	60	2	5	1	201	281	275	556	74	287	29	9	257	60	-10	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	71	64	12	2	0	1	6	20	1	2	0	205	286	289	575	84	288	28	8	264	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	155	138	29	5	1	2	14	44	2	4	1	209	289	302	591	93	289	28	9	271	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	237	211	44	8	1	3	21	67	3	6	1	213	292	313	605	100	290	28	9	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	307	274	59	11	2	5	27	85	3	8	1	215	295	322	616	106	291	28	9	280	76	-9	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	356	317	69	13	2	6	32	98	4	9	1	217	296	329	625	111	290	28	9	284	78	-9	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	379	338	72	13	2	6	34	105	4	9	2	216	295	326	621	110	290	28	9	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	387	346	74	14	2	6	34	108	4	9	2	214	293	321	614	107	289	28	9	279	75	-11	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	385	344	73	13	2	6	34	108	4	9	2	212	290	315	605	103	287	28	9	276	73	-12	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	377	337	71	13	2	6	33	107	4	9	2	209	287	307	593	98	285	28	9	271	70	-14	+1	-2	+7	+8	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	205	286	289	575	84	288	29	8	264	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	77	69	14	3	0	1	7	22	1	2	0	209	289	302	591	93	289	29	9	271	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	134	120	26	5	1	2	12	38	1	3	1	213	292	313	605	100	290	28	9	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	185	165	36	7	1	3	16	51	2	5	1	215	295	322	616	106	291	28	9	280	76	-5	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	222	198	43	8	1	4	20	61	2	6	1	217	296	329	625	111	290	27	9	284	78	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	240	214	46	9	1	4	21	66	3	6	1	216	295	326	621	110	290	28	9	282	77	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	252	225	48	9	1	4	22	70	3	6	1	214	293	321	614	107	289	28	9	279	75	-7	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	250	223	47	9	1	4	22	70	3	6	1	212	290	315	605	103	287	28	9	276	73	-8	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	245	220	46	8	1	4	21	70	2	6	1	209	287	307	593	98	285	29	9	271	70	-9	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1629	1456	310	59	7	26	143	455	17	41	7	213	291	317	607	104	289	28	9	278	70	-50	+5	-3	+29	+35	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	124	24	3	10	57	182	7	16	3	213	291	317	608	103	291	28	9	278	70	-20	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2903	2582	531	98	14	42	264	817	33	82	17	206	288	303	591	98	281	28	9	271	70	-84	+8	-4	+48	+58	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	118	22	3	9	59	183	7	18	4	204	286	299	585	95	279	28	9	271	70	-20	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Braves · 95 PAwOBA .301 → .212 (−89)K% 26.3% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.32%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	31.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.62%
HBP% /PA	2.11%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.47%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷0.978	×0.680	×1.050	×0.995	11.17%
Doubles /BIP	11.54%	÷0.932	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	7.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.045	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.92%	÷0.878	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.02%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 109, K 102, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .301 → .212; ISO .117 → .074; BABIP .269 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Braves · 99 PAwOBA .257 → .184 (−73)K% 23.2% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.23%	÷1.029	×1.220	—	—	27.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.19%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.73%
HBP% /PA	2.02%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.42%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.996	×0.680	×1.026	×1.008	14.12%
Doubles /BIP	1.82%	÷1.042	×0.600	×1.026	×1.008	1.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.026	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.871	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .257 → .184; ISO .013 → .008; BABIP .218 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Braves · 20 PAwOBA .175 → .127 (−48)K% 30.0% → 38.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.00%	÷0.961	×1.220	—	—	38.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷1.048	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.004	×0.680	—	×1.022	18.89%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.913	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.141	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.816	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .175 → .127; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#3Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.5	1,666	26	40	214	290	318	+30	+24	3.0	3.0
	/162	664	10	16	214	290	318	+11.9	+9.6	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
	/162	664	11	1	226*	277*	345*	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
	/162	664	13	1	218*	277*	341*	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
	/162	664	8	2	211*	275*	330*	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Hojans Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps