Nelson Marin — OGILVIE

Nelson MarinC DSL Tigers 2

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.5 · 2032

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .282 / .307

PA125

HR2

K%30

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

25→25

SPD

40→40

EYE

55↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.5	$24M	+$23M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.5	$25M	+$24M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.2	$23M	+$19M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.0	$22M	+$15M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.6	$18M	+$10M
Totals		$21M		$135M	+$114M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	99	93	7	1	0	1	6	57	0	0	0	.075	.131	.118	.250	.043	.171	58	6	.108	-59	-18	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	89	75	12	1	0	1	8	35	5	0	0	.160	.284	.213	.497	.053	.275	39	9	.222	28	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	150	129	21	4	0	1	16	42	4	2	1	.163	.275	.217	.492	.054	.230	28	11	.235	38	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	DET	125	112	23	4	1	2	11	37	1	2	0	.205	.282	.312	.595	.107	.284	30	9	.271	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	DET	208	184	39	7	1	4	19	58	3	3	1	.212	.296	.326	.622	.114	.286	28	9	.288	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	DET	332	293	65	12	2	8	32	90	4	5	1	.222	.307	.358	.665	.137	.287	27	10	.299	87	-5	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2029	23	MLB 48%	DET	416	366	82	15	2	11	42	110	5	6	1	.224	.312	.366	.678	.142	.288	26	10	.306	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2030	24	MLB 62%	DET	472	415	95	17	3	13	48	122	6	7	1	.229	.318	.378	.696	.149	.289	26	10	.310	96	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2031	25	MLB 80%	DET	504	440	101	18	3	14	53	130	6	7	1	.230	.321	.380	.700	.150	.289	26	11	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.4
2032	26	MLB 94%	DET	520	453	104	19	3	14	55	134	7	7	1	.230	.322	.377	.700	.148	.290	26	11	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2033	27	MLB	DET	520	452	104	19	3	14	56	134	7	7	1	.230	.324	.378	.703	.148	.290	26	11	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2034	28	MLB	DET	520	453	103	19	3	14	56	136	6	6	1	.227	.320	.375	.696	.148	.289	26	11	.314	98	-1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2035	29	MLB	DET	520	452	103	19	3	14	57	137	6	6	0	.228	.322	.376	.698	.148	.288	26	11	.312	97	-2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2036	30	MLB	DET	513	446	100	18	3	13	56	137	6	6	0	.224	.319	.365	.684	.141	.287	27	11	.309	94	-3	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.0
2037	31	MLB	DET	485	423	93	17	2	12	53	131	6	4	0	.220	.315	.355	.670	.135	.285	27	11	.305	92	-5	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.6
2038	32	MLB	DET	454	397	85	15	2	11	49	125	5	4	0	.214	.308	.345	.653	.131	.284	28	11	.300	88	-6	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.2
2039	33	MLB	DET	413	360	77	14	2	10	45	117	5	3	0	.214	.310	.347	.657	.133	.282	28	11	.295	84	-8	+1	-4	+7	+12	0.8
2040	34	MLB	DET	359	313	65	11	2	8	39	105	4	3	0	.208	.303	.332	.636	.125	.280	29	11	.288	79	-9	+1	-5	+6	+10	0.4
2041	35	MLB	DET	301	263	52	9	1	6	32	91	3	3	0	.198	.292	.308	.600	.110	.278	30	11	.281	73	-9	+1	-6	+5	+9	-0.0
2042	36	MLB	DET	242	212	42	7	1	5	25	76	3	2	0	.198	.292	.311	.603	.113	.275	31	10	.272	66	-9	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.4
2043	37	MLB	DET	183	160	30	5	1	3	19	59	2	2	0	.188	.282	.287	.569	.100	.271	32	10	.263	59	-8	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7425	6491	1403	251	38	179	777	2063	94	85	9	.216	.309	.349	.658	.133	.285	28	10	.298	86	-118	+13	-38	+133	+210	20.3
/ 162G	—			650	568	123	22	3	16	68	181	8	7	1	.217	.309	.350	.659	.134	.285	28	10	.298	86	-10	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	99	89	11	1	1	10	39	0	0	0	.124	.212	.169	.381	.045	.204	39	10	.187	1	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	89	71	16	2	1	12	24	5	0	0	.225	.375	.296	.671	.070	.319	27	13	.320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	150	121	29	6	2	24	29	4	2	1	.240	.383	.339	.721	.099	.297	19	16	.337	116	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Marin (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	40	60	.203/.282/.307	.103	.284	2	2	30%	9%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	.203/.300/.294	.091	.264	9	7	25%	10%	70	-0.3	.191/.289/.274	.083	.279	7	4	31%	11%	60	-1.0	.164/.268/.232	.068	.248	6	2	32%	11%	39	-0.9
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	46	37→40	42→45	48	.215/.279/.290	.075	.276	4	5	23%	8%	58	-1.2	.200/.260/.272	.072	.277	5	5	27%	7%	45	-2.1	.210/.261/.258	.048	.277	3	6	24%	6%	38	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Antonio Negron 2006 · A	20	43	40→45	43→50	49	.208/.290/.302	.094	.274	7	10	25%	9%	67	-0.5	.202/.287/.306	.104	.252	10	10	23%	9%	67	-0.5	.187/.280/.293	.106	.224	11	11	21%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	40	38→40	47→55	47	.192/.263/.275	.082	.250	5	9	24%	8%	48	-1.9	.212/.292/.300	.088	.255	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	.209/.299/.290	.080	.241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A	20	41	41→40	46→30	41	.200/.267/.296	.097	.281	8	6	30%	6%	56	-1.3	.204/.262/.293	.089	.269	7	4	25%	6%	52	-1.6	.224/.268/.311	.087	.267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Yeison Santana 2021 · A	20	47	38→30	46→55	47	.220/.292/.303	.083	.305	5	7	28%	8%	67	-0.5	.211/.276/.274	.063	.315	3	13	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.204/.277/.247	.043	.301	2	19	30%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	42→36	38→45	47→60	48	.195/.289/.277	.082	.295	5	8	32%	10%	61	-1.0	.192/.285/.295	.103	.282	10	14	33%	9%	64	-0.8	.179/.278/.292	.113	.261	13	23	34%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	.227/.314/.329	.102	.280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.215/.317/.288	.073	.287	4	7	24%	10%	76	+0.1	.207/.331/.267	.060	.268	4	7	21%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	41→50	42→45	48	.206/.286/.310	.104	.297	8	6	31%	10%	67	-0.5	.180/.241/.263	.083	.269	8	5	34%	7%	36	-2.7	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→48	40→45	41→45	44	.216/.286/.311	.096	.298	6	4	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.198/.271/.278	.080	.286	4	5	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.219/.298/.332	.113	.294	11	3	27%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	43	39→45	42→40	40	.208/.266/.286	.078	.272	7	6	26%	5%	53	-1.5	.203/.254/.282	.079	.287	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	.147/.189/.214	.067	.208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A	20	44→31	37→45	45→30	39	.207/.266/.282	.075	.300	3	5	30%	6%	51	-1.7	.188/.254/.291	.103	.312	10	3	40%	6%	50	-1.8	.246/.293/.382	.135	.322	19	1	29%	4%	83	+0.2
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)