Keiver Garcia — OGILVIE

Keiver GarciaSS DSL Mets Blue

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .277 / .273

PA89

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$25M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	106	16	4	0	0	13	35	4	9	3	151	268	189	457	38	225	28	11	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	96	21	5	0	0	23	23	4	9	3	219	390	271	661	52	288	19	19	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	164	32	3	1	0	19	60	3	18	5	195	290	226	516	30	305	32	10	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	155	40	5	1	0	28	41	3	18	5	258	382	303	685	45	348	22	15	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	92	16	2	0	0	7	28	3	9	1	174	255	196	451	22	246	27	7	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	88	20	4	0	0	11	19	3	9	1	227	333	273	606	45	286	18	11	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	NYM	—	89	81	17	3	1	1	7	23	1	2	0	210	281	309	590	99	275	26	8	256	54	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	NYM	34%	179	160	34	6	1	2	15	46	2	4	1	212	288	300	588	87	279	26	8	270	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2028	21	MLB	NYM	48%	316	282	62	11	2	5	27	79	4	8	2	220	297	326	623	106	281	25	9	279	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2029	22	MLB	NYM	54%	417	372	81	14	2	7	36	103	6	11	2	218	297	323	620	105	282	25	9	285	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.7
2030	23	MLB	NYM	57%	484	432	97	17	3	9	42	119	7	13	3	225	304	340	644	116	284	25	9	288	79	-12	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2031	24	MLB	NYM	57%	528	471	105	18	3	10	45	129	7	14	3	223	300	338	638	115	284	24	9	290	80	-12	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.1
2032	25	MLB	NYM	57%	554	493	111	19	3	11	48	135	8	15	3	225	304	343	647	118	284	24	9	292	81	-12	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2033	26	MLB	NYM	56%	568	506	114	20	3	11	49	138	8	15	3	225	304	342	646	117	284	24	9	292	82	-12	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2034	27	MLB	NYM	55%	572	509	114	20	3	11	50	140	8	15	3	224	303	340	643	116	284	24	9	292	82	-12	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.3
2035	28	MLB	NYM	55%	570	506	114	20	3	11	51	140	8	15	3	225	306	342	648	117	284	25	9	291	81	-12	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.1
2036	29	MLB	NYM	53%	562	499	110	19	3	10	50	139	8	14	3	220	302	331	632	110	283	25	9	289	80	-13	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.9
2037	30	MLB	NYM	53%	553	491	109	19	3	10	49	138	8	14	3	222	303	334	637	112	282	25	9	287	78	-14	+2	-2	+6	+16	0.7
2027	20	MLB	NYM	34%	62	56	12	2	0	1	5	16	1	2	0	214	290	304	594	89	279	26	8	260	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	NYM	48%	153	137	29	5	1	2	13	38	2	4	1	212	289	307	596	95	281	25	8	268	64	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB	NYM	54%	226	202	45	8	1	4	19	56	3	6	1	223	299	332	631	109	282	25	8	274	68	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB	NYM	57%	274	245	55	9	2	5	23	67	4	7	2	224	301	339	640	114	283	24	8	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	NYM	57%	299	267	60	10	2	6	26	73	4	8	2	225	303	345	648	120	284	24	9	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2032	25	MLB	NYM	57%	313	279	63	11	2	6	27	76	4	8	2	226	303	344	647	118	284	24	9	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB	NYM	56%	321	286	64	11	2	6	28	78	4	9	2	224	302	339	641	115	284	24	9	281	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB	NYM	55%	317	282	64	11	2	6	28	77	4	9	2	227	306	344	650	117	284	24	9	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2035	28	MLB	NYM	55%	313	278	63	11	2	6	28	77	4	8	2	227	306	345	652	119	284	25	9	281	73	-10	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.3
2036	29	MLB	NYM	53%	300	266	60	10	2	6	27	74	4	8	2	226	306	346	652	120	283	25	9	279	72	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2037	30	MLB	NYM	53%	291	259	56	10	1	5	26	73	4	7	2	216	298	320	618	104	282	25	9	277	70	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2869	2557	571	98	17	53	250	705	38	76	18	223	302	337	639	114	286	25	9	278	71	-93	+8	-2	+31	+81	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	129	22	4	12	57	160	9	17	4	223	302	337	639	114	285	25	9	278	71	-21	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	5805	5164	1132	195	31	98	508	1452	85	176	38	219	300	326	626	107	284	25	9	283	75	-164	+20	-4	+62	+164	8.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	126	22	3	11	57	163	10	20	4	218	299	324	623	106	283	25	9	283	75	-18	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	96	21	5	0	23	23	4	9	3	219	390	271	661	52	288	19	19	324	106	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	155	40	5	1	28	41	3	18	5	258	382	303	685	45	348	22	15	324	106	+1	+2	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	88	20	4	0	11	19	3	9	1	227	333	273	606	45	286	18	11	286	77	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,958	53	77	223	299	335	+32	+21	5.1	4.7
	/162	664	12	17	223	299	335	+7.1	+4.7	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keiver Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	34→39	28→33	59→64	58	201/277/273	71	275	1	2	26%	8%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→51	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	61	-1.0	232/280/372	140	293	11	20	24%	6%	79	+0.3	252/286/391	139	300	12	30	20%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	39→49	35→45	53→55	43	185/240/246	61	245	2	14	24%	6%	30	-3.1	206/272/279	73	259	3	20	20%	8%	53	-1.5	251/290/357	106	305	8	26	20%	4%	76	+0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	50	-1.8	213/265/278	65	272	2	17	21%	6%	48	-1.9	212/263/268	56	267	2	18	20%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	57	-1.2	217/294/314	97	274	7	13	22%	9%	72	-0.2	222/296/309	88	278	8	11	22%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Alberto Figuereo 2019 · A	19	45	35→30	61→60	47	209/277/273	64	266	1	25	21%	7%	53	-1.5	205/263/266	61	283	2	14	26%	6%	45	-2.1	195/238/226	31	268	0	9	26%	4%	20	-0.7
✕Hendry Jimenez 2009 · A	19	46	37→40	54→50	48	216/278/292	76	274	4	16	22%	7%	58	-1.2	231/298/311	80	292	4	13	21%	8%	72	-0.2	211/269/286	75	269	4	10	22%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	45	-2.1	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	66	-0.6	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	42	-2.3	209/294/259	50	308	2	38	29%	10%	57	-1.2	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0