Keiver Garcia — OGILVIE

Keiver GarciaSS DSL Mets Blue

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 145 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .277 / .274

PA8

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	16	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	96	21	5	0	0	23	23	4	9	3	219	390	271	661	52	288	19	19	324	106	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	155	40	5	1	0	28	41	3	18	5	258	382	303	685	45	348	22	15	324	105	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	88	20	4	0	0	11	19	3	9	1	227	333	273	606	45	286	18	11	286	80	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	105	17	4	0	0	14	34	4	9	3	162	285	200	485	38	225	28	11	221	36	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	165	31	3	1	0	18	60	3	18	5	188	280	218	498	30	288	32	10	232	43	-13	+2	—	—	+4	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	92	16	2	0	0	7	28	3	9	1	174	255	196	451	22	233	27	7	205	25	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	105	17	4	0	0	14	34	4	9	3	162	285	200	485	38	239	28	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	96	21	5	0	0	23	23	4	9	3	219	390	271	661	52	288	19	19	324	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	165	31	3	1	0	18	60	3	18	5	188	280	218	498	30	292	32	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	155	40	5	1	0	28	41	3	18	5	258	382	303	685	45	348	22	15	324	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	92	16	2	0	0	7	28	3	9	1	174	255	196	451	22	246	27	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	88	20	4	0	0	11	19	3	9	1	227	333	273	606	45	286	18	11	286	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	104	17	4	0	0	14	34	4	9	3	163	285	202	486	38	225	28	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	164	31	3	1	0	18	60	3	18	5	189	280	220	499	30	288	32	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	92	16	2	0	0	7	28	3	9	1	174	255	196	451	22	233	27	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	104	17	4	0	0	14	34	4	9	3	163	285	202	486	38	225	28	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	164	31	3	1	0	18	60	3	18	5	189	280	220	499	30	288	32	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	92	16	2	0	0	7	28	3	9	1	174	255	196	451	22	233	27	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		275	25	12	256	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	179	160	34	6	1	2	15	45	2	4	1	212	288	300	588	87	279	25	8	270	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	316	283	62	11	2	5	26	78	4	8	2	219	294	325	619	106	281	25	8	279	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	417	373	82	15	2	7	35	102	6	11	2	220	297	327	624	107	282	24	8	285	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	484	433	97	17	3	9	41	118	7	13	3	224	301	339	641	115	283	24	8	289	81	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	528	471	106	19	3	10	45	128	7	14	3	225	302	342	644	117	284	24	9	291	83	-11	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	554	494	112	20	3	11	47	134	8	15	3	227	304	346	650	119	284	24	8	292	84	-11	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	568	506	114	20	3	11	49	137	8	15	3	225	304	342	646	117	284	24	9	292	84	-11	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	572	509	114	20	3	11	50	139	8	15	3	224	303	340	643	116	284	24	9	292	84	-11	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	570	507	114	20	3	11	50	139	8	15	3	225	304	341	646	116	284	24	9	291	83	-11	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	562	499	111	19	3	11	50	138	8	14	3	222	303	339	642	116	283	25	9	290	82	-12	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	553	491	109	19	3	10	49	137	8	14	3	222	303	334	637	112	282	25	9	287	80	-13	+2	-2	+6	+12	0.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	539	479	104	18	3	9	48	135	7	13	3	217	298	324	621	106	280	25	9	283	78	-14	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	521	463	99	17	2	9	46	133	7	12	3	214	295	317	612	104	277	26	9	278	74	-16	+1	-4	+6	+11	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	2	0	196	274	286	560	89	271	26	8	255	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	153	137	29	5	1	2	13	38	2	4	1	212	289	307	596	95	273	25	8	264	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	226	202	44	8	1	4	19	55	3	6	1	218	295	327	621	109	275	24	8	270	79	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	274	245	54	9	2	5	23	67	4	7	2	220	298	335	632	114	276	24	8	274	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	299	267	59	10	2	6	26	72	4	8	2	221	300	341	640	120	277	24	9	276	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	313	279	62	11	2	6	27	76	4	8	2	222	300	341	641	118	277	24	9	277	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	321	286	63	11	2	6	28	78	4	9	2	220	299	336	634	115	276	24	9	277	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	317	282	62	11	2	6	28	77	4	9	2	220	299	337	636	117	276	24	9	277	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	313	278	62	11	2	6	28	76	4	8	2	223	303	342	645	119	276	24	9	276	83	-6	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	300	266	59	10	2	6	27	74	4	8	2	222	303	342	645	120	275	25	9	275	82	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	291	259	55	10	1	5	26	72	4	7	2	212	294	317	611	104	275	25	9	272	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	281	250	53	9	1	5	25	71	4	7	1	212	294	316	610	104	273	25	9	269	78	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	270	240	49	8	1	4	24	69	4	6	1	204	287	296	583	92	270	26	9	264	74	-8	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3420	3047	662	115	19	62	299	841	46	89	20	217	297	329	625	111	278	25	9	273	78	-78	+10	-6	+37	+74	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	127	22	4	12	57	160	9	17	4	219	299	333	633	114	280	25	9	273	78	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6784	6037	1323	230	35	116	591	1687	98	199	44	219	299	326	626	107	283	25	9	283	78	-147	+19	-10	+68	+138	6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	126	22	3	11	57	162	9	19	4	218	298	324	621	106	282	25	9	283	78	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,509	63	90	222	298	333	+38	+24	6.1	5.4
/162	664	12	17	+7.1	+4.5	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keiver Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	34→39	28→33	59→64	56	202/277/274	72	275	1	2	26%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	61	-1.5	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	8	-1.1
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→52	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	65	-1.2	236/283/372	136	299	10	20	23%	6%	83	+0.1	239/283/383	143	299	11	21	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→44	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	72	-0.7	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	78	-0.3	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→41	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	63	-1.3	206/280/293	87	291	3	18	27%	8%	64	-1.3	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	39→49	35→45	53→55	43	185/240/246	61	245	2	14	24%	6%	38	-3.2	206/272/279	73	259	3	20	20%	8%	58	-1.7	251/291/356	104	304	7	26	19%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	55	-1.9	213/265/278	65	273	2	17	21%	6%	54	-2.0	213/263/269	56	268	2	18	20%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→49	39→55	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	59	-1.7	233/267/327	94	309	6	15	26%	4%	66	-1.1	234/276/378	144	307	14	25	28%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	53	-2.1	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	68	-1.0	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	62	-1.4	218/295/315	97	275	7	13	22%	9%	75	-0.5	227/301/318	90	284	8	11	22%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	41	-3.0	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	58	-1.7	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	62	-1.4	219/285/315	96	323	6	14	31%	8%	71	-0.8	219/261/305	86	318	4	11	31%	5%	58	-0.7
✕Hendry Jimenez 2009 · A	19	46	37→40	54→50	48	216/278/292	76	274	4	16	22%	7%	63	-1.4	231/298/311	80	292	4	13	21%	8%	75	-0.5	212/270/291	79	268	4	10	21%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	51	-2.2	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	70	-0.8	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	87	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps