Keiver Garcia

SS DSL Mets Blue

Age 20 S/R 5'10" / 145 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1361ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	16	ROKDSL Mets Blue	123	.219/.390/.271	0	9	34	—	.136/.276/.165
2024	17	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	187	.258/.382/.303	0	18	38	—	.173/.280/.204
2025	18	ROKDSL Mets Blue	103	.227/.333/.273	0	9	15	—	.154/.245/.176
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBNYM	213	.207/.278/.273	1	6	58	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBNYM	25	.206/.279/.282	0	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBNYM	81	.210/.283/.298	1	2	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%77

Speed69

K%66

Whiff%40

BB%30

Z-Con%26

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .276 / .270

PA37

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	16	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	96	21	5	0	0	23	23	4	9	3	219	390	271	661	52	288	19	19	324	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	155	40	5	1	0	28	41	3	18	5	258	382	303	685	45	348	22	15	324	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	88	20	4	0	0	11	19	3	9	1	227	333	273	606	45	286	18	11	286	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	103	14	3	0	0	16	29	4	9	3	136	276	165	441	29	191	24	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	162	28	3	1	0	21	50	3	18	5	173	280	204	483	31	241	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	91	14	2	0	0	8	23	3	9	1	154	245	176	421	22	193	22	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	103	14	3	0	0	16	29	4	9	3	136	276	165	441	29	189	24	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	96	21	5	0	0	23	23	4	9	3	219	390	271	661	52	288	19	19	324	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	162	28	3	1	0	21	50	3	18	5	173	280	204	483	31	248	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	155	40	5	1	0	28	41	3	18	5	258	382	303	685	45	348	22	15	324	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	91	14	2	0	0	8	23	3	9	1	154	245	176	421	22	203	22	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	88	20	4	0	0	11	19	3	9	1	227	333	273	606	45	286	18	11	286	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	123	102	14	3	0	0	16	29	4	9	3	137	276	167	443	29	191	24	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	161	28	3	1	0	21	50	3	18	5	174	280	205	485	31	241	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	91	14	2	0	0	8	23	3	9	1	154	245	176	421	22	193	22	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	187	161	28	3	1	0	21	50	3	18	5	174	280	205	485	31	241	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	103	91	14	2	0	0	8	23	3	9	1	154	245	176	421	22	193	22	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	213	192	39	6	1	1	17	58	2	6	1	207	278	273	551	66	285	27	8	254	58	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	73	66	14	2	0	1	6	19	1	2	0	212	284	291	575	79	286	26	8	264	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	163	147	32	5	1	2	13	43	2	4	1	216	289	306	595	90	288	26	8	272	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	256	230	51	8	2	4	21	67	3	7	1	220	293	319	612	99	289	26	8	278	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	346	311	70	11	2	6	28	89	4	10	2	223	296	330	626	107	290	26	8	284	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYM	63%	397	357	80	12	2	8	32	102	5	11	2	226	298	339	637	113	290	26	8	288	81	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYM	64%	428	385	87	13	3	9	35	110	5	12	2	226	299	342	641	116	290	26	8	289	82	-9	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	441	397	90	14	3	9	36	114	5	12	2	225	298	340	637	114	290	26	8	288	81	-10	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	445	401	91	14	3	9	36	116	5	12	2	223	296	335	631	112	289	26	8	285	79	-11	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	439	395	86	13	2	8	36	115	5	11	2	221	293	329	622	108	288	26	8	282	77	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	206	279	282	561	77	277	28	8	258	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	81	74	15	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	210	283	298	581	88	279	26	7	266	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	148	133	28	4	1	2	12	39	2	4	1	214	287	311	597	97	280	26	8	272	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	211	190	41	6	1	4	17	54	2	6	1	217	290	321	611	104	281	26	8	278	78	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYM	63%	249	224	48	7	1	5	20	64	3	7	1	219	292	330	622	111	281	26	8	282	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYM	64%	273	246	55	8	2	6	22	70	3	7	1	220	293	333	626	113	281	26	8	283	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	287	259	57	8	2	6	23	74	3	8	1	219	292	331	622	112	281	26	8	282	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	289	260	57	8	2	6	24	75	3	8	1	217	290	326	616	109	280	26	8	279	79	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	285	257	55	8	2	5	23	75	3	7	1	215	287	320	608	106	279	26	8	276	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1848	1666	361	52	11	35	149	479	20	50	7	217	289	324	613	107	281	26	8	278	72	-47	+7	-1	+20	+40	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	127	18	4	12	52	168	7	18	2	217	288	323	610	106	282	26	8	278	72	-17	+3	-0	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3438	3079	663	101	19	56	291	887	45	118	23	215	293	315	608	100	282	26	8	275	72	-79	+11	-2	+32	+66	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	126	19	4	11	55	168	9	22	4	216	294	320	614	103	283	26	8	275	72	-17	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Mets Blue · 103 PAwOBA .283 → .191 (−91)K% 18.4% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.45%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	22.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.68%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×0.995	7.35%
HBP% /PA	2.91%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.03%
Singles /BIP	23.19%	÷0.984	×0.680	×1.050	×0.995	16.74%
Doubles /BIP	5.80%	÷1.301	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	2.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.085	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 160, 3B 100, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .283 → .191; ISO .045 → .022; BABIP .286 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 187 PAwOBA .318 → .224 (−94)K% 21.9% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.93%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	27.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.97%	÷0.950	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.11%
HBP% /PA	1.60%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.13%
Singles /BIP	29.82%	÷0.953	×0.680	×0.993	×1.008	21.30%
Doubles /BIP	4.39%	÷1.064	×0.600	×0.993	×1.008	2.47%
Triples /BIP	0.88%	÷0.921	×0.600	×0.993	×1.008	0.57%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.996	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 113, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .318 → .224; ISO .045 → .027; BABIP .348 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mets Blue · 123 PAwOBA .318 → .218 (−100)K% 18.7% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.70%	÷0.971	×1.220	—	—	23.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.70%	÷1.049	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.76%
HBP% /PA	3.25%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.33%
Singles /BIP	21.92%	÷1.074	×0.680	×1.033	×1.022	14.65%
Doubles /BIP	6.85%	÷0.976	×0.600	×1.033	×1.022	4.45%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.033	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.868	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 115, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .318 → .218; ISO .052 → .035; BABIP .288 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#2Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,885	35	51	224	293	333	+20	+18	3.2	3.1
	/162	664	12	18	224	293	333	+7.1	+6.3	1.1	pk7: 3
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	/162	664	3	3	229*	288*	313*	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Keiver Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps