Jose Urbina

C ACL D-backs
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1988ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Arizona R…147.272/.372/.3923133—.164/.262/.219
202519ROKDSL Arizona R…150.186/.378/.2651029—.117/.284/.158
202620ROKARI93.254/.430/.5214069—.167/.301/.346
2027PROJMLE21MLBARI203.185/.268/.27022550.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBARI35.196/.279/.2950060-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB23MLBARI90.201/.283/.3061164-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO95
wRC+86
wOBA79
BB%76
Chase%61
Speed31
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .266 / .268
PA51
HR1
K%30
BB%8
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED35
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 123100 24700 15226 12 240372310682 70300 1812 319 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 147125 34603 12288 11 272372392764 120323 198 346 33 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 150113 21411 252710 00 186378265644 80230 1817 315 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL D-backs — 9371 18514 18304 00 254430521951 268378 3219 420 69 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 123104 16400 11276 12 154273192465 38200 229 220 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 147128 21401 9358 11 164262219481 55202 246 217 33 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 150120 14310 183510 00 117284158442 42145 2312 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9378 13313 11434 00 167301346647 179286 4612 270 69 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 123104 16400 11276 12 154273192465 38203 229 220 35 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Black — 123100 24700 15226 12 240372310682 70300 1812 319 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 147128 21401 9358 11 164262219481 55213 246 217 33 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Red — 147125 34603 12288 11 272372392764 120323 198 346 33 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 150120 14310 183510 00 117284158442 42161 2312 211 29 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Red — 150113 21411 252710 00 186378265644 80230 1817 315 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9378 13313 11434 00 167301346647 179312 4612 270 69 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL D-backs — 9371 18514 18304 00 254430521951 268378 3219 420 69 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 123105 16400 11276 12 152273190463 38200 229 220 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 147129 21401 9358 11 163262217479 54202 246 217 33 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 150121 14310 183510 00 116284157441 41145 2312 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9378 13313 11434 00 167301346647 179286 4612 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 147129 21401 9358 11 163262217479 54202 246 217 33 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 150121 14310 183510 00 116284157441 41145 2312 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 9378 13313 11434 00 167301346647 179286 4612 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEARI 0% 203180 33612 17604 21 185268270538 84261 308 249 55 -11 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEARI 34% 10392 17311 8302 10 191273284558 93264 298 257 60 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
202923 MLB MLEARI 50% 180160 32613 15523 21 195277296573 100266 298 263 64 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB MLEARI 57% 266237 47824 22755 31 199281305586 106268 288 268 68 -10 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.0
203125 MLB MLEARI 60% 330293 601126 28936 31 202283312595 110270 288 272 70 -12 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.1
203226 MLB MLEARI 62% 369329 671227 311026 42 204285317602 113271 288 274 72 -12 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.2
203327 MLB MLEARI 63% 387345 701327 321087 42 203284314599 111270 288 273 71 -13 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.2
203428 MLB MLEARI 65% 393350 711327 331117 32 201282310592 109269 288 270 69 -15 -0 -1 +7 +9 0.0
203529 MLB MLEARI 65% 388347 691227 321106 32 199279303582 105267 288 266 66 -16 -0 -1 +7 +8 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXARI 34% 3531 5100 3101 00 196279295573 98273 299 263 60 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXARI 50% 9081 16311 7262 10 201283306589 105276 298 269 64 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
203024 MLB CTXARI 57% 151134 27512 13433 21 205286315601 110278 289 274 68 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.0
203125 MLB CTXARI 60% 199176 36713 17564 21 208288322611 114279 289 278 70 -7 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
203226 MLB CTXARI 62% 231206 44924 19644 21 210290327617 117280 288 280 72 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXARI 63% 246219 46924 21694 21 209289324613 116280 289 279 71 -9 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXARI 65% 255228 47924 21724 21 207287319607 113278 288 276 69 -9 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.0
203529 MLB CTXARI 65% 252225 46924 21724 21 204284313597 109277 298 272 66 -10 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14591300 267521122 12241226 136 205287313600 108281 288 276 63 -54 +0 -1 +26 +32 0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 11923510 5418412 63 206287314601 109281 288 276 63 -24 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 29802629 506941647 25483671 2614 192281294575 102260 289 262 63 -93 +0 -2 +44 +53 0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 11021310 5518215 63 192280291571 99260 288 262 63 -25 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL D-backs · 93 PAwOBA .410 → .270 (−141)K% 32.3% → 46.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.26%÷1.000×1.440——46.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.35%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99511.94%
HBP% /PA4.30%—×0.720—×0.9953.08%
Singles /BIP19.51%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99515.92%
Doubles /BIP12.20%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9958.74%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9951.75%
Home runs /BIP9.76%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9957.57%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .410 → .270; ISO .268 → .176; BABIP .378 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 150 PAwOBA .312 → .211 (−102)K% 18.0% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.00%÷0.944×1.220——23.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.986×0.700—×0.99511.78%
HBP% /PA6.67%—×0.700—×0.9954.64%
Singles /BIP17.44%÷1.013×0.680×0.967×0.99511.27%
Doubles /BIP4.65%÷0.922×0.600×0.967×0.9952.91%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.134×0.600×0.967×0.9950.59%
Home runs /BIP1.16%÷1.121×0.470—×0.9950.49%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .312 → .211; ISO .080 → .044; BABIP .230 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 147 PAwOBA .342 → .217 (−124)K% 19.0% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.05%÷0.977×1.220——23.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.16%÷0.929×0.700—×1.0086.20%
HBP% /PA5.44%—×0.700—×1.0083.84%
Singles /BIP25.77%÷1.044×0.680×0.987×1.00816.68%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷1.009×0.600×0.987×1.0083.66%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.987×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.09%÷1.165×0.470—×1.0081.26%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 109, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 95, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .342 → .217; ISO .120 → .058; BABIP .323 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 123 PAwOBA .317 → .220 (−97)K% 17.9% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.89%÷0.994×1.220——21.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.20%÷0.989×0.700—×1.0228.82%
HBP% /PA4.88%—×0.700—×1.0223.49%
Singles /BIP21.79%÷1.004×0.680×1.014×1.02215.31%
Doubles /BIP8.97%÷1.084×0.600×1.014×1.0225.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.992×0.600×1.014×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .317 → .220; ISO .070 → .042; BABIP .300 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).