Jose Urbina — OGILVIE

Jose UrbinaC ACL D-backs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .265 / .276

PA56

HR1

K%32

BB%9

BABIP253

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$1M	+$1.0M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.2M
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	106	18	4	0	0	9	32	6	1	2	170	273	208	480	38	237	26	7	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	100	24	7	0	0	15	22	6	1	2	240	372	310	682	70	300	18	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	128	23	4	0	2	9	42	8	1	1	180	276	258	534	78	244	29	6	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	125	34	6	0	3	12	28	8	1	1	272	372	392	764	120	323	19	8	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	122	16	3	1	1	16	44	10	0	0	131	284	197	481	66	190	29	11	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	113	21	4	1	1	25	27	10	0	0	186	378	265	644	80	230	18	17	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	ARI	—	85	70	11	2	1	3	11	37	4	0	0	157	306	343	649	186	267	44	13	276	69	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
YTD	20	ROK	ARI	—	85	63	15	3	1	4	18	26	4	0	0	238	435	508	943	270	333	31	21	419	179	+8	+0	+0	+2	+2	1.2
ROS	20	ROK	ARI	0%	56	50	9	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	178	265	276	541	99	263	32	9	255	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		265	—	—	239	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	ARI	—	85	71	11	2	1	3	11	37	4	0	0	155	306	338	644	183	258	44	13	276	69	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
TOT	20	ROK	ARI	—	141	120	20	4	1	4	16	55	5	1	0	166	289	315	604	149	259	39	11	268	63	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	208	182	35	7	1	3	19	64	5	2	1	192	286	291	578	99	267	31	9	265	61	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
2028	22	MLB	ARI	48%	332	291	57	11	2	6	31	99	7	3	1	196	289	309	598	113	270	30	9	273	67	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.3
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	416	366	73	14	2	8	38	122	9	4	1	199	291	314	605	115	272	29	9	278	71	-14	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.6
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	472	415	85	16	3	10	44	137	10	5	2	205	296	330	626	125	273	29	9	281	73	-14	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	504	442	90	17	3	10	47	146	10	5	2	204	295	324	618	120	274	29	9	282	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.9
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	520	456	93	18	3	11	48	150	11	5	2	204	295	329	624	125	273	29	9	283	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2033	27	MLB	ARI	60%	520	455	93	18	3	11	49	151	11	5	2	204	297	330	627	125	273	29	9	283	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2034	28	MLB	ARI	62%	520	455	93	18	3	11	49	151	11	5	2	204	297	330	627	125	272	29	9	282	74	-15	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2035	29	MLB	ARI	63%	520	454	91	17	3	10	50	152	11	5	2	200	295	317	612	117	271	29	10	280	72	-16	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.7
2036	30	MLB	ARI	63%	513	448	89	17	2	10	49	152	11	5	2	199	293	312	606	114	270	30	10	277	70	-17	+0	-2	+9	+15	0.5
2037	31	MLB	ARI	65%	485	426	83	16	2	9	46	145	10	4	1	195	288	305	594	110	267	30	9	273	67	-18	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.2
2038	32	MLB	ARI	65%	454	399	76	14	2	8	43	137	9	4	1	190	284	296	580	105	264	30	9	267	63	-19	+0	-4	+8	+13	-0.1
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	71	62	11	2	0	1	7	22	2	1	0	177	282	258	540	81	269	31	10	251	50	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	ARI	48%	161	142	28	5	1	3	15	48	3	2	1	197	287	310	597	113	272	30	9	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	226	198	40	8	1	4	21	66	5	2	1	202	295	313	608	111	274	29	9	265	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	262	231	46	9	1	5	24	76	5	3	1	199	288	312	600	113	276	29	9	268	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	282	248	52	10	2	6	26	81	6	3	1	210	300	339	639	129	276	29	9	269	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	292	257	53	10	2	6	27	84	6	3	1	206	297	331	627	125	276	29	9	269	64	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2033	27	MLB	ARI	60%	310	272	57	11	2	7	29	90	6	3	1	210	300	342	642	132	275	29	9	269	64	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
2034	28	MLB	ARI	62%	321	280	58	11	2	7	31	93	7	3	1	207	302	336	638	129	275	29	10	268	64	-13	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.1
2035	29	MLB	ARI	63%	326	285	58	11	2	7	31	95	7	3	1	204	297	330	627	126	274	29	10	267	62	-14	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.0
2036	30	MLB	ARI	63%	325	284	57	11	2	6	31	96	7	3	1	201	295	317	612	116	272	30	10	264	60	-15	+0	-1	+6	+9	-0.1
2037	31	MLB	ARI	65%	315	276	53	10	1	6	30	94	6	3	1	192	285	301	586	109	270	30	10	260	57	-15	+0	-2	+6	+9	-0.2
2038	32	MLB	ARI	65%	295	259	49	9	1	5	28	89	6	3	1	189	283	290	573	100	266	30	9	255	53	-16	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3186	2795	562	107	17	63	300	934	66	32	11	201	294	319	613	118	275	29	9	265	61	-141	+2	-7	+57	+90	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	115	22	3	13	61	191	13	7	2	202	293	319	612	118	276	29	9	265	61	-29	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	5940	5195	1024	196	30	111	552	1742	140	55	22	197	291	310	602	113	270	29	9	274	68	-216	+2	-10	+106	+168	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	111	21	3	12	60	191	15	6	2	195	289	306	595	111	268	29	9	274	68	-24	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	100	24	7	0	0	15	22	6	1	2	240	372	310	682	70	300	18	12	319	102	+0	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	125	34	6	0	3	12	28	8	1	1	272	372	392	764	120	323	19	8	346	123	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	113	21	4	1	1	25	27	10	0	0	186	378	265	644	80	230	18	17	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,312	63	33	199	289	314	+59	+32	3.9	3.7
	/162	664	13	7	199	289	314	+11.9	+6.4	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Urbina (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	35	60	166/289/315	149	259	4	1	39%	11%	63	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	40	37→30	40→45	37	194/243/263	69	285	4	5	32%	5%	36	-2.7	209/262/265	56	278	2	5	24%	6%	44	-2.1	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	39	-2.5	188/251/276	88	288	7	6	35%	6%	43	-2.2	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	42	38→45	36→40	41	203/248/281	78	264	6	3	25%	5%	43	-2.2	202/244/257	55	288	3	5	29%	5%	33	-2.9	184/216/191	7	263	0	3	29%	4%	0	-1.7
✕Anneury Peguero 2007 · A	20	43	35→30	44→50	48	201/266/259	58	253	2	7	20%	7%	45	-2.1	211/289/268	57	271	3	12	21%	9%	57	-1.2	205/293/243	38	260	2	16	20%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Jose Rivera 2010 · A	20	40	35→40	39→45	44	188/245/244	56	251	2	6	25%	6%	31	-3.0	189/229/245	56	245	2	5	23%	4%	24	-3.5	198/244/266	68	250	3	4	21%	4%	33	-1.0
✕Carlos Gonzalez 2014 · A	20	38	34→30	39→40	41	180/242/229	49	280	2	4	34%	7%	27	-3.3	203/258/262	59	280	2	4	26%	6%	42	-2.3	201/255/247	46	271	1	2	25%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Maurizo Buda 2012 · A	20	40	37→40	38→40	42	189/263/261	72	271	5	4	30%	7%	45	-2.1	205/282/282	77	293	5	4	29%	8%	58	-1.2	192/282/254	62	276	4	1	29%	9%	51	-0.7
✕Juan Heredia 2012 · A	20	45	35→30	38→50	52	207/291/269	62	274	2	6	23%	10%	59	-1.1	202/293/262	60	264	2	11	21%	10%	58	-1.2	188/302/244	56	248	0	15	21%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	52	-1.6	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	29	-0.9
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	25	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	61	-1.0	227/272/301	75	302	6	3	26%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	37	38→40	39→45	37	182/244/264	82	270	6	3	33%	5%	37	-2.6	171/254/244	73	261	5	5	34%	8%	37	-2.6	138/240/198	60	210	5	4	33%	9%	18	-1.5
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	37	-2.6	205/297/270	65	270	4	12	23%	11%	62	-0.9	199/293/259	61	267	4	15	24%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Juan Montes 2015 · A	20	41	36→30	38→55	44	192/267/259	67	272	4	5	29%	8%	46	-2.0	191/270/266	75	250	6	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	185/271/239	53	243	4	21	23%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	39→45	44→50	48	196/264/281	85	246	6	7	22%	8%	50	-1.7	217/263/307	90	264	5	7	19%	6%	55	-1.4	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/244	53	335	3	5	41%	6%	32	-3.0	171/227/194	23	314	1	2	43%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	42→52	38→40	39→50	43	202/259/282	81	260	5	4	24%	6%	48	-1.9	205/262/300	95	269	8	5	26%	6%	54	-1.4	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0