Jose Urbina — OGILVIE

Jose UrbinaC ACL D-backs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION93 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%36

BB%9

BABIP275

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	100	24	7	0	0	15	22	6	1	2	240	372	310	682	70	300	18	12	319	102	+0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	125	34	6	0	3	12	28	8	1	1	272	372	392	764	120	323	19	8	346	120	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	113	21	4	1	1	25	27	10	0	0	186	378	265	644	80	230	18	17	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	106	19	5	0	0	9	32	6	1	2	179	281	226	507	47	235	26	7	229	41	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	129	24	4	0	2	8	41	8	1	1	186	276	264	539	78	243	28	5	239	48	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	122	17	3	1	1	16	41	10	0	0	139	291	205	495	66	176	27	11	219	34	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	106	19	5	0	0	9	32	6	1	2	179	281	226	507	47	250	26	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	100	24	7	0	0	15	22	6	1	2	240	372	310	682	70	300	18	12	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	129	24	4	0	2	8	41	8	1	1	186	276	264	539	78	250	28	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	125	34	6	0	3	12	28	8	1	1	272	372	392	764	120	323	19	8	346	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	122	17	3	1	1	16	41	10	0	0	139	291	205	495	66	195	27	11	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	113	21	4	1	1	25	27	10	0	0	186	378	265	644	80	230	18	17	315	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	107	19	5	0	0	9	32	6	1	2	178	281	224	505	47	235	26	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	130	24	4	0	2	8	41	8	1	1	185	276	262	537	77	243	28	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	123	17	3	1	1	16	41	10	0	0	138	291	203	494	65	176	27	11	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	107	19	5	0	0	9	32	6	1	2	178	281	224	505	47	235	26	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	130	24	4	0	2	8	41	8	1	1	185	276	262	537	77	243	28	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	123	17	3	1	1	16	41	10	0	0	138	291	203	494	65	176	27	11	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ARI	—	93	78	13	3	1	3	11	43	4	0	0	167	301	346	647	179	312	46	12	271	70	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	ARI	—	93	71	18	5	1	4	18	30	4	0	0	254	430	521	951	268	378	32	19	420	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	ARI	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		269	36	9	257	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	ARI	—	104	88	14	3	1	3	12	47	4	0	0	159	288	318	607	159	289	45	12	270	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	208	183	34	7	1	3	19	64	4	2	1	186	277	284	561	98	270	31	9	266	66	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	332	292	58	12	2	6	30	100	7	3	1	199	289	315	604	116	273	30	9	274	72	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	416	367	74	15	2	8	37	123	9	4	1	202	291	319	609	117	275	30	9	279	75	-12	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	472	416	86	17	3	10	43	138	10	5	2	207	296	334	631	127	276	29	9	282	77	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	504	443	90	18	3	10	46	147	10	5	2	203	293	325	618	122	276	29	9	283	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	520	457	94	19	3	11	47	152	11	5	2	206	295	333	628	127	276	29	9	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	456	93	18	3	11	48	152	11	5	2	204	295	329	624	125	275	29	9	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	456	93	18	3	11	48	153	11	5	2	204	295	329	624	125	275	29	9	282	77	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	455	92	18	3	10	49	154	11	5	2	202	295	321	616	119	274	30	9	280	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	513	450	89	18	2	10	48	153	10	5	2	198	289	313	603	116	272	30	9	277	74	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	485	427	83	16	2	9	45	146	10	4	1	194	286	304	591	110	270	30	9	273	71	-17	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	71	63	12	3	0	1	6	22	2	1	0	190	282	286	567	95	276	31	8	253	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	161	143	29	6	1	3	14	48	3	2	1	203	287	322	609	119	279	30	9	261	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	226	199	41	9	1	4	20	67	5	2	1	206	295	322	616	116	281	30	9	267	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	262	231	48	10	2	5	24	77	5	3	1	208	296	333	629	126	282	29	9	270	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	282	248	52	11	2	6	26	82	6	3	1	210	300	343	643	133	282	29	9	270	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	292	257	54	11	2	6	27	85	6	3	1	210	300	339	639	128	282	29	9	271	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	288	253	53	11	2	6	27	84	6	3	1	209	301	340	641	130	282	29	9	271	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	250	52	11	2	6	27	84	6	3	1	208	300	340	640	132	281	29	9	270	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	278	244	50	10	2	5	26	82	6	3	1	205	297	324	621	119	280	29	9	268	76	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	270	238	47	10	1	5	25	80	5	3	1	197	287	311	598	113	278	30	9	265	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	274	240	48	10	1	5	26	83	6	2	1	200	294	312	607	112	276	30	9	261	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2689	2366	486	102	16	52	248	794	56	28	10	205	296	328	624	123	284	30	9	267	72	-79	+2	-4	+48	+58	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	118	25	4	13	60	192	14	7	2	206	297	332	629	126	285	30	9	267	72	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5441	4769	947	188	28	102	494	1600	128	50	21	199	291	314	605	115	273	29	9	275	72	-149	+2	-7	+90	+109	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	112	22	3	12	59	191	15	6	3	196	289	309	598	112	270	29	9	275	72	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,814	55	28	201	288	320	+50	+28	4.4	4.0
/162	664	13	7	+11.9	+6.6	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Urbina (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	35	60	182/274/275	93	269	2	1	32%	9%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	40	37→30	40→45	37	194/243/263	69	285	4	5	32%	5%	43	-2.8	209/262/265	56	278	2	5	24%	6%	51	-2.3	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	42	38→45	36→40	41	203/248/281	78	264	6	3	25%	5%	49	-2.4	202/244/257	55	288	3	5	29%	5%	41	-3.0	184/216/191	7	263	0	3	29%	4%	11	-1.7
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	46	-2.6	188/252/275	87	288	7	6	35%	6%	50	-2.3	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Xavier Fernández 2015 · A	20	42	35→45	41→40	45	196/249/258	61	247	2	4	21%	6%	44	-2.8	221/268/312	91	267	8	3	20%	5%	63	-1.3	236/287/356	119	281	13	2	20%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Anneury Peguero 2007 · A	20	43	35→30	44→50	48	201/266/259	58	253	2	7	20%	7%	51	-2.2	211/289/268	57	271	3	12	21%	9%	62	-1.4	205/293/243	38	260	2	16	20%	10%	55	-0.6
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	45	-2.7	205/298/270	65	269	4	12	23%	11%	67	-1.1	199/294/260	61	266	4	15	24%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A	20	44→31	36→45	45→30	39	206/265/279	73	298	3	5	30%	5%	55	-1.9	185/251/287	102	313	10	3	41%	6%	53	-2.1	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Heredia 2012 · A	20	45	35→30	38→50	52	207/291/269	62	274	2	6	23%	10%	63	-1.3	202/293/262	60	264	2	11	21%	10%	63	-1.4	188/302/244	56	248	0	15	21%	12%	60	-0.7
✕Maurizo Buda 2012 · A	20	40	37→40	38→40	42	189/263/261	72	271	5	4	30%	7%	51	-2.2	205/282/282	77	293	5	4	29%	8%	63	-1.4	192/282/254	62	276	4	1	29%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	57	-1.8	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	61	-1.5	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	37	38→40	39→45	37	182/244/264	82	270	6	3	33%	5%	45	-2.7	171/254/244	73	261	5	5	34%	8%	45	-2.7	138/240/198	60	210	5	4	33%	9%	28	-1.5
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	34	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	65	-1.2	224/271/298	73	297	6	3	25%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	39→45	44→50	48	196/264/281	85	246	6	7	22%	8%	56	-1.9	216/262/303	87	264	5	7	19%	6%	59	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	45	-2.7	193/248/247	54	331	3	5	40%	6%	41	-3.0	176/233/201	25	312	1	2	41%	6%	23	-1.1
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕David Hernandez 2007 · A	20	43	35→40	44→55	46	200/269/256	56	264	2	6	24%	7%	52	-2.2	224/284/297	73	278	4	11	19%	7%	66	-1.1	227/289/294	67	277	3	14	18%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Ariel Baez 2011 · A	20	40	40	43→45	47	196/276/290	95	257	8	5	26%	8%	63	-1.4	194/257/282	88	274	6	6	30%	6%	53	-2.1	174/232/256	82	248	6	4	31%	5%	37	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps