Julian Hernandez

Julian HernandezC DSL Mets Orange

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .291

PA3

HR0

K%32

BB%9

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	66	13	4	1	2	17	30	2	0	1	197	376	379	755	182	324	35	20	349	122	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	38	9	0	0	2	11	10	1	2	0	237	420	395	815	158	250	19	21	364	132	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	8	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	250	571	250	821		286	13	40	400	157	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	73	8	2	1	1	10	44	2	0	1	110	235	205	441	96	239	52	12	210	28	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	43	8	0	0	2	6	15	1	2	0	186	300	326	626	140	196	29	12	272	70	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	10	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	200	429	200	629		241	20	27	328	108	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	73	8	2	1	1	10	44	2	0	1	110	235	205	441	96	250	52	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	66	13	4	1	2	17	30	2	0	1	197	376	379	755	182	324	35	20	349	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	43	8	0	0	2	6	15	1	2	0	186	300	326	626	140	214	29	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	38	9	0	0	2	11	10	1	2	0	237	420	395	815	158	250	19	21	364	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	10	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	200	429	200	629		250	20	27	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	8	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	250	571	250	821		286	13	40	400	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	73	8	2	1	1	10	44	2	0	1	110	235	205	441	96	239	52	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	45	8	0	0	2	6	15	1	2	0	178	300	311	611	133	196	29	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	182	429	182	610		241	20	27	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	73	8	2	1	1	10	44	2	0	1	110	235	205	441	96	239	52	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	45	8	0	0	2	6	15	1	2	0	178	300	311	611	133	196	29	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	182	429	182	610		241	20	27	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	33	0	264	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	124	111	23	4	1	2	11	38	1	1	0	207	285	315	600	108	290	31	9	274	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	267	238	50	8	2	5	24	81	3	3	1	210	291	324	614	113	291	30	9	280	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	368	327	70	12	2	8	34	109	4	4	1	214	296	336	632	122	292	30	9	285	79	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	438	390	84	14	3	9	40	129	5	5	1	215	297	336	632	121	293	29	9	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	479	426	91	15	3	10	44	141	6	5	2	214	296	333	630	120	293	29	9	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	503	446	96	16	3	11	46	148	6	5	2	215	297	339	636	123	293	29	9	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	513	454	97	16	3	11	48	151	6	6	2	214	297	335	632	121	293	29	9	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	516	457	97	16	3	11	48	153	6	5	2	212	295	333	628	120	292	30	9	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	510	451	96	16	3	11	48	152	6	5	2	213	297	335	632	122	291	30	9	287	80	-12	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	503	444	95	16	3	11	48	151	6	4	1	214	299	338	637	124	290	30	10	284	78	-13	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	475	422	88	14	3	10	45	144	5	4	1	209	292	327	619	118	288	30	9	280	76	-14	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	445	395	80	13	2	9	42	137	5	3	1	203	287	314	601	111	284	31	9	275	72	-15	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	43	39	7	1	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	179	256	282	538	103	283	30	9	261	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	129	114	23	4	1	2	12	39	2	1	0	202	289	307	596	105	284	30	9	267	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	200	178	37	6	1	4	18	59	2	2	1	208	288	320	608	112	285	30	9	272	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	243	216	46	8	2	5	22	72	3	3	1	213	295	338	633	125	286	30	9	275	81	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	268	238	50	8	2	6	25	79	3	3	1	210	293	336	629	126	286	29	9	276	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	283	252	53	9	2	6	26	83	3	3	1	210	292	333	625	123	286	29	9	277	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	284	253	53	9	2	6	26	84	3	3	1	209	291	332	623	123	285	30	9	277	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	283	251	53	9	2	6	27	84	3	3	1	211	295	335	630	124	285	30	10	276	82	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	272	241	50	8	2	6	26	81	3	3	1	207	293	332	625	124	284	30	10	274	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	287	255	53	9	2	6	27	86	3	2	1	208	291	329	621	122	283	30	9	271	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	283	251	51	8	2	6	27	86	3	2	1	203	288	323	611	120	280	30	10	267	76	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	273	242	48	8	1	5	26	84	3	2	1	198	284	302	586	103	277	31	10	262	72	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2848	2530	524	87	19	59	266	850	31	27	10	207	290	326	617	119	285	30	9	272	78	-71	+1	-6	+51	+62	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	119	20	4	13	61	194	7	6	2	206	290	322	612	116	284	30	9	272	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5296	4690	985	162	32	111	498	1597	62	52	17	210	294	329	623	119	290	30	9	284	78	-128	+4	-10	+92	+111	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	20	4	14	61	196	8	6	2	210	295	332	627	122	289	30	9	284	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,885	61	28	213	293	334	+52	+28	6.0	5.3
/162	664	14	6	+11.9	+6.4	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julian Hernandez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	197/279/291	95	289	1	0	32%	9%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	38→41	43→55	47→50	36	195/235/310	115	269	11	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	198/239/343	145	274	17	6	33%	5%	61	-1.5	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	40→44	42→50	45	38	202/251/306	105	274	10	6	30%	5%	56	-1.9	199/255/338	139	279	14	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	56	-1.9	208/243/347	139	278	17	3	31%	4%	63	-1.4	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	72	-0.7	202/299/283	81	274	6	17	26%	10%	71	-0.8	180/307/230	50	224	5	30	19%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→37	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	191/271/310	119	332	11	13	42%	9%	65	-1.2	167/259/302	135	291	13	18	43%	10%	57	-1.1
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Geoandry Montilla 2016 · A	20	44	41→45	48→50	41	213/265/307	95	298	8	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	201/269/302	101	296	8	8	32%	8%	63	-1.4	174/253/276	102	257	8	9	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Sam Huff 2018 · A	20	40	44→55	46→45	37	195/255/311	116	314	12	4	40%	7%	59	-1.6	193/236/327	134	312	16	6	42%	4%	56	-1.9	214/277/388	174	309	26	1	38%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	46→50	50	46	194/272/327	133	266	12	8	31%	9%	70	-0.8	183/267/307	124	271	12	8	34%	10%	64	-1.3	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A	20	40	41→40	46→30	41	197/265/294	97	276	9	5	30%	6%	59	-1.6	205/261/294	89	269	7	4	25%	6%	57	-1.8	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	42→45	47→40	42	194/267/295	101	284	11	4	34%	8%	61	-1.5	182/265/292	110	306	11	4	40%	9%	60	-1.6	148/247/263	115	255	13	2	43%	10%	45	-0.9
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→46	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/305	117	285	11	4	36%	7%	55	-1.9	223/287/364	141	282	15	12	25%	8%	84	+0.1	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	53	-2.1	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	52	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps