Julian Hernandez

C DSL Mets Orange

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1280ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKDSL Mets Blue	85	.197/.376/.379	2	0	29	—	.111/.247/.208
2024	18	ROKDSL Mets Blue	52	.237/.420/.395	2	2	51	—	.143/.280/.214
2025	19	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	15	.250/.571/.250	0	0	105	—	.200/.429/.200
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBNYM	125	.214/.305/.291	1	2	73	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBNYM	24	.211/.303/.293	0	0	76	0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBNYM	76	.214/.304/.301	1	1	79	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .303 / .288

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%11

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	66	13	4	1	2	17	30	2	0	1	197	376	379	755	182	324	35	20	349	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	38	9	0	0	2	11	10	1	2	0	237	420	395	815	158	250	19	21	364	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	8	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	250	571	250	821		286	13	40	400	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	72	8	2	1	1	11	38	2	0	1	111	247	208	455	97	196	45	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	42	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	143	280	214	494	71	159	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	10	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	200	429	200	629		197	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	72	8	2	1	1	11	38	2	0	1	111	247	208	455	97	212	45	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	66	13	4	1	2	17	30	2	0	1	197	376	379	755	182	324	35	20	349	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	42	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	143	280	214	494	71	167	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	38	9	0	0	2	11	10	1	2	0	237	420	395	815	158	250	19	21	364	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	10	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	200	429	200	629		250	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	8	2	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	250	571	250	821		286	13	40	400	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	85	72	8	2	1	1	11	38	2	0	1	111	247	208	455	97	196	45	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	44	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	136	280	205	485	68	159	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	182	429	182	610		197	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	52	44	6	0	0	1	7	13	1	2	0	136	280	205	485	68	159	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	182	429	182	610		197	20	27	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	125	110	24	3	1	1	13	33	1	2	0	214	305	291	597	77	289	26	10	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	70	62	13	2	0	1	7	18	1	1	0	217	308	301	609	84	290	26	10	281	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	153	135	30	4	1	2	16	40	1	2	1	220	310	310	619	90	291	26	10	285	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	235	207	46	6	1	4	24	61	2	3	1	222	311	317	628	95	292	26	10	288	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	305	268	60	8	2	5	31	78	3	4	1	224	312	323	635	100	292	26	10	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYM	62%	352	310	69	9	2	6	36	90	3	4	1	225	312	328	641	104	292	26	10	292	84	-7	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYM	63%	375	330	75	10	2	7	38	96	4	4	1	224	311	326	637	102	291	26	10	291	83	-8	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	383	337	76	10	2	7	39	99	4	3	1	222	309	321	630	99	290	26	10	288	81	-9	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	381	336	73	9	2	6	39	99	3	2	1	219	306	314	620	95	289	26	10	284	79	-10	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	374	330	72	9	2	6	38	99	3	1	1	216	303	306	608	90	287	26	10	280	75	-11	-0	-2	+7	+8	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	344	304	65	8	2	5	34	92	3	1	0	212	298	296	593	84	284	27	10	274	71	-12	+0	-3	+6	+7	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	24	21	3	0	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	211	303	293	595	82	282	25	12	276	76	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	76	67	14	2	0	1	8	20	1	1	0	214	304	301	606	88	283	26	11	279	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	133	117	25	3	1	2	14	34	1	2	0	216	306	309	615	93	284	26	11	283	81	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	184	161	35	4	1	3	19	47	2	2	1	218	306	315	622	98	284	26	10	285	83	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYM	62%	220	193	42	5	1	4	23	56	2	3	1	219	307	320	627	101	283	25	10	287	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYM	63%	238	210	45	6	1	4	24	61	2	3	1	217	306	317	623	100	283	26	10	285	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	249	220	47	6	1	4	25	64	2	2	1	216	304	312	616	97	282	26	10	283	81	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	248	219	47	6	1	4	25	65	2	1	1	213	301	306	607	93	280	26	10	279	79	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	243	214	45	5	1	4	25	64	2	1	0	210	297	298	595	88	278	26	10	274	75	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	224	198	41	5	1	3	22	60	2	0	0	206	292	288	580	82	275	27	10	268	71	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1839	1620	344	42	8	29	188	477	16	15	5	212	300	302	602	90	281	26	10	280	78	-45	+1	-5	+33	+40	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	122	15	3	10	66	169	6	5	2	213	301	302	603	89	282	26	10	280	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3146	2763	598	77	17	51	326	832	30	27	9	216	306	312	618	96	288	26	10	283	78	-73	+2	-7	+53	+65	4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	125	16	4	11	67	172	6	6	2	219	307	319	626	100	291	26	10	283	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 15 PAwOBA .421 → .324 (−97)K% 13.3% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	16.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	40.00%	÷0.971	×0.700	—	×0.985	28.41%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.012	×0.680	—	×0.985	22.05%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.944	×0.600	—	×0.985	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.057	×0.600	—	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.873	×0.470	—	×0.985	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 111, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .421 → .324; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Mets Blue · 52 PAwOBA .370 → .243 (−126)K% 19.2% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.23%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	24.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.15%	÷1.067	×0.700	—	×0.995	13.81%
HBP% /PA	1.92%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.34%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.035	×0.680	—	×0.995	16.34%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.001	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.967	×0.470	—	×0.995	3.45%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .370 → .243; ISO .158 → .086; BABIP .250 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mets Blue · 85 PAwOBA .341 → .211 (−130)K% 35.3% → 44.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.29%	÷0.971	×1.220	—	—	44.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷1.049	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.45%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.66%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.074	×0.680	—	×1.008	10.63%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.976	×0.600	—	×1.008	6.88%
Triples /BIP	2.78%	÷1.150	×0.600	—	×1.008	1.46%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷0.868	×0.470	—	×1.008	3.03%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 115, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .341 → .211; ISO .182 → .099; BABIP .324 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Duffy Dyer'68-'80 * career totals — 12 seasons, 2,266 PA	3.4	2,266	30	10	218*	303*	339*	+39	-0	4.8	5.2
#4Duffy Dyer'68-'80 * career totals — 12 seasons, 2,266 PA	/162	664	9	3	218*	303*	339*	+11.4	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	2.8	1,860	30	16	221	305	317	+33	+28	3.9	3.7
	/162	664	11	6	221	305	317	+11.9	+10.0	1.4	pk7: 3
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	3.1	2,047	34	1	218*	292*	337*	+35	-0	2.6	3.3
#6Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	/162	664	11	0	218*	292*	337*	+11.4	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 4

Julian Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps