Julian HernandezC DSL Mets Orange
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .277 / .292
PA38
HR1
K%33
BB%9
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.81.70.10.40.71.01.11.21.21.10.90.70.4+$61M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.2$6M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$4M
2035Arb-1$2M+0.9$2M+$1M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.7$1M+$0.5M
2037Arb-3$2M+0.4$0.7M+$0.1M
Totals $9M $20M +$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 8573 7202 10462 01 96224205429 110200 5412 206 16 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 8566 13412 17302 01 197376379755 182324 3520 349 125 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 5243 8002 6151 20 186300326626 140214 2912 265 61 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 5238 9002 11101 20 237420395815 158250 1921 364 136 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange — 1510 2000 430 00 200429200629 250 2027 329 110 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange — 158 2000 620 00 250571250821 286 1340 400 164 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBNYM — 3835 7101 3120 00 200263314577 114289 328 263 59 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBNYM 34% 124111 23412 11391 10 207285315600 108290 319 273 67 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202822 MLBNYM 48% 267238 49825 24823 31 206287319606 113292 319 279 72 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
202923 MLBNYM 54% 368328 701228 331114 41 213293335629 122293 309 284 76 -10 +0 +0 +7 +10 0.7
203024 MLBNYM 55% 438390 8414310 401315 51 215297344640 128294 309 287 78 -11 +1 +0 +8 +12 1.0
203125 MLBNYM 56% 479427 9215311 431436 52 215296342638 126294 309 288 79 -12 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.1
203226 MLBNYM 56% 503446 9616311 461506 52 215297339636 123294 309 289 79 -12 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.2
203327 MLBNYM 55% 513455 9816312 471546 62 215297343640 127293 309 289 79 -12 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.2
203428 MLBNYM 55% 516457 9816312 481556 52 214297341639 127293 309 288 79 -13 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.1
203529 MLBNYM 53% 510451 9616311 481546 52 213297335632 122292 309 286 77 -13 +0 -1 +9 +14 0.9
203630 MLBNYM 57% 503445 9516311 471536 41 213297337634 124290 309 283 75 -14 +0 -2 +9 +14 0.7
203731 MLBNYM 60% 475423 8714310 441465 41 206288324612 118288 319 279 72 -15 +0 -3 +8 +13 0.4
203832 MLBNYM 61% 445396 801329 411395 31 202285313598 111284 319 274 68 -16 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.1
203933 MLBNYM 62% 404360 701127 371284 21 194277294571 100280 329 267 63 -17 +0 -4 +7 +11 -0.3
202721 MLBNYM 34% 4339 7101 4140 00 179256282538 103290 339 264 60 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202822 MLBNYM 48% 129114 25413 12402 10 219305351656 132292 319 271 65 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202923 MLBNYM 54% 200178 37614 18602 21 208288320608 112293 309 275 69 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203024 MLBNYM 55% 243216 47825 22733 31 218299343641 125293 309 278 71 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
203125 MLBNYM 56% 268239 52926 24803 31 218297347644 130294 309 279 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203226 MLBNYM 56% 283252 54926 26843 31 214295337633 123293 309 280 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203327 MLBNYM 55% 284253 54926 26853 31 213294336630 123293 309 280 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203428 MLBNYM 55% 283252 54926 26853 31 214295337633 123293 309 279 72 -9 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.4
203529 MLBNYM 53% 272242 52926 25823 31 215296343639 128292 309 277 70 -9 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.3
203630 MLBNYM 57% 287255 54926 27883 21 212295333628 122290 319 274 68 -10 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.2
203731 MLBNYM 60% 283252 53926 26873 21 210292333625 123288 319 271 65 -11 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.0
203832 MLBNYM 61% 273243 48815 25853 21 198280300581 103284 319 265 61 -12 +0 -2 +5 +8 -0.2
203933 MLBNYM 62% 252224 44715 23803 10 196280304584 107280 329 259 57 -12 +0 -3 +4 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 31002759 581972065 28494334 2810 211292331623 120293 309 274 68 -112 +2 -9 +55 +88 2.4
/ 162G— — 650578 12220414 601987 62 211293332625 121293 309 274 68 -23 +0 -2 +12 +18 0.5
Career— — 57355088 106217433124 532176166 5418 209292329621 120290 319 282 74 -170 +4 -15 +102 +162 8.6
/ 162G— — 650577 12120414 602007 62 210292331623 121292 319 282 74 -19 +0 -2 +12 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 8566 13412 17302 01 197376379755 182324 3520 349 125 +2 -0 — — +2 0.5
202418 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 5238 9002 11101 20 237420395815 158250 1921 364 136 +2 +0 — — +1 0.4
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange — 158 2000 620 00 250571250821 286 1340 400 164 +1 +0 — — +0 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,1386629211290332+56+325.14.6
/162664146+11.9+6.81.1pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Julian Hernandez (OGILVIE) 20 — — — — 196/277/292 96289 10 33% 9% 59 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Eddys Leonard
2021 · A 		20 42→47 40→55 45→50 44 202/274/296 94295 78 32% 8% 59 -1.1 228/295/379 151303 175 29% 7% 89 +1.0 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
✕Kevin Padlo
2016 · A 		20 38→40 45→55 50 46 193/270/323 130263 128 30% 9% 64 -0.8 183/268/311 128268 128 34% 10% 60 -1.0 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A 		20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
✕Jesus Galiz
2023 · A 		19 38 43→45 49→40 40 193/254/304 111268 105 31% 6% 53 -1.5 201/260/303 102309 93 36% 6% 54 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
✕Jeferson Quero
2023 · A 		20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
✕Geoandry Montilla
2016 · A 		20 44 41→45 48→50 41 213/265/307 95298 87 30% 7% 56 -1.3 201/269/302 101296 88 32% 8% 58 -1.2 174/253/2761022578933%8%42-0.7
✕Rey Duran
2009 · A 		20 36 41→50 49→40 41 183/243/277 94256 96 31% 6% 40 -2.4 213/267/338 125268 145 25% 6% 66 -0.6 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez
2021 · A 		20 42 40→45 54→60 47 195/295/296 102308 78 35% 10% 69 -0.4 201/299/281 80274 617 26% 10% 66 -0.6 179/307/2264622443020%12%56-0.5
✕Sam Huff
2018 · A 		20 40→42 44→55 46→45 37 195/255/311 116314 124 40% 7% 54 -1.4 189/233/316 127315 146 43% 4% 46 -2.0 215/278/39417831027138%7%82+0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell
2022 · A 		21 42 40→50 51→45 39 201/261/291 91297 77 33% 6% 51 -1.7 195/269/309 114298 138 37% 7% 61 -1.0 180/256/29311325815735%7%49-0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán
2018 · A 		20 43 41→55 46→40 39 210/252/306 96282 86 28% 5% 50 -1.7 208/243/347 139281 183 32% 4% 59 -1.1 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
✕Deivi Mejia
2010 · A 		20 40 41→40 46→30 41 197/265/294 97276 95 30% 6% 54 -1.4 205/261/294 89269 74 25% 6% 52 -1.6 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
✕Carter Jensen
2023 · A 		20 35→45 42→55 45→50 44 176/254/278 102265 97 35% 9% 46 -2.0 196/287/331 135277 149 32% 11% 73 -0.1 224/298/39617229121829%9%92+0.9
✕Rudy van Heydoorn
2009 · A 		20 39 43→45 42→50 48 193/294/300 106278 1110 32% 10% 69 -0.4 183/263/286 103286 106 37% 8% 52 -1.6 153/236/25410123711238%9%32-0.9
✕Luis Torrens
2016 · A 		20 43→47 39→55 49→30 44 205/276/287 82282 66 28% 7% 56 -1.3 210/273/295 85266 74 22% 7% 57 -1.2 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro
2018 · A 		19 41→40 42→55 47→50 39 203/257/313 110287 85 31% 6% 55 -1.4 192/232/317 125275 125 34% 4% 45 -2.1 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez
2022 · A 		20 37→45 44→55 43→55 39 188/247/306 118283 114 36% 7% 50 -1.8 225/286/368 143285 1612 26% 7% 82 +0.5 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
✕Freuddy Batista
2019 · A 		19 39 43→50 45→40 39 193/258/301 108287 104 35% 7% 53 -1.5 194/251/315 121295 135 37% 6% 53 -1.5 199/268/36016028318535%6%70-0.2
✕Orlando Marquez
2016 · A 		20 39 40→45 50→40 46 186/272/285 99266 67 30% 9% 56 -1.3 181/247/275 94236 76 25% 7% 42 -2.3 107/165/196901169519%5%-12-1.1