Jjam Alvarez — OGILVIE

Jjam AlvarezSS DSL Colorado

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .287 / .301

PA101

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$25M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	89	84	16	1	0	0	3	36	1	5	3	190	227	202	430	12	327	40	3	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	275	341	287	628	12	400	29	8	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	194	41	4	1	1	14	43	6	7	2	211	285	258	543	46	263	20	6	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	296	388	366	753	70	351	15	10	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	120	103	16	2	0	1	14	28	2	2	0	155	269	204	473	49	203	23	12	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	215	387	280	666	65	264	17	20	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	COL	—	101	91	20	3	1	1	8	25	1	2	0	220	290	308	598	88	292	25	8	271	66	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	COL	34%	187	169	38	6	1	3	14	46	2	3	1	225	292	325	617	101	293	25	7	282	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	22	MLB	COL	48%	316	284	66	11	2	5	25	76	4	6	2	232	304	338	642	106	294	24	8	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2029	23	MLB	COL	54%	405	365	84	14	2	7	32	97	5	8	2	230	301	337	638	107	295	24	8	293	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2030	24	MLB	COL	55%	464	418	98	16	3	9	37	110	6	9	3	234	306	352	658	117	295	24	8	296	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2031	25	MLB	COL	56%	498	449	106	18	3	10	40	118	6	10	3	236	307	356	663	120	295	24	8	297	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.2
2032	26	MLB	COL	56%	517	464	109	18	3	10	42	122	6	10	3	235	307	351	658	116	295	24	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2033	27	MLB	COL	55%	525	470	111	19	3	10	43	124	7	11	3	236	310	353	663	117	295	24	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.4
2034	28	MLB	COL	55%	525	471	110	18	3	10	43	125	6	10	3	234	306	348	654	115	295	24	8	297	85	-9	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.2
2035	29	MLB	COL	53%	519	465	109	18	3	10	43	125	6	10	3	234	307	351	658	116	295	24	8	295	84	-9	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.1
2036	30	MLB	COL	53%	510	457	105	17	3	9	42	124	6	9	3	230	303	339	642	109	294	24	8	293	82	-10	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.8
2037	31	MLB	COL	52%	497	447	103	17	3	9	41	122	6	9	2	230	304	342	646	112	292	25	8	289	79	-12	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.6
2038	32	MLB	COL	52%	480	431	97	16	2	8	40	120	6	8	2	225	300	327	627	102	289	25	8	284	75	-13	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.3
2039	33	MLB	COL	52%	451	406	89	14	2	7	37	115	5	7	2	219	292	315	608	96	286	25	8	278	71	-15	+1	-4	+5	+13	-0.1
2027	21	MLB	COL	34%	64	58	13	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	224	297	310	607	86	314	25	8	291	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	COL	48%	153	138	34	6	1	3	12	37	2	3	1	246	316	370	685	123	315	24	8	299	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	23	MLB	COL	54%	220	198	50	9	1	5	17	52	3	4	1	253	321	384	705	131	316	24	8	304	91	-2	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2030	24	MLB	COL	55%	257	231	59	10	2	6	21	61	3	5	1	255	325	394	719	139	317	24	8	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2031	25	MLB	COL	56%	279	252	64	11	2	6	22	66	3	6	2	254	321	385	706	131	317	24	8	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.0
2032	26	MLB	COL	56%	291	262	67	12	2	7	23	69	4	6	2	256	325	397	722	141	317	24	8	309	95	-2	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.0
2033	27	MLB	COL	55%	290	260	66	11	2	7	24	69	4	6	2	254	326	392	719	138	317	24	8	309	95	-2	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.0
2034	28	MLB	COL	55%	288	258	65	11	2	6	24	69	4	6	2	252	325	380	705	128	317	24	8	308	94	-2	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.9
2035	29	MLB	COL	53%	277	249	63	11	2	6	23	67	3	5	1	253	324	386	709	133	316	24	8	306	92	-2	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.8
2036	30	MLB	COL	53%	268	241	60	10	2	6	22	65	3	5	1	249	320	382	701	133	315	24	8	303	90	-3	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.7
2037	31	MLB	COL	52%	259	232	57	10	1	5	22	64	3	5	1	246	319	362	681	116	313	25	8	299	87	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2038	32	MLB	COL	52%	249	223	54	9	1	5	21	62	3	4	1	242	316	359	675	117	310	25	8	294	83	-5	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2039	33	MLB	COL	52%	233	209	49	8	1	4	19	59	3	4	1	234	307	340	647	105	306	25	8	287	78	-6	+0	-2	+2	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3128	2811	701	120	19	67	255	756	39	60	16	249	320	377	698	128	317	24	8	303	90	-35	+6	-8	+34	+89	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	146	25	4	14	53	157	8	12	3	250	320	378	699	128	318	24	8	303	90	-7	+1	-2	+7	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	6422	5768	1318	212	35	110	518	1556	81	126	37	229	301	335	636	106	292	24	8	287	78	-160	+10	-15	+69	+182	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	133	21	4	11	52	157	8	13	4	228	299	334	633	106	291	24	8	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	275	341	287	628	12	400	29	8	291	81	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	296	388	366	753	70	351	15	10	342	120	+5	+1	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	215	387	280	666	65	264	17	20	322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,230	58	60	232	301	343	+35	+24	6.0	5.3
	/162	664	12	12	232	301	343	+7.1	+4.9	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jjam Alvarez (OGILVIE)	20	53→58	31→36	47→52	55	220/287/301	82	292	1	2	25%	8%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/288/307	89	289	3	11	24%	9%	66	-0.6	244/304/360	116	301	9	13	21%	7%	87	+0.8	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→56	34→40	50→55	44	224/275/274	50	289	2	11	22%	6%	52	-1.6	243/293/292	49	296	2	9	17%	5%	64	-0.8	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2007 · A	20	52→62	34→40	48→50	46	240/295/288	48	310	2	10	22%	7%	63	-0.8	264/326/343	79	326	5	10	19%	8%	91	+1.1	263/314/359	97	350	5	4	25%	6%	88	+0.6
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	48→57	38→45	51→65	44	226/278/313	88	285	3	11	21%	6%	63	-0.8	222/270/334	112	284	9	31	24%	5%	66	-0.6	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	48→57	38→45	50	42	231/275/303	72	293	7	15	24%	5%	59	-1.1	246/293/350	104	303	10	17	21%	6%	79	+0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Osleivis Basabe 2021 · A	20	49→59	36→45	51→50	44	228/272/300	72	280	2	10	19%	5%	57	-1.2	259/303/352	93	319	4	15	19%	6%	83	+0.6	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Jose Duarte 2006 · A	21	48→56	40	50→55	47	229/285/330	101	294	7	11	24%	7%	70	-0.3	235/283/309	74	308	3	19	23%	6%	64	-0.8	236/303/327	91	295	6	14	21%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Emerson Landoni 2009 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→45	42	218/276/284	66	297	3	7	26%	6%	55	-1.4	230/281/305	75	293	5	8	22%	6%	63	-0.9	263/307/339	75	314	4	4	16%	5%	78	+0.1
●Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	52	-1.6	236/347/327	91	303	7	8	22%	10%	99	+1.7	226/327/323	97	289	8	8	22%	9%	87	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	49	36→40	44→45	51	228/300/296	67	288	2	6	20%	8%	69	-0.4	194/255/265	71	271	5	5	28%	7%	42	-2.3	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	54→58	39→40	51→50	43	253/301/342	89	325	5	13	23%	6%	80	+0.4	234/265/316	82	290	6	13	21%	4%	58	-1.2	223/265/309	86	256	8	15	16%	5%	53	-1.0
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	65	-0.7	211/265/280	69	308	3	9	31%	5%	50	-1.8	227/290/312	85	305	4	12	25%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2010 · AA	20	50→60	37→40	51→50	46	235/285/310	75	276	4	12	17%	5%	66	-0.6	248/304/316	68	294	3	8	16%	6%	75	-0.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Ozzie Martínez 2008 · A	20	45→55	36→40	47→50	47	215/266/280	66	261	4	9	19%	6%	50	-1.8	247/289/330	83	294	5	9	17%	5%	72	-0.2	261/306/347	86	303	5	10	15%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Albert Hernandez 2009 · A	20	48	38→40	48→45	46	227/289/318	91	280	4	8	20%	6%	69	-0.4	222/280/310	88	288	7	7	24%	6%	63	-0.8	216/273/293	77	277	9	5	24%	6%	53	-0.4
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→55	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	62	-0.9	225/284/354	129	286	12	14	25%	6%	77	+0.1	229/300/349	120	276	11	15	20%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4