Jjam Alvarez — OGILVIE

Jjam AlvarezSS DSL Colorado

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK H +10%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.9 · 2033

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .297 / .334

PA101

HR2

K%25

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52↗57

PWR

31↗36

SPD

47↗52

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.8	$28M	+$27M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.6	$27M	+$22M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.3	$25M	+$17M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.1	$23M	+$13M
Totals		$27M		$159M	+$132M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	89	84	16	1	0	0	3	36	1	5	3	.190	.227	.202	.430	.012	.327	40	3	.188	2	-10	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	218	194	41	4	1	1	14	44	6	7	2	.211	.285	.258	.543	.046	.265	20	6	.241	43	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	120	103	16	2	0	1	14	28	2	2	0	.155	.269	.204	.473	.049	.203	23	12	.218	25	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	COL	101	91	21	4	1	2	8	26	1	2	0	.231	.300	.363	.663	.132	.291	26	8	.288	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	COL	187	166	39	7	1	4	17	45	2	4	1	.235	.314	.361	.675	.127	.294	24	9	.305	91	-2	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
2028	22	MLB 28%	COL	316	279	68	12	2	8	30	73	4	7	2	.244	.326	.387	.713	.143	.295	23	9	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.3
2029	23	MLB 48%	COL	405	358	88	16	2	11	39	91	5	9	2	.246	.328	.394	.722	.148	.296	22	10	.321	103	+2	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.9
2030	24	MLB 62%	COL	464	409	101	18	3	13	46	103	6	10	2	.247	.332	.401	.733	.154	.296	22	10	.325	107	+4	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.3
2031	25	MLB 80%	COL	498	438	108	19	3	14	51	110	6	10	2	.247	.333	.400	.733	.153	.297	22	10	.328	109	+5	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.6
2032	26	MLB 94%	COL	517	452	113	20	3	15	53	114	7	11	2	.250	.338	.407	.745	.157	.298	22	10	.330	111	+6	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.8
2033	27	MLB	COL	525	458	114	20	3	15	55	116	7	11	2	.249	.338	.404	.742	.155	.298	22	10	.330	111	+6	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.9
2034	28	MLB	COL	525	458	114	20	3	15	55	117	7	10	2	.249	.338	.404	.742	.155	.298	22	10	.329	110	+6	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.8
2035	29	MLB	COL	519	453	112	20	3	14	55	117	6	10	1	.247	.337	.397	.734	.150	.297	23	11	.327	109	+5	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.6
2036	30	MLB	COL	510	445	109	19	3	14	54	117	6	9	1	.245	.335	.396	.730	.151	.296	23	11	.324	106	+4	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.3
2037	31	MLB	COL	497	436	104	18	2	13	52	116	6	8	0	.239	.328	.378	.706	.140	.295	23	10	.321	104	+2	+2	-3	+5	+14	2.1
2038	32	MLB	COL	480	420	99	17	2	12	51	115	6	7	0	.236	.327	.371	.698	.136	.294	24	11	.316	100	+0	+1	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2039	33	MLB	COL	451	396	92	16	2	11	47	111	5	7	0	.232	.321	.366	.688	.134	.293	25	10	.311	96	-2	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.3
2040	34	MLB	COL	405	355	81	14	2	9	42	103	5	6	0	.228	.318	.355	.673	.127	.292	25	10	.305	91	-4	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.8
2041	35	MLB	COL	351	308	68	11	2	7	36	93	4	6	0	.221	.310	.338	.648	.117	.291	26	10	.298	86	-6	+1	-6	+4	+10	0.4
2042	36	MLB	COL	292	257	56	9	1	6	30	80	3	5	0	.218	.307	.331	.638	.113	.289	27	10	.289	80	-7	+1	-6	+3	+8	-0.1
2043	37	MLB	COL	229	202	43	7	1	4	23	65	2	4	0	.213	.300	.317	.616	.104	.286	28	10	.280	72	-7	+1	-7	+2	+6	-0.4
2044	38	MLB	COL	161	142	29	5	1	2	16	47	2	3	0	.204	.294	.296	.590	.092	.282	29	10	.270	65	-6	+1	-8	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7860	6904	1632	279	41	191	791	1867	99	153	22	.236	.324	.372	.695	.135	.295	24	10	.311	97	-31	+22	-46	+84	+223	25.7
/ 162G	—			650	571	135	23	3	16	65	154	8	13	2	.236	.322	.371	.694	.135	.295	24	10	.311	97	-3	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	.275	.341	.287	.628	.012	.400	29	8	.291	81	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	.296	.388	.366	.753	.070	.351	15	10	.342	120	+5	+1	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	.215	.387	.280	.666	.065	.264	17	20	.322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jjam Alvarez (OGILVIE)	20	52→57	31→36	47→52	55	.223/.297/.334	.111	.291	2	2	25%	8%	79	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	51→58	41→45	47→50	51	.245/.310/.342	.096	.296	8	15	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.303/.332	.097	.280	8	11	18%	9%	79	+0.3	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→56	39→45	48→50	49	.219/.288/.312	.093	.287	4	11	24%	8%	68	-0.5	.242/.304/.357	.115	.297	9	13	20%	7%	86	+0.8	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	51	.247/.325/.335	.088	.311	5	14	21%	9%	90	+1.0	.246/.316/.332	.086	.284	6	20	15%	8%	85	+0.7	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	51→61	41→50	47→55	44	.246/.290/.344	.098	.294	9	12	20%	6%	76	+0.1	.254/.295/.350	.096	.300	8	9	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	50	.254/.323/.352	.098	.288	6	10	14%	7%	93	+1.3	.228/.295/.318	.090	.283	7	8	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.267/.344	.132	.272	16	8	27%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	.241/.316/.320	.079	.276	7	9	15%	6%	82	+0.5	.218/.285/.305	.087	.262	7	7	19%	7%	66	-0.6	.189/.251/.275	.086	.232	6	6	21%	6%	42	-0.7
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	.227/.314/.329	.102	.280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.215/.317/.288	.073	.287	4	7	24%	10%	76	+0.1	.207/.331/.267	.060	.268	4	7	21%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.233/.286/.325	.092	.282	7	15	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.247/.305/.363	.116	.288	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.9	.277/.338/.426	.150	.303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	54	37→30	47→55	51	.255/.324/.328	.073	.292	4	17	14%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.280/.282	.062	.264	3	18	17%	6%	56	-1.3	.214/.266/.287	.073	.260	7	19	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	52→60	41	.234/.276/.342	.108	.294	10	12	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.244/.290/.341	.097	.290	8	23	18%	5%	76	+0.0	.251/.297/.347	.095	.291	7	33	16%	5%	77	+0.1
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	.233/.310/.344	.110	.300	9	12	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.286/.295	.072	.303	4	10	26%	6%	63	-0.9	.219/.279/.260	.041	.287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	42→45	48→30	43	.235/.285/.340	.105	.278	9	5	19%	5%	74	-0.1	.202/.244/.278	.076	.296	6	5	32%	5%	40	-2.4	.181/.205/.232	.051	.258	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	50→45	49	.226/.306/.321	.095	.306	6	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.295/.296	.074	.304	5	6	26%	8%	67	-0.5	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
●Francisco Cervelli 2007 · A	21	43→53	39→45	50→45	43	.205/.271/.292	.086	.286	6	7	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.237/.314/.327	.090	.313	4	5	24%	7%	83	+0.6	.252/.365/.369	.117	.312	10	4	20%	13%	113	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)