Jjam Alvarez — OGILVIE

Jjam AlvarezSS DSL Colorado

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .288 / .300

PA9

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	275	341	287	628	12	400	29	8	291	83	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	296	388	366	753	70	351	15	10	342	117	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	215	387	280	666	65	264	17	20	322	104	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	83	15	1	0	0	4	37	1	5	3	181	227	193	420	12	308	42	4	188	13	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	194	42	5	1	1	14	45	6	7	2	216	290	268	558	52	262	21	6	242	50	-13	+1	—	—	+5	-0.8
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	102	16	2	0	1	15	28	2	2	0	157	277	206	483	49	199	23	12	220	35	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	83	15	1	0	0	4	37	1	5	3	181	227	193	420	12	319	42	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	275	341	287	628	12	400	29	8	291	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	194	42	5	1	1	14	45	6	7	2	216	290	268	558	52	273	21	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	296	388	366	753	70	351	15	10	342	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	102	16	2	0	1	15	28	2	2	0	157	277	206	483	49	205	23	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	215	387	280	666	65	264	17	20	322	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	84	15	1	0	0	4	37	1	5	3	179	227	190	418	12	308	42	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	196	42	5	1	1	14	45	6	7	2	214	290	265	555	51	262	21	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	102	16	2	0	1	15	28	2	2	0	157	277	206	483	49	199	23	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	84	15	1	0	0	4	37	1	5	3	179	227	190	418	12	308	42	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	196	42	5	1	1	14	45	6	7	2	214	290	265	555	51	262	21	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	102	16	2	0	1	15	28	2	2	0	157	277	206	483	49	199	23	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	COL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	22	11	271	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	34%	187	168	38	6	1	3	15	46	2	3	1	226	297	327	625	101	291	25	8	282	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	48%	316	284	65	11	2	5	25	76	4	6	2	229	300	335	635	106	292	24	8	289	82	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	54%	405	364	84	14	2	7	33	97	5	8	2	231	303	338	641	107	293	24	8	293	85	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	55%	464	417	98	17	3	9	38	110	6	9	3	235	308	355	663	120	294	24	8	296	86	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	56%	498	448	106	18	3	10	41	118	6	10	3	237	309	357	666	121	294	24	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	517	464	108	18	3	10	42	122	6	10	3	233	305	349	654	116	294	24	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	525	469	110	19	3	10	44	124	7	11	3	235	310	352	661	117	294	24	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	525	470	109	18	3	10	44	125	6	10	3	232	306	347	653	115	293	24	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	519	464	108	18	3	10	44	125	6	10	3	233	307	349	657	116	293	24	8	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.8
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	510	456	105	18	3	9	43	124	6	9	3	230	305	342	647	112	292	24	8	293	84	-10	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	COL	52%	497	446	101	17	2	9	42	122	6	9	2	226	302	334	636	108	290	25	8	289	81	-11	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	COL	52%	480	431	96	16	2	8	40	120	6	8	2	223	298	325	623	102	287	25	8	283	78	-13	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.0
2039	33	MLB MLE	COL	56%	451	405	88	14	2	7	38	115	5	7	2	217	292	314	606	96	284	25	8	277	74	-14	+1	-4	+5	+10	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	34%	64	58	13	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	224	297	310	607	86	307	25	8	287	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	48%	153	138	34	6	1	3	12	37	2	3	1	246	316	370	685	123	308	24	8	295	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	54%	220	197	49	8	2	5	18	52	3	4	1	249	321	386	707	137	309	24	8	300	85	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	55%	257	231	58	10	2	6	21	61	3	5	1	251	322	390	711	139	310	24	8	303	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	56%	279	251	62	11	2	6	23	66	3	6	2	247	318	378	696	131	310	24	8	304	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	291	261	64	11	2	6	24	69	4	6	2	245	318	372	690	126	310	24	8	304	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	290	260	64	11	2	6	24	69	4	6	2	246	319	373	693	127	310	24	8	305	88	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	288	258	63	11	2	6	24	69	4	6	2	244	318	372	690	128	309	24	8	304	87	-4	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	277	249	61	11	2	6	23	67	3	5	1	245	316	378	694	133	309	24	8	302	86	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	268	240	59	10	2	6	23	65	3	5	1	246	320	379	699	133	308	24	9	299	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	COL	52%	259	232	56	10	2	5	22	64	3	5	1	241	315	366	682	125	305	25	8	295	81	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	COL	52%	249	223	53	9	2	5	21	62	3	4	1	238	312	363	675	126	302	25	8	289	78	-7	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	COL	56%	253	227	53	9	2	4	21	65	3	4	1	233	307	344	650	110	299	26	8	283	74	-8	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3148	2825	689	119	23	65	261	762	39	60	16	244	316	371	688	127	310	24	8	299	81	-61	+6	-8	+34	+68	4.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	143	25	5	13	54	157	8	12	3	245	317	372	690	127	313	24	8	299	81	-13	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6330	5673	1290	212	33	109	523	1536	80	124	37	227	302	334	636	107	291	24	8	287	81	-115	+9	-15	+63	+128	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	22	3	11	54	158	8	13	4	226	301	331	632	105	290	24	8	287	81	-13	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.9	3,249	59	61	231	301	342	+35	+24	6.4	5.6
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+4.9	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jjam Alvarez (OGILVIE)	20	51→56	31→36	47→52	56	218/288/300	82	290	1	2	25%	8%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	47→56	34→40	50→55	44	222/273/273	50	287	2	11	23%	6%	56	-1.9	246/296/295	49	298	2	9	17%	5%	70	-0.9	262/305/349	88	305	7	19	16%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2018 · A	20	45→54	37→45	51→65	41	212/268/287	75	301	4	10	30%	6%	58	-1.7	182/254/284	102	265	7	22	32%	8%	53	-2.1	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	57	-1.8	232/342/321	89	299	6	8	22%	10%	96	+1.0	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/287/306	88	288	3	11	24%	8%	70	-0.9	245/307/361	116	300	9	13	20%	7%	90	+0.6	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	48→58	38→45	51→65	44	226/278/313	88	285	3	11	21%	6%	68	-1.0	224/272/333	109	286	9	31	24%	5%	70	-0.8	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Emerson Landoni 2009 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→45	42	218/276/284	66	297	3	7	26%	6%	60	-1.6	228/279/301	73	293	4	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	264/307/333	70	313	3	4	16%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	47→57	39→45	50	42	226/272/299	73	289	7	15	24%	5%	62	-1.4	245/292/349	104	301	10	17	21%	6%	81	-0.1	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Ozzie Martínez 2008 · A	20	45→55	36→40	47→50	47	215/266/280	66	261	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	247/289/329	82	294	5	9	17%	5%	75	-0.5	261/307/344	82	304	4	10	15%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Albert Hernandez 2009 · A	20	48	38→40	48→45	46	227/289/318	91	280	4	8	20%	6%	73	-0.6	222/280/310	88	288	7	7	24%	6%	68	-1.0	216/273/293	77	277	9	5	24%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Cody Freeman 2021 · A	20	44→54	36→50	49→50	50	205/287/271	66	274	3	10	24%	9%	63	-1.4	204/268/307	103	251	11	9	23%	7%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2007 · A	20	52→62	34→40	48→50	46	240/295/288	48	310	2	10	22%	7%	68	-1.0	265/327/342	77	326	5	10	19%	8%	92	+0.7	266/320/345	79	322	5	9	18%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Osleivis Basabe 2021 · A	20	49→59	36→45	51→50	44	228/272/300	72	280	2	10	19%	5%	62	-1.4	258/303/352	94	316	4	15	19%	6%	85	+0.2	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Andres Martinez 2015 · A	20	47	36→30	48→45	47	217/289/281	64	284	3	8	23%	8%	65	-1.2	208/269/280	72	296	3	9	29%	6%	57	-1.8	161/212/222	61	251	0	13	34%	4%	19	-0.8
●Rafael Lantigua 2018 · A	20	47→56	35→45	46→55	50	217/281/285	68	271	1	10	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/272/291	76	281	3	9	23%	7%	60	-1.6	248/324/368	119	325	10	22	25%	9%	95	+0.8
✕Robert Vasquez 2007 · A	20	46	38→40	45→50	49	218/288/293	75	274	5	10	22%	8%	68	-1.0	203/266/273	70	285	4	7	28%	7%	54	-2.0	201/265/264	63	293	4	10	31%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Dixon Mavares 2006 · A	20	46	35→30	48→50	43	215/277/280	64	278	2	10	22%	6%	60	-1.6	217/290/280	63	266	2	11	18%	7%	65	-1.2	219/298/276	58	261	2	12	15%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Walter Rasquin 2016 · A	20	48	37→30	48→50	46	225/289/298	72	285	4	11	22%	7%	68	-1.0	230/280/311	81	300	6	11	24%	6%	68	-1.0	174/217/235	61	230	5	10	26%	4%	23	-1.7
✕Miguel Villarroel 2022 · A	20	47→53	37→40	49→55	47	223/278/299	75	266	5	8	18%	6%	64	-1.3	235/279/311	76	308	5	16	24%	5%	68	-1.0	238/275/308	70	329	4	23	28%	4%	62	-0.8
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	53	-2.1	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	65	-1.2	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	61	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps