Jack Dallas

P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 28 RHP 5'9" / 200 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	41	3	57	3.32	2.56	24.8%	6.7%	—	K 18.6% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.53
2025	26	AAPHI	31	3	49	3.47	2.96	23.3%	6.2%	—	K 18.9% · BB 6.8% · FIP 3.58
2026	27	AAPHI	46	0	65	4.85	3.99	26.6%	5.8%	—	K 21.6% · BB 6.4% · FIP 4.98
2027PROJ	28	MLBPHI	66	0	69	4.49	4.49	20.2%	6.6%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBPHI	20	0	21	4.55	4.61	20.3%	7.1%	-0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBPHI	30	0	32	4.67	4.76	20.2%	7.6%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsShawn Camp (age 28) · Neil Wagner (age 29) · Tyler Walker (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%20.2%

BB%6.6%

K-BB%13.6%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	8	28	10	5	0	0%	1.3	35.7%	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.35	—
2022	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	8	28	10	5	0	0%	1.3	35.7%	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.45	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	65	266	69	23	1	0%	1.6	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	0.5%	1.79	3.02	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	65	266	69	23	1	0%	1.6	25.9%	8.6%	17.3%	0.4%	1.79	2.24	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	3	57	238	59	16	3	7%	1.4	18.6%	8.1%	10.5%	1.8%	3.32	3.53	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	3	57	238	59	16	3	7%	1.4	18.6%	8.1%	10.5%	1.8%	3.32	3.53	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	3	57	238	59	16	3	7%	1.4	24.8%	6.7%	18.1%	1.3%	3.32	2.56	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	31	3	49	210	49	13	4	10%	1.6	18.9%	6.8%	12.1%	2.2%	3.47	3.58	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	31	3	49	210	49	13	4	10%	1.6	18.9%	6.8%	12.1%	2.2%	3.47	3.58	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	31	3	49	210	49	13	4	10%	1.6	23.3%	6.2%	17.1%	1.9%	3.47	2.96	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	46	0	65	274	73	16	12	0%	1.4	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	5.3%	4.85	4.98	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	46	0	65	274	73	16	12	0%	1.4	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	5.3%	4.85	4.98	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	46	0	65	274	73	16	12	0%	1.4	26.6%	5.8%	20.8%	4.4%	4.85	3.99	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	PHI	66	0	69	291	59	19	10	0%	1.0	20.2%	6.6%	13.6%	3.4%	4.49	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	PHI	63	0	66	280	57	20	10	0%	1.1	20.3%	7.1%	13.2%	3.5%	4.55	4.61	-0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	PHI	59	0	62	263	53	20	10	0%	1.1	20.2%	7.6%	12.6%	3.7%	4.67	4.76	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	PHI	20	0	21	89	18	6	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	7.1%	13.2%	3.5%	4.55	4.61	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	PHI	30	0	32	135	27	10	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	7.6%	12.6%	3.7%	4.67	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	222	45	16	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	7.4%	12.8%	3.6%	4.62	4.32	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	61	30	0%	1.1	20.2%	7.4%	12.8%	3.6%	4.62	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		166	6	244	1016	205	83	25	4%	1.5	20.2%	8.2%	12.0%	2.4%	3.24	3.76	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	5	200	832	168	68	20	4%	1.5	20.2%	8.2%	12.0%	2.4%	3.24	3.76	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Dallas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	20.2%	6.6%	3.4%	—	4.68	20.2%	12.9%	128	+0.19	—	—	—
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	91
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	87
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	86
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	85
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	85
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	84
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	84
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	83
J.J. Putz R 2005 · 4.36 FIP	28	SU	4.36	17.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.270	2.24	31.4%	25.1%	196	-2.12	1.43	563	83
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	83
Taylor Williams R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	21.9%	8.4%	3.3%	.275	3.85	22.1%	12.1%	103	-0.30	2.51	309	82
George Kontos R 2013 · 4.03 FIP	28	SU	4.03	19.7%	6.7%	3.2%	.315	3.59	17.0%	11.5%	159	-0.44	2.56	421	82
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	82
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	82
Nolan Clenney R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	28	SU	4.23	20.1%	6.8%	3.6%	.366	5.65	8.3%	-10.0%	18	+1.42	3.73	223	81
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	81
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	81
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Geoff Geary R 2005 · 3.65 FIP	28	SU	3.65	17.0%	6.9%	2.0%	.268	3.57	15.1%	9.0%	223	-0.08	3.16	345	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	20.2%	7.1%	1.37	4.57
Blas Minor ('97)	1.1	75	19.2%	7.3%	1.16	4.40
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Casey Fien ('17)	1.4	58	21.0%	5.1%	1.46	4.42
Rich Monteleone ('87-'96, 2 WAR*)	1.8	71	18.7%*	7.5%*	1.39*	4.03*
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*