Nathan Landry

P Greenville Drive

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	ROKBOS	2	3	6.75	0.85	54.5%	18.2%	—	K 54.5% · BB 18.2% · FIP 0.80
2023	24	MIX2 levels	27	33	5.18	5.43	23.6%	9.3%	—	K 16.6% · BB 11.3% · FIP 8.91
2024	25	A+BOS	24	46	5.24	3.34	22.9%	12.9%	—	K 17.6% · BB 14.8% · FIP 4.11
2027PROJ	28	MLBBOS	26	27	4.73	4.73	21.7%	11.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	29	MLBBOS	8	8	4.77	4.82	21.6%	11.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsColton Johnson (age 26) · Ashur Tolliver (age 28) · Mitchell Tyranski (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.73

FIP4.73

K%21.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	2	0	3	11	6	2	0	0%	1.3	54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%	6.75	0.80	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	2	0	3	11	6	2	0	0%	1.3	54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%	6.75	0.85	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	33	140	33	13	8	0%	1.2	16.6%	11.3%	5.3%	10.5%	5.18	8.91	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	33	140	33	13	8	0%	1.2	23.6%	9.3%	14.3%	5.7%	5.18	5.43	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	0	46	210	48	27	2	0%	1.9	17.6%	14.8%	2.8%	1.1%	5.24	4.11	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	0	46	210	48	27	2	0%	1.9	17.6%	14.8%	2.8%	1.1%	5.24	4.11	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	24	0	46	210	48	27	2	0%	1.9	22.9%	12.9%	10.0%	1.0%	5.24	3.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BOS	26	0	27	114	25	13	3	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.6%	10.1%	2.9%	4.73	4.73	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	25	0	26	110	24	13	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	3.1%	4.77	4.82	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	3.1%	4.77	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	33	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	3.1%	4.77	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	101	25	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	3.1%	4.77	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		53	0	82	361	66	49	17	0%	1.5	18.3%	13.5%	4.8%	4.7%	5.27	5.87	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	0	200	880	161	119	42	0%	1.5	18.3%	13.5%	4.8%	4.7%	5.27	5.87	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nathan Landry (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	21.7%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.82	21.6%	10.0%	26	+0.09	—	—	—
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	85
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	84
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	82
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	81
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	80
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	80
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	80
Kelly Wunsch L 2000 · 3.65 FIP	28	SU	3.65	19.7%	10.8%	1.5%	.261	4.17	17.6%	5.9%	90	+0.52	3.36	175	80
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	79
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	78
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	78
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	78
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	78
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	77
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	77
David Purcey L 2010 · 3.60 FIP	28	SU	3.60	22.4%	9.8%	2.1%	.245	4.29	16.7%	2.7%	59	+0.69	3.60	206	77
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	77
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	77
Jeremy Horst L 2013 · 4.46 FIP	27	SU	4.46	17.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.356	3.92	17.2%	5.4%	108	-0.54	2.12	181	77
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.6%	11.6%	1.17	4.75
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*