Gabriel Gomes — OGILVIE

Gabriel GomesC ACL Reds

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .286 / .294

PA51

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	49	38	11	2	0	1	9	10	2	3	0	289	449	421	870	132	370	20	18	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	49	32	12	2	0	1	15	7	2	3	0	375	592	531	1.123	156	458	14	31	505	244	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Reds	—	105	88	16	3	0	1	11	24	5	3	0	182	308	250	558	68	234	23	10	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Reds	—	105	82	23	4	0	2	17	15	5	3	0	280	433	402	835	122	318	14	16	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	37	5	0	0	0	1	17	2	0	0	135	200	135	335		238	41	2	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	37	8	0	1	0	1	12	2	0	0	216	275	270	545	54	308	29	2	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CIN	—	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	289	27	8	268	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	34%	127	114	25	4	1	2	10	35	2	2	0	219	294	325	618	105	290	28	8	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	251	224	49	8	2	4	21	68	4	3	1	219	297	326	623	107	292	27	8	284	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	333	297	66	11	2	6	28	89	5	5	1	222	300	333	633	111	292	27	8	288	78	-8	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	387	346	77	13	2	8	32	103	6	5	1	223	299	341	641	118	292	27	8	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2031	27	MLB	CIN	54%	414	369	82	14	2	8	35	110	7	6	1	222	302	336	638	114	292	27	8	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.1
2032	28	MLB	CIN	54%	428	382	84	14	2	8	36	115	7	6	1	220	299	330	629	110	291	27	8	289	79	-10	+1	-1	+8	+12	1.0
2033	29	MLB	CIN	58%	429	382	83	14	2	8	37	116	7	5	1	217	298	327	625	110	290	27	9	287	78	-11	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.8
2027	23	MLB	CIN	34%	44	39	8	1	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	205	295	308	603	103	293	27	9	267	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	116	103	23	4	1	2	10	31	2	2	0	223	304	340	644	117	294	27	9	274	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	172	153	34	6	1	3	14	46	3	2	1	222	300	333	633	111	294	27	8	278	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	210	188	42	7	1	4	17	56	3	3	1	223	298	335	633	112	294	27	8	281	73	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2031	27	MLB	CIN	54%	225	200	46	8	1	5	19	60	4	3	1	230	309	355	664	125	294	27	8	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB	CIN	54%	232	206	46	8	1	5	20	62	4	3	1	223	304	345	649	121	294	27	9	280	72	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB	CIN	58%	247	220	48	8	1	5	21	67	4	3	1	218	298	332	630	114	293	27	9	278	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1246	1109	247	42	6	25	105	334	21	17	5	223	302	339	641	116	294	27	8	279	71	-40	+1	-1	+22	+35	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	129	22	3	13	55	174	11	9	3	223	303	339	641	116	294	27	8	279	71	-21	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	2615	2323	508	85	13	47	224	701	48	39	6	219	301	327	628	108	290	27	9	286	77	-69	+5	-2	+47	+74	5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	126	21	3	12	56	174	12	10	1	218	300	328	628	109	289	27	9	286	77	-17	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	49	32	12	2	0	1	15	7	2	3	375	592	531	1.123	156	458	14	31	505	244	+8	+1	—	—	+1	1.0
2024	20	ROK	DSL Reds	—	105	82	23	4	0	2	17	15	5	3	280	433	402	835	122	318	14	16	383	151	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	37	8	0	1	0	1	12	2	0	216	275	270	545	54	308	29	2	247	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,296	24	17	222	297	335	+23	+20	2.9	2.9
	/162	664	12	9	222	297	335	+11.9	+10.2	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Gomes (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	208/286/294	86	289	1	1	28%	8%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→55	47→40	48	231/310/327	96	292	7	7	22%	8%	82	+0.5	204/279/334	130	274	15	4	30%	7%	71	-0.3	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2022 · A	22	50→45	41→40	48→40	49	238/309/340	101	302	7	3	22%	8%	84	+0.6	219/281/313	94	296	8	4	27%	7%	66	-0.6	202/254/268	66	254	5	3	22%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Kungkuan Giljegiljaw 2016 · A	22	48→49	43→45	48→30	43	232/289/352	120	311	9	6	27%	6%	79	+0.3	231/281/339	108	310	10	3	27%	5%	72	-0.2	230/281/341	111	297	12	1	26%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	45	43→45	45	56	218/316/337	119	281	10	7	24%	12%	87	+0.8	187/273/293	106	269	11	5	32%	10%	58	-1.2	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	78	+0.2	219/274/328	109	275	10	5	24%	5%	66	-0.6	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	44→45	47→40	49	207/309/323	116	287	11	9	29%	10%	82	+0.5	218/279/333	115	290	13	4	28%	7%	70	-0.3	214/272/318	104	285	12	2	28%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jack Conley 2019 · A	22	49	41→45	48→45	46	232/304/330	97	317	8	5	28%	8%	79	+0.3	193/260/272	79	290	6	5	33%	7%	46	-2.0	156/225/245	89	232	8	4	34%	7%	22	-1.2
✕Jeremy Lucas 2014 · AA	23	47→42	44→50	51→30	54	226/312/350	124	287	10	4	23%	10%	89	+0.9	223/292/355	132	275	14	3	23%	8%	82	+0.5	217/287/350	133	263	15	1	23%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→39	47→50	43→30	48	212/291/346	133	289	14	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/349	145	281	18	3	32%	10%	79	+0.3	185/276/320	135	253	18	0	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→44	43→50	48→45	47	229/298/348	120	287	10	10	23%	8%	82	+0.5	227/284/359	132	289	13	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Nevin Ashley 2007 · A	22	52→51	41→45	48→45	42	240/315/342	102	346	9	9	31%	7%	88	+0.9	226/295/325	99	309	8	9	28%	8%	75	-0.0	229/298/348	120	295	11	4	25%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	49→50	47→50	50→40	42	235/297/374	138	329	14	8	32%	7%	88	+0.9	228/292/357	129	312	12	3	29%	7%	82	+0.5	225/290/357	132	306	13	1	29%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Lou Marson 2008 · A	22	50→54	40	49→50	47	236/302/335	99	315	7	4	26%	8%	80	+0.4	246/319/339	93	319	6	7	23%	9%	88	+0.9	238/317/328	90	301	6	8	21%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Grayson Greiner 2015 · A	22	49	45	48→30	43	237/294/357	120	321	12	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	197/244/288	91	294	8	3	34%	5%	43	-2.2	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Scott Manea 2019 · A	23	43→41	46→45	46→30	42	215/287/347	132	265	14	3	24%	5%	79	+0.3	208/288/337	129	275	15	3	29%	7%	76	+0.1	186/279/291	106	265	13	0	32%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Tony Delmonico 2010 · A	23	47→48	46→45	51→40	44	232/303/367	135	303	13	5	27%	7%	89	+1.0	226/313/338	112	303	11	5	27%	8%	86	+0.8	225/322/332	107	298	12	3	26%	9%	86	+0.5