Gabriel Gomes

C ACL Reds

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1967ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	19	ROKCIN	49	.375/.592/.531	1	3	122	—	.243/.429/.351
2024	20	ROKCIN	105	.280/.433/.402	2	3	51	—	.172/.308/.241
2025	21	ROKCIN	41	.216/.275/.270	0	0	-4	—	.162/.225/.216
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBCIN	151	.207/.280/.282	1	2	61	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	24	MLBCIN	19	.211/.284/.297	0	0	65	-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBCIN	62	.214/.287/.307	1	1	68	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%42

Speed37

Z-Con%33

ISO23

K%18

wOBA6

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .277 / .279

PA26

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	49	32	12	2	0	1	15	7	2	3	0	375	592	531	1.123	156	458	14	31	505	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Reds	—	105	82	23	4	0	2	17	15	5	3	0	280	433	402	835	122	318	14	16	383	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	41	37	8	0	1	0	1	12	2	0	0	216	275	270	545	54	308	29	2	247	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	49	37	9	1	0	1	10	9	2	3	0	243	429	351	780	108	295	18	20	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	105	87	15	3	0	1	12	19	5	3	0	172	308	241	549	69	195	18	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	41	37	6	0	1	0	1	17	2	0	0	162	225	216	441	54	232	41	2	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	49	37	9	1	0	1	10	9	2	3	0	243	429	351	780	108	296	18	20	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	49	32	12	2	0	1	15	7	2	3	0	375	592	531	1.123	156	458	14	31	505	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	105	87	15	3	0	1	12	19	5	3	0	172	308	241	549	69	206	18	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	105	82	23	4	0	2	17	15	5	3	0	280	433	402	835	122	318	14	16	383	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	41	37	6	0	1	0	1	17	2	0	0	162	225	216	441	54	286	41	2	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	41	37	8	0	1	0	1	12	2	0	0	216	275	270	545	54	308	29	2	247	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	49	37	9	1	0	1	10	9	2	3	0	243	429	351	780	108	295	18	20	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	105	87	15	3	0	1	12	19	5	3	0	172	308	241	549	69	195	18	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	41	38	6	0	1	0	1	17	2	0	0	158	225	211	436	53	232	41	2	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	105	87	15	3	0	1	12	19	5	3	0	172	308	241	549	69	195	18	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	41	38	6	0	1	0	1	17	2	0	0	158	225	211	436	53	232	41	2	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	151	136	27	4	1	1	11	43	3	2	1	207	280	282	561	75	288	28	7	258	61	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	29%	64	58	12	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	210	283	293	577	83	290	28	8	264	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	136	123	26	4	1	2	10	38	2	2	0	213	286	303	589	90	290	28	7	269	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	195	175	38	6	1	3	15	54	3	2	1	215	288	311	599	96	290	28	8	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	239	215	46	7	2	3	18	65	4	2	1	215	289	313	602	98	289	27	8	274	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	61%	272	245	53	9	2	4	21	74	4	2	1	215	288	313	601	98	288	27	8	274	71	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	62%	284	256	55	9	2	4	22	78	4	1	1	213	285	307	592	94	287	27	8	270	69	-11	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	29%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	284	297	581	86	290	26	5	266	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	62	56	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	214	287	307	594	93	291	27	8	271	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	106	95	21	3	1	2	8	29	2	1	0	216	289	316	605	99	291	27	8	275	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	139	125	27	4	1	2	11	38	2	1	0	217	290	318	608	101	290	27	8	277	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	61%	166	149	33	5	1	3	13	45	3	1	0	217	290	318	608	102	289	27	8	276	71	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	62%	177	159	34	5	1	3	13	49	3	1	0	214	287	312	598	97	288	28	7	272	69	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	669	602	131	20	4	11	51	183	11	5	0	218	291	319	610	101	291	27	8	274	68	-24	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	127	19	4	11	50	178	11	5	0	217	291	320	611	103	290	27	8	274	68	-23	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1411	1257	265	42	9	19	116	379	27	16	4	211	291	304	595	93	284	27	8	269	68	-44	+0	-2	+22	+26	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	122	19	4	9	53	175	12	7	2	211	290	304	594	93	284	27	8	269	68	-23	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Reds · 41 PAwOBA .247 → .163 (−84)K% 29.3% → 41.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.27%	÷1.010	×1.440	—	—	41.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.44%	÷0.931	×0.620	—	×0.985	1.60%
HBP% /PA	4.88%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	3.46%
Singles /BIP	28.00%	÷1.039	×0.820	—	×0.985	21.77%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.963	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Triples /BIP	4.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×0.985	2.47%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.252	×0.780	—	×0.985	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .247 → .163; ISO .054 → .029; BABIP .308 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Reds · 105 PAwOBA .378 → .244 (−133)K% 14.3% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷0.957	×1.220	—	—	18.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.19%	÷0.994	×0.700	—	×0.985	11.23%
HBP% /PA	4.76%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	3.28%
Singles /BIP	25.37%	÷1.068	×0.680	×0.995	×0.985	15.84%
Doubles /BIP	5.97%	÷0.960	×0.600	×0.995	×0.985	3.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.901	×0.600	×0.995	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.99%	÷1.136	×0.470	—	×0.985	1.22%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .378 → .244; ISO .122 → .063; BABIP .318 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Reds · 49 PAwOBA .494 → .348 (−146)K% 14.3% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	17.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	30.61%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.995	20.78%
HBP% /PA	4.08%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.84%
Singles /BIP	36.00%	÷1.015	×0.680	—	×0.995	23.99%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷0.975	×0.600	—	×0.995	4.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.00%	÷0.917	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.04%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .494 → .348; ISO .156 → .099; BABIP .458 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
	/162	664	13	1	218*	277*	341*	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#4Jeff Torborg'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,525 PA	2.3	1,525	8	3	214*	271*	292*	+27	+0	0.2	0.7
#4Jeff Torborg'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,525 PA	/162	664	3	1	214*	271*	292*	+11.8	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.0	694	10	6	215	284	310	+12	+16	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	9	5	215	284	310	+11.9	+15.3	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Joel Skinner'83-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,551 PA	2.3	1,551	17	3	227*	270*	327*	+27	-0	-0.6	0.2
#5Joel Skinner'83-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,551 PA	/162	664	7	1	227*	270*	327*	+11.7	-0.1	-0.3	pk7: 1
#6John Boccabella'63-'74 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	26	3	217*	267*	343*	+8	+6	-1.3	-0.1
	/162	664	11	1	217*	267*	343*	+3.5	+2.7	-0.5	pk7: 1

Gabriel Gomes

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps