Ryan WilsonOF
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 24
R/R
6'1" / 195 lbs
A
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2029
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .316 / .301
PA292
HR3
K%21
BB%10
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
25→25
SPD
45→45
EYE
57↘55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-9M | -$13M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .200 | .357 | .557 | .214 | .100 | 20 | 0 | .197 | 9 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 427 | 358 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 87 | 20 | 5 | 2 | .170 | .296 | .221 | .517 | .050 | .215 | 20 | 10 | .241 | 43 | -28 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 350 | 300 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 75 | 13 | 6 | 5 | .183 | .296 | .247 | .543 | .063 | .237 | 21 | 10 | .245 | 46 | -21 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SD | 292 | 253 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 61 | 9 | 4 | 2 | .217 | .317 | .300 | .618 | .083 | .272 | 21 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | SD | 323 | 279 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 68 | 9 | 4 | 2 | .222 | .322 | .323 | .644 | .100 | .275 | 21 | 10 | .298 | 87 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | SD | 375 | 325 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 79 | 10 | 5 | 3 | .225 | .323 | .332 | .655 | .108 | .278 | 21 | 10 | .304 | 90 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 42% | SD | 399 | 345 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 85 | 11 | 6 | 3 | .229 | .328 | .342 | .670 | .113 | .278 | 21 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | SD | 411 | 356 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 88 | 11 | 6 | 3 | .228 | .326 | .340 | .666 | .112 | .278 | 21 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 69% | SD | 411 | 356 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 90 | 11 | 5 | 3 | .225 | .324 | .334 | .658 | .110 | .277 | 22 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -5 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 87% | SD | 409 | 354 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 91 | 11 | 5 | 3 | .223 | .323 | .333 | .656 | .110 | .276 | 22 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -6 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | SD | 398 | 345 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 90 | 10 | 4 | 2 | .217 | .316 | .316 | .632 | .099 | .275 | 23 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | SD | 382 | 331 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 88 | 10 | 3 | 3 | .215 | .314 | .314 | .628 | .100 | .273 | 23 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -8 | -1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | SD | 353 | 306 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 84 | 9 | 3 | 3 | .209 | .309 | .301 | .609 | .092 | .272 | 24 | 10 | .285 | 76 | -9 | -1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | SD | 310 | 268 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 76 | 8 | 3 | 4 | .209 | .309 | .299 | .608 | .090 | .270 | 25 | 10 | .279 | 72 | -10 | -1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4855 | 4190 | 893 | 158 | 19 | 68 | 483 | 1065 | 143 | 59 | 38 | .213 | .315 | .309 | .624 | .095 | .268 | 22 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -121 | -3 | -20 | -29 | +138 | -3.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 561 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 65 | 143 | 19 | 8 | 5 | .214 | .317 | .310 | .627 | .096 | .269 | 22 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -16 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .200 | .357 | .557 | .214 | .091 | 13 | 0 | .248 | 48 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 427 | 341 | 73 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 61 | 65 | 20 | 5 | 2 | .214 | .365 | .282 | .646 | .067 | .254 | 15 | 14 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 350 | 288 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 54 | 13 | 6 | 5 | .226 | .359 | .306 | .665 | .080 | .270 | 15 | 13 | .314 | 99 | -1 | -1 | — | — | +10 | 0.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ryan Wilson (OGILVIE) | 24 | 40 | 25 | 45 | 55 | .216/.316/.301 | .086 | .272 | 3 | 4 | 21% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kyler Castillo 2022 · A |
24 | 48 | 37→30 | 41→40 | 47 | .227/.285/.304 | .077 | .289 | 4 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .239/.316/.306 | .067 | .321 | 3 | 5 | 24% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .245/.337/.299 | .054 | .332 | 3 | 3 | 24% | 10% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A |
24 | 45 | 36→30 | 41→40 | 48 | .212/.296/.272 | .060 | .284 | 5 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .231/.315/.299 | .068 | .320 | 3 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .242/.332/.304 | .063 | .339 | 1 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 45 | .213/.275/.318 | .106 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.308/.313 | .097 | .284 | 6 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.315/.303 | .093 | .277 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Nick Haley 2008 · A |
24 | 52→46 | 36→30 | 43→50 | 54 | .242/.322/.313 | .071 | .301 | 3 | 8 | 19% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.297/.287 | .064 | .302 | 3 | 11 | 24% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.288/.262 | .050 | .293 | 1 | 13 | 26% | 8% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Derek Gibson 2015 · A |
24 | 46 | 39→30 | 47→40 | 47 | .220/.279/.310 | .090 | .264 | 6 | 6 | 19% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .234/.283/.306 | .072 | .285 | 3 | 5 | 18% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .263/.303/.317 | .054 | .314 | 0 | 2 | 15% | 4% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Norberto Obeso 2019 · A |
24 | 45→42 | 37→30 | 47→45 | 51 | .213/.281/.281 | .068 | .253 | 4 | 8 | 17% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.269/.280 | .073 | .273 | 4 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.261/.263 | .065 | .271 | 1 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 41 | -1.2 |
|
✕Clayton Daniel 2019 · A |
24 | 47 | 38→40 | 44→40 | 45 | .222/.266/.303 | .080 | .266 | 5 | 6 | 18% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .231/.288/.310 | .079 | .278 | 5 | 5 | 18% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .229/.291/.295 | .067 | .277 | 5 | 2 | 18% | 8% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A |
24 | 43 | 37→30 | 48→50 | 46 | .203/.273/.276 | .073 | .280 | 4 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .213/.304/.285 | .072 | .317 | 3 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.328/.269 | .058 | .327 | 1 | 10 | 30% | 14% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jon Schemmel 2007 · A |
24 | 51 | 36→30 | 43→45 | 53 | .237/.316/.307 | .070 | .294 | 3 | 6 | 19% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.309/.295 | .067 | .283 | 4 | 6 | 19% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .222/.311/.275 | .053 | .275 | 3 | 4 | 19% | 9% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Stephen Wickens 2013 · A |
24 | 51→46 | 38→40 | 43→55 | 53 | .237/.320/.321 | .084 | .288 | 4 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .224/.293/.300 | .076 | .277 | 4 | 15 | 19% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .218/.284/.285 | .067 | .271 | 3 | 19 | 19% | 7% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Matthew Devins 2007 · A |
24 | 45 | 38→40 | 46→45 | 51 | .215/.294/.287 | .072 | .258 | 6 | 9 | 18% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .221/.291/.306 | .085 | .271 | 7 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .223/.292/.314 | .092 | .264 | 9 | 2 | 18% | 8% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A |
24 | 48 | 36→30 | 47→45 | 50 | .222/.288/.291 | .069 | .266 | 3 | 9 | 17% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .223/.301/.283 | .060 | .285 | 2 | 7 | 20% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .227/.318/.258 | .031 | .287 | 0 | 6 | 18% | 11% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Grant Little 2021 · A |
24 | 44 | 36→30 | 51→55 | 47 | .209/.269/.277 | .069 | .265 | 3 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .215/.295/.290 | .075 | .299 | 4 | 18 | 27% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .205/.301/.254 | .049 | .295 | 2 | 28 | 27% | 9% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Justin Viele 2014 · A |
23 | 46 | 38→30 | 47→50 | 50 | .217/.295/.292 | .076 | .275 | 5 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.260/.259 | .067 | .278 | 4 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .103/.163/.127 | .024 | .170 | 0 | 6 | 37% | 4% | -35 | -1.4 |
|
✕Josh Alley 2008 · A |
24 | 49 | 37→40 | 46→50 | 58 | .227/.316/.305 | .078 | .278 | 4 | 11 | 19% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.314/.325 | .091 | .288 | 6 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 82 | +0.5 | .250/.335/.349 | .099 | .294 | 7 | 9 | 16% | 11% | 93 | +0.7 |
|
✕James Guerrero 2008 · A |
24 | 43→45 | 39→40 | 40→45 | 52 | .207/.288/.291 | .084 | .247 | 7 | 7 | 19% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .203/.287/.291 | .088 | .262 | 7 | 9 | 23% | 10% | 63 | -0.8 | .140/.254/.210 | .069 | .188 | 4 | 10 | 25% | 12% | 28 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ryan Gridley 2019 · A |
24 | 46→44 | 40 | 42→45 | 48 | .220/.286/.308 | .089 | .277 | 7 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.271/.301 | .085 | .269 | 6 | 8 | 21% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .210/.264/.285 | .075 | .259 | 5 | 10 | 20% | 5% | 47 | -1.0 |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2021 · A |
24 | 44→42 | 41→40 | 42→40 | 48 | .215/.292/.315 | .100 | .268 | 8 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.319/.338 | .109 | .306 | 11 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.336/.332 | .100 | .317 | 11 | 4 | 27% | 12% | 91 | +0.4 |
|
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A |
24 | 43 | 38→40 | 50 | 49 | .204/.280/.284 | .080 | .260 | 5 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .206/.273/.298 | .092 | .280 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .184/.247/.268 | .085 | .256 | 9 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 40 | -0.9 |
|
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A |
24 | 45 | 40→30 | 46→50 | 45 | .214/.287/.304 | .090 | .311 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .205/.305/.281 | .076 | .291 | 6 | 9 | 29% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.306/.248 | .060 | .265 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 12% | 59 | -0.7 |