Ryan Wilson — OGILVIE

Ryan WilsonOF Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 144 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .304 / .269

PA144

HR1

K%22

BB%10

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	91	13	0	248	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	427	341	73	11	3	2	61	65	20	5	2	214	365	282	646	67	254	15	14	309	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	350	288	65	15	1	2	47	54	13	6	5	226	359	306	665	80	270	15	13	314	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	72	20	0	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	427	359	61	8	2	2	43	88	20	5	2	170	294	220	514	50	209	21	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	350	301	55	11	1	2	34	77	13	6	5	183	293	246	539	63	229	22	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	100	20	0	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	91	13	0	248	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	427	359	61	8	2	2	43	88	20	5	2	170	294	220	514	50	215	21	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	427	341	73	11	3	2	61	65	20	5	2	214	365	282	646	67	254	15	14	309	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	350	301	55	11	1	2	34	77	13	6	5	183	293	246	539	63	238	22	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	350	288	65	15	1	2	47	54	13	6	5	226	359	306	665	80	270	15	13	314	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	15	14	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	143	200	357	557	214	72	20	0	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	427	361	61	8	2	2	43	88	20	5	2	169	294	219	513	50	209	21	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	350	300	55	11	1	2	34	77	13	6	5	183	293	247	540	63	229	22	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	427	361	61	8	2	2	43	88	20	5	2	169	294	219	513	50	209	21	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	350	300	55	11	1	2	34	77	13	6	5	183	293	247	540	63	229	22	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	380	329	68	13	2	2	37	82	11	5	2	205	306	271	578	67	265	22	10	272	70	-14	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	30%	158	138	28	5	1	1	15	34	4	2	1	209	309	289	598	80	266	22	9	279	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	251	218	46	9	1	2	24	55	7	3	2	210	309	292	601	82	267	22	10	280	75	-7	-0	+0	-2	+5	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	30%	48	42	8	2	0	0	5	10	1	1	0	206	306	283	589	78	261	21	10	275	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	104	90	18	3	0	1	10	23	3	1	1	206	306	287	592	80	262	22	10	276	75	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	152	132	26	5	0	1	15	33	4	2	1	197	298	258	556	61	253	22	10	276	59	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	111	21	0	4	64	141	17	9	4	197	297	255	553	59	253	22	10	276	59	-19	+0	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1345	1155	218	38	6	9	130	288	49	18	11	189	298	255	553	67	241	21	10	255	59	-17	-0	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	105	18	3	4	63	139	24	9	5	188	298	253	550	65	241	21	10	255	59	-20	-0	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	296	2	4	208	305	283	-2	+0	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	5	9	-4.0	+0.0	-0.7	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Wilson (OGILVIE)	25	40	25	45	55	203/304/269	66	265	1	2	22%	10%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyler Castillo 2022 · A	24	47	37→30	40	47	220/277/295	75	280	3	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	234/307/301	67	313	3	5	24%	8%	76	-0.4	241/327/294	53	324	3	3	24%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	47	36→30	47→45	50	219/284/288	68	263	3	9	17%	7%	64	-1.3	225/304/286	61	291	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.7	231/326/262	31	294	0	6	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	221/275/299	78	279	4	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	228/276/306	78	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/300	70	292	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	207/287/286	78	267	5	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	209/275/301	92	287	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	182/244/266	84	253	9	5	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Yhoxian Medina 2015 · A	25	50→53	35→30	45→50	46	235/289/297	62	297	2	10	21%	6%	68	-1.0	234/282/305	71	285	4	11	18%	5%	67	-1.1	241/283/307	66	285	3	12	16%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	48→45	37→40	51→55	50	222/299/303	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	74	-0.5	219/280/293	74	275	4	16	20%	7%	64	-1.3	222/278/280	58	278	2	20	19%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Steven Tinoco 2013 · A	25	51→52	34→30	44→40	47	238/286/288	51	275	2	5	14%	5%	64	-1.3	211/260/279	68	268	4	7	21%	5%	53	-2.1	153/199/192	39	211	0	3	26%	4%	7	-1.3
✕Yolbert Sanchez 2021 · A	24	43→53	38→30	46→45	49	204/263/286	82	241	5	7	17%	7%	56	-1.9	254/291/325	71	306	6	8	18%	5%	75	-0.5	264/301/321	58	320	5	8	18%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	43	35→30	43→45	48	200/278/263	63	277	2	7	26%	9%	57	-1.8	199/267/281	82	284	6	8	30%	7%	57	-1.8	148/213/206	57	214	6	5	32%	5%	19	-1.2
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2014 · A	25	40	35→30	48→40	54	185/289/247	61	270	3	7	29%	12%	59	-1.7	206/287/293	87	288	7	7	28%	10%	68	-1.0	168/267/257	88	229	10	2	29%	11%	52	-0.6
✕Thomas Spitz 2017 · AA	25	46	38→40	44→50	48	218/281/294	76	272	5	11	21%	7%	64	-1.3	215/277/308	93	306	7	10	30%	7%	66	-1.1	207/271/302	94	307	7	9	33%	7%	61	-0.7
✕J.J. Franco 2018 · A	26	45	35→30	41→45	48	210/273/266	56	279	2	6	24%	8%	55	-1.9	213/282/281	68	302	4	7	28%	8%	62	-1.4	190/274/224	34	282	0	2	29%	10%	47	-0.7
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Casey Grayson 2017 · A	25	47→48	36→30	45→40	56	219/310/286	67	293	3	3	24%	12%	75	-0.5	217/293/289	72	315	5	5	29%	9%	68	-1.0	208/280/270	61	310	5	2	32%	9%	56	-1.1
✕Justin Maffei 2017 · AA	25	49→50	37→40	48→50	46	227/291/302	75	299	4	11	24%	7%	70	-0.8	231/305/307	76	302	4	12	23%	8%	77	-0.3	249/347/279	29	324	0	16	20%	10%	84	+0.0
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	42	37→30	48→50	44	199/266/270	71	279	4	7	28%	8%	54	-2.0	212/299/285	73	320	3	9	31%	11%	70	-0.8	207/318/264	57	323	1	10	31%	14%	71	-0.4
✕Melvin Mercedes 2017 · A	25	48→51	35→30	47→50	48	224/284/284	60	287	2	9	22%	7%	63	-1.4	218/296/281	63	287	2	8	22%	9%	68	-1.0	207/299/259	51	275	1	8	22%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→45	38→40	50	46	230/290/312	82	295	5	14	23%	7%	72	-0.7	226/293/298	72	303	4	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	231/308/275	44	315	2	12	24%	8%	68	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps