Carlos Gonzalez

C ACL Mariners
Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2261ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ROKSEA83.209/.354/.2840025—.151/.244/.192
202521ROKSEA147.190/.347/.3535135—.126/.229/.236
202622ROKSEA54.159/.302/.18201-1—.128/.226/.149
2027PROJMLE23MLBSEA164.187/.267/.27922560.0
2028PROJ29% MLB24MLBSEA24.190/.270/.2870061-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB25MLBSEA68.194/.273/.2961164-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%65
BB%45
Whiff%41
Chase%27
Speed25
Z-Con%22
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .265 / .277
PA36
HR1
K%30
BB%9
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.12728303233
Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 46
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT26
scouting grade only
POWER46
scouting grade only
EYE63
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKDSL Mariners — 139106 19402 26386 00 179370274643 94254 2719 314 21 — — — — — —
202319 ROKDSL Mariners — 177143 401104 27507 01 280418441859 161404 2815 390 45 — — — — — —
202420 ROKACL Mariners — 8367 14120 15160 01 209354284637 75269 1918 300 25 — — — — — —
202521 ROKACL Mariners — 147116 22405 27411 11 190347353701 164233 2818 319 35 — — — — — —
202622 ROKACL Mariners — 5444 7100 8101 10 159302182484 23200 1915 241 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 139115 12201 17476 00 104254148401 43159 3412 199 21 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 177152 25602 18607 01 164282243526 79240 3410 234 45 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 8373 11110 9230 01 151244192436 41206 2811 205 25 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 147127 16204 16591 11 126229236465 110176 4011 220 35 — — — — — —
202622 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 5447 6100 5141 10 128226149375 21156 269 167 -1 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 139115 12201 17476 00 104254148401 43162 3412 199 21 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 139106 19402 26386 00 179370274643 94254 2719 314 21 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 177152 25602 18607 01 164282243526 79256 3410 234 45 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 177143 401104 27507 01 280418441859 161404 2815 390 45 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 8373 11110 9230 01 151244192436 41216 2811 205 25 — — — — — —
202420 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 8367 14120 15160 01 209354284637 75269 1918 300 25 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 147127 16204 16591 11 126229236465 110179 4011 220 35 — — — — — —
202521 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 147116 22405 27411 11 190347353701 164233 2818 319 35 — — — — — —
202622 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 5447 6100 5141 10 128226149375 21176 269 167 -1 — — — — — —
202622 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 5444 7100 8101 10 159302182484 23200 1915 241 -1 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 139115 12201 17476 00 104254148401 43159 3412 199 21 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 177150 25602 18607 01 167282247529 80240 3410 234 45 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 8374 11110 9230 01 149244189433 41206 2811 205 25 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 147129 16204 16591 11 124229233462 109176 4011 220 35 — — — — — —
202622 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 5448 6100 5141 10 125226146372 21156 269 167 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 8374 11110 9230 01 149244189433 41206 2811 205 25 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 147129 16204 16591 11 124229233462 109176 4011 220 35 — — — — — —
202622 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 5448 6100 5141 10 125226146372 21156 269 167 -1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLESEA 0% 164147 27412 15501 21 187267279546 92263 309 251 56 -9 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLESEA 29% 8173 14211 7241 10 192271291563 99265 309 258 61 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202925 MLB MLESEA 45% 149134 26413 13441 21 196275301575 105267 309 263 64 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.1
203026 MLB MLESEA 54% 208185 37614 19612 31 198277308585 109268 299 266 66 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
203127 MLB MLESEA 58% 250224 44715 22722 42 200278310588 111269 299 268 67 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
203228 MLB MLESEA 61% 279250 50825 25802 42 200278310589 110269 299 268 67 -11 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.0
203329 MLB MLESEA 62% 290260 52925 26842 42 198275304579 106267 299 264 65 -12 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.2
202824 MLB CTXSEA 29% 2422 4100 270 00 190270287557 97263 298 255 61 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202925 MLB CTXSEA 45% 6861 11201 6201 10 194273296569 103265 299 260 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
203026 MLB CTXSEA 54% 113101 20312 10331 21 196275303579 107266 299 264 66 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
203127 MLB CTXSEA 58% 146131 26413 13421 21 198277306582 108266 299 265 67 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.0
203228 MLB CTXSEA 61% 170152 30513 15491 31 198277306583 108266 299 266 67 -7 +0 -0 +3 +4 -0.0
203329 MLB CTXSEA 62% 180161 31513 16521 31 196274300574 104265 299 262 65 -8 +0 -1 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 701628 12220412 622035 114 194272296568 102264 299 263 54 -28 +1 -1 +13 +15 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 11419411 571885 104 196273299572 103266 299 263 54 -26 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 18931673 29949931 18057925 2011 179268274543 96250 3110 248 54 -53 +0 -2 +23 +28 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 10317311 621999 74 179270277547 98250 3110 248 54 -27 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Mariners · 54 PAwOBA .241 → .167 (−74)K% 18.5% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.52%÷1.000×1.440——26.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.81%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9658.86%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.720—×0.9651.29%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.000×0.820—×0.96513.96%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9652.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9650.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .241 → .167; ISO .023 → .016; BABIP .200 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Mariners · 147 PAwOBA .318 → .220 (−98)K% 27.9% → 40.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.89%÷0.999×1.440——40.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.37%÷1.000×0.620—×0.97511.11%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.720—×0.9750.48%
Singles /BIP17.33%÷0.942×0.820×0.950×0.97513.98%
Doubles /BIP5.33%÷1.046×0.720×0.950×0.9753.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×0.950×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷0.886×0.780—×0.9755.73%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .318 → .220; ISO .164 → .126; BABIP .233 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Mariners · 83 PAwOBA .298 → .205 (−92)K% 19.3% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.28%÷0.981×1.440——28.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.07%÷0.966×0.620—×0.98511.43%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP21.57%÷0.962×0.820×0.956×0.98517.31%
Doubles /BIP1.96%÷0.970×0.720×0.956×0.9851.37%
Triples /BIP3.92%÷1.150×0.720×0.956×0.9852.31%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.863×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .298 → .205; ISO .075 → .045; BABIP .269 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mariners · 177 PAwOBA .379 → .234 (−145)K% 28.2% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.25%÷1.020×1.220——33.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.69%÷1.005×0.700—×0.98510.08%
HBP% /PA3.95%—×0.700—×0.9852.73%
Singles /BIP26.88%÷0.978×0.680×0.950×0.98517.48%
Doubles /BIP11.83%÷1.092×0.600×0.950×0.9856.08%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.049×0.600×0.950×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP4.30%÷1.034×0.470—×0.9851.93%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 110, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .379 → .234; ISO .161 → .078; BABIP .404 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Mariners · 139 PAwOBA .309 → .199 (−110)K% 27.3% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.34%÷0.977×1.220——34.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.71%÷1.055×0.700—×0.99512.34%
HBP% /PA4.32%—×0.700—×0.9953.01%
Singles /BIP19.12%÷0.991×0.680×0.950×0.99512.40%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.953×0.600×0.950×0.9953.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.105×0.600×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.94%÷1.015×0.470—×0.9951.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 121, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .309 → .199; ISO .094 → .050; BABIP .254 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).