Carlos Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Carlos GonzalezC ACL Mariners

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP255

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	139	106	19	4	0	2	26	38	6	0	0	179	370	274	643	94	254	27	19	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	177	143	40	11	0	4	27	50	7	0	1	280	418	441	859	161	404	28	15	390	150	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	83	67	14	1	2	0	15	16	0	0	1	209	354	284	637	75	269	19	18	300	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	147	116	22	4	0	5	27	41	1	1	1	190	347	353	701	164	233	28	18	319	102	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	139	117	14	3	0	1	15	56	6	0	0	120	254	171	425	51	194	40	11	205	25	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	177	154	27	6	0	3	16	71	7	0	1	175	282	273	555	97	298	40	9	251	56	-9	-0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	83	72	11	1	1	0	10	23	0	0	1	153	256	194	451	42	209	28	12	208	27	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	147	126	16	2	0	4	17	59	1	1	1	127	236	238	474	111	181	40	12	224	38	-11	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	139	117	14	3	0	1	15	56	6	0	0	120	254	171	425	51	213	40	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	139	106	19	4	0	2	26	38	6	0	0	179	370	274	643	94	254	27	19	314	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	177	154	27	6	0	3	16	71	7	0	1	175	282	273	555	97	300	40	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	177	143	40	11	0	4	27	50	7	0	1	280	418	441	859	161	404	28	15	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	83	72	11	1	1	0	10	23	0	0	1	153	256	194	451	42	220	28	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	83	67	14	1	2	0	15	16	0	0	1	209	354	284	637	75	269	19	18	300	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	147	126	16	2	0	4	17	59	1	1	1	127	236	238	474	111	182	40	12	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	147	116	22	4	0	5	27	41	1	1	1	190	347	353	701	164	233	28	18	319	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	139	117	14	3	0	1	15	56	6	0	0	120	254	171	425	51	194	40	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	177	152	27	6	0	3	16	71	7	0	1	178	282	276	559	99	298	40	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	83	73	11	1	1	0	10	23	0	0	1	151	256	192	448	41	209	28	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	147	128	16	2	0	4	17	59	1	1	1	125	236	234	470	109	181	40	12	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	177	152	27	6	0	3	16	71	7	0	1	178	282	276	559	99	298	40	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	83	73	11	1	1	0	10	23	0	0	1	151	256	192	448	41	209	28	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	147	128	16	2	0	4	17	59	1	1	1	125	236	234	470	109	181	40	12	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	ROK MLE	SEA	—	54	47	6	1	0	0	5	14	1	1	0	128	226	149	375	21	176	26	9	173	3	-6	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK RAW	SEA	—	54	44	7	1	0	0	8	10	1	1	0	159	302	182	484	23	200	19	15	241	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		257	30	10	257	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	ROK MLE	SEA	—	64	56	7	1	0	0	6	17	1	1	0	125	222	143	365	18	175	27	9	186	12	-7	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	190	168	33	6	1	3	18	53	2	3	1	196	282	298	580	101	261	28	9	266	66	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	46%	300	266	55	10	2	6	28	82	3	5	2	207	290	327	617	120	265	27	9	273	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	368	327	67	12	2	7	34	99	4	6	2	205	288	318	606	113	266	27	9	277	73	-12	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	411	365	75	14	2	8	38	110	5	7	2	205	289	321	610	115	267	27	9	278	74	-13	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	431	382	78	14	2	9	41	116	5	8	3	204	290	322	612	118	266	27	10	278	74	-13	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	440	390	79	14	2	9	42	119	5	8	3	203	288	318	606	115	266	27	10	277	74	-14	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	439	389	79	14	2	9	42	119	5	7	2	203	289	319	608	116	265	27	10	275	72	-14	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	65	58	11	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	190	277	276	553	86	259	28	9	256	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	46%	138	122	25	4	1	3	13	38	2	2	1	205	292	328	620	123	262	28	9	262	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	190	168	34	6	1	4	18	51	2	3	1	202	287	321	609	119	264	27	9	266	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	223	198	40	7	1	4	21	60	2	4	1	202	285	308	593	106	264	27	9	267	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	234	207	42	7	1	5	22	63	3	4	1	203	289	319	608	116	264	27	9	267	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	239	211	43	8	1	5	23	65	3	4	1	204	291	322	613	118	263	27	10	267	74	-7	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	233	206	40	7	1	4	22	63	3	4	1	194	281	296	578	102	263	27	9	265	72	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1322	1170	235	41	6	26	125	358	16	22	6	201	287	313	600	112	264	27	9	265	67	-43	+2	-1	+24	+29	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	116	20	3	13	61	176	8	11	3	202	287	315	602	113	265	27	9	265	67	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3135	2765	535	96	14	59	302	910	43	45	18	193	283	302	585	109	262	29	10	267	67	-84	+3	-2	+46	+56	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	111	20	3	12	63	189	9	9	4	194	284	302	586	108	263	29	10	267	67	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.2	1,444	28	24	204	285	318	+26	+16	2.1	2.1
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+7.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	22	26→31	38→43	44→49	64	187/272/280	92	257	2	2	29%	9%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Adam Zebrowski 2023 · A	22	41→35	45→50	50→40	46	202/281/326	123	286	12	5	32%	9%	73	-0.6	186/249/301	115	286	13	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	188/241/319	130	273	18	2	37%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Wynston Sawyer 2014 · A	22	41	42→45	47→45	46	203/265/304	101	254	9	3	24%	7%	61	-1.5	215/280/313	98	272	8	5	23%	7%	69	-0.9	228/314/342	113	289	10	2	23%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	208/299/335	127	266	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	198/288/331	133	281	13	8	31%	10%	77	-0.3	175/276/313	138	241	16	6	32%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→39	39→50	51→45	47	210/289/298	89	279	6	6	25%	8%	70	-0.9	204/272/328	124	256	11	5	24%	8%	70	-0.9	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	45→50	44→50	47	182/268/311	128	259	12	8	33%	10%	65	-1.2	195/278/338	143	287	14	9	35%	9%	75	-0.5	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jorge Saez 2013 · A	22	40	41→45	49→30	51	196/271/294	98	243	9	8	23%	9%	61	-1.5	194/261/280	86	273	6	4	29%	8%	54	-2.0	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→38	43→50	45→30	45	204/279/315	111	288	11	4	31%	9%	70	-0.9	217/292/358	141	289	16	3	29%	9%	84	+0.2	217/296/371	154	282	18	1	28%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	181/247/307	126	264	15	5	36%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/324	115	285	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	208/268/318	109	276	12	2	28%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/282/312	108	305	11	13	34%	8%	70	-0.8	201/283/352	151	301	18	17	37%	9%	80	-0.1	184/270/336	152	267	19	18	36%	9%	69	-0.5
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→38	42→50	44→30	43	178/268/281	103	279	10	3	37%	9%	59	-1.7	196/278/333	137	279	16	3	34%	8%	74	-0.5	193/274/341	148	264	18	1	32%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Connor Pavolony 2022 · A	22	41	40	52→40	48	195/281/291	96	301	8	10	35%	10%	65	-1.2	175/265/265	90	292	8	6	39%	10%	54	-2.0	143/238/220	77	237	7	2	39%	10%	32	-1.4
✕Brett Martinez 2006 · A	22	44→40	41→40	54→50	45	209/283/308	98	287	8	8	28%	8%	69	-0.9	201/259/267	66	286	5	7	29%	7%	50	-2.3	192/247/241	49	273	5	5	30%	6%	38	-2.1
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	39→38	42→45	50→55	44	192/267/299	107	251	9	15	27%	7%	61	-1.5	187/269/294	107	260	10	20	30%	7%	62	-1.4	144/249/271	127	213	15	25	38%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Jon Karcich 2010 · A	22	40	41→40	47→45	46	197/275/295	98	258	9	5	26%	8%	64	-1.3	203/269/301	98	283	7	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	195/262/294	100	272	7	6	29%	7%	56	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps