Josnaider Orellana

Josnaider OrellanaC FCL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.2 · 2032

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .276 / .312

PA61

HR1

K%28

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.7	$18M	+$15M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.3	$14M	+$10M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+0.9	$5M	+$0.5M
Totals		$15M		$98M	+$83M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	94	81	12	2	0	0	9	33	4	0	1	.148	.266	.173	.439	.025	.250	35	10	.206	16	-9	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	141	129	31	5	0	0	8	36	3	3	0	.240	.300	.279	.579	.039	.330	26	6	.262	59	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	65	60	6	0	0	0	5	23	0	1	0	.100	.169	.100	.269	.000	.162	35	8	.132	-41	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	36	30	8	2	0	1	2	7	2	0	0	.267	.353	.433	.786	.167	.292	19	6	.300	88	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	ATL	61	56	11	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	.196	.262	.286	.548	.089	.288	28	7	.268	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	ATL	169	152	34	6	1	4	13	46	2	3	1	.224	.293	.355	.649	.132	.290	27	8	.287	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2028	23	MLB 28%	ATL	290	261	60	11	2	7	24	76	3	5	1	.230	.302	.368	.670	.138	.291	26	8	.298	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2029	24	MLB 45%	ATL	376	337	78	14	2	10	32	97	4	7	1	.231	.306	.374	.680	.142	.292	26	9	.306	92	-3	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB 60%	ATL	426	381	90	16	3	12	37	108	5	7	1	.236	.312	.388	.701	.152	.293	25	9	.310	95	-2	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.9
2031	26	MLB 77%	ATL	457	408	96	17	3	13	41	116	5	8	1	.235	.313	.387	.700	.152	.294	25	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2032	27	MLB 92%	ATL	471	420	99	17	3	14	43	120	5	8	1	.236	.314	.390	.705	.155	.294	25	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2033	28	MLB	ATL	475	424	99	17	3	14	43	122	5	7	1	.233	.311	.387	.698	.153	.293	26	9	.311	96	-2	+1	-1	+8	+13	2.1
2034	29	MLB	ATL	471	420	97	17	3	13	43	123	5	6	1	.231	.310	.379	.688	.148	.292	26	9	.309	95	-3	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.9
2035	30	MLB	ATL	464	413	96	17	3	13	43	122	5	5	0	.232	.312	.383	.695	.150	.291	26	9	.306	92	-4	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.7
2036	31	MLB	ATL	438	390	88	15	2	12	40	117	5	3	0	.226	.306	.367	.672	.141	.290	27	9	.302	89	-5	+1	-3	+8	+12	1.3
2037	32	MLB	ATL	410	366	80	14	2	10	37	112	4	1	0	.219	.297	.350	.647	.131	.288	27	9	.298	86	-7	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.9
2038	33	MLB	ATL	370	329	72	12	2	9	34	104	4	0	0	.219	.300	.350	.649	.131	.286	28	9	.292	82	-8	+0	-4	+7	+10	0.5
2039	34	MLB	ATL	319	284	60	10	2	7	29	92	3	0	0	.211	.291	.335	.626	.123	.285	29	9	.286	77	-8	+0	-5	+6	+9	0.1
2040	35	MLB	ATL	263	236	49	8	1	6	23	78	2	0	0	.208	.284	.326	.610	.119	.282	30	9	.278	71	-9	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	ATL	207	185	37	6	1	4	18	64	2	0	0	.200	.278	.308	.586	.108	.280	31	9	.269	64	-8	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6003	5362	1203	208	33	150	528	1613	69	65	9	.224	.302	.359	.661	.135	.290	27	9	.297	85	-100	+9	-31	+107	+170	15.9
/ 162G	—			650	581	131	23	4	16	57	175	7	7	1	.225	.302	.361	.664	.136	.293	27	9	.297	85	-11	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	94	76	15	3	0	14	24	4	0	1	.197	.351	.237	.588	.039	.288	26	15	.292	81	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	141	123	39	6	0	14	23	3	3	0	.317	.400	.366	.766	.049	.386	16	10	.351	127	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	65	58	9	0	0	7	17	0	1	0	.155	.246	.155	.401	.000	.220	26	11	.200	12	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	15	14	4	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	.286	.333	.571	.905	.286	.300	20	7	.392	158	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	21	14	4	1	0	3	2	2	0	0	.286	.474	.357	.831	.071	.286	10	14	.360	134	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josnaider Orellana (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.211/.276/.312	.101	.288	1	1	28%	7%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→47	42→65	50→40	43	.220/.291/.330	.111	.304	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.215/.268/.415	.200	.284	26	4	34%	6%	88	+0.9	.221/.275/.455	.234	.259	32	2	29%	6%	99	+1.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→51	42→45	48→50	42	.220/.290/.336	.116	.325	8	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.308/.351	.123	.315	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.9	.221/.304/.343	.122	.294	13	10	27%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Tyler Flowers 2007 · A	21	44→54	44→55	48→40	43	.217/.282/.334	.118	.294	12	4	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.238/.308/.388	.150	.308	15	4	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.261/.361/.419	.158	.334	18	0	25%	10%	124	+1.9
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Roberto Pérez 2010 · A	21	50→41	40→55	46→30	42	.233/.302/.324	.092	.334	7	7	30%	7%	77	+0.1	.204/.291/.288	.084	.287	5	3	27%	10%	64	-0.8	.206/.291/.377	.171	.260	23	1	30%	10%	84	+0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	44→54	47→55	47→40	45	.221/.275/.359	.138	.264	14	4	22%	6%	75	-0.0	.217/.264/.351	.134	.265	14	3	23%	5%	68	-0.5	.254/.321/.415	.161	.304	18	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	46→50	48→40	46	.212/.283/.341	.129	.261	14	4	24%	7%	75	-0.0	.218/.306/.350	.132	.298	14	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→46	40→45	48→50	52	.208/.300/.315	.107	.258	6	10	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.202/.283/.334	.132	.263	13	9	27%	8%	73	-0.1	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Lou Marson 2008 · A	22	49→54	40	49→50	46	.232/.296/.330	.098	.307	7	4	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.247/.319/.339	.092	.321	6	6	23%	9%	88	+0.9	.237/.316/.324	.088	.299	6	8	21%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	42	43→45	47→40	47	.204/.301/.317	.113	.282	11	9	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.216/.277/.335	.119	.281	14	4	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.209/.267/.315	.106	.274	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Austin Romine 2010 · A	21	47→51	45→50	47→45	41	.235/.271/.359	.124	.278	13	7	21%	4%	72	-0.2	.239/.280/.351	.112	.295	12	5	22%	5%	74	-0.1	.256/.294/.402	.146	.322	18	2	26%	5%	91	+0.4
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→45	43→45	48→70	45	.232/.292/.346	.114	.280	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.220/.293/.329	.109	.282	9	25	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.229/.321/.344	.115	.305	10	63	26%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→50	46→50	50→30	42	.233/.294/.366	.133	.327	13	9	31%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.294/.363	.134	.310	13	3	29%	7%	84	+0.6	.224/.289/.360	.136	.304	14	1	29%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2022 · A	21	49	44→45	49→45	45	.239/.297/.353	.114	.314	12	8	27%	8%	82	+0.5	.224/.275/.331	.107	.303	11	8	28%	6%	67	-0.5	.215/.266/.317	.102	.288	11	9	28%	5%	57	-0.5
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→56	44→50	51→50	47	.232/.297/.363	.132	.298	10	16	25%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.307/.400	.147	.331	13	14	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.259/.313/.416	.157	.335	15	16	26%	7%	102	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)