Josnaider Orellana

Josnaider OrellanaC FCL Orioles

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 5 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP303

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	94	76	15	3	0	0	14	24	4	0	1	197	351	237	588	39	288	26	15	292	84	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	123	39	6	0	0	14	23	3	3	0	317	400	366	766	49	386	16	10	351	124	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	65	58	9	0	0	0	7	17	0	1	0	155	246	155	401		220	26	11	200	22	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	15	14	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	286	333	571	905	286	300	20	7	392	151	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	21	14	4	1	0	0	3	2	2	0	0	286	474	357	831	71	286	10	14	360	130	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	94	81	12	2	0	0	9	34	4	0	1	148	266	173	439	25	239	36	10	202	23	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	129	32	5	0	0	8	34	3	3	0	248	307	287	594	39	324	24	6	262	63	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		170	37	6	133	-24	-10	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	15	14	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	286	333	571	905	286	260	27	7	277	74	-0	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	21	15	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	267	421	333	754	67	233	14	10	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	94	81	12	2	0	0	9	34	4	0	1	148	266	173	439	25	255	36	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	94	76	15	3	0	0	14	24	4	0	1	197	351	237	588	39	288	26	15	292	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	129	32	5	0	0	8	34	3	3	0	248	307	287	594	39	333	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	141	123	39	6	0	0	14	23	3	3	0	317	400	366	766	49	386	16	10	351	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		162	37	6	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	65	58	9	0	0	0	7	17	0	1	0	155	246	155	401		220	26	11	200	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	36	30	8	2	0	1	2	7	2	0	0	267	353	433	786	167	292	19	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	36	28	8	2	0	1	4	5	2	0	0	286	412	464	876	179	292	14	11	373	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	94	81	12	2	0	0	9	34	4	0	1	148	266	173	439	25	239	36	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	129	32	5	0	0	8	34	3	3	0	248	307	287	594	39	324	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		170	37	6	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	36	32	8	2	0	1	2	7	2	0	0	250	353	406	759	156	244	19	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	129	32	5	0	0	8	34	3	3	0	248	307	287	594	39	324	24	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		170	37	6	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	36	32	8	2	0	1	2	7	2	0	0	250	353	406	759	156	244	19	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	BAL	—	37	30	10	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	333	412	367	778	33	435	24	11	333	112	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	BAL	—	37	28	11	1	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	393	500	429	929	36	458	16	16	392	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	BAL	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		299	20	0	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	BAL	—	42	35	11	1	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	314	385	343	727	29	407	24	10	325	106	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	169	153	34	5	1	2	12	44	2	2	1	222	287	307	595	85	299	26	7	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	290	263	61	10	1	5	22	75	3	3	1	232	299	335	633	103	299	26	8	284	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	376	341	80	13	2	7	28	96	4	4	1	235	300	346	646	111	300	26	7	289	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	426	387	90	14	2	9	32	108	4	5	1	233	298	349	647	116	300	25	8	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	457	414	97	15	2	10	35	116	5	5	2	234	302	353	654	118	300	25	8	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	471	426	100	16	2	10	37	120	5	5	2	235	303	352	656	117	300	25	8	295	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	475	430	100	16	2	10	37	121	5	5	2	233	301	349	650	116	299	25	8	293	85	-9	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	471	426	98	15	2	10	37	121	5	5	1	230	299	345	644	115	298	26	8	292	83	-9	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	464	419	96	15	2	9	37	121	5	4	1	229	299	339	638	110	297	26	8	289	82	-10	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	438	396	90	14	2	8	35	115	4	3	1	227	297	333	630	106	295	26	8	285	79	-11	+0	-3	+8	+9	0.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	410	371	82	12	2	7	32	109	4	3	1	221	290	321	611	100	292	27	8	279	75	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	370	335	72	11	1	6	29	101	3	2	1	215	283	307	591	93	288	27	8	272	71	-13	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	58	53	12	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	226	293	321	614	94	303	26	7	272	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	141	128	30	5	1	2	11	36	1	2	0	234	300	336	636	102	304	26	8	281	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	198	179	43	7	1	4	15	50	2	2	1	240	306	358	664	117	304	25	8	286	82	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	233	211	50	8	1	5	18	59	2	3	1	237	303	355	658	118	304	25	8	290	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	254	230	55	9	1	6	19	64	3	3	1	239	306	365	671	126	304	25	7	291	85	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	259	234	56	9	1	6	20	66	3	3	1	239	307	363	671	124	304	25	8	292	85	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	260	235	56	9	1	6	20	66	3	3	1	238	306	362	668	123	304	25	8	290	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	251	226	53	9	1	5	20	65	3	2	1	235	305	350	655	115	303	26	8	289	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	244	221	51	8	1	5	19	63	2	2	1	231	298	344	641	113	301	26	8	286	82	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	228	206	48	7	1	5	18	60	2	2	1	233	301	350	650	117	299	26	8	282	79	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	230	208	47	7	1	4	18	61	2	1	0	226	294	327	621	101	296	27	8	276	75	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
2038	33	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	218	197	43	6	1	4	17	59	2	1	0	218	287	320	607	102	292	27	8	270	71	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2574	2328	544	86	11	53	199	664	26	25	8	234	301	348	650	115	303	26	8	285	78	-58	+2	-8	+46	+56	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	137	22	3	13	50	168	7	6	2	233	301	347	648	114	302	26	8	285	78	-15	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5158	4667	1059	165	21	94	396	1347	58	50	16	227	295	332	627	105	297	26	8	284	78	-110	+3	-15	+86	+104	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	134	21	3	12	50	170	7	6	2	228	296	335	631	107	298	26	8	284	78	-15	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,636	50	25	230	295	340	+47	+28	5.9	5.3
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+7.1	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josnaider Orellana (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	218/282/293	74	299	1	1	27%	7%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	197/270/305	108	273	9	3	29%	8%	64	-1.3	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	39	187/248/259	72	259	4	4	28%	5%	45	-2.7	223/289/310	87	301	6	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	241/310/327	86	323	6	5	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	57	-1.8	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	89	+0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2017 · AA	21	40→43	38→50	46→50	39	195/243/278	83	276	5	11	30%	6%	47	-2.6	200/256/290	90	266	8	8	26%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A	21	40→50	37→55	49→45	43	191/249/267	76	265	3	10	28%	7%	47	-2.6	240/277/346	106	302	8	5	23%	4%	74	-0.5	243/299/400	157	290	18	4	22%	7%	94	+0.6
✕Jalen Miller 2018 · A	21	38→43	39→45	47→50	38	188/229/275	87	254	6	7	28%	4%	40	-3.0	202/246/312	110	267	11	12	28%	5%	55	-1.9	180/240/294	114	233	12	18	28%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Derrick Mitchell 2008 · A	21	39→45	39→50	46→55	38	192/244/276	84	272	6	9	31%	5%	47	-2.5	198/237/319	121	257	11	10	27%	4%	54	-2.0	211/260/336	125	269	13	19	26%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2008 · A	21	40	37→45	43→45	38	196/244/265	69	264	5	4	27%	4%	44	-2.8	217/277/307	90	287	5	6	25%	6%	67	-1.1	222/289/325	103	288	5	5	23%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A	21	39→49	37→45	45→40	44	188/237/255	67	235	4	5	22%	6%	38	-3.2	214/262/291	77	267	5	3	21%	6%	56	-1.9	215/291/340	125	253	14	3	20%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	41→48	36→45	46→55	43	195/257/255	61	273	4	12	29%	7%	47	-2.6	200/267/276	76	287	5	12	30%	8%	55	-1.9	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Pedro Severino 2014 · A	21	40→49	36→50	50→45	40	192/228/263	71	244	3	3	23%	4%	36	-3.3	213/250/303	90	261	8	4	21%	4%	55	-2.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	211/270/297	86	293	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	223/303/368	144	295	14	13	28%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	37→47	38→55	47→50	37	184/237/264	80	266	6	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	182/229/258	76	281	5	7	35%	5%	36	-3.3	243/288/366	124	328	11	16	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Javier Castillo 2006 · A	22	39→49	38→45	47→45	37	191/238/267	76	273	5	6	31%	5%	42	-2.9	226/271/334	108	298	8	7	26%	5%	70	-0.9	243/287/361	118	312	9	6	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	192/225/272	80	283	4	10	33%	4%	38	-3.2	197/277/272	75	275	3	17	27%	8%	59	-1.7	190/288/262	72	257	2	25	24%	10%	60	-0.6
✕Hernán Pérez 2012 · A	21	42→52	38→50	49→55	39	203/239/279	76	259	6	9	24%	4%	45	-2.7	228/259/308	80	276	5	18	19%	4%	59	-1.7	259/292/401	141	302	16	28	20%	4%	91	+0.5
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	42	-2.9	214/256/307	93	316	7	4	33%	4%	58	-1.7	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps