Albert Carpio — OGILVIE

Albert CarpioSS DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .280 / .293

PA4

HR0

K%24

BB%6

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	—	124	102	22	3	1	0	16	21	4	9	4	216	344	265	609	49	268	17	13	289	82	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	140	119	19	4	0	0	12	19	6	4	3	160	270	193	463	34	186	14	9	225	38	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	85	71	18	2	1	0	6	7	6	2	4	254	361	310	671	56	277	8	7	310	96	-0	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	—	124	108	18	2	1	0	10	31	4	9	4	167	262	204	466	37	218	25	8	211	29	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	140	124	14	3	0	0	7	27	6	4	3	113	197	137	334	24	139	19	5	159	-6	-18	-0	—	—	+3	-1.5
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	85	73	14	1	1	0	4	10	6	2	4	192	289	233	522	41	202	12	5	224	38	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	—	124	108	18	2	1	0	10	31	4	9	4	167	262	204	466	37	231	25	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Red	—	124	102	22	3	1	0	16	21	4	9	4	216	344	265	609	49	268	17	13	289	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	140	124	14	3	0	0	7	27	6	4	3	113	197	137	334	24	141	19	5	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	140	119	19	4	0	0	12	19	6	4	3	160	270	193	463	34	186	14	9	225	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	85	73	14	1	1	0	4	10	6	2	4	192	289	233	522	41	219	12	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	85	71	18	2	1	0	6	7	6	2	4	254	361	310	671	56	277	8	7	310	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	—	124	109	18	2	1	0	10	31	4	9	4	165	262	202	464	37	218	25	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	140	126	14	3	0	0	7	27	6	4	3	111	197	135	332	24	139	19	5	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	85	75	14	1	1	0	4	10	6	2	4	187	289	227	516	40	202	12	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	140	126	14	3	0	0	7	27	6	4	3	111	197	135	332	24	139	19	5	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	85	75	14	1	1	0	4	10	6	2	4	187	289	227	516	40	202	12	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		283	25	0	264	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	117	106	23	4	1	1	8	28	2	2	0	217	284	302	586	85	285	24	7	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	262	237	54	9	2	4	18	61	5	3	1	228	296	333	629	105	287	23	7	284	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	366	331	75	13	2	6	25	84	7	5	1	227	295	332	627	106	288	23	7	290	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	437	395	92	16	3	8	31	100	8	6	2	233	302	349	651	116	289	23	7	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	479	433	101	17	3	10	34	110	9	6	2	233	303	356	658	122	289	23	7	296	86	-8	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	504	454	106	18	3	10	36	116	9	7	2	233	303	352	655	119	289	23	7	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	515	464	109	19	3	11	37	118	9	7	2	235	304	360	664	125	289	23	7	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	518	466	109	19	3	11	38	120	9	6	2	234	304	358	662	124	289	23	7	296	87	-8	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	513	461	106	18	3	10	38	120	9	6	2	230	301	347	648	117	288	23	7	295	86	-9	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	—	55%	505	454	105	18	3	10	37	119	9	5	2	231	302	350	652	119	287	24	7	292	84	-10	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	—	58%	493	445	101	17	3	9	36	118	9	4	1	227	298	339	637	112	285	24	7	288	81	-11	+0	-3	+5	+11	0.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	—	60%	476	430	96	16	3	8	35	116	8	4	1	223	294	330	624	107	282	24	7	283	78	-13	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	40	36	7	1	0	0	3	9	1	1	0	194	275	222	497	28	285	22	8	276	73	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	127	115	27	5	1	2	9	30	2	2	1	235	302	348	649	113	287	24	7	284	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	198	178	40	7	1	3	14	46	4	3	1	225	296	326	622	101	288	23	7	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	242	219	52	9	2	5	17	56	4	3	1	237	304	365	669	128	289	23	7	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	268	242	57	10	2	5	19	61	5	4	1	236	305	355	660	120	289	23	7	296	86	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	283	256	60	10	2	6	20	65	5	4	1	234	302	359	662	125	289	23	7	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	285	257	60	10	2	6	21	66	5	4	1	233	304	358	662	125	289	23	7	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	284	256	60	10	2	6	21	66	5	4	1	234	305	359	664	125	289	23	7	296	87	-4	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	298	269	63	11	2	6	22	70	5	3	1	234	304	357	661	123	288	23	7	295	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	—	55%	279	251	58	10	2	5	21	66	5	3	1	231	303	347	650	116	287	24	8	292	84	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	—	58%	288	260	59	10	2	5	21	69	5	3	1	227	297	338	636	112	285	24	7	288	81	-6	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	—	60%	288	260	59	10	2	5	21	70	5	2	1	227	297	338	636	112	282	24	7	283	78	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2880	2599	602	103	20	54	209	674	51	36	11	232	302	349	650	117	291	23	7	292	80	-55	+3	-6	+31	+62	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	136	23	5	12	47	152	12	8	2	232	302	349	651	118	292	23	7	292	80	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5538	4985	1124	190	34	98	394	1279	109	76	29	225	296	336	633	111	282	23	7	286	80	-100	+5	-10	+56	+112	6.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	132	22	4	12	46	150	13	9	3	226	297	338	635	113	281	23	7	286	80	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,936	55	34	232	298	349	+31	+21	5.7	5.1
/162	664	13	8	+7.1	+4.7	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Albert Carpio (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	215/280/293	78	283	0	1	24%	6%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Dean 2013 · A	20	40→49	38→45	48→40	31	181/228/264	83	330	5	6	44%	5%	38	-3.2	218/260/327	109	337	9	5	36%	4%	64	-1.3	216/260/330	114	328	10	3	36%	4%	61	-1.0
✕David Medina 2009 · A	20	35→42	36→45	45→40	41	169/243/235	66	277	4	5	38%	8%	38	-3.2	203/262/301	98	313	8	4	35%	7%	59	-1.6	198/249/305	107	301	9	2	36%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Jimmy Paredes 2008 · A	19	41→51	37→45	46→55	36	198/228/273	75	253	4	6	24%	3%	39	-3.1	217/248/300	83	275	4	12	22%	3%	53	-2.1	251/280/375	124	344	12	15	30%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Raynay Guerrero 2013 · A	20	36	38→40	48→40	35	179/229/260	81	264	6	4	34%	5%	38	-3.2	190/235/264	74	255	5	4	27%	4%	40	-3.0	176/218/238	61	230	5	3	25%	3%	28	-1.2
✕Mario Gonzalez 2010 · A	18	42	34→40	46→40	41	197/238/251	54	258	2	7	24%	5%	38	-3.2	203/281/267	64	256	3	5	20%	9%	59	-1.6	192/291/251	59	236	4	3	18%	10%	61	-0.5
●Balbino Fuenmayor 2009 · A	19	39→49	38→50	40→30	31	185/230/263	78	309	5	3	40%	4%	38	-3.2	194/224/286	92	312	8	2	39%	3%	40	-3.0	277/304/419	143	324	17	0	20%	3%	100	+0.8
✕Freddvil Chevez 2019 · A	19	35	39→40	48→30	39	177/232/258	81	240	7	4	29%	5%	38	-3.2	207/257/290	83	261	7	3	23%	4%	55	-2.0	195/240/265	70	248	7	0	24%	4%	41	-0.9
✕Manuel Nuno 2009 · A	20	33	39→40	46→40	39	161/242/237	77	278	7	4	41%	8%	38	-3.2	172/263/265	93	294	8	5	40%	9%	53	-2.1	128/248/226	98	220	10	4	42%	11%	40	-1.3
✕Miguel Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	36→30	46→40	38	198/233/261	63	255	3	5	23%	3%	38	-3.2	210/244/287	77	273	4	5	24%	4%	48	-2.5	189/208/263	73	257	0	3	26%	2%	26	-0.7
✕John Silviano 2014 · A	20	32→34	40→50	42→40	41	166/236/258	92	256	8	4	37%	8%	40	-3.0	183/239/276	93	328	8	5	43%	6%	45	-2.7	179/240/323	144	277	18	2	41%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Luis Paz 2014 · A	18	36→33	36→45	47→40	43	176/243/239	63	244	4	6	28%	7%	38	-3.2	178/231/250	72	257	4	6	30%	6%	36	-3.4	183/225/313	130	264	14	3	36%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Montrell Marshall 2018 · A	22	36	39→40	48→40	36	179/229/264	85	280	7	4	37%	6%	38	-3.2	179/240/270	91	314	6	4	42%	7%	45	-2.7	126/200/212	86	246	4	1	47%	7%	15	-2.1
✕Hector Roa 2015 · A	20	35	43→45	45→40	29	180/214/290	110	292	11	5	42%	4%	38	-3.2	191/218/314	123	307	13	4	41%	3%	45	-2.7	173/186/313	141	261	15	0	41%	1%	29	-1.1
✕Juan Carlos Moncion 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	37→30	40	181/234/252	71	244	5	3	27%	5%	38	-3.2	194/254/271	77	259	5	5	26%	7%	49	-2.4	171/229/248	78	227	6	1	26%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Juaner Aguasvivas 2011 · A	21	34	43→40	44→30	31	175/220/275	100	278	12	3	40%	4%	38	-3.2	205/250/331	126	307	14	5	36%	5%	62	-1.4	209/247/373	165	283	22	4	34%	3%	72	-0.2
✕Kevin Franklin 2017 · A	22	38	39→40	46→45	32	189/223/276	87	283	7	4	35%	3%	38	-3.2	191/231/265	74	275	5	5	31%	4%	38	-3.2	140/168/175	35	196	3	0	29%	3%	-8	-1.6
✕Felix Lucas 2015 · A	18	40	38→40	49→30	31	159/240/234	75	367	6	5	53%	7%	38	-3.2	168/231/245	77	344	7	4	50%	6%	36	-3.4	120/181/184	65	236	9	0	50%	5%	2	-2.0
✕Rubell Castro 2015 · A	18	39	39→40	46→30	30	155/236/244	89	361	7	4	54%	7%	38	-3.2	169/258/256	87	348	7	6	48%	9%	49	-2.4	124/235/198	73	256	8	5	49%	11%	26	-0.9
✕Felix Suarez 2016 · A	20	38	36→30	47→55	38	177/240/243	65	280	2	12	35%	6%	38	-3.2	183/241/246	63	278	3	15	33%	6%	38	-3.2	128/180/154	27	197	0	29	33%	5%	-8	-1.6
✕Angel Adames 2016 · A	20	38	36→30	48→45	40	182/240/250	68	265	3	6	31%	6%	39	-3.1	186/245/261	75	261	4	6	28%	6%	44	-2.8	128/189/191	63	170	4	4	26%	6%	6	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps