Albert Carpio — OGILVIE

Albert CarpioSS DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.5 · 2033

wRC+63

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .278 / .307

PA55

HR1

K%27

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.4	$23M	+$22M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.5	$25M	+$24M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.2	$23M	+$19M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.9	$20M	+$14M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.6	$18M	+$10M
Totals		$22M		$133M	+$111M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	124	108	17	2	0	0	10	31	4	9	4	.157	.254	.176	.430	.019	.218	25	8	.209	18	-11	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.7
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	140	124	14	3	0	0	7	27	6	4	3	.113	.197	.137	.334	.024	.141	19	5	.158	-21	-19	-0	+0	+2	+4	-1.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	85	73	13	1	1	0	4	11	6	2	4	.178	.277	.219	.496	.041	.206	13	5	.219	26	-7	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	—	55	50	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	.220	.291	.320	.611	.100	.285	27	7	.268	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	—	117	106	23	4	1	2	9	30	1	2	1	.217	.284	.330	.615	.113	.288	26	8	.290	80	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2028	22	MLB 28%	—	262	235	54	10	2	6	22	65	3	5	1	.230	.304	.366	.670	.136	.290	25	8	.304	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	—	366	326	77	14	2	10	32	88	5	7	2	.236	.314	.383	.697	.147	.290	24	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.4
2030	24	MLB 62%	—	437	388	93	16	3	13	40	104	6	9	2	.240	.320	.397	.717	.157	.291	24	9	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.9
2031	25	MLB 80%	—	479	425	102	18	3	14	45	113	6	10	2	.240	.321	.395	.717	.155	.292	24	9	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.2
2032	26	MLB 94%	—	504	444	107	19	3	15	48	119	7	10	2	.241	.325	.399	.723	.158	.292	24	10	.322	105	+3	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.4
2033	27	MLB	—	515	454	108	19	3	15	49	122	7	10	2	.238	.322	.392	.714	.154	.292	24	10	.322	105	+3	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.5
2034	28	MLB	—	518	456	109	19	3	15	50	124	7	10	2	.239	.324	.393	.716	.154	.292	24	10	.321	104	+2	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.4
2035	29	MLB	—	513	451	107	19	3	15	50	124	7	8	1	.237	.323	.392	.715	.155	.291	24	10	.319	102	+1	+1	-1	+5	+15	2.2
2036	30	MLB	—	505	445	104	18	3	14	49	124	6	7	1	.234	.318	.382	.700	.148	.290	25	10	.316	100	-0	+1	-2	+5	+14	1.9
2037	31	MLB	—	493	436	102	18	3	14	48	123	6	5	0	.234	.318	.385	.704	.151	.288	25	10	.312	97	-2	+1	-3	+5	+14	1.6
2038	32	MLB	—	476	421	97	17	3	13	46	121	6	3	0	.230	.315	.378	.693	.147	.287	25	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.2
2039	33	MLB	—	447	396	87	15	2	11	43	117	5	1	0	.220	.304	.351	.655	.131	.285	26	10	.302	89	-5	+0	-4	+5	+13	0.8
2040	34	MLB	—	402	356	78	13	2	10	38	109	5	0	0	.219	.303	.351	.654	.132	.283	27	9	.296	84	-7	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.4
2041	35	MLB	—	348	308	66	11	2	8	33	97	4	0	0	.214	.299	.341	.639	.127	.281	28	9	.288	78	-8	+0	-6	+4	+10	-0.0
2042	36	MLB	—	290	258	54	9	2	6	27	84	3	0	0	.209	.292	.329	.621	.120	.278	29	9	.279	72	-9	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7076	6260	1423	247	41	182	654	1748	101	103	27	.227	.310	.367	.678	.140	.284	25	9	.304	91	-71	+10	-31	+76	+200	18.8
/ 162G	—			650	575	132	23	4	17	60	161	9	9	2	.230	.312	.372	.684	.143	.287	25	9	.304	91	-6	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	124	102	22	3	1	16	21	4	9	4	.216	.344	.265	.609	.049	.268	17	13	.289	79	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	140	119	19	4	0	12	19	6	4	3	.160	.270	.193	.463	.034	.186	14	9	.225	30	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	85	71	18	2	1	6	7	6	2	4	.254	.361	.310	.671	.056	.277	8	7	.310	95	-0	-1	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Albert Carpio (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.211/.278/.307	.096	.285	1	1	27%	7%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
✕Thairo Estrada 2016 · A	20	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.264/.302	.090	.275	5	8	24%	5%	55	-1.4	.255/.297/.344	.089	.303	8	9	18%	5%	79	+0.3	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Alex Liddi 2009 · A	20	42→52	40→60	49→50	38	.202/.249/.300	.098	.290	7	9	32%	5%	48	-1.9	.240/.291/.399	.159	.335	16	7	32%	6%	92	+1.2	.241/.296/.424	.182	.336	20	5	33%	6%	99	+1.7
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A	20	45→50	41→55	49→50	44	.217/.269/.316	.099	.260	8	8	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.228/.265/.309	.081	.295	6	6	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.254/.298/.423	.169	.308	18	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕David Bote 2013 · A	20	43→48	38→55	50→45	43	.200/.271/.286	.086	.293	4	8	31%	8%	54	-1.4	.190/.266/.272	.082	.263	5	6	28%	8%	50	-1.8	.234/.308/.397	.164	.298	19	6	27%	8%	95	+1.0
●Lane Thomas 2016 · A	20	43→51	37→55	51→55	42	.200/.259/.277	.077	.294	3	9	32%	7%	46	-2.0	.194/.260/.302	.108	.313	10	13	38%	8%	54	-1.4	.248/.312/.427	.179	.308	21	13	25%	7%	107	+2.0
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2017 · A	20	45→54	39→50	46→50	42	.220/.270/.303	.083	.278	7	9	23%	5%	58	-1.2	.233/.289/.330	.097	.297	7	14	22%	7%	72	-0.2	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	42→49	38→55	49→30	44	.201/.271/.276	.075	.277	5	5	28%	7%	52	-1.6	.207/.270/.291	.084	.263	6	4	22%	7%	55	-1.4	.228/.285/.376	.148	.288	19	0	27%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Samad Taylor 2018 · A	20	45→53	37→50	51→65	41	.213/.268/.288	.076	.300	4	10	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.183/.255/.284	.101	.259	7	22	30%	8%	47	-1.9	.236/.312/.377	.141	.324	16	46	30%	9%	94	+0.8
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A	20	38→46	41→60	46→50	45	.191/.255/.285	.094	.243	9	13	25%	7%	47	-1.9	.204/.250/.320	.116	.282	11	11	31%	5%	53	-1.5	.224/.302/.431	.208	.280	28	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
●Austin Dean 2014 · A	20	41→51	40→55	45	45	.197/.269/.289	.093	.270	7	6	28%	8%	55	-1.4	.229/.274/.325	.096	.288	7	6	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.257/.302/.413	.156	.304	17	4	21%	5%	96	+1.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→50	42→55	52→55	41	.202/.253/.302	.099	.256	10	14	25%	5%	50	-1.7	.228/.267/.382	.154	.289	16	19	26%	4%	77	+0.1	.244/.283/.399	.155	.300	17	24	24%	4%	86	+0.7
●Tim Beckham 2010 · A	20	45→55	39→55	45→50	37	.214/.253/.301	.087	.296	5	8	29%	4%	50	-1.8	.226/.277/.320	.094	.317	7	12	29%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.301/.421	.173	.319	22	4	28%	6%	100	+1.3
●Jamie Westbrook 2015 · A	20	46→52	40→55	47→45	42	.220/.265/.315	.095	.277	7	5	23%	5%	58	-1.2	.235/.272/.351	.116	.275	11	8	19%	4%	71	-0.3	.245/.316/.386	.141	.288	15	4	20%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A	20	41→51	38→50	48→55	42	.195/.251/.276	.081	.262	4	7	26%	6%	43	-2.2	.218/.254/.321	.103	.267	10	9	22%	4%	56	-1.3	.270/.315/.386	.116	.325	11	18	20%	5%	92	+0.6
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2013 · A	20	43→53	42→50	45	42	.213/.258/.311	.098	.268	10	5	24%	5%	54	-1.4	.218/.262/.323	.105	.269	10	6	22%	6%	59	-1.1	.250/.304/.396	.146	.292	17	1	20%	7%	95	+0.7
●Devin Mesoraco 2008 · A	20	41→51	36→60	50→40	43	.197/.256/.263	.066	.263	4	6	26%	6%	42	-2.3	.215/.267/.335	.120	.277	13	3	26%	6%	66	-0.6	.241/.331/.442	.201	.275	26	1	22%	9%	113	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)