Albert CarpioSS DSL Arizona Red
Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA
wRC+60
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .280 / .293
PA55
HR0
K%24
BB%6
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.91.80.10.30.70.91.11.21.31.11.00.8+$60M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$4M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.0$4M+$3M
2036Arb-2$3M+0.8$1M+$0.6M
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $8M $23M +$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202216 ROKDSL D-backs Red — 124108 18210 10314 94 167262204466 37231 258 211 20 — — — — — —
202216 ROKDSL D-backs Red — 124102 22310 16214 94 216344265609 49268 1713 289 79 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 140124 14300 7276 43 113197137334 24141 195 156 -22 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 140119 19400 12196 43 160270193463 34186 149 225 30 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 8573 13110 4116 24 178277219496 41206 135 219 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 8571 18210 676 24 254361310671 56277 87 310 95 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLB— — 5550 10200 4131 10 200273240513 40283 247 264 60 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLB— 34% 117106 23411 8282 20 217284302586 85285 247 276 69 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
202822 MLB— 48% 262237 54924 18615 31 228296333629 105287 237 284 76 -7 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
202923 MLB— 54% 366330 751326 26857 51 227298333631 106288 237 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.7
203024 MLB— 55% 437395 921638 311018 62 233302349651 116289 237 294 83 -8 +0 +0 +5 +12 0.9
203125 MLB— 56% 479433 10218310 341109 62 236305360665 125290 237 296 85 -8 +0 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203226 MLB— 56% 504454 10518310 361169 72 231301350651 119289 237 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +5 +14 1.2
203327 MLB— 55% 515464 10919311 371199 72 235304360664 125289 237 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.3
203428 MLB— 55% 518466 10919311 381209 62 234304358662 124289 237 296 85 -9 +0 -1 +6 +15 1.1
203529 MLB— 53% 513461 10618310 381209 62 230301347648 117288 237 295 84 -9 +0 -1 +5 +15 1.0
203630 MLB— 53% 505454 10518310 371209 52 231302350652 119288 247 292 82 -10 +0 -2 +5 +14 0.8
202721 MLB— 34% 4036 7100 391 10 194275222497 28285 228 276 69 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202822 MLB— 48% 127115 27512 9302 21 235302348649 113287 247 284 76 -4 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.1
202923 MLB— 54% 198178 40713 14464 31 225296326622 101288 237 290 80 -4 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.4
203024 MLB— 55% 242219 52925 17564 31 237304365669 128289 237 294 83 -5 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203125 MLB— 56% 268242 571025 19625 41 236305355660 120290 237 296 85 -5 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.6
203226 MLB— 56% 283256 601026 20655 41 234302359662 125289 237 297 86 -5 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.7
203327 MLB— 55% 285257 601026 21665 41 233304358662 125289 237 297 86 -5 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.7
203428 MLB— 55% 284256 601026 21665 41 234305359664 125289 237 296 85 -5 +0 -0 +3 +8 0.6
203529 MLB— 53% 274247 571025 20645 31 231301348650 117288 237 295 84 -5 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.5
203630 MLB— 53% 266239 55925 20635 31 230303347650 117288 248 292 82 -5 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 22672045 475811643 16452741 319 232302351653 118291 237 294 83 -43 +3 -2 +24 +64 4.7
/ 162G— — 650586 13623512 4715112 93 232302350652 118291 237 294 83 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.3
Career— — 46204155 9351602881 328106293 6927 225296335632 110281 237 286 77 -122 +3 -4 +50 +131 5.9
/ 162G— — 650585 13223411 4614913 104 226297335632 109282 237 286 77 -17 +0 -1 +7 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202216 ROKDSL D-backs Red — 124102 22310 16214 94 216344265609 49268 1713 289 79 -3 +0 — — +4 0.1
202317 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 140119 19400 12196 43 160270193463 34186 149 225 30 -11 -0 — — +4 -0.8
202418 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 8571 18210 676 24 254361310671 56277 87 310 95 -0 -1 — — +2 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,3234429233299351+25+184.64.4
/162664138+7.1+5.11.3pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Albert Carpio (OGILVIE) 20 — — — — 215/280/293 78283 01 24% 6% 60 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Yairo Muñoz
2015 · A 		20 41→51 38→50 48→55 43 198/255/280 82264 57 26% 6% 46 -2.0 218/253/322 104271 109 23% 4% 55 -1.4 262/304/399137319151722%5%91+0.7
✕Luis Vázquez
2019 · A 		19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
✕Emilio King
2010 · A 		20 40 37→45 51→40 43 190/274/270 79258 49 26% 6% 53 -1.5 203/253/290 87301 64 33% 4% 47 -1.9 213/250/309963117233%3%47-1.0
✕Stone Garrett
2016 · A 		20 41→37 35→55 49→50 38 198/237/257 59280 37 29% 5% 30 -3.1 166/207/247 81303 68 45% 4% 16 -4.1 219/280/389170298211133%7%83+0.4
✕Emmanuel Rivera
2017 · A 		21 40→50 37→55 49→45 43 191/249/267 76265 310 28% 7% 40 -2.4 244/280/355 111307 95 23% 4% 75 -0.0 241/298/40116028918423%7%93+0.9
✕Pedro Severino
2013 · A 		20 39→48 36→50 49→45 44 184/239/249 65227 43 20% 5% 30 -3.1 199/236/283 84250 73 23% 4% 37 -2.6 238/307/37513729117324%8%90+0.6
✕Elias Díaz
2012 · A 		21 39→49 37→50 47→45 40 188/234/265 77248 45 26% 5% 32 -3.0 205/255/289 84255 65 21% 6% 47 -1.9 245/304/37813327215016%7%89+0.5
✕Gavin Cecchini
2014 · A 		20 42→52 37→45 46→45 41 199/250/271 71282 47 29% 6% 40 -2.4 233/284/333 100284 75 19% 6% 71 -0.3 245/297/343982907517%7%76+0.0
✕Brandon Barnes
2006 · A 		20 37→47 38→55 47→50 37 184/237/264 80266 66 32% 5% 33 -2.9 182/229/258 76281 57 35% 5% 28 -3.2 236/281/354118320111629%5%73-0.1
✕Andruw Monasterio
2017 · A 		20 42→52 35→45 49→55 42 198/248/257 59255 212 22% 5% 36 -2.7 214/268/275 61275 39 22% 6% 49 -1.8 246/325/351106317102324%9%92+0.6
✕Juan Rodriguez
2015 · A 		20 45 38→45 46→55 41 217/264/301 85288 58 26% 6% 54 -1.4 241/278/336 95291 614 18% 5% 69 -0.4 280/305/38610631862214%4%89+0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino
2019 · A 		20 43→53 38→45 52→55 41 206/254/285 79277 512 27% 6% 46 -2.0 219/275/319 100284 88 25% 7% 64 -0.8 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
✕Michael A. Taylor
2011 · A 		20 38→48 37→55 45→60 41 183/240/260 76258 45 29% 6% 33 -2.9 188/235/293 105282 817 35% 5% 40 -2.4 242/299/384143312191428%7%90+0.8
✕Rosell Herrera
2013 · A 		20 40→50 37→45 48→55 40 193/243/266 73268 59 29% 6% 37 -2.7 229/276/310 81309 710 26% 6% 62 -0.9 247/301/3379031542422%7%76+0.1
●José Fermín
2019 · A 		20 41→50 37→45 48→55 42 193/240/270 77235 48 19% 4% 37 -2.7 224/281/309 85252 814 14% 6% 64 -0.8 256/343/399143276142813%10%110+1.2
✕Riley Unroe
2016 · A 		20 42→48 36→50 44→55 43 202/257/261 60279 48 28% 7% 41 -2.3 188/253/253 65276 412 31% 8% 38 -2.6 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
✕Michael Hermosillo
2015 · A 		20 42→46 39→55 51→55 43 200/270/292 92292 611 32% 8% 56 -1.3 215/291/294 79285 617 24% 8% 66 -0.6 226/298/350124305122028%7%81+0.3
✕Kenny Hart
2010 · A 		20 42 38→45 48→50 41 200/273/277 77292 56 31% 7% 53 -1.5 211/296/309 98281 811 26% 7% 72 -0.2 199/298/30610725391523%7%72-0.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra
2019 · A 		20 35 38→45 47→40 46 171/243/241 71215 63 23% 7% 32 -3.0 206/263/288 82261 64 22% 6% 51 -1.7 226/269/325992749121%4%62-0.3
✕Orlando Calixte
2012 · A 		20 40→50 38→45 48→55 39 198/239/269 70272 611 29% 5% 35 -2.8 210/248/325 115292 1110 31% 5% 54 -1.4 233/273/3249130692026%5%61-0.4