Alexander Martinez

Alexander MartinezC FCL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .250 / .268

PA81

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	176	168	32	5	0	2	8	45	0	2	1	190	227	256	483	65	248	26	5	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	176	164	40	9	0	2	12	33	0	2	1	244	295	335	631	91	295	19	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	147	135	18	3	0	0	11	53	1	0	0	133	204	156	360	22	220	36	7	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	147	129	22	3	0	0	17	38	1	0	0	171	272	194	466	23	242	26	12	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	142	136	13	2	0	0	5	55	0	1	0	96	128	110	238	15	160	39	4	112	-56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	142	133	18	3	0	0	8	40	0	1	0	135	184	158	342	23	194	28	6	162	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	68	61	6	1	0	0	5	12	2	0	0	98	191	115	306	16	122	18	7	151	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	68	58	8	2	0	0	8	8	2	0	0	138	265	172	437	34	160	12	12	221	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	ATL	—	81	75	15	3	0	1	5	23	1	1	0	200	259	280	539	80	268	28	6	238	41	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	185	169	34	6	1	2	12	51	2	3	1	201	262	284	546	83	272	28	6	252	51	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	302	276	58	10	2	5	20	81	3	5	2	210	271	315	586	105	274	27	7	261	58	-14	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	ATL	53%	384	351	73	13	2	6	26	102	4	6	2	208	270	308	578	100	276	27	7	267	62	-16	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.2
2030	25	MLB	ATL	55%	432	395	84	15	2	8	30	114	4	7	2	213	275	322	597	109	277	26	7	270	65	-17	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.3
2031	26	MLB	ATL	56%	461	422	90	16	3	8	32	121	4	8	3	213	275	322	597	109	277	26	7	271	65	-18	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.4
2032	27	MLB	ATL	55%	474	432	93	17	3	9	34	125	5	8	3	215	280	331	611	116	276	26	7	271	65	-19	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.4
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	64	59	12	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	203	266	288	554	85	272	28	6	245	46	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	146	134	28	5	1	2	10	39	1	2	1	209	269	306	575	97	274	27	7	254	53	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	ATL	53%	202	184	39	7	1	3	14	54	2	3	1	212	275	310	585	98	276	27	7	260	57	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	ATL	55%	236	216	45	8	1	4	16	62	2	4	1	208	269	310	579	102	277	26	7	263	59	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2031	26	MLB	ATL	56%	257	235	50	9	1	5	18	68	2	4	1	213	275	323	598	111	277	26	7	264	60	-12	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2032	27	MLB	ATL	55%	261	239	50	9	1	5	18	69	2	5	1	209	270	318	588	109	276	26	7	264	60	-12	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1166	1067	224	40	5	20	80	310	10	19	5	210	271	313	584	103	275	27	7	261	58	-56	+2	+0	+21	+33	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	125	22	3	11	45	173	6	11	3	210	273	313	585	103	275	27	7	261	58	-31	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2852	2620	516	91	13	41	188	782	26	41	14	197	258	289	546	92	263	27	7	247	47	-170	+3	+0	+51	+81	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	118	21	3	9	43	178	6	9	3	198	259	288	547	90	264	27	7	247	47	-39	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	176	164	40	9	2	12	33	0	2	1	244	295	335	631	91	295	19	7	286	77	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	147	129	22	3	0	17	38	1	0	0	171	272	194	466	23	242	26	12	229	33	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	61	58	7	1	0	3	23	0	0	0	121	164	138	302	17	200	38	5	144	-31	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	81	75	11	2	0	5	17	0	1	0	147	200	173	373	27	190	21	6	175	-8	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	68	58	8	2	0	8	8	2	0	0	138	265	172	437	34	160	12	12	221	28	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,247	21	21	212	271	317	+22	+16	0.4	0.6
	/162	664	11	11	212	271	317	+11.9	+8.5	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Martinez (OGILVIE)	21	31→36	28→33	43→48	44	193/250/268	74	268	1	1	28%	6%	41	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jesus Villegas 2008 · A	21	40	36→40	50	40	188/252/260	71	252	3	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	223/278/291	68	291	4	7	23%	6%	58	-1.2	233/283/293	59	302	4	8	23%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→40	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	33	-2.9	220/253/314	94	277	6	6	22%	4%	52	-1.6	244/267/328	84	295	4	3	18%	3%	57	-0.3
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	204/264/287	82	286	5	8	29%	5%	51	-1.7	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	24	-3.5	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Wynston Sawyer 2013 · A	21	40	38→45	46→45	48	192/255/265	72	234	6	5	20%	7%	42	-2.3	208/265/308	100	261	9	4	23%	6%	57	-1.2	220/307/327	107	283	10	2	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	25	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	50	-1.8	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	58	-0.3
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2