Alexander Martinez

C FCL Braves
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2037ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKATL147.171/.272/.19400-3—.126/.197/.141
202419A/ROKATL142.135/.184/.15801-37—.103/.135/.118
202520ROKATL68.138/.265/.17200-12—.098/.191/.115
2027PROJMLE22MLBATL178.202/.260/.28222530.0
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBATL30.207/.265/.2960059-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB24MLBATL79.210/.270/.3081163-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
K%92
Whiff%79
Z-Con%59
BB%37
ISO11
Speed9
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .258 / .280
PA42
HR0
K%29
BB%6
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Braves — 176164 40902 12330 21 244295335631 91295 197 286 6 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Braves — 147129 22300 17381 00 171272194466 23242 2612 229 -3 — — — — — —
202419 AAugusta GreenJackets — 6158 7100 3230 00 121164138302 17200 385 144 -42 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Braves — 8175 11200 5170 10 147200173373 27190 216 175 -33 — — — — — —
202520 ROKFCL Braves — 6858 8200 882 00 138265172437 34160 1212 221 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 176168 26501 8390 21 155193202396 48193 225 177 6 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 147135 17200 11541 00 126197141338 15210 377 164 -3 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 6159 6100 2310 00 102131119250 17194 513 106 -42 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 8177 8100 3240 10 104138117254 13145 304 119 -33 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6861 6100 5122 00 98191115306 16121 187 150 -12 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 176168 26501 8390 21 155193202396 48195 225 177 6 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 176164 40902 12330 21 244295335631 91295 197 286 6 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 147135 17200 11541 00 126197141338 15210 377 164 -3 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 147129 22300 17381 00 171272194466 23242 2612 229 -3 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 142136 13200 5550 10 96128110238 15160 394 113 -37 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAW2 teams — 142133 18300 8400 10 135184158342 23194 286 162 -37 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6861 6100 5122 00 98191115306 16122 187 150 -12 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 6858 8200 882 00 138265172437 34160 1212 221 -12 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 176166 26501 8390 21 157193205398 48193 225 177 6 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 147134 17200 11541 00 127197142339 15210 377 164 -3 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 142136 13200 5550 10 96128110238 15166 394 113 -37 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6861 6100 5122 00 98191115306 16121 187 150 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 142136 13200 5550 10 96128110238 15166 394 113 -37 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6861 6100 5122 00 98191115306 16121 187 150 -12 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEATL 0% 178163 33612 11522 21 202260282542 80282 296 247 53 -10 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEATL 34% 9083 17311 6261 10 207265296562 90283 297 255 59 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
202924 MLB MLEATL 48% 165152 32612 11471 21 210270308578 98285 287 262 63 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB MLEATL 56% 231211 45814 16652 31 213274318591 105285 287 267 67 -9 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
203126 MLB MLEATL 60% 287262 571025 20803 31 215276325601 110285 287 271 69 -10 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.1
203227 MLB MLEATL 62% 320292 631126 22883 31 216278326604 111285 287 272 70 -11 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.2
203328 MLB MLEATL 63% 337308 661226 23943 21 214275322597 108284 287 269 68 -13 +0 -1 +6 +7 -0.0
203429 MLB MLEATL 64% 337308 651126 23953 11 211273316588 104283 287 266 66 -14 -0 -1 +6 +7 -0.2
202823 MLB CTXATL 34% 3028 5100 290 00 207265296562 90283 307 255 59 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202924 MLB CTXATL 48% 7973 15301 5221 10 210270308578 98285 286 262 63 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203025 MLB CTXATL 56% 128117 25412 9361 10 213274318591 105285 287 267 67 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203126 MLB CTXATL 60% 172156 34613 12482 21 215276325601 110285 287 271 69 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203227 MLB CTXATL 62% 198180 39714 14552 21 216278326604 111285 287 272 70 -7 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
203328 MLB CTXATL 63% 212193 41714 15592 11 214275322597 108284 287 269 68 -8 -0 -0 +4 +5 -0.0
203429 MLB CTXATL 64% 214195 41714 15602 11 211273316588 104283 287 266 66 -9 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1033942 20035518 7228910 84 212275317593 105284 287 268 49 -40 +0 -1 +18 +22 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 12522311 451826 53 211273314587 103283 287 268 49 -25 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.0
Career— MLE — 23422155 414721131 15366719 187 192252279531 87261 287 241 49 -71 +1 -2 +32 +39 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650598 1152039 421855 52 192251281532 89261 286 241 49 -26 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 68 PAwOBA .217 → .150 (−67)K% 11.8% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷0.980×1.440——17.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.013×0.620—×0.9857.09%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.720—×0.9852.09%
Singles /BIP12.00%÷1.005×0.820×0.969×0.9859.35%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷0.996×0.720×0.969×0.9852.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.969×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.856×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .217 → .150; ISO .034 → .024; BABIP .160 → .121. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 81 PAwOBA .171 → .119 (−53)K% 21.0% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.99%÷1.037×1.440——29.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.17%÷0.965×0.620—×0.9953.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP15.52%÷1.047×0.820×0.999×0.99512.08%
Doubles /BIP3.45%÷1.022×0.720×0.999×0.9952.41%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×0.999×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.266×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .171 → .119; ISO .027 → .017; BABIP .190 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 61 PAwOBA .141 → .106 (−34)K% 37.7% → 50.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.70%÷1.009×1.360——50.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.92%÷0.998×0.690—×1.0303.50%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP17.14%÷0.959×0.920—×1.03016.95%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷0.983×0.830—×1.0302.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .141 → .106; ISO .017 → .012; BABIP .200 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Braves · 147 PAwOBA .224 → .164 (−60)K% 25.9% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.85%÷1.020×1.440——36.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.56%÷0.958×0.620—×1.0087.54%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.720—×1.0080.49%
Singles /BIP20.88%÷0.977×0.820×1.032×1.00818.21%
Doubles /BIP3.30%÷0.882×0.720×1.032×1.0082.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.928×0.720×1.032×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.893×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 76, 3B 86, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .224 → .164; ISO .023 → .018; BABIP .242 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Braves · 176 PAwOBA .278 → .177 (−101)K% 18.8% → 22.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷1.027×1.220——22.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.82%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0084.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP22.14%÷0.935×0.680×0.959×1.00815.55%
Doubles /BIP6.87%÷1.118×0.600×0.959×1.0083.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.122×0.600×0.959×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.53%÷0.885×0.470—×1.0080.82%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 87, 2B 124, 3B 124, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .278 → .177; ISO .091 → .047; BABIP .295 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).