Adan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Adan SanchezC ACL Cubs

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .272 / .295

PA54

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.2M
Totals		$6M		$19M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	141	35	3	2	0	14	41	7	4	3	248	346	298	644	50	343	25	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	131	43	4	2	0	24	26	7	4	3	328	457	389	846	61	402	16	15	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	19	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	160	254	168	422	8	253	33	9	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	135	112	26	2	0	0	19	31	3	1	1	232	358	250	608	18	317	23	14	294	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	133	116	20	8	0	2	10	38	3	0	4	172	256	293	549	121	225	29	8	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	133	112	25	9	0	2	14	26	3	0	4	223	326	357	683	134	261	20	11	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	14	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	233	29	2	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	48	43	11	5	0	0	2	9	3	1	2	256	333	372	705	116	324	19	4	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	CHC	—	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	285	28	7	260	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CHC	34%	139	126	27	5	1	2	10	38	2	2	1	214	283	317	600	103	287	27	7	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	23	MLB	CHC	48%	267	242	52	10	1	5	20	72	3	3	1	215	283	326	609	112	289	27	7	281	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2029	24	MLB	CHC	53%	360	325	72	14	2	7	27	95	5	4	2	222	291	342	633	120	290	26	8	287	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2030	25	MLB	CHC	55%	416	377	84	16	2	9	31	110	5	5	2	223	291	347	638	125	290	26	7	290	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.0
2031	26	MLB	CHC	56%	450	407	92	18	2	10	34	119	6	5	2	226	295	354	649	128	290	26	8	292	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2032	27	MLB	CHC	55%	467	422	95	18	2	11	36	123	6	5	2	225	295	355	651	130	290	26	8	292	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2033	28	MLB	CHC	55%	472	426	94	18	2	10	37	125	6	5	2	221	292	343	635	122	290	26	8	291	81	-10	+0	-1	+8	+13	1.1
2034	29	MLB	CHC	53%	469	423	94	18	2	10	37	126	6	5	2	222	294	345	639	123	289	27	8	289	79	-11	+0	-1	+8	+13	1.0
2035	30	MLB	CHC	53%	463	418	92	18	2	10	36	125	6	4	2	220	291	344	636	124	287	27	8	286	77	-12	+0	-2	+8	+13	0.8
2036	31	MLB	CHC	52%	438	396	86	16	2	9	34	120	5	3	1	217	287	336	623	119	285	27	8	282	74	-13	+0	-3	+8	+12	0.5
2037	32	MLB	CHC	52%	409	369	79	15	2	8	32	113	5	3	1	214	286	331	616	117	282	28	8	277	70	-14	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.2
2038	33	MLB	CHC	52%	370	334	70	13	2	7	29	104	4	2	1	210	281	323	604	114	277	28	8	270	65	-15	+0	-4	+7	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	CHC	34%	48	44	10	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	227	292	341	633	114	288	27	6	264	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB	CHC	48%	129	117	26	5	1	2	9	35	2	1	1	222	289	333	622	111	290	27	7	273	67	-5	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	24	MLB	CHC	53%	190	172	39	8	1	4	14	50	2	2	1	227	293	355	647	128	291	26	7	279	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2030	25	MLB	CHC	55%	228	206	46	9	1	5	17	60	3	3	1	223	292	350	642	126	292	26	7	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2031	26	MLB	CHC	56%	250	226	51	10	1	6	19	66	3	3	1	226	294	358	653	133	292	26	8	284	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2032	27	MLB	CHC	55%	257	232	52	10	1	6	20	68	3	3	1	224	294	353	648	129	291	26	8	284	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2033	28	MLB	CHC	55%	258	233	52	10	1	6	20	69	3	3	1	223	293	352	645	129	291	27	8	283	75	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.4
2034	29	MLB	CHC	53%	250	226	51	10	1	6	19	67	3	2	1	226	294	358	653	133	290	27	8	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2035	30	MLB	CHC	53%	243	219	48	9	1	5	19	66	3	2	1	219	290	338	628	119	289	27	8	278	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2036	31	MLB	CHC	52%	228	205	46	9	1	5	18	62	3	2	1	224	296	351	648	127	286	27	8	274	68	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2037	32	MLB	CHC	52%	212	191	41	8	1	4	16	59	3	1	1	215	286	330	616	115	283	28	8	269	64	-9	-0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
2038	33	MLB	CHC	52%	191	172	37	7	1	4	15	54	2	1	0	215	286	337	623	122	278	28	8	262	59	-9	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2484	2243	499	97	11	54	189	669	31	24	10	222	292	348	640	125	291	27	8	278	71	-82	+1	-8	+44	+70	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	130	25	3	14	49	175	8	6	3	221	290	346	636	124	289	27	8	278	71	-22	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5254	4734	1028	196	24	101	404	1423	76	53	29	217	289	333	622	116	286	27	8	281	73	-159	-1	-15	+94	+149	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	126	24	3	12	50	176	9	7	4	215	287	328	614	113	284	27	8	281	73	-20	-0	-2	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	131	43	4	2	0	24	26	7	4	3	328	457	389	846	61	402	16	15	389	156	+10	-0	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	135	112	26	2	0	0	19	31	3	1	1	232	358	250	608	18	317	23	14	294	84	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	133	112	25	9	0	2	14	26	3	0	4	223	326	357	683	134	261	20	11	303	90	-1	-2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	48	43	11	5	0	0	2	9	3	1	2	256	333	372	705	116	324	19	4	322	105	+0	-1	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,539	52	24	221	288	344	+45	+28	4.6	4.3
	/162	664	14	6	221	288	344	+11.9	+7.3	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	206/272/295	89	285	1	1	28%	7%	57	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	34	-2.8	200/265/307	107	312	12	4	37%	7%	57	-1.2	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2021 · A	21	44	37→55	45→40	42	208/272/281	73	279	3	5	26%	6%	53	-1.5	212/289/325	113	282	11	5	27%	7%	73	-0.1	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→55	46→40	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	50	-1.7	208/243/347	139	281	18	3	32%	4%	59	-1.1	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2