Adan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Adan SanchezC ACL Cubs

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .294

PA4

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	131	43	4	2	0	24	26	7	4	3	328	457	389	846	61	402	16	15	389	149	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	135	112	26	2	0	0	19	31	3	1	1	232	358	250	608	18	317	23	14	294	85	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	133	112	25	9	0	2	14	26	3	0	4	223	326	357	683	134	261	20	11	303	92	-1	-2	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	48	43	11	5	0	0	2	9	3	1	2	256	333	372	705	116	324	19	4	322	104	+0	-1	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	141	36	3	2	0	14	39	7	4	3	255	352	305	657	50	330	24	9	289	82	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	19	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	160	254	168	422	8	253	33	9	204	24	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	117	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	171	248	282	530	111	204	29	7	226	39	-10	-2	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	253	27	2	221	36	-4	-1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	141	36	3	2	0	14	39	7	4	3	255	352	305	657	50	346	24	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	131	43	4	2	0	24	26	7	4	3	328	457	389	846	61	402	16	15	389	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	19	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	160	254	168	422	8	253	33	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	135	112	26	2	0	0	19	31	3	1	1	232	358	250	608	18	317	23	14	294	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	117	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	171	248	282	530	111	222	29	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	133	112	25	9	0	2	14	26	3	0	4	223	326	357	683	134	261	20	11	303	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	226	27	2	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	48	43	11	5	0	0	2	9	3	1	2	256	333	372	705	116	324	19	4	322	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	142	36	3	2	0	14	39	7	4	3	254	352	303	655	49	330	24	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	19	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	160	254	168	422	8	253	33	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	120	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	167	248	275	523	108	204	29	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	253	27	2	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	19	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	160	254	168	422	8	253	33	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	120	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	167	248	275	523	108	204	29	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	253	27	2	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		285	25	0	260	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	139	126	27	5	1	2	10	38	2	2	1	214	283	317	600	103	287	27	7	272	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	267	243	53	10	1	5	19	71	3	3	1	218	283	329	612	111	288	27	7	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	360	325	73	14	2	7	27	95	5	4	2	225	294	345	639	120	290	26	8	287	80	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	416	377	84	16	2	9	31	109	5	5	2	223	291	347	638	125	290	26	7	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	450	407	91	17	2	10	34	118	6	5	2	224	293	349	642	125	290	26	8	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	467	422	94	18	2	10	36	123	6	5	2	223	293	346	639	123	290	26	8	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	472	427	95	18	2	10	36	125	6	5	2	222	292	344	636	122	289	26	8	291	83	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	469	424	94	18	2	10	36	125	6	5	2	222	292	344	636	123	288	27	8	289	82	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	463	418	92	17	2	10	36	124	6	4	2	220	291	342	633	122	287	27	8	286	80	-11	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	438	396	86	16	2	9	34	119	5	3	1	217	287	336	623	119	285	27	8	282	77	-12	+0	-3	+8	+9	0.3
2037	32	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	409	369	80	15	2	8	32	113	5	3	1	217	288	333	622	117	281	28	8	276	73	-13	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	48	44	10	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	227	292	341	633	114	289	27	6	264	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	129	117	26	5	1	2	9	34	2	1	1	222	289	333	622	111	291	26	7	272	76	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	190	172	38	7	1	4	14	50	2	2	1	221	287	343	630	122	292	26	7	278	80	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	228	206	47	9	1	5	17	60	3	3	1	228	296	354	651	126	292	26	7	281	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	250	226	52	10	2	5	19	65	3	3	1	230	298	358	657	128	292	26	8	283	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	257	232	53	10	2	6	20	67	3	3	1	228	298	366	664	138	292	26	8	283	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	258	233	53	10	2	6	20	68	3	3	1	227	297	365	662	137	291	26	8	282	83	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	250	226	50	10	1	5	19	66	3	2	1	221	290	341	631	119	290	26	8	280	82	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	243	219	48	9	1	5	19	65	3	2	1	219	290	338	628	119	289	27	8	277	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	228	205	44	8	1	4	18	62	3	2	1	215	288	322	610	107	286	27	8	273	77	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	212	191	41	8	1	4	16	58	3	1	1	215	286	330	616	115	283	27	8	268	73	-7	-0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2293	2071	462	88	13	47	174	608	29	23	10	223	292	346	639	123	291	27	8	278	77	-54	+1	-6	+41	+50	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	131	25	4	13	49	172	8	7	3	223	292	346	638	123	291	26	8	278	77	-15	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4834	4359	952	178	22	92	367	1296	71	50	28	218	290	333	622	114	287	27	8	282	77	-104	+2	-10	+78	+94	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	128	24	3	12	49	174	10	7	4	218	290	331	621	113	287	27	8	282	77	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,348	49	23	223	289	346	+42	+28	5.0	4.6
/162	664	14	7	+11.9	+7.9	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	207/272/294	88	285	1	1	28%	7%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	42	-2.9	200/264/305	105	311	11	4	37%	7%	61	-1.5	205/282/349	144	303	16	3	35%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	197/270/305	108	273	9	3	29%	8%	64	-1.3	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕David Bote 2014 · A	21	39→49	39→50	47→45	48	188/267/275	87	259	6	7	28%	9%	56	-1.9	205/271/295	90	278	6	6	27%	6%	62	-1.4	237/312/394	157	303	18	6	26%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	222/279/297	75	309	6	16	28%	6%	65	-1.2	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	186/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	44	-2.8	217/271/283	66	297	4	6	26%	7%	58	-1.7	246/291/294	49	312	2	7	21%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	37→47	38→55	47→50	37	184/237/264	80	266	6	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	182/229/258	76	281	5	7	35%	5%	36	-3.3	243/288/366	124	328	11	16	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	42	40→55	49→40	39	208/248/301	93	281	8	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	203/258/334	131	317	14	3	39%	5%	66	-1.1	194/261/373	179	295	22	1	40%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Elias Díaz 2012 · A	21	39→49	38→50	47→45	40	188/234/267	80	248	4	5	26%	5%	40	-3.0	208/257/290	82	260	5	5	21%	6%	55	-2.0	253/312/396	144	279	17	0	16%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	39	187/248/259	72	259	4	4	28%	5%	45	-2.7	223/289/310	87	301	6	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	241/310/327	86	323	6	5	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Derrick Mitchell 2008 · A	21	39→45	39→50	46→55	38	192/244/276	84	272	6	9	31%	5%	47	-2.5	198/237/319	121	257	11	10	27%	4%	54	-2.0	211/260/336	125	269	13	19	26%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→43	43→45	45	38	188/239/301	113	261	9	5	31%	5%	51	-2.3	207/258/327	120	276	13	6	29%	6%	64	-1.3	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	54	-2.0	201/288/312	111	366	10	4	43%	10%	72	-0.7	185/281/295	109	345	11	2	44%	11%	63	-0.7
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	57	-1.8	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	89	+0.2
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Jalen Miller 2018 · A	21	38→43	39→45	47→50	38	188/229/275	87	254	6	7	28%	4%	40	-3.0	202/246/312	110	267	11	12	28%	5%	55	-1.9	180/240/294	114	233	12	18	28%	7%	47	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps