Conner Whittaker

Conner Whittaker P Lake County Captains

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 184 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%10.9%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5555

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	85	336	55	19	3	3%	2.4	12.2%	6.6%	5.6%	1.0%	2.66	3.45	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	85	336	55	19	3	3%	2.4	12.2%	6.6%	5.6%	1.0%	2.66	3.45	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	85	336	55	19	3	3%	2.4	16.4%	5.7%	10.7%	0.9%	2.66	2.93	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	20	0	31	138	30	10	4	0%	1.5	17.0%	7.8%	9.2%	4.2%	5.58	4.96	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	20	0	31	138	30	10	4	0%	1.5	17.0%	7.8%	9.2%	4.2%	5.58	4.96	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	CLE	4	0	5	18	3	2	0	0%	1.2	16.7%	11.1%	5.6%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	23	A RAW	CLE	8	0	12	57	13	5	1	0%	1.5	22.8%	8.8%	14.0%	1.8%	5.84	3.25	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	CLE	8	0	14	63	14	3	3	0%	1.7	22.2%	4.8%	17.5%	4.8%	7.24	4.44	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	CLE	5	0	5	22	2	2	1	0%	1.0	10.9%	8.0%	2.9%	2.6%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	36	160	32	12	5	—	—	20.3%	7.3%	12.9%	2.9%	5.49	4.97	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	74	0	78	330	45	26	9	0%	1.1	13.8%	7.9%	5.9%	2.6%	4.84	4.76	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	75	0	79	334	52	26	9	0%	1.1	15.5%	7.8%	7.6%	2.6%	4.70	4.62	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	75	0	79	334	55	26	9	0%	1.1	16.5%	7.9%	8.6%	2.7%	4.61	4.55	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	74	0	78	329	55	26	9	0%	1.1	16.6%	8.0%	8.6%	2.7%	4.59	4.58	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	72	0	76	319	53	26	9	0%	1.0	16.5%	8.1%	8.3%	2.8%	4.64	4.67	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	69	0	72	305	50	26	9	0%	1.0	16.2%	8.4%	7.9%	3.0%	4.74	4.80	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	65	0	68	287	46	25	9	0%	1.0	15.9%	8.7%	7.2%	3.2%	4.88	4.98	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	32	0	34	144	20	11	4	0%	1.1	13.8%	7.9%	5.9%	2.6%	4.84	4.76	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	50	0	53	224	35	18	6	0%	1.1	15.5%	7.8%	7.6%	2.6%	4.70	4.62	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	60	0	63	266	44	21	7	0%	1.1	16.5%	7.9%	8.6%	2.7%	4.61	4.55	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	63	0	66	279	46	22	8	0%	1.0	16.6%	8.0%	8.6%	2.7%	4.59	4.58	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	64	0	67	283	47	23	8	0%	1.0	16.5%	8.1%	8.3%	2.8%	4.64	4.67	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	63	0	66	279	45	23	8	0%	1.0	16.2%	8.4%	7.9%	3.0%	4.74	4.80	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	60	0	63	266	42	23	8	0%	1.1	15.9%	8.7%	7.2%	3.2%	4.88	4.98	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		391	0	411	1735	278	141	49	0%	1.1	16.0%	8.1%	7.9%	2.8%	4.70	4.33	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	135	69	24	0%	1.1	16.0%	8.1%	7.9%	2.8%	4.70	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		55	1	115	474	64	33	9	2%	2.1	13.6%	7.0%	6.6%	1.9%	3.43	3.89	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	2	200	822	112	57	16	2%	2.1	13.6%	7.0%	6.6%	1.9%	3.43	3.89	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Conner Whittaker (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	10.9%	8.0%	2.6%	—	4.64	15.2%	7.4%	236	-0.37	—	—	—
Mark Peterson R 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	.277	4.71	15.9%	5.6%	112	-0.18	4.65	185	93
Gabe Friese R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SU	4.71	10.3%	7.1%	2.9%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	115	91
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	91
Julio Felix R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	12.0%	6.8%	1.6%	.304	4.04	13.5%	5.0%	102	+0.21	3.27	159	90
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	89
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	24	SU	4.12	9.6%	7.9%	1.5%	.277	4.35	16.2%	6.7%	164	+0.23	4.03	254	89
Devin Burke R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	11.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.275	4.20	13.7%	8.8%	87	-0.07	4.20	149	89
Reece Karalus R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	14.0%	9.1%	3.4%	.303	4.73	15.4%	3.5%	55	-0.18	4.73	149	88
Brady Dragmire R 2016 · 5.09 FIP	23	SU	5.09	10.6%	9.9%	3.0%	.292	4.51	10.9%	3.8%	256	-0.58	3.05	391	87
Spencer Jones R 2018 · 4.02 FIP	23	SU	4.02	12.3%	6.3%	2.1%	.299	5.49	14.9%	6.0%	41	+1.47	2.48	171	87
John Kuchno R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	24	SU	5.44	8.9%	8.7%	3.6%	.247	5.14	10.2%	1.6%	84	-0.30	2.43	162	87
Jose Morel R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	11.3%	7.7%	2.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	161	87
Jaime Lugo R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	23	SU	4.24	13.2%	9.1%	2.0%	.305	3.89	12.4%	3.6%	162	-0.35	3.69	287	87
Alejandro Barraza R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	13.2%	8.3%	2.3%	.291	4.64	13.1%	4.7%	93	+0.33	3.27	174	87
Walker Sheller R 2018 · 4.69 FIP	23	SU	4.69	10.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.265	6.56	10.4%	-3.1%	34	+1.87	4.08	163	87
Kelvis Valerio R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	23	SU	4.53	12.9%	10.3%	2.2%	.312	4.18	11.4%	4.0%	190	-0.35	4.14	266	86
Jake McCasland R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	23	SU	4.78	14.2%	9.8%	3.0%	.348	3.80	15.8%	8.2%	317	-0.98	3.07	367	86
Jency Solis R 2016 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	13.4%	9.8%	1.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.77	116	86
Peter Lannoo R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	23	SU	5.37	12.8%	8.1%	4.2%	.315	4.96	18.4%	7.8%	47	-0.41	4.96	124	86
Blake Bass R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	23	SU	4.17	11.4%	6.4%	2.2%	.321	3.47	16.8%	6.6%	108	-0.70	3.18	223	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	74	15.3%	8.1%	1.08	4.74
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04