Jacob Webb

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 246 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	41	7	84	4.95	3.91	21.7%	7.8%	—	K 17.8% · BB 8.2% · FIP 4.66
2025	26	MIX3 levels	25	0	40	3.57	3.27	25.7%	11.2%	—	K 20.0% · BB 10.8% · FIP 4.05
2026	27	MIX2 levels	30	1	44	6.90	4.41	24.1%	15.0%	—	K 20.3% · BB 14.7% · FIP 4.67
2027PROJ	28	MLBBOS	25	0	26	4.92	4.92	20.2%	12.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBBOS	9	0	9	4.93	4.99	20.3%	12.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%20.2%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	1	12	51	17	6	0	12%	1.5	33.3%	11.8%	21.6%	0.0%	0.75	1.78	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	1	12	51	17	6	0	12%	1.5	33.3%	11.8%	21.6%	0.0%	0.75	1.77	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	57	251	88	26	4	0%	1.3	26.7%	12.8%	13.9%	1.6%	3.18	3.33	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	57	251	88	26	4	0%	1.3	35.1%	10.4%	24.7%	1.6%	3.18	2.29	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	41	0	59	266	65	37	5	0%	1.4	19.8%	15.3%	4.5%	2.2%	5.03	4.55	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	41	0	59	266	65	37	5	0%	1.4	24.4%	13.9%	10.5%	1.9%	5.03	3.88	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	84	374	81	29	11	17%	2.0	17.8%	8.2%	9.6%	3.7%	4.95	4.66	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	84	374	81	29	11	17%	2.0	17.8%	8.2%	9.6%	3.7%	4.95	4.66	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	7	84	374	81	29	11	17%	2.0	21.7%	7.8%	13.9%	2.9%	4.95	3.91	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	40	179	46	20	3	0%	1.6	20.0%	10.8%	9.2%	2.3%	3.57	4.05	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	40	179	46	20	3	0%	1.6	20.0%	10.8%	9.2%	2.3%	3.57	4.05	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	40	179	46	20	3	0%	1.6	25.7%	11.2%	14.5%	1.7%	3.57	3.27	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	1	44	220	53	33	5	3%	1.5	20.3%	14.7%	5.6%	2.6%	6.90	4.67	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	1	44	220	53	33	5	3%	1.5	20.3%	14.7%	5.6%	2.6%	6.90	4.67	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	1	44	220	53	33	5	3%	1.5	24.1%	15.0%	9.1%	2.3%	6.90	4.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BOS	25	0	26	110	22	14	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.4%	7.8%	2.9%	4.92	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	23	0	25	104	21	13	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.99	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	111	22	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		189	9	296	1341	284	161	33	5%	1.6	21.2%	12.0%	9.2%	2.5%	4.56	4.20	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	6	200	906	192	109	23	5%	1.6	21.2%	12.0%	9.2%	2.5%	4.56	4.20	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Webb (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	20.2%	12.4%	2.9%	—	4.99	20.3%	8.0%	25	+0.07	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	90
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	85
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	84
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	83
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	83
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	81
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	81
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	80
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	80
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	80
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	20.3%	12.3%	1.14	4.92
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43