Andy Rodriguez
P
Frisco RoughRiders
+0.3
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%10.8%
IP65
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 38 | 0 | 54 | 248 | 70 | 26 | 4 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 0.6% | 4.53 | 2.86 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 38 | 2 | 71 | 281 | 50 | 30 | 6 | 14.4% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 3.17 | 4.66 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 57 | 27 | 8 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 57 | 27 | 8 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.56 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 63 | 265 | 56 | 26 | 8 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 54 | 26 | 8 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 59 | — | 59 | 248 | 52 | 25 | 8 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.66 | 4.70 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 56 | — | 56 | 238 | 49 | 25 | 8 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 46 | 24 | 7 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.82 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 40 | 22 | 7 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 5.16 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 2 | 125 | 529 | 94 | 58 | 8 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 1.5% | 3.75 | 3.82 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 122 | 3 | 200 | 849 | 151 | 93 | 13 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 1.5% | 3.75 | 3.82 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andy Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.59 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 188 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 90 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 87 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 86 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 86 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 86 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 86 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 86 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 86 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.41 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .283 | 4.31 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.90 | 3.41 | 104 | 85 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 85 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 242 | 85 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 85 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .247 | 3.31 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.52 | 3.31 | 159 | 85 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 85 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 85 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 85 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 85 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 84 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.