David Leon — OGILVIE

David LeonC ACL Guardians

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 156 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .290 / .285

PA4

HR0

K%28

BB%10

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	81	59	12	1	0	0	19	15	2	2	1	203	412	220	633	17	273	19	23	321	103	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	70	18	3	2	0	16	18	1	1	0	257	402	357	759	100	346	21	18	353	125	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	19	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	57	16	0	3	0	22	12	2	4	2	281	494	386	880	105	356	15	27	413	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	78	60	17	1	0	1	17	14	1	0	1	283	449	350	799	67	356	18	22	379	142	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	43	31	5	0	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	161	381	258	639	97	222	28	26	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	81	66	11	1	0	0	12	21	2	2	1	167	312	182	494	15	228	26	15	231	42	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	76	15	2	2	0	10	27	1	1	0	197	299	276	575	79	296	31	11	254	58	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	65	14	0	2	0	14	17	2	4	2	215	370	277	647	62	287	21	17	300	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	78	66	15	1	0	1	11	20	1	0	1	227	346	288	634	61	292	26	14	274	72	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	43	35	4	0	0	1	7	17	0	1	0	114	262	200	462	86	181	40	16	205	25	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	81	66	11	1	0	0	12	21	2	2	1	167	312	182	494	15	244	26	15	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	—	81	59	12	1	0	0	19	15	2	2	1	203	412	220	633	17	273	19	23	321	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	76	15	2	2	0	10	27	1	1	0	197	299	276	575	79	306	31	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	70	18	3	2	0	16	18	1	1	0	257	402	357	759	100	346	21	18	353	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	65	14	0	2	0	14	17	2	4	2	215	370	277	647	62	292	21	17	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	57	16	0	3	0	22	12	2	4	2	281	494	386	880	105	356	15	27	413	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	78	66	15	1	0	1	11	20	1	0	1	227	346	288	634	61	311	26	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	78	60	17	1	0	1	17	14	1	0	1	283	449	350	799	67	356	18	22	379	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	43	35	4	0	0	1	7	17	0	1	0	114	262	200	462	86	176	40	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	43	31	5	0	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	161	381	258	639	97	222	28	26	311	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	81	67	11	1	0	0	12	21	2	2	1	164	312	179	492	15	228	26	15	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	76	15	2	2	0	10	27	1	1	0	197	299	276	575	79	296	31	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	65	14	0	2	0	14	17	2	4	2	215	370	277	647	62	287	21	17	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	78	66	15	1	0	1	11	20	1	0	1	227	346	288	634	61	292	26	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	43	36	4	0	0	1	7	17	0	1	0	111	262	194	456	83	181	40	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	65	14	0	2	0	14	17	2	4	2	215	370	277	647	62	287	21	17	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	78	66	15	1	0	1	11	20	1	0	1	227	346	288	634	61	292	26	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	43	36	4	0	0	1	7	17	0	1	0	111	262	194	456	83	181	40	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		288	25	0	267	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	128	114	24	3	1	2	12	35	1	2	0	211	291	307	598	96	289	27	9	277	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	46%	252	223	49	7	2	4	24	68	3	3	1	220	304	323	627	103	291	27	10	284	78	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	333	295	65	9	3	6	32	89	3	4	1	220	303	332	635	112	291	27	10	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	387	343	76	11	3	7	37	103	4	5	1	222	305	332	637	111	291	27	10	290	83	-8	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.8
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	414	367	80	11	3	8	40	110	4	5	1	218	302	330	631	112	291	27	10	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	428	379	83	12	3	8	42	115	4	5	1	219	304	330	633	111	290	27	10	289	82	-9	+1	-1	+8	+9	0.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	429	380	82	11	3	8	42	116	4	5	1	216	300	324	624	108	289	27	10	288	81	-10	+1	-1	+8	+9	0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	427	378	81	11	3	8	42	116	4	4	1	214	300	323	622	108	288	27	10	285	79	-11	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	CLE	62%	404	357	76	10	3	7	40	111	4	4	1	213	299	317	616	104	285	27	10	281	76	-12	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	CLE	63%	377	333	70	9	3	6	37	105	4	3	1	210	297	309	606	99	282	28	10	275	72	-12	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	44	40	8	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	200	273	300	573	100	288	27	9	268	74	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	46%	116	103	22	3	1	2	11	31	1	1	0	214	296	320	616	107	289	27	9	275	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	172	152	33	5	1	3	16	46	2	2	1	217	300	322	622	105	289	27	9	279	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	210	186	41	6	1	4	20	56	2	3	1	220	303	328	631	108	289	27	10	281	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	225	199	44	6	2	4	22	60	2	3	1	221	305	332	637	111	289	27	10	281	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	232	205	45	6	2	4	23	62	2	3	1	220	304	327	631	107	289	27	10	280	82	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	247	219	49	7	2	5	24	67	2	3	1	224	306	342	649	119	288	27	10	278	81	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	256	226	50	7	2	5	25	70	3	3	1	221	307	336	643	115	286	27	10	276	79	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	CLE	62%	249	221	46	6	2	4	24	69	2	2	1	208	291	308	599	100	284	28	10	272	76	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	CLE	63%	236	209	43	6	1	4	23	66	2	2	0	206	291	301	592	96	281	28	10	267	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1987	1760	381	53	14	36	192	539	18	23	7	216	300	324	624	107	289	27	10	276	78	-49	+2	-6	+35	+43	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	125	17	5	12	63	176	6	8	2	217	301	326	628	109	289	27	10	276	78	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3953	3481	746	98	31	66	402	1071	41	48	13	214	303	317	620	103	288	27	10	283	78	-88	+4	-10	+64	+78	4.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	123	16	5	11	66	176	7	8	2	215	304	318	622	103	289	27	10	283	78	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,039	36	23	218	299	325	+36	+24	4.1	3.9
/162	664	12	7	+11.9	+7.8	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Leon (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	205/290/285	80	288	1	1	28%	10%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	44→42	39→50	50→40	50	208/292/300	92	296	6	7	29%	10%	71	-0.8	215/300/370	155	288	18	4	30%	10%	90	+0.6	208/298/364	156	272	18	3	29%	11%	86	+0.3
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	54	-2.0	201/288/312	111	366	10	4	43%	10%	72	-0.7	185/281/295	109	345	11	2	44%	11%	63	-0.7
✕Pratt Maynard 2012 · A	22	43	39→45	48→45	42	206/272/292	86	305	7	5	33%	7%	61	-1.5	216/277/306	90	276	7	5	23%	8%	65	-1.2	218/281/314	96	272	7	4	21%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/287	86	279	5	10	28%	7%	59	-1.6	215/282/373	158	275	20	5	29%	7%	84	+0.2	208/273/389	181	258	25	2	30%	6%	81	-0.0
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/300	89	297	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	221/302/288	67	277	4	4	20%	8%	72	-0.7	240/332/298	58	287	4	1	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Geraldi Diaz 2022 · A	22	43	39→40	49→40	45	206/292/295	89	281	7	8	27%	8%	70	-0.8	189/267/288	99	286	8	5	34%	8%	59	-1.6	168/253/266	98	258	8	3	35%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→50	50→30	45	190/266/263	73	266	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	211/295/322	111	281	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	208/306/343	135	260	16	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→45	47→30	41	206/265/302	97	288	9	5	31%	6%	61	-1.5	192/273/307	115	278	10	3	32%	9%	65	-1.2	166/257/283	116	237	11	0	32%	10%	53	-0.9
✕Vimael Machín 2016 · A	22	40→50	37→45	49→50	47	193/254/262	69	248	4	7	23%	8%	47	-2.5	224/285/313	89	284	8	6	22%	8%	70	-0.8	241/308/341	100	286	7	3	17%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→39	39→50	51→45	47	210/289/298	89	279	6	6	25%	8%	70	-0.9	204/272/328	124	256	11	5	24%	8%	70	-0.9	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Marcus Littlewood 2014 · A	22	41	40→45	48→45	47	195/269/292	97	281	7	4	31%	9%	61	-1.5	206/271/315	109	271	10	5	26%	8%	66	-1.1	204/271/311	107	262	9	4	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	43→42	43→55	49→50	46	207/288/323	116	304	10	8	33%	9%	75	-0.5	192/266/331	139	282	14	11	35%	9%	69	-0.9	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/280/305	113	303	13	5	37%	10%	68	-1.0	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps