David Leon — OGILVIE

David LeonC ACL Guardians

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 156 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .289 / .284

PA52

HR1

K%28

BB%10

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	81	66	11	1	0	0	12	21	2	2	1	167	312	182	494	15	244	26	15	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	81	59	12	1	0	0	19	15	2	2	1	203	412	220	633	17	273	19	23	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	76	16	3	2	0	10	27	1	1	0	211	310	303	613	92	327	31	11	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	70	18	3	2	0	16	18	1	1	0	257	402	357	759	100	346	21	18	353	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	66	14	0	2	0	13	17	2	4	2	212	358	273	631	61	286	21	16	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	57	16	0	3	0	22	12	2	4	2	281	494	386	880	105	356	15	27	413	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	78	66	15	1	0	1	11	21	1	0	1	227	346	288	634	61	318	27	14	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	78	60	17	1	0	1	17	14	1	0	1	283	449	350	799	67	356	18	22	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	43	35	4	0	0	0	7	16	0	1	0	114	262	114	376		211	37	16	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	43	31	5	0	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	161	381	258	639	97	222	28	26	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CLE	—	52	46	9	1	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	196	288	283	571	87	288	29	10	267	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	128	114	24	3	1	2	12	35	1	2	0	211	291	307	598	96	290	27	9	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	252	223	49	7	2	4	24	68	3	3	1	220	304	323	627	103	291	27	10	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	333	295	65	9	3	6	32	89	3	4	1	220	303	332	635	112	291	27	10	288	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	387	343	76	11	3	7	37	103	4	5	1	222	305	332	637	111	291	27	10	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	414	367	80	11	3	8	40	111	4	5	1	218	302	330	631	112	291	27	10	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.1
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	428	379	83	12	3	8	42	115	4	5	1	219	304	330	633	111	290	27	10	289	80	-10	+1	-1	+8	+12	1.0
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	429	380	82	11	3	8	42	116	4	5	1	216	300	324	624	108	290	27	10	287	78	-11	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.9
2034	30	MLB	CLE	52%	427	378	81	11	3	7	42	117	4	4	1	214	300	315	614	101	288	27	10	284	76	-12	+0	-2	+8	+12	0.7
2035	31	MLB	CLE	52%	404	357	76	10	3	7	40	112	4	4	1	213	299	317	616	104	286	28	10	280	73	-12	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.4
2036	32	MLB	CLE	56%	377	333	70	9	3	6	37	106	4	3	1	210	297	309	606	99	283	28	10	275	69	-13	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.1
2037	33	MLB	CLE	54%	340	301	61	8	2	5	33	97	3	2	1	203	288	292	580	90	279	29	10	269	64	-14	+0	-4	+6	+10	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	44	40	8	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	200	273	300	573	100	290	27	9	270	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	116	103	22	3	1	2	11	31	1	1	0	214	296	320	616	107	291	27	9	276	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	172	152	33	5	1	3	16	46	2	2	1	217	300	322	622	105	292	27	9	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	210	186	42	6	2	4	20	56	2	3	1	226	308	344	652	118	292	27	10	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	225	199	44	6	2	4	22	60	2	3	1	221	305	332	637	111	292	27	10	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	232	205	45	6	2	4	23	62	2	3	1	220	304	327	631	107	291	27	10	282	74	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	228	202	44	6	2	4	22	62	2	3	1	218	301	327	628	109	290	27	10	280	73	-7	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.3
2034	30	MLB	CLE	52%	224	198	43	6	2	4	22	61	2	2	1	217	302	328	630	111	289	27	10	277	70	-7	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.2
2035	31	MLB	CLE	52%	210	185	40	5	2	4	21	58	2	2	1	216	303	330	633	114	286	28	10	273	67	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2036	32	MLB	CLE	56%	212	187	39	5	2	3	21	59	2	2	0	209	295	305	600	96	283	28	10	268	64	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
2037	33	MLB	CLE	54%	184	162	33	4	1	3	18	53	2	1	0	204	291	296	588	93	279	29	10	262	59	-9	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2057	1819	393	53	17	36	200	560	19	23	7	216	300	323	624	107	290	27	10	277	70	-70	+2	-8	+37	+58	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	124	17	5	11	63	177	6	7	2	216	300	320	620	104	290	27	10	277	70	-22	+1	-3	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	4341	3825	816	108	33	70	439	1186	45	51	14	213	302	314	615	100	288	27	10	281	74	-130	+5	-15	+78	+123	6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	122	16	5	10	66	178	7	8	2	213	302	311	613	98	289	27	10	281	74	-19	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	81	59	12	1	0	0	19	15	2	2	1	203	412	220	633	17	273	19	23	321	103	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	18	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	87	70	18	3	2	0	16	18	1	1	0	257	402	357	759	100	346	21	18	353	129	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	19	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	81	57	16	0	3	0	22	12	2	4	2	281	494	386	880	105	356	15	27	413	174	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	78	60	17	1	0	1	17	14	1	0	1	283	449	350	799	67	356	18	22	379	148	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	43	31	5	0	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	161	381	258	639	97	222	28	26	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,108	36	23	217	298	323	+38	+28	3.6	3.4
	/162	664	11	7	217	298	323	+11.9	+8.8	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Leon (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	205/289/284	79	288	1	1	28%	10%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→50	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	66	-0.6	193/280/309	116	304	13	5	37%	10%	66	-0.6	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	73	-0.1	232/294/362	130	291	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.6	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Ryne Malone 2007 · A	22	47	40→45	48→50	49	225/294/330	105	288	6	10	23%	8%	76	+0.0	214/278/310	96	271	7	6	22%	7%	63	-0.8	197/264/276	80	244	5	1	20%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Matt Wallach 2008 · A	22	45	42→50	45→40	45	218/282/324	106	277	9	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	209/262/336	127	271	13	3	27%	6%	63	-0.8	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Geraldi Diaz 2023 · A	23	43	40	49→40	44	206/285/305	100	294	6	6	30%	8%	66	-0.6	184/257/286	102	298	10	6	39%	8%	50	-1.8	97/187/186	90	175	13	3	50%	9%	-6	-1.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→55	47→40	48	231/310/327	96	292	7	7	22%	8%	82	+0.5	204/279/334	130	274	15	4	30%	7%	71	-0.3	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Sam Praytor 2022 · A	23	45	39→50	49→55	45	208/292/298	90	319	6	7	34%	9%	67	-0.5	204/279/314	110	289	10	5	31%	8%	66	-0.6	177/251/295	118	237	13	7	30%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Patrick Winkel 2022 · A	22	46	42→45	49→40	44	214/290/321	107	332	9	7	35%	9%	72	-0.2	212/275/325	113	321	11	4	35%	8%	66	-0.6	203/264/310	108	301	11	2	34%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Chris Herrmann 2010 · A	22	46→48	43→50	44→50	47	225/289/336	111	274	11	4	22%	7%	75	-0.0	217/287/318	101	278	9	5	24%	8%	69	-0.4	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→40	47→30	47	207/286/310	103	278	7	6	27%	8%	68	-0.5	218/284/304	86	315	7	4	30%	8%	64	-0.8	215/283/297	82	312	8	1	31%	8%	59	-0.3
✕Zack Short 2017 · A	22	49→38	37→50	51→45	52	226/315/303	77	307	3	12	25%	10%	78	+0.2	200/293/339	139	273	14	9	30%	11%	79	+0.3	186/284/331	145	255	15	8	31%	11%	70	-0.3
✕Francisco Arcia 2012 · A	22	47	40	50→40	46	223/282/316	93	282	6	7	23%	7%	66	-0.6	215/266/306	91	280	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	216/262/296	80	279	7	1	24%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	47→46	41→45	44→45	51	223/299/325	102	286	7	7	23%	9%	76	+0.1	209/276/333	124	269	14	6	26%	8%	69	-0.4	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	41→40	45→40	44	215/291/309	94	292	8	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/291/294	81	270	8	4	23%	7%	66	-0.6	205/291/269	63	262	7	0	23%	8%	57	-0.3
✕Conner Crumbliss 2010 · A	23	49→50	40→45	50	50	230/314/332	102	296	6	10	23%	9%	85	+0.7	220/323/314	94	280	6	14	21%	13%	85	+0.7	213/318/332	118	262	12	16	21%	12%	85	+0.6