Karim Ayubi — OGILVIE

Karim AyubiOF Salem Red Sox

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .247 / .253

PA111

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	73	62	13	5	0	0	10	20	1	2	0	210	329	290	619	81	310	27	14	293	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	188	145	36	6	3	0	26	48	15	11	4	248	414	331	745	83	364	26	14	352	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	92	65	13	3	0	0	24	23	3	3	2	200	435	246	681	46	310	25	26	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	60	49	11	2	0	0	8	21	3	2	1	224	367	265	632	41	393	35	13	308	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	128	96	19	3	1	3	28	42	4	3	1	198	398	344	742	146	314	33	22	352	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	181	161	37	9	2	0	16	64	4	2	3	230	315	311	625	81	381	35	9	290	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	73	65	8	3	0	0	7	24	1	2	0	123	219	169	388	46	204	33	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	188	152	24	3	2	0	19	58	15	11	4	158	312	204	516	46	237	31	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	74	10	2	0	0	15	33	3	3	2	135	304	162	467	27	246	36	16	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	60	51	8	1	0	0	6	30	3	2	1	157	283	176	460	20	361	50	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	128	106	14	2	1	2	18	59	4	3	1	132	281	226	508	94	241	46	14	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	181	166	28	7	1	0	11	89	4	2	3	169	238	223	460	54	352	49	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	73	65	8	3	0	0	7	24	1	2	0	123	219	169	388	46	195	33	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	—	73	62	13	5	0	0	10	20	1	2	0	210	329	290	619	81	310	27	14	293	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	188	152	24	3	2	0	19	58	15	11	4	158	312	204	516	46	250	31	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	188	145	36	6	3	0	26	48	15	11	4	248	414	331	745	83	364	26	14	352	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	74	10	2	0	0	15	33	3	3	2	135	304	162	467	27	244	36	16	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	92	65	13	3	0	0	24	23	3	3	2	200	435	246	681	46	310	25	26	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	188	158	21	3	1	2	23	89	7	5	2	133	271	203	474	70	284	47	12	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	188	145	30	5	1	3	36	63	7	5	2	207	388	317	706	110	342	34	19	338	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	181	166	28	7	1	0	11	89	4	2	3	169	238	223	460	54	364	49	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	181	161	37	9	2	0	16	64	4	2	3	230	315	311	625	81	381	35	9	290	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	73	65	8	3	0	0	7	24	1	2	0	123	219	169	388	46	204	33	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	188	152	24	3	2	0	19	58	15	11	4	158	312	204	516	46	237	31	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	74	10	2	0	0	15	33	3	3	2	135	304	162	467	27	246	36	16	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	188	156	21	3	1	2	23	89	7	5	2	135	271	205	476	71	279	47	12	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	181	164	28	7	1	0	11	89	4	2	3	171	238	226	463	55	352	49	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	188	156	21	3	1	2	23	89	7	5	2	135	271	205	476	71	279	47	12	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	181	164	28	7	1	0	11	89	4	2	3	171	238	226	463	55	352	49	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	291	265	48	9	2	2	20	92	4	4	1	182	249	256	505	74	265	32	7	233	44	-20	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	153	139	27	5	1	2	11	47	2	2	1	188	255	271	526	84	268	31	7	241	49	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	46	42	8	2	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	193	260	279	539	86	277	30	7	247	49	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	42	8	2	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	190	261	238	499	48	286	30	7	247	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	113	28	0	0	42	198	14	14	0	191	260	238	498	47	286	30	6	247	39	-39	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	986	855	137	27	6	5	94	375	33	27	12	160	269	223	492	63	276	38	10	226	39	-17	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	90	18	4	3	62	247	22	18	8	160	269	222	491	62	274	38	10	226	39	-41	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karim Ayubi (OGILVIE)	23	25	25	40	35	180/247/253	73	265	1	2	32%	7%	44	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan Moore 2014 · A	23	34	38→40	43→30	40	170/228/242	73	244	5	4	32%	6%	33	-3.6	200/250/286	86	274	6	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Alex Perez 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	45→40	41	190/250/251	60	279	2	4	31%	6%	43	-2.8	212/282/257	45	298	1	3	26%	8%	57	-1.8	213/284/247	34	296	0	2	26%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A	23	37→30	38→40	45	42	179/253/253	74	277	6	7	35%	8%	46	-2.6	178/250/271	93	355	9	6	48%	8%	49	-2.4	126/207/206	81	274	9	1	53%	9%	17	-2.3
✕Michael Johnson 2013 · A	24	38	37→40	41→40	41	184/244/261	77	276	4	4	33%	7%	43	-2.8	208/273/278	70	300	4	6	29%	8%	58	-1.7	241/312/306	65	340	3	7	28%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Sean Dwyer 2015 · A	23	38	38→30	42→40	46	185/253/262	76	259	6	5	29%	8%	47	-2.5	186/258/259	73	292	5	7	35%	9%	49	-2.4	137/223/173	36	239	2	5	40%	10%	16	-1.5
✕Grabiel Jimenez 2017 · A	22	39	34→30	41→50	44	182/244/234	53	248	1	6	26%	7%	37	-3.3	190/243/254	64	275	2	5	29%	6%	40	-3.0	148/195/191	43	211	0	2	28%	5%	7	-1.2
✕Bobby Haney 2012 · A	23	42	37→30	37→40	42	201/256/269	68	284	4	4	29%	7%	49	-2.4	223/270/297	74	303	4	5	26%	6%	60	-1.6	230/273/298	68	305	4	4	25%	5%	60	-0.8
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	38→41	37→40	49→45	41	183/247/255	72	284	4	6	35%	7%	43	-2.8	200/256/284	84	308	4	6	34%	7%	53	-2.1	197/255/277	80	316	0	0	35%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Reed Rohlman 2018 · A	23	42→37	39→40	41→40	40	206/260/289	83	275	7	3	27%	5%	56	-1.9	198/246/284	86	281	6	4	30%	5%	49	-2.4	188/232/270	82	269	6	3	31%	5%	38	-2.2
✕Jordan Pearce 2019 · A	23	39→35	39→40	46→40	48	191/261/272	81	255	7	3	27%	9%	53	-2.1	193/275/275	82	265	7	5	28%	9%	59	-1.6	166/267/229	63	229	6	3	27%	10%	45	-1.6
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Cameron Baranek 2018 · A	23	41	38→40	49→50	37	193/247/273	80	293	4	10	34%	5%	47	-2.6	193/243/269	76	306	6	12	37%	6%	45	-2.7	177/226/244	67	281	6	14	37%	5%	31	-1.4
✕Garrison Schwartz 2019 · A	23	42→40	40	44→45	41	199/268/291	92	306	7	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	178/250/251	73	312	5	7	41%	7%	44	-2.8	115/199/158	43	225	4	6	47%	8%	4	-1.6
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	178/223/263	85	276	6	7	36%	5%	36	-3.4	194/239/278	84	304	5	9	36%	5%	45	-2.7	190/227/277	87	288	6	8	35%	4%	37	-2.0
✕Brennan Gowens 2013 · A	23	38→48	37→30	42→50	43	186/241/252	66	252	5	8	27%	6%	40	-3.1	208/263/272	64	284	2	13	26%	6%	53	-2.1	212/268/268	56	288	0	16	25%	6%	50	-1.1
✕Jonathan Sierra 2022 · A	23	44→41	38→40	44→45	43	210/265/287	77	280	5	4	26%	6%	57	-1.8	221/274/311	90	287	8	5	24%	7%	66	-1.1	221/268/294	73	271	7	0	21%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2023 · A	23	38	40	42→50	33	183/231/278	95	303	7	7	40%	5%	42	-2.9	204/247/297	93	293	8	11	32%	5%	52	-2.2	205/245/291	86	281	9	13	30%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2017 · A	23	41	34→30	41→45	37	195/239/245	50	287	2	6	32%	5%	36	-3.3	211/257/284	73	299	4	7	29%	5%	53	-2.1	211/255/282	72	294	4	6	28%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1