Karim Ayubi — OGILVIE

Karim AyubiOF Salem Red Sox

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .252 / .278

PA169

HR3

K%39

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

25→25

SPD

40→40

EYE

52↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.4peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-26M		$-26M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	73	66	9	3	0	0	6	29	1	2	0	.136	.219	.182	.401	.045	.243	40	8	.191	4	-8	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.6
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	188	154	27	4	2	0	17	68	15	11	4	.175	.317	.227	.544	.052	.307	36	9	.249	49	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	92	74	10	2	0	0	15	33	3	3	2	.135	.304	.162	.467	.027	.244	36	16	.235	38	-6	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	188	158	21	3	1	2	23	90	7	5	2	.133	.271	.203	.474	.070	.288	48	12	.227	32	-14	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
2025	21	A	Salem Red Sox	181	167	26	6	1	0	10	94	4	2	3	.156	.221	.204	.425	.048	.356	52	6	.196	8	-19	-1	+0	-1	+5	-1.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	BOS	169	151	27	5	1	3	13	66	3	3	1	.179	.257	.285	.542	.106	.287	39	8	.245	46	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	BOS	239	214	41	8	1	5	19	88	4	4	1	.192	.270	.308	.578	.117	.288	37	8	.259	56	-12	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.6
2028	24	MLB 26%	BOS	336	300	58	11	2	7	28	119	5	5	1	.193	.273	.313	.587	.120	.289	35	8	.268	63	-14	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
2029	25	MLB 43%	BOS	393	351	70	13	2	9	33	136	6	6	2	.199	.279	.325	.604	.125	.290	35	8	.274	68	-14	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.5
2030	26	MLB 58%	BOS	428	382	76	14	2	10	37	147	6	6	2	.199	.280	.325	.605	.126	.291	34	9	.277	70	-14	+0	+0	-3	+12	-0.5
2031	27	MLB 76%	BOS	444	395	79	15	2	11	39	153	7	6	2	.200	.283	.332	.615	.132	.291	34	9	.277	70	-15	+0	+0	-3	+13	-0.5
2032	28	MLB 84%	BOS	450	400	80	15	2	11	40	156	7	6	1	.200	.284	.330	.614	.130	.290	35	9	.276	69	-16	+1	-1	-3	+13	-0.6
2033	29	MLB 90%	BOS	446	397	78	15	2	10	40	156	6	5	1	.196	.280	.320	.600	.123	.289	35	9	.274	68	-16	+1	-1	-3	+13	-0.7
2034	30	MLB	BOS	440	392	76	14	2	10	39	155	6	5	1	.194	.277	.316	.593	.122	.288	35	9	.271	65	-17	+1	-2	-3	+12	-0.9
2035	31	MLB	BOS	428	381	73	14	2	9	38	153	6	3	0	.192	.275	.310	.585	.118	.286	36	9	.267	62	-18	+1	-3	-3	+12	-1.1
2036	32	MLB	BOS	411	365	69	13	2	8	37	149	6	3	0	.189	.275	.301	.576	.112	.284	36	9	.262	59	-19	+1	-4	-2	+12	-1.3
2037	33	MLB	BOS	383	341	62	12	1	7	34	141	5	2	0	.182	.266	.284	.550	.103	.283	37	9	.257	55	-20	+0	-4	-2	+11	-1.5
2038	34	MLB	BOS	339	301	54	10	1	6	30	128	5	2	0	.179	.265	.279	.544	.100	.281	38	9	.251	50	-19	+0	-5	-2	+10	-1.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5628	4989	936	177	26	108	498	2061	102	79	23	.188	.275	.298	.573	.111	.291	37	9	.262	59	-263	+7	-20	-34	+159	-15.3
/ 162G	—			650	576	107	20	3	12	58	238	12	9	3	.186	.274	.293	.568	.108	.289	37	9	.262	59	-30	+1	-2	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	73	62	13	5	0	0	10	20	1	2	0	.210	.329	.290	.619	.081	.310	27	14	.293	82	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	188	145	36	6	3	0	26	48	15	11	4	.248	.414	.331	.745	.083	.364	26	14	.352	127	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	92	65	13	3	0	0	24	23	3	3	2	.200	.435	.246	.681	.046	.310	25	26	.346	123	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	20	A	Salem Red Sox	60	49	11	2	0	0	8	21	3	2	1	.224	.367	.265	.632	.041	.393	35	13	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	128	96	19	3	1	3	28	42	4	3	1	.198	.398	.344	.742	.146	.314	33	22	.352	127	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	21	A	Salem Red Sox	181	161	37	9	2	0	16	64	4	2	3	.230	.315	.311	.625	.081	.381	35	9	.290	80	-4	-1	—	—	+5	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karim Ayubi (OGILVIE)	22	25	25	40	35	.177/.252/.278	.100	.287	3	3	39%	8%	46	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	46→40	39	.187/.254/.288	.101	.287	10	7	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.193/.256/.289	.096	.301	8	5	36%	7%	49	-1.8	.160/.230/.252	.091	.253	7	3	37%	7%	25	-1.2
✕Yeicok Calderon 2014 · A	22	35	46→45	45	33	.180/.227/.303	.123	.290	14	5	42%	6%	40	-2.4	.206/.250/.323	.117	.324	12	6	38%	5%	54	-1.4	.210/.245/.331	.121	.324	12	5	38%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Aaron Bracho 2023 · A	22	30→38	42→45	44→40	38	.161/.227/.260	.099	.254	10	4	39%	7%	30	-3.1	.194/.258/.324	.130	.261	16	5	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.192/.255/.327	.134	.243	18	4	29%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Shane Matheny 2019 · A	23	37→42	39→45	41→50	35	.184/.237/.261	.077	.294	8	5	39%	6%	33	-2.9	.183/.239/.277	.094	.288	10	4	38%	6%	38	-2.6	.191/.281/.316	.125	.300	14	9	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	44→65	37	.193/.250/.274	.080	.298	7	7	36%	6%	42	-2.3	.205/.278/.298	.093	.301	7	29	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.200/.277/.293	.093	.287	7	42	30%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Brenden Webb 2012 · A	22	38→37	38→45	47→50	42	.179/.255/.256	.077	.296	6	9	39%	9%	40	-2.4	.182/.261/.296	.114	.300	11	10	40%	9%	54	-1.4	.168/.246/.293	.124	.274	13	10	41%	8%	44	-1.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→38	39→45	47→45	42	.173/.251/.266	.093	.273	5	7	36%	8%	42	-2.3	.196/.261/.313	.117	.273	11	6	31%	7%	58	-1.2	.196/.262/.319	.124	.258	14	6	29%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Max Walla 2013 · A	22	43→41	39→40	43→45	40	.201/.264/.286	.085	.315	7	8	36%	7%	51	-1.7	.210/.262/.290	.080	.319	4	8	33%	6%	50	-1.7	.209/.249/.275	.066	.321	0	7	33%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	41→45	44→55	45	.195/.271/.299	.104	.290	8	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	.192/.292/.304	.112	.255	10	14	26%	12%	69	-0.4	.200/.299/.321	.122	.247	12	27	23%	12%	74	-0.1
✕Hudson Head 2023 · A	22	39→37	42→45	45	37	.180/.260/.283	.103	.317	10	8	43%	8%	50	-1.7	.177/.240/.288	.111	.290	11	9	40%	6%	42	-2.3	.160/.218/.285	.126	.244	13	8	39%	6%	30	-1.6
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	37	44→50	41→40	40	.184/.249/.302	.119	.288	11	3	38%	8%	50	-1.8	.193/.252/.290	.097	.268	8	4	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.224/.284/.351	.127	.286	14	0	26%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	36→34	45→50	46→40	37	.186/.246/.305	.120	.280	13	4	37%	6%	50	-1.8	.190/.254/.333	.143	.298	18	4	40%	6%	60	-1.0	.183/.253/.339	.156	.268	21	3	39%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	39	40	47→45	40	.188/.261/.276	.088	.288	8	7	35%	7%	48	-1.9	.207/.267/.300	.093	.301	8	6	32%	6%	56	-1.3	.196/.256/.282	.085	.282	9	4	32%	6%	44	-0.7
✕Grant Lavigne 2022 · A	22	41→47	40→45	45	42	.198/.271/.285	.087	.298	7	7	34%	8%	54	-1.4	.209/.286/.322	.113	.315	11	5	34%	9%	70	-0.3	.197/.280/.314	.118	.291	13	5	34%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Shawn Griffin 2009 · A	22	41	40→45	50	38	.193/.254/.284	.090	.319	7	11	39%	7%	46	-2.0	.216/.266/.309	.093	.335	6	7	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.240/.280/.338	.098	.354	7	2	33%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Gage Canning 2019 · A	22	42→36	45→40	50	37	.208/.258/.335	.128	.307	13	8	36%	6%	62	-0.9	.194/.243/.284	.090	.315	7	9	38%	5%	41	-2.3	.191/.241/.271	.080	.310	6	8	38%	5%	33	-1.9
✕Stephen Paolini 2023 · A	22	36	38→40	48→50	36	.165/.235/.242	.077	.309	6	12	45%	8%	28	-3.2	.174/.241/.260	.086	.320	8	16	44%	7%	35	-2.8	.157/.224/.241	.083	.287	9	23	45%	7%	21	-1.7
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	41→50	41	.168/.252/.259	.091	.262	9	8	37%	8%	41	-2.3	.197/.275/.307	.110	.307	11	5	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.204/.303/.338	.134	.292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Daniel Fields 2012 · A	21	37→47	40→45	41→55	39	.178/.251/.266	.088	.293	9	6	40%	8%	41	-2.3	.212/.269/.307	.095	.314	7	15	33%	6%	58	-1.2	.225/.276/.328	.103	.317	8	20	30%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	35→29	41→45	46→40	43	.177/.255/.279	.102	.261	8	5	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.188/.254/.304	.116	.268	12	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.167/.233/.278	.111	.231	14	3	33%	7%	35	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)