Vin Timpanelli

P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	MIX2 levels	32	48	5.10	4.21	35.0%	17.7%	—	K 27.4% · BB 19.9% · FIP 5.35
2023	24	MIX2 levels	43	55	3.90	3.32	24.5%	12.7%	—	K 19.4% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.10
2024	25	MIX2 levels	14	18	6.87	6.10	22.0%	11.0%	—	K 11.7% · BB 12.8% · FIP 7.23
2027PROJ	28	MLBCIN	8	8	4.60	4.60	21.4%	9.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBCIN	6	6	4.65	4.70	21.4%	10.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Tyler Sturdevant (age 29) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 104

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%21.4%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	192	76	30	3	0%	1.2	29.8%	18.2%	11.6%	2.0%	2.98	4.01	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	45	192	76	30	3	0%	1.2	39.6%	15.6%	24.0%	1.6%	2.98	2.59	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	226	79	40	7	0%	1.5	27.4%	19.9%	7.5%	3.7%	5.10	5.35	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	48	226	79	40	7	0%	1.5	35.0%	17.7%	17.3%	3.1%	5.10	4.21	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	55	245	60	31	3	0%	1.3	19.4%	14.1%	5.3%	1.6%	3.90	4.10	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	55	245	60	31	3	0%	1.3	24.5%	12.7%	11.8%	1.2%	3.90	3.32	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	91	20	10	5	0%	1.3	11.7%	12.8%	-1.0%	6.4%	6.87	7.23	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	91	20	10	5	0%	1.3	11.7%	12.8%	-1.0%	6.4%	6.87	7.23	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	18	91	20	10	5	0%	1.3	22.0%	11.0%	11.0%	5.5%	6.87	6.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CIN	8	0	8	34	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.65	4.70	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.65	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.65	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.65	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		126	0	167	754	177	126	22	0%	1.3	23.5%	16.7%	6.8%	2.9%	4.32	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	0	200	905	213	151	26	0%	1.3	23.5%	16.7%	6.8%	2.9%	4.32	4.83	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Vin Timpanelli (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	21.4%	9.9%	3.0%	—	4.70	21.4%	11.3%	20	+0.10	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	83
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	83
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	82
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	80
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	80
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	80
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	79