Ocean Gabonia

P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	ANYY	36	54	5.03	4.11	20.9%	12.3%	—	K 15.4% · BB 14.6% · FIP 5.04
2024	23	MIX2 levels	39	59	3.84	2.96	25.1%	6.9%	—	K 19.7% · BB 6.8% · FIP 3.71
2025	24	A+NYY	31	41	3.27	2.16	23.9%	8.5%	—	K 18.4% · BB 9.8% · FIP 2.79
2027PROJ	26	MLBNYY	57	60	4.66	4.66	18.4%	9.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBNYY	20	21	4.65	4.67	18.9%	9.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBNYY	31	33	4.68	4.73	19.1%	9.7%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command45

CompsDavid Goforth (age 26) · Ricky Stone (age 27) · Carlos Gonzalez (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%18.4%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	5	2	9	39	9	7	0	40%	1.9	23.1%	17.9%	5.1%	0.0%	1.93	3.42	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	5	2	9	39	9	7	0	40%	1.9	23.1%	17.9%	5.1%	0.0%	1.93	3.42	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	9	0	12	48	14	1	0	0%	1.3	29.2%	2.1%	27.1%	0.0%	3.86	0.90	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	9	0	12	48	14	1	0	0%	1.3	29.2%	2.1%	27.1%	0.0%	3.86	0.96	—
2023	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	36	0	54	235	49	29	5	0%	1.5	15.4%	14.6%	0.9%	2.5%	5.03	5.04	—
2023	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	36	0	54	235	49	29	5	0%	1.5	20.9%	12.3%	8.5%	2.1%	5.03	4.11	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	59	247	62	17	5	0%	1.5	19.7%	6.8%	12.8%	2.6%	3.84	3.71	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	59	247	62	17	5	0%	1.5	19.7%	6.8%	12.8%	2.6%	3.84	3.71	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	59	247	62	17	5	0%	1.5	25.1%	6.9%	18.2%	2.0%	3.84	2.96	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	31	0	41	176	42	15	0	0%	1.3	18.4%	9.8%	8.6%	0.0%	3.27	2.79	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	31	0	41	176	42	15	0	0%	1.3	18.4%	9.8%	8.6%	0.0%	3.27	2.79	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	31	0	41	176	42	15	0	0%	1.3	23.9%	8.5%	15.3%	0.0%	3.27	2.16	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	NYY	57	0	60	253	47	24	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	9.5%	8.8%	2.8%	4.66	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	56	0	59	247	47	24	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.6%	9.3%	2.9%	4.65	4.67	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	NYY	54	0	57	240	46	23	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.7%	9.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.73	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	20	0	21	89	17	8	3	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.6%	9.3%	2.9%	4.65	4.67	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	NYY	31	0	33	139	27	13	4	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.7%	9.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.73	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	44	22	7	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.67	4.32	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	80	25	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.67	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		120	2	175	745	140	76	12	2%	1.5	18.8%	10.3%	8.6%	1.7%	3.97	3.72	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	2	200	853	160	87	14	2%	1.5	18.8%	10.3%	8.6%	1.7%	3.97	3.72	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ocean Gabonia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	18.4%	9.5%	2.8%	—	4.70	19.0%	9.3%	115	+0.04	—	—	—
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	92
Ricky Stone R 2002 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	18.8%	9.3%	2.7%	.297	4.96	13.7%	7.4%	165	+0.80	4.16	243	90
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	90
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	90
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	89
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	89
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	89
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	89
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	89
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	89
Greg Burke R 2009 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	16.2%	8.8%	2.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	88
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	88
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	88
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	88
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	88
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	87
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	87
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	87
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	87
Woo-Suk Go R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	17.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.359	4.16	21.5%	10.2%	64	-0.64	3.57	116	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	18.8%	9.6%	1.11	4.66
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*