Charlie Hurley — OGILVIE

Charlie Hurley P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 25 RHP 6'8" / 225 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156148vR 140

ERA6.47

FIP6.47

K%12.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-7.5%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	30	0	60	290	49	45	0	0%	2.0	12.5%	18.3%	-5.8%	0.0%	5.52	4.36	—
2025	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	30	0	60	290	49	45	0	0%	2.0	12.5%	18.3%	-5.8%	0.0%	5.52	4.36	—
2025	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	30	0	60	290	49	45	0	0%	2.0	16.9%	15.5%	1.4%	0.0%	5.52	3.71	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CHC	67	0	70	296	37	59	8	0%	1.0	12.5%	20.0%	-7.5%	2.8%	6.47	6.47	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	67	0	70	296	43	56	8	0%	1.0	14.6%	18.9%	-4.3%	2.8%	6.21	6.17	-1.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	CHC	66	0	69	291	44	53	8	0%	1.0	15.3%	18.2%	-3.0%	2.9%	6.07	6.07	-1.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	CHC	64	0	67	282	44	51	8	0%	1.0	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	3.0%	6.03	6.07	-1.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	CHC	61	0	64	270	42	48	8	0%	1.0	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	3.1%	6.09	6.15	-1.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	29	0	30	127	19	24	4	0%	1.0	14.6%	18.9%	-4.3%	2.8%	6.21	6.17	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	CHC	41	0	43	182	28	33	5	0%	1.0	15.3%	18.2%	-3.0%	2.9%	6.07	6.07	-0.7
2030	28	MLB CTX	CHC	48	0	50	211	33	38	6	0%	1.0	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	3.0%	6.03	6.07	-0.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	CHC	50	0	52	220	34	39	7	0%	1.0	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	3.1%	6.09	6.15	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	175	741	113	135	22	0%	1.1	15.3%	18.2%	-2.9%	3.0%	6.09	5.73	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	129	154	25	0%	1.1	15.3%	18.2%	-2.9%	3.0%	6.09	5.73	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		30	0	60	290	36	53	0	0%	2.0	12.5%	18.3%	-5.8%	0.0%	5.52	4.36	-4.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	0	200	961	120	176	0	0%	2.0	12.5%	18.3%	-5.8%	0.0%	5.52	4.36	-3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Charlie Hurley (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.47	12.5%	20.0%	2.8%	—	6.10	15.1%	-3.2%	206	-0.37	—	—	—
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	81
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	80
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	79
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	79
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	79
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	79
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	78
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	78
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	77
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	77
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	77
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	75
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	75
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	75
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	75
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	74
Audry Lugo R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	23	SU	5.76	13.7%	16.3%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	113	74
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	74
Claudio Custodio R 2015 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	11.1%	13.2%	2.7%	.351	3.79	11.5%	4.8%	37	-1.52	3.08	186	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	14.7%	18.6%	1.12	6.18
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99