Erik Martinez — OGILVIE

Erik Martinez P ACL Angels

+0.5 WAR

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 193 lbs ROK peak 0.5 · 2026

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%23.3%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%14.0%

IP61

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	38	1	65	270	83	24	2	24.0%	9.9%	0.5%	2.64	2.59	+1.8
2024	28	A	Inland Empire 66ers	3	1	3	13	6	0	1	—	—	—	8.10	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	SEA	11	11	61	257	60	24	7	23.3%	9.3%	2.9%	4.28	4.28	+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	31	MLB	SEA	59	—	59	248	57	23	7	23.1%	9.4%	3.0%	4.33	4.36	+0.4
2028	32	MLB	SEA	56	—	56	238	54	23	7	22.8%	9.5%	3.1%	4.40	4.44	+0.3
2029	33	MLB	SEA	54	—	54	228	51	22	7	22.6%	9.7%	3.2%	4.48	4.53	+0.3
2030	34	MLB	SEA	51	—	51	216	48	21	7	22.2%	9.9%	3.2%	4.57	4.64	+0.2
2031	35	MLB	SEA	48	—	48	204	45	21	7	21.8%	10.1%	3.4%	4.68	4.76	+0.1
2032	36	MLB	SEA	45	—	45	191	41	20	7	21.4%	10.4%	3.5%	4.81	4.89	+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			41	2	68	283	71	27	2	25.1%	9.5%	0.8%	2.91	2.63	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—			121	6	200	832	209	79	6	25.1%	9.5%	0.8%	2.91	2.63	+6.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erik Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	23.3%	9.3%	2.9%	—	4.44	22.8%	13.3%	169	+0.16	—	—	—
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	91
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP	31	SW	3.85	25.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	102	89
Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP	32	SW	3.33	23.7%	7.2%	2.4%	.342	4.98	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.65	3.33	122	87
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP	31	SW	3.38	26.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.241	3.98	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.60	3.38	212	87
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	86
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.11 FIP	31	SW	3.11	22.5%	9.7%	1.2%	.298	5.81	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.70	3.11	148	85
Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	85
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.56 FIP	30	SW	3.56	23.3%	8.5%	2.5%	.288	4.73	20.6%	9.9%	86	+1.17	2.72	392	84
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	30	SW	4.24	22.2%	11.1%	2.9%	.349	3.54	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.70	3.05	227	84
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.45 FIP	32	SW	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.18	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.27	2.48	147	83
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	30	SW	3.72	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.88	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.62 FIP	30	SW	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	82
Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.81 FIP	29	SW	3.81	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.32	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.51	2.26	172	82
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP	30	SW	4.06	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	3.94	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.12	1.69	468	82
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	30	SW	3.79	24.5%	10.6%	2.6%	.307	3.35	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.44	2.91	210	81
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP	33	SU	4.26	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.44	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.82	1.94	112	81
Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.84 FIP	30	SW	3.84	25.9%	8.7%	3.3%	.282	3.13	28.4%	19.9%	104	-0.71	2.27	445	81
Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SW	3.63	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	124	81
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.21 FIP	31	SW	5.21	19.1%	9.4%	4.6%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.26	3.80	132	80
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	30	SU	4.62	22.9%	7.6%	4.5%	.287	3.18	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.44	2.56	268	80

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.