Erik Martinez P ACL Angels
Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 193 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.13 (42 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202327MIX4 levels38165270832423%1.724.0%9.9%14.1%0.5%2.642.60
202327MIX4 levels38165270832423%1.730.7%8.9%21.9%0.7%2.642.05
202428MIX2 levels3131360133%1.146.2%0.0%46.2%7.7%8.103.42
202428MIX2 levels3131360133%1.146.2%0.0%46.2%7.7%8.103.40
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBSEA41043180421750%1.023.3%9.3%14.0%2.9%4.284.28+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBSEA38040168381650%1.022.9%9.6%13.3%3.1%4.414.49+0.0
202731MLBSEA110125112520%1.122.9%9.6%13.3%3.1%4.414.49+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110125012520%1.122.9%9.6%13.3%3.1%4.414.11+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084420284340%1.122.9%9.6%13.3%3.1%4.414.11+3.0
Career41268283712725%1.725.1%9.5%15.6%0.8%2.912.63+1.7
/ 200 IP12162008322097975%1.725.1%9.5%15.6%0.8%2.912.63+6.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Erik Martinez (OGILVIE) 4.28 23.3%9.3%2.9% 4.49 22.9%13.3%40 +0.21
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 86
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 85
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 85
Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 84
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 84
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.09 FIP 31 SU 3.09 22.5%9.7%1.2%.298 5.84 13.8%4.1%86 +2.75 3.09 148 82
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP 31 SU 3.41 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.66 23.3%13.2%105 +0.25 3.41 212 82
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 23.3%8.5%2.8%.288 4.75 20.6%9.9%86 +0.99 2.71 392 82
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 30 SU 4.18 22.2%11.1%2.8%.349 3.44 17.4%8.5%65 -0.74 3.07 227 81
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 81
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 81
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 80
Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 31 SU 3.58 23.5%6.6%3.0%.258 2.93 26.6%18.9%183 -0.65 2.01 380 80
Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 79
Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.66 FIP 28 SU 3.66 22.4%8.6%2.5%.307 3.08 124 79
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 79
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 30 SU 3.57 22.3%11.0%1.7%.247 3.57 224 78
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 78
Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 3.20 FIP 30 SU 3.20 20.6%10.8%0.9%.333 3.74 14.4%6.6%110 +0.54 3.20 244 78
Chris Martin R 2025 · 3.28 FIP 29 SU 3.28 18.1%7.0%1.5%.319 3.06 20.9%19.2%42 -0.22 1.76 416 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION24123.1%9.4%1.174.34
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41