Juan ChaconRF
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 23
R/R
6'1" / 171 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†31
AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .234 / .255
PA211
HR2
K%39
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
25→25
SPD
45→45
EYE
40→40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.2peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-16M | $-42M | -$26M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$26M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$26M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 197 | 175 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 7 | 11 | 7 | .217 | .305 | .240 | .545 | .023 | .279 | 20 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -10 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | 2 teams | 205 | 182 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 96 | 3 | 22 | 3 | .132 | .214 | .181 | .395 | .049 | .258 | 47 | 8 | .181 | -3 | -24 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 235 | 212 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 4 | 20 | 10 | .193 | .269 | .264 | .533 | .071 | .299 | 32 | 8 | .242 | 43 | -15 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 334 | 314 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 148 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .140 | .189 | .201 | .390 | .061 | .259 | 44 | 5 | .178 | -6 | -40 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | -3.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 151 | 138 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 3 | 3 | .196 | .255 | .246 | .501 | .051 | .314 | 35 | 6 | .227 | 32 | -12 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 211 | 194 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 82 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .170 | .230 | .247 | .477 | .077 | .285 | 39 | 6 | .226 | 31 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | BOS | 299 | 273 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 110 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .183 | .249 | .278 | .528 | .095 | .287 | 37 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +8 | -1.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | BOS | 361 | 328 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 128 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .192 | .260 | .299 | .559 | .107 | .289 | 35 | 7 | .254 | 52 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | BOS | 402 | 365 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 140 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .192 | .261 | .299 | .559 | .107 | .290 | 35 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | BOS | 418 | 379 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 145 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .198 | .267 | .317 | .584 | .119 | .290 | 35 | 8 | .262 | 58 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +12 | -1.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | BOS | 425 | 385 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 148 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .197 | .268 | .314 | .582 | .117 | .290 | 35 | 8 | .260 | 58 | -20 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +12 | -1.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 86% | BOS | 422 | 382 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 148 | 4 | 6 | 3 | .194 | .265 | .306 | .571 | .113 | .289 | 35 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -21 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +12 | -1.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 418 | 379 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 148 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .187 | .258 | .290 | .548 | .103 | .287 | 35 | 8 | .255 | 54 | -22 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +12 | -1.7 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 406 | 368 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 146 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .188 | .258 | .293 | .552 | .106 | .286 | 36 | 8 | .251 | 51 | -23 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +12 | -1.9 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 389 | 352 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 142 | 4 | 3 | 2 | .185 | .256 | .284 | .541 | .099 | .284 | 37 | 8 | .247 | 47 | -23 | -0 | -4 | -4 | +11 | -2.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 360 | 326 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 134 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .181 | .252 | .276 | .528 | .095 | .282 | 37 | 8 | .242 | 43 | -23 | -0 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -2.2 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 317 | 287 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 120 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .178 | .248 | .268 | .517 | .091 | .280 | 38 | 8 | .236 | 38 | -22 | -0 | -5 | -3 | +9 | -2.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5550 | 5039 | 930 | 184 | 33 | 74 | 407 | 2003 | 62 | 125 | 56 | .185 | .254 | .278 | .532 | .094 | .286 | 36 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -349 | +3 | -20 | -59 | +157 | -27.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 590 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 48 | 235 | 7 | 15 | 7 | .186 | .256 | .283 | .539 | .097 | .289 | 36 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -41 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +18 | -3.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 197 | 164 | 51 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 7 | .311 | .426 | .384 | .811 | .073 | .365 | 13 | 13 | .375 | 145 | +10 | -1 | — | — | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Salem Red Sox | 34 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .129 | .206 | .161 | .367 | .032 | .222 | 38 | 9 | .179 | -5 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 171 | 138 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 53 | 3 | 21 | 3 | .225 | .359 | .319 | .678 | .094 | .341 | 31 | 15 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 235 | 199 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 52 | 4 | 20 | 10 | .241 | .355 | .332 | .686 | .090 | .324 | 22 | 13 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 334 | 305 | 62 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 109 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .203 | .270 | .302 | .572 | .098 | .308 | 33 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -16 | +1 | — | — | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 151 | 131 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 3 | .229 | .309 | .298 | .606 | .069 | .330 | 27 | 9 | .276 | 70 | -5 | -1 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Juan Chacon (OGILVIE) | 23 | 35 | 25 | 45 | 40 | .174/.234/.255 | .082 | .285 | 2 | 4 | 39% | 6% | 31 | -1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A |
23 | 41 | 35→30 | 52→55 | 42 | .188/.277/.248 | .060 | .302 | 3 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .222/.280/.282 | .060 | .288 | 3 | 17 | 22% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .244/.292/.297 | .053 | .299 | 2 | 23 | 18% | 5% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A |
23 | 39 | 38→30 | 47→50 | 39 | .188/.240/.266 | .078 | .269 | 5 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .202/.255/.266 | .064 | .303 | 4 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.253/.251 | .053 | .301 | 3 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 33 | -1.5 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A |
23 | 39→40 | 39→45 | 49→45 | 37 | .187/.241/.273 | .085 | .291 | 6 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .183/.266/.292 | .109 | .257 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .165/.258/.271 | .106 | .227 | 11 | 3 | 31% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Adonis Paula 2017 · A |
23 | 40 | 38→40 | 48→40 | 31 | .187/.231/.267 | .080 | .320 | 6 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .201/.251/.278 | .077 | .353 | 6 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .188/.239/.237 | .049 | .342 | 4 | 2 | 44% | 5% | 25 | -1.2 |
|
✕Romer Cuadrado 2021 · A |
23 | 42→38 | 40 | 46→45 | 39 | .202/.257/.294 | .092 | .302 | 8 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .200/.252/.309 | .109 | .367 | 14 | 4 | 46% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .167/.218/.258 | .091 | .326 | 16 | 0 | 51% | 6% | 22 | -1.9 |
|
✕Franklin Labour 2021 · A |
23 | 42 | 38→45 | 50 | 35 | .193/.252/.277 | .084 | .322 | 5 | 8 | 40% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .182/.269/.313 | .131 | .321 | 14 | 10 | 43% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .152/.249/.290 | .138 | .267 | 15 | 11 | 45% | 10% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 38→40 | 49→45 | 40 | .187/.243/.265 | .078 | .259 | 5 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 37 | -2.7 | .205/.266/.297 | .092 | .292 | 8 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .195/.264/.279 | .084 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 7% | 48 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA |
23 | 39→42 | 40 | 46→50 | 38 | .190/.242/.279 | .089 | .275 | 7 | 12 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .205/.258/.279 | .074 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 28% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .207/.258/.294 | .088 | .289 | 6 | 12 | 29% | 5% | 48 | -1.0 |
|
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A |
23 | 43 | 37→40 | 51→60 | 41 | .199/.258/.276 | .077 | .302 | 4 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.258/.252 | .061 | .301 | 4 | 21 | 35% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .184/.249/.248 | .065 | .280 | 5 | 28 | 34% | 7% | 33 | -1.2 |
|
✕Alex McKenna 2021 · A |
23 | 45→38 | 38→40 | 42→50 | 36 | .210/.265/.282 | .072 | .330 | 6 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .195/.267/.301 | .106 | .338 | 11 | 11 | 42% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .177/.258/.281 | .104 | .309 | 11 | 12 | 43% | 8% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
✕Darel Belen 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 40 | .191/.263/.277 | .086 | .311 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .170/.242/.252 | .082 | .419 | 7 | 7 | 56% | 7% | 33 | -2.9 | .050/.132/.109 | .059 | .137 | 9 | 3 | 68% | 6% | -49 | -1.6 |
|
✕Justin Twine 2019 · AA |
23 | 42→30 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 32 | .202/.241/.290 | .087 | .299 | 7 | 10 | 34% | 3% | 41 | -2.3 | .208/.247/.294 | .086 | .309 | 6 | 11 | 33% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .192/.230/.271 | .079 | .306 | 5 | 14 | 37% | 3% | 29 | -1.7 |
|
✕Bryan Johns 2012 · A |
23 | 41 | 37→30 | 47→45 | 37 | .194/.244/.264 | .069 | .295 | 4 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .193/.265/.256 | .063 | .272 | 3 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .178/.257/.231 | .053 | .249 | 2 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 33 | -1.1 |
|
✕Anthony Churlin 2019 · A |
22 | 41 | 37→30 | 46→45 | 39 | .194/.254/.269 | .075 | .300 | 4 | 7 | 35% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .208/.266/.284 | .076 | .312 | 5 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .202/.261/.261 | .059 | .304 | 5 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 40 | -1.5 |
|
✕Francisco Sosa 2013 · A |
23 | 38→43 | 40→45 | 45→50 | 34 | .187/.236/.280 | .093 | .301 | 8 | 9 | 39% | 5% | 37 | -2.6 | .206/.262/.322 | .116 | .305 | 12 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .196/.255/.313 | .116 | .286 | 13 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Daniel Arribas 2016 · A |
23 | 47→39 | 38→40 | 47→45 | 42 | .220/.280/.298 | .078 | .327 | 5 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .198/.268/.291 | .093 | .273 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .181/.257/.269 | .089 | .244 | 9 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 42 | -1.2 |
|
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A |
23 | 37→42 | 36→40 | 48→45 | 35 | .179/.226/.239 | .060 | .270 | 3 | 14 | 34% | 5% | 22 | -3.7 | .204/.255/.286 | .082 | .271 | 7 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .203/.259/.278 | .075 | .268 | 7 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 45 | -1.4 |
|
✕Brady Allen 2023 · A |
23 | 42→41 | 40→45 | 49→45 | 43 | .197/.274/.284 | .087 | .316 | 8 | 6 | 38% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.270/.329 | .129 | .302 | 14 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.260/.335 | .142 | .286 | 16 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ulrich Bojarski 2022 · A |
23 | 37→42 | 40→45 | 46→45 | 31 | .182/.221/.268 | .086 | .297 | 8 | 6 | 40% | 4% | 27 | -3.3 | .181/.238/.302 | .121 | .382 | 14 | 8 | 52% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .118/.183/.301 | .183 | .193 | 30 | 4 | 57% | 5% | 22 | -0.6 |
|
✕Francisco Hernandez 2023 · A |
23 | 38 | 38→40 | 49→50 | 39 | .177/.248/.253 | .076 | .310 | 5 | 14 | 41% | 8% | 37 | -2.7 | .188/.245/.275 | .087 | .303 | 6 | 14 | 37% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .160/.197/.241 | .082 | .257 | 5 | 14 | 39% | 4% | 6 | -1.8 |