Zach Vennaro — OGILVIE

Zach Vennaro P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 30 RHP 6'6" / 220 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.89

FIP4.89

K%21.5%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	23	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	21	0	28	129	35	9	1	0%	1.3	18.4%	8.7%	9.7%	1.1%	3.86	3.24	—
2019	23	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers Gold	21	0	28	129	35	9	1	0%	1.3	27.1%	7.0%	20.2%	0.8%	3.86	2.03	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	37	0	37	181	50	22	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	5.7%	7.61	6.04	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	37	0	37	181	50	22	8	0%	1.0	27.6%	12.2%	15.5%	4.4%	7.61	5.01	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	54	246	56	35	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.3%	4.0%	1.6%	5.47	4.29	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	54	246	56	35	4	0%	1.1	22.8%	14.2%	8.5%	1.6%	5.47	3.93	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	41	0	42	207	47	34	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	18.1%	0.3%	0.5%	6.05	4.14	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	41	0	42	207	47	34	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	18.1%	0.3%	0.5%	6.05	4.14	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	41	0	42	207	47	34	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.4%	6.3%	0.5%	6.05	3.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	8	0	8	41	11	9	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	10.57	—	—
YTD	30	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	8	0	8	41	11	9	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	10.57	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AA RAW	MIN	8	0	8	41	11	9	0	0%	1.0	26.8%	22.0%	4.9%	0.0%	10.57	3.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	MIN	21	0	22	95	20	12	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.9%	8.4%	3.1%	4.96	5.04	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.9%	8.4%	3.1%	4.96	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.9%	8.4%	3.1%	4.96	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	114	29	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.9%	8.4%	3.1%	4.96	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		156	0	168	804	161	119	17	0%	1.1	20.0%	14.9%	5.1%	2.1%	6.04	4.44	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		185	0	200	955	191	142	20	0%	1.1	20.0%	14.9%	5.1%	2.1%	6.04	4.44	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Vennaro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	21.5%	12.9%	2.9%	—	5.04	21.3%	8.4%	22	+0.15	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	91
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	89
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	87
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	85
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	82
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	81
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	80
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	78
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	77
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	77
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	75
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	75
Roman Mendez R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	20.8%	11.1%	3.0%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	230	74
Louis Coleman R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	30	SU	3.87	21.3%	10.4%	2.3%	.288	3.63	22.0%	10.9%	144	-0.24	3.10	256	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	74
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	74
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	74
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	74
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	73