Trey McGough

P Charlotte Knights

Age 29 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	MIX4 levels	7	4	21	3.05	3.83	26.8%	13.4%	—	K 26.8% · BB 13.4% · FIP 3.87
2024	26	MIX2 levels	42	1	82	1.98	2.49	27.2%	9.0%	—	K 23.1% · BB 8.5% · FIP 2.78
2025	27	AAACWS	7	1	15	9.00	6.97	17.3%	20.0%	—	K 14.9% · BB 18.0% · FIP 5.95
2027PROJ	29	MLBCWS	17	0	18	4.74	4.74	20.6%	11.3%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBCWS	7	0	7	4.81	4.88	20.5%	11.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJohn Rheinecker (age 28) · Matt Whitehouse (age 28) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%20.6%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	19	113	457	90	25	8	79%	4.7	15.8%	6.1%	9.8%	2.2%	3.19	3.72	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	19	113	457	90	25	8	79%	4.7	19.7%	5.5%	14.2%	1.8%	3.19	3.09	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	8	5	18	70	13	4	4	62%	2.2	16.3%	6.0%	10.3%	6.2%	3.06	5.89	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	8	5	18	70	13	4	4	62%	2.2	18.6%	5.7%	12.9%	5.7%	3.06	5.25	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	7	4	21	82	22	11	2	57%	3.0	26.8%	13.4%	13.4%	2.4%	3.05	3.87	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	7	4	21	82	22	11	2	57%	3.0	26.8%	13.4%	13.4%	2.4%	3.05	3.83	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	82	323	88	29	3	2%	1.9	23.1%	8.5%	14.6%	1.0%	1.98	2.78	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	82	323	88	29	3	2%	1.9	23.1%	8.5%	14.6%	1.0%	1.98	2.78	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	1	82	323	88	29	3	2%	1.9	27.2%	9.0%	18.3%	0.9%	1.98	2.49	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	7	1	15	75	13	15	3	14%	2.1	14.9%	18.0%	-3.1%	3.3%	9.00	5.95	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	7	1	15	75	13	15	3	14%	2.1	14.9%	18.0%	-3.1%	3.3%	9.00	5.95	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	7	1	15	75	13	15	3	14%	2.1	17.3%	20.0%	-2.7%	4.0%	9.00	6.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	CWS	17	0	18	76	16	9	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.3%	2.9%	4.74	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	3.1%	4.81	4.88	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CWS	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	3.1%	4.81	4.88	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	3.1%	4.81	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	3.1%	4.81	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		88	30	248	1007	191	84	22	34%	2.8	19.0%	8.3%	10.7%	2.2%	3.12	3.74	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	24	200	812	154	68	18	34%	2.8	19.0%	8.3%	10.7%	2.2%	3.12	3.74	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trey McGough (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	20.6%	11.3%	2.9%	—	4.88	20.5%	9.1%	20	+0.14	—	—	—
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	74
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	72
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	71
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	71
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	70
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	70
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	69
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	68
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	65
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	65
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	65
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	65
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	64
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	63
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	295	63
Phil Pfeifer L 2021 · 5.65 FIP	29	SW	5.65	19.5%	14.8%	4.2%	.394	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	307	62
Jake McSteen L 2024 · 4.64 FIP	28	SU	4.64	19.7%	6.4%	4.4%	.348	2.22	18.9%	13.2%	18	-2.42	2.22	286	61
Chad Bell L 2018 · 4.38 FIP	29	SU	4.38	18.8%	7.4%	3.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	393	61
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	61
Chad Zerbe L 2001 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	.299	3.88	9.4%	2.6%	106	+0.13	3.75	145	61